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I like how honest Smuft is with me about poker. Thank god I'm at the bottom with small goals and low expectations. Let me start my journey into the fun world of real poker. Just sit back and enjoy all the dumb decisions I'm about to make.


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I just realized I have played 1 million hands since my $30 deposit and still not busto! lol

https://www.liquidpoker.net/user_pictures/1c05fbc77ade06c23fa06d30ebe36b29.png


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Been out of the game for awhile but looking into getting in again. Can anyone send me 200 PS money for 200 paypal?


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The question I have in this blog is what can you usefully do with an ipad? But first here's a simple model of how I see some things: You can broadly split activities you choose to engage in during your discretionary time into two crude categories.

- Activities that are immediately enjoyable and entertaining but don't lead to much longer term personal development or progression (or even hinder those things). E.g. playing computer games, marathoning tv shows, eating deep-fried fast food with sugary drinks.

- Activities that are more effortful, require more motivation, are not necessarily enjoyable in the present while you're doing them but which may lead to positive feelings of progression or accomplishment, and personal development towards goals, etc etc in the long term through their sustained engagement. E.g. reading/studying, exercising, helping others, cooking your own simple nutritious food at home using fresh seasonal ingredients.

The problem is always wanting to spend more of your time doing category2 activities (as your cold, rational system2 knows it should) and less of category1 (as your hot, animalistic system1 tempts you to do). I'm not close to being a rational utility maximiser who always does the most productive things with his time, but here are some ideas I've found useful for approaching this:

- Humans are forgetful creatures of habit and mindlessly follow whatever yields dopamine and whatever they are used to doing. When I do some category2 stuff I try to make a conscious effort to congratulate myself and mindfully notice the good feelings of accomplishment and progress I'm having. That way, next time I'm deciding whether I should read and make notes on a challenging/technical book or download some total crap tv show like game of tits, I can hopefully trick my hot system1 by telling it:

"hey remember that last time you effortfully concentrated on something and learned something new? Made connections to other things you know and improved your model of the world? Didn't that feel great?"
"Oh yes that did feel good, perhaps I should read more so I can get more of that good feeling!".

"Also do you remember that time you sat on your arse and rewatched some episodes of whatever show you liked? Didn't you feel like a loser for wasting all that time and lethargic for having spent that time motionless indoors?"
"Why yes I was pretty unhappy with myself for that! I better not do that now!".

- Even when I fail to do the above I try not to beat myself up too much but instead recognise and accept I'm not one of those supermotivated ultra-driven workaholic types that become CEOs and CFOs of fortune 500s, and you can't go from casual 10k funrunner to ultramarathons overnight. Unnecessary negativity and guilt doesn't help anyone.

- Precommitments are pretty effective. My family makes the conscious decision to not have a TV in our house. Since I've currently returned to study, deadlines, exams and the pressure to get a competitive job force me to continue working at a decent pace.



Now that I've finished with that little detour, this blog is about what you can do with an ipad. I wouldn't ever choose to buy one for myself - without ever having owned one I see them as a large smartphone that can't make calls but also can't do things that a regular laptop can do (proper multitasking, alt-tabbing separate windows, proper keyboard already go a long way in terms of productivity). I can see how it would be a 'neat' lifestyle gadget to have, but one danger is it would facilitate more time spent in addictive category1 activities at the cost of distraction from category2. Another thing is they're expensive and I'm all for trying to live a high quality life frugally (the easiest way to make yourself richer is to learn to live better on less money). However I have acquired this ipad for 'free'* so I am wondering how, if at all, I can put it to good use in order to enhance my quality of life. For ipad owners, what kind of things do you use it for that are worthwhile? So far my only idea is as a luxury e-reader / newspaper reader.


* while ipads' usefulness may be debatable if you are relatively young and know how to use computers, I believe they are one of the best gifts you can possibly give to members of the elder generation who didn't grow up with computers and don't necessarily care to learn but would like to have the advantages of modern communication and information access the internet brings in their life. I bought the ipad2 for in-laws a few years ago, and they liked it so much and use it so much that I thought it would be nice to upgrade them to the newer ipad air2. Now they have no more use for the old one, so I am going to see if i can find productive uses for it (if not I'll most likely give it away to other family/friends)


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As some of you may know, traditional Mexican establishment Taco Bell is giving out free biscuit tacos this morning in honor of Cinco de Mayo. I haven't been to Taco Bell in years but decided to go and collect my free food.

