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UFC FN 188: Font vs. Garbrandt

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PuertoRican   United States. May 19 2021 22:14. Posts 12666

Date: Saturday, May 22
Main Card (ESPN+): 23:59 LP.net / 4pm PST / 7pm EST
Preliminary Card (ESPN+): 21:00 LP.net / 1pm PST / 4pm EST
Live Streams: http://ripple.stream/mmastreams




Main Card (ESPN+)

Rob Font (18-4) vs. Cody Garbrandt (12-3) (Bantamweight)
Yan Xiaonan (13-1) vs. Carla Esparza (17-6) (Women's Strawweight)
Justin Tafa (4-2) vs. Jared Vanderaa (11-5) (Heavyweight)
Felicia Spencer (8-2) vs. Norma Dumont (5-1) (Women's Featherweight)
Ricardo Ramos (14-3) vs. Bill Algeo (14-5) (Bantamweight)
Jack Hermansson (21-6) vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (11-1) (Middleweight)

Preliminary Card (ESPN+)

Ben Rothwell (38-13) vs. Chris Barnett (21-6) (Heavyweight)
Court McGee (19-10) vs. Claudio Silva (14-2) (Welterweight)
Bruno Gustavo da Silva (11-5-2) vs. Victor Rodriguez (5-3) (Flyweight)
Josh Culibao (8-1-1) vs. Sha Yilan (17-6) (Featherweight)
David Dvorak (19-3) vs. Juancamilo Ronderos (4-0) (Flyweight)
Rafael Alves (19-9) vs. Damir Ismagulov (19-1) (Lightweight)

Other

- Denys Bondar was expected to face Victor Rodriguez in a flyweight bout at the event. However, he was forced to pull out in late April due to an injury and was replaced by Bruno Gustavo da Silva on April 30.
- Danyelle Wolf was expected to face former Invicta FC Featherweight Champion and UFC Women's Featherweight Championship challenger Felicia Spencer in a women's featherweight bout at the event. However, Wolf pulled out of the fight in early May due to an undisclosed injury and was replaced by Norma Dumont Viana on May 6.
- Ben Rothwell and Philipe Lins were scheduled to meet in a heavyweight bout in March at UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad, but it was canceled due to an injury to Rothwell. They were then rescheduled for UFC on ESPN: Rodriguez vs. Waterson, but the bout fell through once again as Lins got ill a day before their fight. They were then expected to compete at this event. However, yet again, Lins was pulled from the event for undisclosed reasons and briefly replaced by promotional newcomer Askar Mozharov. Just hours later the Ukrainian announced he would not be able to get a visa in time for the event. He was eventually replaced by fellow newcomer Chris Barnett on May 13.
- Raulian Paiva vs. David Dvorak was scheduled to take place at the event. However, Paiva pulled out of the fight on the day before the event due to ill effects related to his weight cut. Paiva was replaced by promotional newcomer Juancamilo Ronderos just 24 hours before the fight. At the weigh-ins, Ronderos weighed in at 128.5 pounds, two and a half pounds over the division's non-title fight limit. The bout will proceed at catchweight and he will be fined 20% of his purse, which will go to Dvorak.

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Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 22/05/2021 20:14

PuertoRican   United States. May 19 2021 22:20. Posts 12666

My bets thus far:

• Rob Font +111 $100 for $111
• Rob Font -120 $240 for $200
• Jack Hermansson -150 $75 for $50

----------

First impression of the match-ups:

• Font > Garbrandt
• Xiaonan vs. Esparza (dunno)
• Tafa > Vanderaa
• Spencer > Dumont
• Dvorak > Paiva
• Hermansson > Shahbazyan
• Ramos vs. Algeo (dunno)
• Rothwell vs. Barnett (dunno)
• McGee vs. Silva (dunno)
• Silva > Rodriguez
• Culibao > Yilan
• Hadzovic vs. Medeiros (dunno)
• Ismagulov > Alves

Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 19/05/2021 22:34

warrendeape   United States. May 22 2021 21:18. Posts 277

I got several bets in.. including a few parlays involving awin by Ismagulov, so hope the AA holds. I just used him to bring down some other lines

I like Font overall but think Garbrandt has a good chance at win by KO. Font looks a bit weak to me and has definitely left himself open to trading shots. He is good at making his way up after being taken down and can shoot pretty well. obviously, overall very polished striker.

Here we go!


