1
 |
Jhyun88   United States. Apr 19 2010 05:16. Posts 1383 | | |
Pity Phil left... But I'm pretty excited to see Galfond. |
|
|
1
 |
TheHuHu3   United States. Apr 19 2010 05:18. Posts 5544 | | |
I really wish Mike just ran good once... Sucks that DB won the first one . |
|
|
|
1
 |
SpasticInk   Sweden. Apr 19 2010 06:03. Posts 6298 | | |
not gonna pick on small things here, but what do you think of galfond's 3-bet sizing, wasn't it too tiny?
|
|
|
1
 |
Steal City   United States. Apr 19 2010 06:23. Posts 2537 | | |
| On April 18 2010 21:56 Carthac wrote:
Kaplan: "As ely contemplates, a big yellow manatee floats by"
ROFL!!! |
was that benyamine
lol that really made me LoL
oh and and it seems everyone in the fucking world didnt listen to what david benyamine really said. He said he didn't put daniel on a A high or K high flush bc of how he'd played it. He said there was a decent chance that IF DN had the T or J high Flush he would fold it and he said he had a read that doyle didn't have a flush. I think there's a good chance it was a good play. |
|
Intersango.com intersango.com | |
|
|
1
 |
dUUd_   Estonia. Apr 19 2010 07:07. Posts 1840 | | |
elky is good, matusow is even worse than DN |
|
redsnuff: bets all in with bad preflop hand and tell me to learn poker redsnuff: senceless | |
|
|
4
 |
Baalim   Mexico. Apr 19 2010 07:17. Posts 34305 | | |
| On April 19 2010 05:23 Steal City wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 18 2010 21:56 Carthac wrote:
Kaplan: "As ely contemplates, a big yellow manatee floats by"
ROFL!!! |
was that benyamine
lol that really made me LoL
oh and and it seems everyone in the fucking world didnt listen to what david benyamine really said. He said he didn't put daniel on a A high or K high flush bc of how he'd played it. He said there was a decent chance that IF DN had the T or J high Flush he would fold it and he said he had a read that doyle didn't have a flush. I think there's a good chance it was a good play.
|
no |
|
Ex-PokerStars Team Pro Online | |
|
|
1
 |
Stroggos   New Zealand. Apr 19 2010 07:42. Posts 1117 | | |
|
| Last edit: 19/04/2010 07:45 |
|
|
1
 |
pluzich   . Apr 19 2010 07:46. Posts 828 | | |
Gabe's sabbath jokes were good. |
|
|
0
|
1
 |
scriber   . Apr 19 2010 08:35. Posts 299 | | |
|
|
1
 |
the cleaner   Germany. Apr 19 2010 09:55. Posts 3014 | | |
rofl Phil Galfond
I also think that what D. Benyamine wanted to say was that he thought that D.N. didn´t had the flush, but if he did, there was a small chance that he would fold a medium flush. |
|
there are no facts only interpretations | |
|
|
1
 |
RiKD   United States. Apr 19 2010 09:59. Posts 9394 | | |
2 questions.
1.) chances of GSN running a season 6 marathon at some point?
2.) does youtube have all the episodes/not tilting to navigate through them all? |
|
|
1
 |
the cleaner   Germany. Apr 19 2010 10:23. Posts 3014 | | |
i downl. them from thepokerbay.org |
|
there are no facts only interpretations | |
|
|
1
 |
blackjacki2   United States. Apr 19 2010 12:04. Posts 2582 | | |
Is Doyle's play really that bad? How often does someone have QQ, KK, AA, AK there? He was only 2-1 dog so he only lost about 100k in EV when trying to win 14k. I guess he could have raised it like 35k just in case the nit wakes up with a hand, but it's Dwan's straddle and he likes to put 100k in the pot preflop with 68os. If he raises 50k then he's practically pot committed. Doyle has also said time and time again that he hates AQ. He probably gaines a lot of FE vs 88-TT and maybe even JJ. Maybe it's a terrible play for Dwan since he has a huge postflop edge, but if you're a postflop dog and you have no confidence in playing AQ and you're probably going to ship most flops anyway, you might as well ship it in and pray nobody has the nuts. |
|
|
1
 |
EvilSky   Czech Republic. Apr 19 2010 12:04. Posts 8918 | | |
Is it me or ely seems to be playing better this season ? |
|
|
1
 |
locoo   Peru. Apr 19 2010 12:14. Posts 4564 | | |
so sick that the nittiest guy wakes up with KK, damn i wanted matusow to lose that hand so badly only to get him to sitout and let a better player in :3 |
|
bitte bitte bitte bitte bitte bitte | |
|
|
4
 |
Baalim   Mexico. Apr 19 2010 12:30. Posts 34305 | | |
| On April 19 2010 11:14 locoo wrote:
so sick that the nittiest guy wakes up with KK, damn i wanted matusow to lose that hand so badly only to get him to blow up worse than hellmuth |
fyp |
|
Ex-PokerStars Team Pro Online | |
|
|
1
 |
Stroggos   New Zealand. Apr 19 2010 13:34. Posts 1117 | | |
| On April 19 2010 11:04 blackjacki2 wrote:
Is Doyle's play really that bad? How often does someone have QQ, KK, AA, AK there? He was only 2-1 dog so he only lost about 100k in EV when trying to win 14k. I guess he could have raised it like 35k just in case the nit wakes up with a hand, but it's Dwan's straddle and he likes to put 100k in the pot preflop with 68os. If he raises 50k then he's practically pot committed. Doyle has also said time and time again that he hates AQ. He probably gaines a lot of FE vs 88-TT and maybe even JJ. Maybe it's a terrible play for Dwan since he has a huge postflop edge, but if you're a postflop dog and you have no confidence in playing AQ and you're probably going to ship most flops anyway, you might as well ship it in and pray nobody has the nuts. |
13.8k in the pot preflop and he open shoves 150k. lets say people call with AK, AA, KK, QQ. AQs is winning 28% of time vs that range. So he needs to be called 1 every 11 times or less with that calling range to be profitable.
It's 7 handed and the calling range is 2% of all hand combinations, hes got to get through 66people for this to be profitable.
66x2%=132. 132/100=.76 Needs to be 1 or higher for this to be profitable. ( i think hes losing 37k every time he open shoves this?)
Not sure if this is fail maths or not but that's how i see the hand. |
|
| Last edit: 19/04/2010 13:40 |
|
|
3
 |
tomson   Poland. Apr 19 2010 13:53. Posts 1982 | | |
| On April 19 2010 12:34 Stroggos wrote:
13.8k in the pot preflop and he open shoves 150k. lets say people call with AK, AA, KK, QQ. AQs is winning 28% of time vs that range. So he needs to be called 1 every 11 times or less with that calling range to be profitable. |
1 every 5.5 times according to my calculations.
It definitely looks like a +EV play. Only thing to consider is whether weeding out medium pairs by shoving outweighs the benefits of giving a worse hand a chance to reshove on you. |
|
Peace of mind cant be bought. | |
|
|
1
 |
blackjacki2   United States. Apr 19 2010 13:57. Posts 2582 | | |
yeah, it's definitely not 1 out of 11 times. That might be correct if he was drawing dead by any caller. The fact that 3 out of 10 times he wins 150k changes the numbers a lot. |
|
|
|