At the drive-thru there were only two vehicles in front of me, not bad considering the occasion.

me: "1 Bacon Egg & Cheese biscuit taco (free) and 1 Chicken w/Honey Jalapeno Sauce biscuit (because I'm not just going to eat 1 fucking taco)"

girl: "Sorry, we're out of chicken"

me: "Ok, 1 Bacon Egg & Cheese + 1 Sausage Egg & Cheese"

girl: "Sorry, we're out of sausage"

Whatever bitch, just get me 2 Bacon Egg & Cheese biscuit tacos.

I drive forward and start waiting, the same two vehicles in front of me. 5 minutes becomes 10 becomes 20. For the FIRST car in line. By this time there were a bunch of cars behind me and there's no way for me to just drive away. The first guy finally leaves, and there's one vehicle left ahead of me, a minivan with a man and what I assume was his 5-6 year old son. They wait for about ANOTHER 10-15 minutes. Then without getting served, this man, who is probably a hard-working citizen and wonderful human being, honks his horn for about 10 seconds straight, makes some gestures at the window, then drives off.

I think his honking got someone's attention, because as soon as I pulled up to the window, this 40-something tweaker lady with a big scab on the side of her mouth apologizes and says they're short-staffed.

Then she asks me to repeat my order, LOL. After I tell her she disappears for a few minutes, then this really tall skinny guy who looks like he has down syndrome randomly opens the window and asks me what I need a refund for..(???)..I tell him I don't need a refund for anything. He apologizes, wait a few more minutes, then tweaker lady comes back. She tells me they are out of tacos, and asks if there's anything else she could get me. I ask her if there's something of similar value they could give me. She closes the window and starts talking into her headset microphone, I guess to Taco Bell HQ or wherever such high-level decisions are made.

She comes back a couple minutes later with EXACTLY what I ordered, 2 Bacon/Egg/Cheese biscuit tacos (....). After having spent nearly an hour at the Taco Bell drive-thru, I drove away and started unwrapping them. One was cold, completely unheated, the other was warm. I mean what the fuck, how can one be heated and one not????? Wouldn't it at least make more sense if they forgot to heat both?? FFS

Anyway, I got back to my apartment, took a couple small bites out of one, it was disgusting, and I threw them both in the garbage.

Fuck Taco Bell, fuck them so hard.

Fuck Cinco de Mayo.

Fuck James Harden.

http://stream1.gifsoup.com/view1/3644154/ron-artest-elbows-james-harden-o.gif


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Person A agrees to make bets for Person B at a book Person B does not have access to, in exchange for taking a share of the action. What would you consider a fair arrangement for both people? (assume Person B's bets are +EV)


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Sup, haven't posted in a while, quit poker 3-4 months ago and I'mm collecting my online money.

Currently selling my software licenses:

PT4 : 50 USD
Flopzilla: 25 USD

Both: 70 USD

Can receive stars or neteller



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How come my laptop plays youtube, hulu, crunchyroll, netflix without getting hot, but the instant i open twitch streams my laptop decides to turn into a portable heater?

it's all flash tho right?


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holy shit anyone else watch this?


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Hey everyone,

Misleading title - After further analysis its more important to focus on CG at the moment.

The stream will be mostly cashgames this month, planning on way more CG than MTT in LV.

http://www.twitch.tv/neilly447

Played tons of cash so far this year, pretty much a great tool for people looking how to build rolls up on bovada and the leaks each limit has and how to exploit it.