PuertoRican   United States. May 22 2021 21:19. Posts 12666


  On May 19 2021 21:20 PuertoRican wrote:
My bets thus far:

• Rob Font +111 $100 for $111
• Rob Font -120 $240 for $200
• Jack Hermansson -150 $75 for $50


No new bets for me yet. I am waiting for lines to move a little, and mostly focusing on live betting tonight.

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. May 22 2021 21:39. Posts 12666

If Alves didn't have low fight IQ, he could've won this fight.

Rekrul is a newb 

warrendeape   United States. May 22 2021 21:41. Posts 277


  On May 22 2021 20:39 PuertoRican wrote:
If Alves didn't have low fight IQ, he could've won this fight.


Yeah, he was really picking up some momentum in the 3rd.


warrendeape   United States. May 22 2021 21:48. Posts 277

playing around with $10 as a unit....in the last one I went
Isma R3+ 6 unites (put in 3 units twice accidentally, whatever) won about 3 units
Isma O2.5 2 units won about 1 unit
Isma GTD 4 units won about 2.5 units
Isma by dec 2 units won about 1.5 units
Isma Moneyline win 28 units won almost 6 units


warrendeape   United States. May 22 2021 21:54. Posts 277

on D. Dvorak all I had bet was 4 units on O2.5 at +110. Thought I had a parley with him and Ismagulov. Must not have got it in.
(Also had Dvorak 3+Rs for 2 units)

 Last edit: 22/05/2021 22:36

warrendeape   United States. May 22 2021 22:19. Posts 277

I imagine other bookies are similar but one thing that sucks about DraftKings is it's very difficult to get in a live bet when you want to. I kept trying to put in a straight bet for JC here, starting at -179. It got down to around -101 and every time I tried to place the bet it wouldn't go thru. The bet would be suspended or odds would change. It didnt go thru until it was back to -190. Do you have this issue?


warrendeape   United States. May 22 2021 22:35. Posts 277

Josh Culibao win 4 units won 2.1 units
Josh C/Ismagulov parlay 4 units won 2.6

Lost
Culibao ITD 2 units
Culibao ITD/B.Silva win 2 units

 Last edit: 22/05/2021 22:41

PuertoRican   United States. May 22 2021 22:37. Posts 12666

Rekrul is a newb 

warrendeape   United States. May 22 2021 22:43. Posts 277

had some good bets on Silva.....let me find them.
Damn I think they are all parlays, lol. Meant to put in some straight.

Culibao win/BSilva ITD 3 units to win 3.2 units
BSilva win/Culibao win 4 units to win 7.2 units

 Last edit: 22/05/2021 22:49

PuertoRican   United States. May 22 2021 22:47. Posts 12666

Now another long commercial break.

Rekrul is a newb 

warrendeape   United States. May 22 2021 22:54. Posts 277


  On May 22 2021 21:37 PuertoRican wrote:




I tried hard to get a bet in at -121 and lower. I hear MyBookie is "good for live betting." I'm not really sure what would make 1 site better than another but I think I am starting to understand that. Do you have trouble making live bets? Like I say, on DK, after you select the event, put in your bet and click submit it has to "process" for like 3 seconds and, unfortuantly it usually comes back with "unable to place bet." It's a headache.

It is especially bad for a combo-bet..say in MLB. I get the bets lined up, which can take a while, then I have to wait until none of them are suspended or changing....which is pretty much constant, lol. Think I'll shop around, is what it is. My bet ended up going thru at like -190 :/. I guess it could have been worse.


warrendeape   United States. May 22 2021 23:05. Posts 277

( I put in a little bit on CSilva by submission against McGee, here although McGee has never been submitted. Had good a good line) Going to try to get in some good live bets on this one.


warrendeape   United States. May 22 2021 23:13. Posts 277

going to keep addings bets for McGee as the fight goes on...really hope he doesnt get submitted now.


warrendeape   United States. May 22 2021 23:23. Posts 277

Looks like he will hold up. Line is too high now.
I managed to get in $100@-150, $40 @ -121, $20@-121, $40 @-127 lol

Hold...one time. Nice hold. I like fights like these. Good opportunity for value. Maybe we'll have more like it.

