UFC on FOX 21: Maia vs. Condit - Page 2

How likely is it Maia submits Condit ?
I'd bet condit if it weren't high.

I just bet on Condit on betsson he was at -105. Just 10 bucks and I think thats going to be my only bet for this event.

On August 24 2016 13:49 northsails wrote: Remember that time when Pettis closed as -750 favorite over RDA. LOL, talk about a hype job this guy is the closest thing we have seen to Ronda. Since then Pettis looks lost to me

Damn. So how many millions did you win that night?

Sorry, calling him a hype job considering RDA was in his best juiced up physical condition in his life is quite a bad argument.
He s entertaining to watch for sure.

Thats like saying Conor was a hype job after his Diaz loss, except Diaz wasnt juiced, but still physically they are in 2 different leagues.

LOL. Why the butthurt iakim?

Pettis have always been overrated to me, ever since losing to Guida and fighting a close fight with Jeremy Stephens. I have been betting againt him ever since his second Hendo fight.

Lost some and won some as usual in sports betting

On August 24 2016 14:18 cariadon wrote: How likely is it Maia submits Condit ? I'd bet condit if it weren't high.

Hard to put it into percentages, but Maia can submit Condit.

If they fought 10 times and Maia had him on the ground for 10 minutes in those 10 fights, I'd say he could submit Condit at least 4 times. (I mentioned 10 minutes, which equals 2 rounds, and I think Maia will have Condit on the ground for most of the first 2 rounds, unless he gets a fast submission)

Glover Teixeira had only been knocked out (TKO) one time in 14 years, and it was in his pro MMA debut. However, he met Anthony Johnson last weekend and got 1-punch KO`ed like it was no big deal. I see Maia as the Anthony Johnson of submissions, in that they'll both finish you more often than not.

On August 24 2016 18:35 alejandicto wrote: I just bet on Condit on betsson he was at -105. Just 10 bucks and I think thats going to be my only bet for this event.

Does your book offer live betting? Or even in-between rounds betting?

Many people are waiting to live bet Condit/Maia.

On August 24 2016 19:51 Spitfiree wrote: Sorry, calling him a hype job considering RDA was in his best juiced up physical condition in his life is quite a bad argument. He s entertaining to watch for sure. Thats like saying Conor was a hype job after his Diaz loss, except Diaz wasnt juiced, but still physically they are in 2 different leagues.

it is confirmed what RDA was juiced up? or just speculation for his last fight?

On August 24 2016 21:46 impact69 wrote: Show nested quote + On August 24 2016 19:51 Spitfiree wrote: Sorry, calling him a hype job considering RDA was in his best juiced up physical condition in his life is quite a bad argument. He s entertaining to watch for sure. Thats like saying Conor was a hype job after his Diaz loss, except Diaz wasnt juiced, but still physically they are in 2 different leagues. it is confirmed what RDA was juiced up? or just speculation for his last fight?

He's just speculating.

RDA has a fight scheduled against Tony Ferguson on November 5 in Mexico City, Mexico.

New video. I also added it to the previous post with 4 videos from BJJ Scout.

Condit is creative, aggressive and a bit sloppy with his striking because he has a very solid guard, he is also very good at getting back up but Maia is a fucking wet blanket, he is not going to lose position I think this fight goes to a decision very often because either Maia simply wins by laying on top of him 3+ rounds or Condit fights very smart and doesnt fall for Maias shitty faints.


I cant believe people really get taken down by Maia in that way reacting to his punches, he has never thrown a hard punch in his life, just dont mind his stupid punches, dont react to them and pot shot him to a victory.

^ lol I agree. Condit will light him up for the short 3 rounds. If it's a 5 round fight then possibly there will be a small window that Maia gets lucky but Condit's jits is also pretty damn good and will probably defend it

Does your book offer live betting? Or even in-between rounds betting? Many people are waiting to live bet Condit/Maia.