Good Luck,
I'll do some MTTs sometimes.
Ryan


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boinggg

I first came out here basically because I had nothing better to do having very little experience with actually playing poker for a living, and any sort of plans despite having been really interested in poker as a hobby. I actually started off playing 1-2 1-3 out here but switched to playing 2/5 per the advice of people and have done at okish at that for a while. I mostly play softer games at Bellagio, MGM Grand, and Venetian, have avoided the 1500 deep at Wynn, and dislike the lighting at Aria as it intimidates/throws me off my natural comfort zone. Right now I have around mid 40k to my name and am trying really hard to get better at managing my expenses, improve at poker, and get better at other aspects of life.

So I've been reading the old Matt Moore thread on twoplustwo a bit and I suppose he is a paragon of recent success in the livepoker scene out in Vegas. Since I am not a twoplustwo guy and I am a liquidpoker guy, I'm going to try and use my blog here to put myself out there by writing more, and take bettering and challenging myself to a new level. With the wsop coming around in a few weeks I think it is a great time to start. I am going to focus mainly on poker, but I'll try to actively blog about anything else interesting or noteworthy that I am doing, so nothing really is out of play.

WSOP 2015:

First order of business I guess, since it is one of the biggest events in poker of the year. I don't really have much to say about it actually and am planning to just do alot of really boring shit. For the WSOP I intend on playing strictly cash games and zero tournaments. So that means no Colossal, no Aria event, no millionaire maker, etc. I just don't see much of a reason to just punt away buy-ins when my tournament game isn't great and my hourly would probably be higher in cash games. I've been playing mostly cap 500NL but I think I'll venture a bit this series, try my best to zone in and my plan to start the series is to play the Venetian 2/5 1000cap and go from there. If I run good I'll play the Wynn 2/5 or Bellagio 5/10, and if there happens to be a great game I might hop into the Venetian 5/10. I'll also play a bit on wsop.com probably just 50NL and 100NL during the daytime.

Personal finance, Budgeting, Bankroll Building.

I guess this is boring stuff, but really its the way to keep score in poker and ultimately a big part of the reason we play and the ultimate way of keeping score.

Its simple really, save more than you spend. Right now I'm trying to reduce food expense from $600 to around $250. For just myself $600 is way too much. I also switched to a 49cc scooter a few months back which saves me alot on gas/insurance and I recently installed a trunk on that so I should be able to buy groceries and stop eating out. I might just chronicle this on a monthly basis, but I am not sure how great revealing income and expense information with 100% transparency will be from a legal perspective. I would however like to have a great deal of transparency in this regard and not just with my revenue but also spending. Rent is high for vegas at $1100+utilities but the location and facilities are just what I need (great location, no-roommates, nice/clean/secure, good community, no roaches or anything like that). I think right now total expenses I think if I am entirely GTO with my current set-up I can leave expenses at somewhere in the range of <$1,800 which I think is pretty reasonable.

Considering More Options:

Traveling for live poker.

-bay101, Commerce, MarylandLive! Florida, Parx/Sands, Borgata, Foxwoods, Winstar, etc
Not only is this a good idea to see the country, would be great for improving my game, meeting new people, and getting better at game selecting so as long as you can manage to keep expenses low. I do however think Vegas is probably the best home base overall if you are playing live poker. I would also like to venture somewhere like Playa del Carmen or Rosarito or just Latin America in general. Latin America offers low-cost of living that places like Vancouver simply does not imo. Also helps that women are probably a lot lower maintenance. I'd be going to just get better at poker probably and be able to play more varied game selection but long-term and overall the money in live poker is a lot easier for most people. Still think with traveling that its important to keep expenses low.

Fun Stuff

For the most part I kept things about "business" stuff only. Just happened to be that way I guess but I'll try to blog about more varied things as they occur while I am out here. Here's a pic of what I look like and my scooter thing for fun/in case you run into me somewhere.