$100(10 units) @-150 +$67 (6.7)
$40 (4u) @-121 +$33.20 (3.3)
$20 (2u) @-121 +$16.60 (1.6)
$40 (4u) @-127 +$31.60 (3.1)

Parlay
BSilva win/Mcgee o2.5 3 units won 2 units

lost
parlay
Bruno Silva win/CSilva win by submission lost 2 units

 Last edit: 22/05/2021 23:35

PuertoRican   United States. May 22 2021 23:30. Posts 12666

Rekrul is a newb 

warrendeape   United States. May 22 2021 23:37. Posts 277


  On May 22 2021 22:30 PuertoRican wrote:




I feel like this fight will be similar. Looking for Rothwell to weather the first R or 2 and then eventually take over. Hopefully we will get time for some good live bets. I don't think I have anything on it now...maybe a parlay or 2 on a fight prop.

 Last edit: 22/05/2021 23:38

PuertoRican   United States. May 22 2021 23:40. Posts 12666


  On May 22 2021 22:37 warrendeape wrote:
Show nested quote +




I feel like this fight will be similar. Looking for Rothwell to weather the first R or 2 and then eventually take over. Hopefully we will get time for some good live bets. I don't think I have anything on it now...maybe a parlay or 2 on a fight prop.

Chris Barnett won't have much to offer after the first 3 minutes of Round 1.

Rekrul is a newb 

warrendeape   United States. May 22 2021 23:49. Posts 277

Rothwell by submission was +600 :/ didn't go for it

I did have.

Win
Parlay
BSilva win/Rothwell win 4 units won 2.5 units

Also from ealier had
BSilva win/Isamagulv win 5 units won 2.5

 Last edit: 23/05/2021 00:02

warrendeape   United States. May 23 2021 00:14. Posts 277

For now I have
Shebaz KO $20@+250
Herman win in R3+ $20@+215
Shebaz win R1orR2 $20 @+800
Shebaz win $20@120
u1.5 $30@110


warrendeape   United States. May 23 2021 00:38. Posts 277

the live bets cost me in Hermanson vs Shebaz although I was able to make some hedge bets in the 3rd to help out


won
Hermanson win 8units for 3.4u
Herman R3+ 2u for 4.3u

lost
Shebaz win 20u
Shebaz KO 2u
Shebaz R1-2 2u
Shebaz R2 2u
U1.5 3u


PuertoRican   United States. May 23 2021 00:38. Posts 12666

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. May 23 2021 00:39. Posts 12666

Algeo vs. Ramos is a tough one for me, as I know a lot about Ramos, but don't remember much about Algeo.

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. May 23 2021 00:54. Posts 12666

Ricardo Ramos decision +114 live bet
Ricardo Ramos -164 live bet

Rekrul is a newb 

warrendeape   United States. May 23 2021 01:05. Posts 277


  On May 22 2021 23:54 PuertoRican wrote:
Ricardo Ramos decision +114 live bet
Ricardo Ramos -164 live bet



i made a few live bets but was leaning toward Algeo. I don't feel good about it. I was trying to get in a good hedge bet on Ramos@-200 but it got suspended.


had 12 units on Algeo :/

I won 2.3 back on Rd3+ and O2.5

 Last edit: 23/05/2021 01:11

PuertoRican   United States. May 23 2021 01:08. Posts 12666


  On May 22 2021 23:54 PuertoRican wrote:
Ricardo Ramos decision +114 live bet
Ricardo Ramos -164 live bet


Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. May 23 2021 01:10. Posts 12666


  On May 23 2021 00:05 warrendeape wrote:
Show nested quote +



i made a few live bets but was leaning toward Algeo. I don't feel good about it. I was trying to get in a good hedge bet on Ramos@-200 but it got suspended.


had 12 units on Algeo :/

You either are using units wrong, or you are betting irresponsibly.

1 unit is supposed to be 1% of your bankroll. I don't use the unit system anymore because it's too vague, and I am always changing my bet size.

Rekrul is a newb 

warrendeape   United States. May 23 2021 01:13. Posts 277


  On May 23 2021 00:10 PuertoRican wrote:
Show nested quote +


You either are using units wrong, or you are betting irresponsibly.

1 unit is supposed to be 1% of your bankroll. I don't use the unit system anymore because it's too vague, and I am always changing my bet size.



oh I just use units as a set amount, for tonight it is $10.

In my mind I just think of it like stakes in Poker. I'm playing $10 units, can always move up and multiply it or move down. But I just use the term to give me some consistency in betting over an event or a certain amount of time.