No I only bet on Inkabet and Betsson, the two more known sites for betting in my country (Perú), but both sites dont offer live betting in mma only for soccer : (

Maybe I should start betting live on another sites, I never did it in mma :O

On August 25 2016 12:23 whamm! wrote: ^ lol I agree. Condit will light him up for the short 3 rounds. If it's a 5 round fight then possibly there will be a small window that Maia gets lucky but Condit's jits is also pretty damn good and will probably defend it

great analysis

On August 25 2016 12:23 whamm! wrote: ^ lol I agree. Condit will light him up for the short 3 rounds. If it's a 5 round fight then possibly there will be a small window that Maia gets lucky but Condit's jits is also pretty damn good and will probably defend it

Has Condit consistently defended takedowns from anyone, ever?

This is a fight where he could probably just spend all camp only defending takedowns, but historically he hasn't bothered with it so that's a bit worrying to me.

On August 25 2016 07:06 Baalim wrote: Condit is creative, aggressive and a bit sloppy with his striking because he has a very solid guard, he is also very good at getting back up but Maia is a fucking wet blanket, he is not going to lose position I think this fight goes to a decision very often because either Maia simply wins by laying on top of him 3+ rounds or Condit fights very smart and doesnt fall for Maias shitty faints. I cant believe people really get taken down by Maia in that way reacting to his punches, he has never thrown a hard punch in his life, just dont mind his stupid punches, dont react to them and pot shot him to a victory.

I saw an interview with Condit recently saying he's worked on a bunch of new stuff this camp, including lots of footwork. So we could see him try and use a ton of movement to try and keep space from him at Maia. That said I don't think Maia relies on his feints as much as you suggest. He will often shoot with no set up just trying to time it with your punches and even if you stuff him initially he's really good at chain wrestling/sticking to you till he gets you down.

Honestly I can see this fight go a ton of ways. Maia via decision or early sub. Condit via early tko, late tko, or decision.

^ Real weigh-in.


170 lbs.: Demian Maia (171) vs. Carlos Condit (170.5)
145 lbs.: Charles Oliveira (143) vs. Anthony Pettis (146)
115 lbs.: Bec Rawlings (115.5) vs. Paige VanZant (115.5)
155 lbs.: Joe Lauzon (156) vs. Jim Miller (154.5)
185 lbs.: Sam Alvey (186) vs. Kevin Casey (185)
145 lbs.: Enrique Barzola (145.5) vs. Kyle Bochniak (145.5)
155 lbs.: Shane Campbell (156) vs. Felipe Silva (154.5)
155 lbs.: Jeremy Kennedy (155.5) vs. Alex Ricci (156)
155 lbs.: Thibault Gouti (155) vs. Chad Laprise (159*)
185 lbs.: Alessio Di Chirico (185) vs. Garreth Mclelland (184)
185 lbs.: Adam Hunter (185.5) vs. Ryan James (185)

*fined 20-percent of his purse for missing weight.

Gouti and Campbell both weighed in with 10 minutes or less to go. Gouti doesn't look happy, while Campbell seems okay.

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^ Weigh-in after the fighters have re-hydrated for about 6 hours.

paige, miller and pettis looked rough at the real weigh ins...

Miller looked like he just got into a fight, damn. Paige has both eyes black.

[[[Bellator starts at 10pm EST tonight instead of 9pm EST, so 50 more minutes until start time.]]]

Bellator 160 starts in 15 minutes on Spike TV. (7pm PST/10pm EST)

Benson Henderson vs. Patricio Freire (Lightweight)
Georgi Karakhanyan vs. Bubba Jenkins (Featherweight)
Saad Awad vs. Derek Anderson (Lightweight)
A.J. McKee vs. Cody Walker (Featherweight)


This is a really good card, even for Bellator.

If any of you are going to bet on these fights, I'd suggest:

Patricio 1u @ +230
Georgi .5u @ +145
Awad .5u @ +150