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gonna post dumb live hands in my blog to blow off steam you don't have to read them

UTG $300
UTG+1 $80
UTG+2 $80
MP $340
ME (button)$300

UTG puts out a blind kill which is a 4 dollar blind that gives him last action preflop

UTG+1 opens 8, UTG+2 calls, MP calls, LP call, I call with 99, UTG raises to 30, everybody calls but LP

Flop 9c5h2d (pot $148)

UTG bets 45, UTG+1 calls all in, UTG+2 calls all in, Mp raises to 90, I call, UTG folds

Turn 9c5h2d3h (pot $363)

Mp leads 40, I shove, Mp calls with 98hh

River 9c5h2d3h7h (pot $743)

My top set no longer good MP scoops the pot with a 9 high flush and the 2 shortstacks muck some trash that had no equity. Not long after MP got in 200bbs pre calling off a huge overbet shove with K9o. He cracked AK with his K9 shipping a huge pot with a pair of 9s. Not long after the game broke when he left and I got moved to another table. At the 2nd orbit at this new table I faced an interesting hand that I also posted here tonight.

http://www.liquidpoker.net/poker-forum/1126836/Live_1-2_river_play.html

Game is 7 or 8 handed live 1-1-2 NL holden

Button $200
BB $240
Me (UTG +1) $280

I open to 7 UTG+1 with K10ss. button calls, Bb calls

Flop 5s8sQd (pot $18 after rake I believe- max drop any flop in California :/ lol)

BB checks, I bet 14, both call

Turn 5s8sQd9c (pot $60)

Everybody checks

River 5s8sQd9c3s (pot $60)

BB leads 30, I?

Neither player seems to be a drooler, my game recently broke and I just got moved here, 2nd orbit. Both young - 30s white men but not online players I don't think.

I've been watching a lot of the Claudico bot lately and I think it would definitely choose all in as its play because of GTO or whatever. Do you think a smaller raise is better to get wider calls out of a human or is there more value in getting bigger bets called less frequently (or at the same rate).

What do you guys do here.

Yes I could 3barrel this and that may be best but I believe the line I took is certainly viable especially vs the players in this hand.


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Cliffs:
-You dont need so much volume to see if regular spin n go suits your interest
-You may never hit the Spin n go 1M and you wont compensate that glory with all the wasted rake


Unlike MTTs where you have to win to realize your ROI at spin n go you need to play well your most frequent multipliers (usually the first 3 to 5) and look at your chip ev to see if you have some pontential. At usual spin n go with buy in $15 or more, lets say you never see other than the x2 multiplier. Then your rake will be 33%. Now, lets say you never see the x6+ multiplier but you see the x2 with usual frequency and the x4 instead of the other ones, then your rake as shown in the table (1) below will be 13.6%.

Obviously with enough volume you'll be able to hit the higher multipliers, but can I live with that? Lets say I want to play 20000 spins this year, what's my chance of not playing the top multiplier? Simply (1-0.00001)^20000 = 0.82, but almost 0 that I wont hit the x25+. So if I can beat a 7% rake I can do well during the year. Also I know its a matter of few years before I hit the top prize if Im patient enough

Now, lets go to the 1M spin n go. Lets say they never end this promotion. The chance of not hitting the 1M game based on table 2: (1-0.0000003)^20000 = 0.994. Chance of not hitting after 50 years: last result ^ 50 = 0.74. So, you can possibly never hit it and win. There's also the fact of being a millionaire not as valuable as loosing that much rake and time if you consider some prospect theory.


TABLE (1)

$15+ 100000 fq rake with max multiplier
2 70518 0,70518 -0,333333333
4 21366 0,21366 -0,136786667
6 7500 0,075 -0,08268
10 500 0,005 -0,074466667
25 100 0,001 -0,068666667
120 10 0,0001 -0,0636
240 5 0,00005 -0,0612
3600 1 0,00001 -0,05

141036
85464
45000
5000
2500
1200
1200
3600

285000 total prize
300000 total $ collected
0,95
0,05 rake


TABLE (2)

M 10000000 fq rake with max multiplier
2 7585694 0,7585694 -0,333333333
4 1704653 0,1704653 -0,17
6 660000 0,066 -0,1250694
10 40000 0,004 -0,118449
25 8000 0,0008 -0,1136225
120 1250 0,000125 -0,108388
1200 400 0,00004 -0,09388
240000 3 0,0000003 -0,07

15171388 0,543777348
6818612 0,244394695
3960000 0,141935484
400000 0,014336918
200000 0,007168459
150000 0,005376344
480000 0,017204301
720000 0,025806452

27900000 total prize
30000000 total $ collected
0,93
0,07 rake



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5th and 9th, some bad runs at end of MTT Sunday

not bad FT 2/2 MTT's though, fired a 3rd up but busted 10 mins in so i say 2/2! 2/3 not bad tho

GL,
Ryan
http://www.twitch.tv/neilly447


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for cheating on you?