 Last edit: 23/05/2021 01:15

PuertoRican   United States. May 23 2021 01:16. Posts 12666

Pre-fight bet: Norma Dumont +165 $20 for $33

Rekrul is a newb 

warrendeape   United States. May 23 2021 01:23. Posts 277


  On May 23 2021 00:16 PuertoRican wrote:
Pre-fight bet: Norma Dumont +165 $20 for $33



so far I'm throwing small bets on Felicia as the fight goes but if I'm not happy with how things look at the end of the round i'm going to throw a bet at the dog, Dumont in this case to hedge things.


aannnd I have no idea who is winning, lol. These bets can get out of hand

 Last edit: 23/05/2021 01:28

PuertoRican   United States. May 23 2021 01:39. Posts 12666


  On May 23 2021 00:16 PuertoRican wrote:
Pre-fight bet: Norma Dumont +165 $20 for $33


Rekrul is a newb 

warrendeape   United States. May 23 2021 01:39. Posts 277

Phew that is the most tense I have been during a decision announcement.


I ended up putting $1160 on Dumont to win $216.10
won $8 on R3+

lost on Spencer
$60,$20
$26 on Spencer win in R3+

 Last edit: 23/05/2021 01:40

warrendeape   United States. May 23 2021 01:41. Posts 277

Pre fight I have $40 on Tafa @-196
will throw $60 on O1.5

 Last edit: 23/05/2021 01:44

PuertoRican   United States. May 23 2021 01:51. Posts 12666

Tafa closed at -175, so I'm going to see how much damage he can do in the first 3 minutes, and also see if Jared can use his size at all.

If I had to make a pick, I'd go with Over 1.5 rounds -120.

Rekrul is a newb 

warrendeape   United States. May 23 2021 01:56. Posts 277

Vandera looking good


warrendeape   United States. May 23 2021 01:59. Posts 277

$180 live put on Vandera thru R1


warrendeape   United States. May 23 2021 01:59. Posts 277


  On May 23 2021 00:51 PuertoRican wrote:
Tafa closed at -175, so I'm going to see how much damage he can do in the first 3 minutes, and also see if Jared can use his size at all.

If I had to make a pick, I'd go with Over 1.5 rounds -120.



He is obviously still live but I think he looked behind in striking


warrendeape   United States. May 23 2021 02:03. Posts 277

Vandera needs to be careful

I have $245 on Vandera atm.....
$60@-375 for $76.20
$40@-159 for $65.20
$40@-121 for $73.20
$40@-117 for $74.40
$60@+110 for $126.00
O1.5$60@-121 for $109.8

lost
Tafa $40@-196



Needed that one

 Last edit: 23/05/2021 02:17

warrendeape   United States. May 23 2021 02:06. Posts 277

Vandera is +money agian..briefly..he is slowing down


PuertoRican   United States. May 23 2021 02:17. Posts 12666

Rekrul is a newb 

warrendeape   United States. May 23 2021 02:21. Posts 277

Prefight:
Yan by KO $10@+450
Esparza by Decision $10@+140
Esparza $20@+100


PuertoRican   United States. May 23 2021 02:24. Posts 12666

Yan vs. Carla is the most difficult fight to bet pre-fight on this card, at least for me.

I kept going back and forth this week and saw ways to win for both ladies. As I've said for most of the fights tonight, I'll see how the first 3 minutes of Round 1 goes and live bet before the round is over.

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. May 23 2021 02:34. Posts 12666



Oh well.

Rekrul is a newb 

warrendeape   United States. May 23 2021 02:35. Posts 277

Just put up $1400 to win $100 on Esparza, lol.


PuertoRican   United States. May 23 2021 02:38. Posts 12666

Rekrul is a newb 

warrendeape   United States. May 23 2021 02:40. Posts 277

That is the best I've ever seen Esparza execute her gamplan


warrendeape   United States. May 23 2021 02:46. Posts 277

This main even will be interesting.
DraftKings gave a bet boost on Garbrandt by KO

I put $50 on it @+260
U2.5 $20@-125
Parlay on
BSilva win/Font win $40 for $89.41


& had another Garbrandt bet on KO $15 @+175
Font KO $25@+165
Font win $40@-110



Putting $50 more on Font to win. Prefight

 Last edit: 23/05/2021 02:50

warrendeape   United States. May 23 2021 02:47. Posts 277

win via TKO,KO or Submission (like your Esparza bet)....I rarely ever see that option on Draftkings. It was available briefly for the Cyborg fight and then disappeared


PuertoRican   United States. May 23 2021 02:48. Posts 12666


  On May 23 2021 01:46 warrendeape wrote:
DraftKings gave a bet boost on Garbrandt by KO


I live in California, so DraftKings sports betting isn't available to me.