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think i made one of the biggest mistakes of my life

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Hello, what do you guys think about sites like runitonce/cardrunners/deucescracked? Worth it/not worth it? those are the ones I know of atm.

Currently im playing 6max (zoom) NL50, looking to move up to NL100 and beyond. There are a lot of theoretical questions that I dont have answers to atm, that maybe id be able to figure out more easily with some up to date info on how the best players are playing now, rather than testing and guessing myself

I dont know, honestly. My bday is coming up and I thought I might ask for a gift subscription if nothing else

Im pretty in the dark about the online poker "pro" scene or whatever. Like I heard sauce123 is really good, but also that he sucks at 6max? so maybe I shouldnt study from his play lol. Whos really crushing NLHE 6max?

On TL I could just check out the TLPD and see like "oh shit looks like bisu is #1 ranked protoss by far, ill watch some of his recent games and see what he does vs situations I have trouble against, and then see if I can understand his thought process and adjust my system accordingly", but I havent found that for poker :S


Anyway, gl at the tables every1. I appreciate you guys commenting on all the hands I post


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http://www.twitch.tv/yomerpunting

watch my pretty face writhe in pain when i punt my guy


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Well, it certainly has been a while since I've posted here...

Hello everyone. Many of you probably don't remind as I was never a high stakes(or mid for that matter) online poker player, but I was fairly active here about 2-3 years ago. How's everyone been? Probably much better since I'm assuming almost all of us have received our FTP rolls finally.

Anyway. I have recently ventured into the world of forming a niche in the fantasy football and real life NFL football community. After just playing and performing well in several different fantasy avenues for some time(long term season-long profitable, slightly above break even in DFS last year due to early strategy inefficiencies), I decided to take a real shot at getting involved in the professional side of football. I have recently begun writing for a site named Rotoviz(http://rotoviz.com/author/hkrueger/ if you would like to check out any of my articles) and have enrolled in an NFL scouting academy that will take place this summer.

The reason I am here today is about a site called myfantasyleague(http://www.myfantasyleague.com/). This is a special kind of site as it mostly deals in a format called a "best ball" league. In this format, there is no mid-season management. You draft 20 players, and the scoring is determined by whoever scored best at the position in a week(ex. If you have 3 QBs, it counts the best score of the 3). There are currently two buy-in types: $10 and $25. The $10 is the most popular option at the moment, with a 10x return on 1st place and a buy-in return for 2nd. There are 12 participants per league, meaning to break even you have to win 1/10(I'm a math wiz right?).

The reason I am here today is to garner interest towards attempting to turn a decent profit from competing in these leagues. I think the real opportunity to turn a profit from these leagues comes up after the NFL draft. For those of you unfamiliar, this is the event where college football players are chosen and placed on NFL teams before OTAs and training camp begins. There is always value to be had at this time because the fantasy football crowd begins to come back after the past 3 months of little significant news in the league. They tend to jump right into these leagues and treat them much as a mock draft for their upcoming season long leagues. I feel I have a significant advantage currently in these leagues(even when compared to that of my FF writing peers) as many understand football, but lack basic understanding of game mechanics, the difference between these leagues and their season-long counterparts, and understanding of the current coaching/personnel situations in the NFL(ex. Dallas RB is going to be highly valuable no matter who it is).

At this moment, I have finished drafting 18 leagues of my own, which you can check out here(http://football20.myfantasyleague.com/2015/public?O=13&USER_ID=136). If you would like to see the current equity of my selections, go here(http://rotoviz.com/best-ball-adp/) and type in the name @HeithK. If any of you are interested in such a venture(which I understand may go unnoticed as many of you are unfamiliar with me), feel free to comment here or contact me on twitter @HeithK. Thanks guys!


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