I use an online sportsbook called BetAnySports, and then fly to Las Vegas for the bigger bets I want to place.

Rekrul is a newb 

warrendeape   United States. May 23 2021 02:53. Posts 277


  On May 23 2021 01:48 PuertoRican wrote:
Show nested quote +


I live in California, so DraftKings sports betting isn't available to me.

I use an online sportsbook called BetAnySports, and then fly to Las Vegas for the bigger bets I want to place.


I see. I plan to try out some other sportbooks in the future.
I think Cody's lifelong background in some kind of MMA is a difference-maker in this matchup. Font is sharp though and put a little more on him atm since he does keep his cool. I'm afraid he will take a shot or 2 and I'm not really convinced of the power in Font's punch. He might not need it though.


warrendeape   United States. May 23 2021 02:54. Posts 277

(Font by sub +1100). I was going to throw $20 on it but it closed as I while I was typing

 Last edit: 23/05/2021 02:55

warrendeape   United States. May 23 2021 03:01. Posts 277

$40 more on Font @+110


warrendeape   United States. May 23 2021 03:03. Posts 277

I thought it was Garbrandnt 10-9 in 1st


warrendeape   United States. May 23 2021 03:07. Posts 277

added around $240 more on Font


captainhook   Canada. May 23 2021 03:09. Posts 431

What’s wrong with BAS???


warrendeape   United States. May 23 2021 03:14. Posts 277

It's hard to watch the fight when you are spending the entire time trying to get a bet to go thru.


PuertoRican   United States. May 23 2021 03:14. Posts 12666


  On May 23 2021 02:09 captainhook wrote:
What’s wrong with BAS???


Nothing. I've been winning all day on BAS.

----------

R1: Font (Cody got hurt 2 times in R1, but got a TD right after to avoid anymore damage.)
R2: Font (Clear.)
R3: Font (Clear.)
R4: Font (Clear.)
R5: Font (Clear.)

Rob Font 5-0, imo.

Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 23/05/2021 03:27

captainhook   Canada. May 23 2021 03:21. Posts 431

?


warrendeape   United States. May 23 2021 03:21. Posts 277

One thing I find that seems to work well is to parlay an overly-priced line with something from another sport that has a better line but is pretty sure to happen, then you get a much better price on your wager (ofc with more risk)


PuertoRican   United States. May 23 2021 03:28. Posts 12666


  On May 23 2021 02:21 captainhook wrote:
?



Try clicking each sport 2 times. Sometimes it needs to fix/refresh itself.

The website has worked perfect for me all day. I raped live betting today.

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. May 23 2021 03:31. Posts 12666

Rekrul is a newb 

warrendeape   United States. May 23 2021 03:32. Posts 277

I think I did pretty well on the fight but won't know for sure until some of these baseball games are over...other than parlays I put an additional:


$2000@-3335 (line was -2000 when pressed "place bet" just to get $100 more out of it
$100@-278
$100@-278
$44@-278
$40@+102

another $320 tied up in parlays. Felt good about it, just hope those run lines hold up lol

Red Sox need to win and the total runs need to be under 9. Also the Nets need to win.

 Last edit: 23/05/2021 03:39

PuertoRican   United States. May 23 2021 04:19. Posts 12666

Rekrul is a newb 

warrendeape   United States. May 23 2021 10:42. Posts 277

Nice!

I had a good night too - by far my best (3rd) night betting. I haven't tallied them up but I think I did pretty well betting on MLB Over/Unders to pass time during the event.

I'll try to list them sometime but I made 93 bets and profitted $1441.74. Took awhile to tally them up.


JoeyStyles   United States. Oct 11 2021 18:15. Posts 3

Honestly, that was one of the most surprising fights that I have ever watched! I just couldn't imagine that Font could win this one! I was 100% sure that Garbrandt would beat the sh*t out of him! All the odds were on his side, but he couldn't live up to the expectations! What is his next fight? And when? I have even placed a craze bet on him on the https://fun88-viet.combest online betting site. I was so sure that I decided to bet 5.000 bucks! Now I want to see him getting beaten once again so he would feel just like me after losing that money!

 Last edit: 12/10/2021 14:58

alejandicto   . Oct 13 2021 18:48. Posts 859

xd


 



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