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2013 Chess World Championship - Page 2

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GoTuNk   Chile. Nov 07 2013 06:53. Posts 2860


  On November 07 2013 05:16 Naib wrote:
Show nested quote +



I suggest time traveling back a few years and putting in as much work as you did with BW / poker / weightlifting. Then you might start to grasp the nuances. Otherwise, just sit back and enjoy - it's like BW or SC2, you don't have to be a pro to know what's going on. Some stuff will inevitably fly over your head, but the commentators will be there (I guess?) to help you out with that.



lol. Made me notice the lack of work I've put on poker


Liquid`Drone   Norway. Nov 07 2013 07:11. Posts 3093

carlsen is so brilliant and talented. I remember reading years ago that he was playing like 12 different matches against 12 different upcoming norwegian talents, at the same time, without being allowed to see any of the chess boards, and won all of them.

lol POKER 

SpasticInk   Sweden. Nov 07 2013 10:02. Posts 6298


  On November 07 2013 06:11 Liquid`Drone wrote:
carlsen is so brilliant and talented. I remember reading years ago that he was playing like 12 different matches against 12 different upcoming norwegian talents, at the same time, without being allowed to see any of the chess boards, and won all of them.



in the documentary something similar happens


iop   Sweden. Nov 07 2013 10:08. Posts 4951


  On November 07 2013 06:11 Liquid`Drone wrote:
carlsen is so brilliant and talented. I remember reading years ago that he was playing like 12 different matches against 12 different upcoming norwegian talents, at the same time, without being allowed to see any of the chess boards, and won all of them.



Same thing in the documentary, except for that it's against 10-12 different business men.

Milkman lol i didnt spend half a thousand on a phone so i could play it cool and be all stealthLast edit: 07/11/2013 10:08

Daut    United States. Nov 07 2013 10:49. Posts 8955


  On November 06 2013 23:09 Highcard wrote:
isn't carlsen 3-6-20 vs this dude, how could you say 80% to win



Anand has been top 5 in the world for roughly 20 years now. Carlsen is barely over 20 years old. A bunch of their matches took place when carlsen was a few years younger and not near his peak.

And 100 rating points is a fucking lot. I believe in any given game ignoring white or black advantage/disadvantage carlsen has .63 equity. So if they draw 60% then carlsen wins 33%, draw 60%, anand wins 7%. Its really hard to overcome that disadvantage in a 12 game series. Carlsen just wins a lot. Some guys on 2p2 programmed simulations on those numbers and carlsen won >90%.

There are a couple shortfalls in the numbers though. For one when anand is white he will probably gain 50ish rating points. Maybe more. While carlsen says fuck theory and plays off beat lines, anand is one of the best preparers in the game. That is not to say he only memorizes a bunch of book lines, but he and his team have come up with innovative lines that gave him really big impressive wins (check out his match va aronian from tata steel this year). So if anand won an early game with a new line then carlsen might drop to 65-70%.

And anand has home court advantage. India is a big advantage. Carlsen could get sick and has to adjust to a very different time zone and country

Overall i think this mitigates carlsens chances but still think he wins the vast majority. Just the superior player by a wide margin

NewbSaibot: 18 TIMES THE SPEED OF LIGHT. Because FUCK YOU, DautLast edit: 07/11/2013 10:51

Daut    United States. Nov 07 2013 11:02. Posts 8955

And re: blindfold matches. Any international master can probably beat 3 players of 1700 strength at the same time. There is a GM named timur gareev who did 64 games at once. 10-12 is insane for us to think about, but id be shocked if 8 versions of me would stand a chance vs any blindfolded 2700 simultaneously.

NewbSaibot: 18 TIMES THE SPEED OF LIGHT. Because FUCK YOU, DautLast edit: 07/11/2013 11:04

Graisseux   Canada. Nov 07 2013 11:49. Posts 474

Jerry will be streaming all of it (and uploading the videos since game 1 begins saturday at 4:30 AM, EST). I watched the candidates tournament finals on his stream earlier this year and it was really worth it, the guy is funny and insightful.

His advertising for that is on youtube:
The stream will be on twitch: http://www.twitch.tv/ChessNetwork

 Last edit: 07/11/2013 16:23

Highcard   Canada. Nov 07 2013 13:16. Posts 5428

thanks for the write up, i look forward to seeing the matches

I have learned from poker that being at the table is not a grind, the grind is living and poker is how I pass the time 

Naib   Hungary. Nov 07 2013 15:57. Posts 968

Even I can do multiple blindfolded games (albeit not that much obviously, most I did was 3, and I was playing the same color in all of them - that makes it significantly easier, and ofc I'm playing way below my true ability in these), and I'm barely over 2100 now. One is not that hard tbh, more than one can be a bitch (especially with a rule I had to play with, which is you lose if you try to make a move that's impossible due to misremembering the board). I had to practice this as a kid because of my trainer. Not sure if I could still do it, I only play chess for fun nowadays (one game every few weeks in my club that I was a part of since the beginning of my chess 'career', early childhood that is.)

My favourite line is Bet/Fold. I bet, you fold. 

Highcard   Canada. Nov 08 2013 00:06. Posts 5428

Naib, you started off your paragraph with such vigor, while ending in a fizzle. Would you say your chess career is similar to a candle?

Feeling the warmth of chess enlightenment caressing your virgin wax, melting the foreskin of naivety. Your wick now exposed, knowledge engulfing you, bringing you to your first spark of chess eureka...your life of chess is now shining bright, filling the room with energy...to the present, those moments have passed like that of headlights from a car. The life of chess that you lived is now but a puddle of wax. The last of the hydrocarbons released from your spent wick are floating in the room of your chess career, drifting away with the memories from the collective unconscious.

I have learned from poker that being at the table is not a grind, the grind is living and poker is how I pass the timeLast edit: 08/11/2013 11:29

Baalim   Mexico. Nov 08 2013 03:53. Posts 34250


  On November 07 2013 09:49 Daut wrote:
Show nested quote +



Anand has been top 5 in the world for roughly 20 years now. Carlsen is barely over 20 years old. A bunch of their matches took place when carlsen was a few years younger and not near his peak.

And 100 rating points is a fucking lot. I believe in any given game ignoring white or black advantage/disadvantage carlsen has .63 equity. So if they draw 60% then carlsen wins 33%, draw 60%, anand wins 7%. Its really hard to overcome that disadvantage in a 12 game series. Carlsen just wins a lot. Some guys on 2p2 programmed simulations on those numbers and carlsen won >90%.

There are a couple shortfalls in the numbers though. For one when anand is white he will probably gain 50ish rating points. Maybe more. While carlsen says fuck theory and plays off beat lines, anand is one of the best preparers in the game. That is not to say he only memorizes a bunch of book lines, but he and his team have come up with innovative lines that gave him really big impressive wins (check out his match va aronian from tata steel this year). So if anand won an early game with a new line then carlsen might drop to 65-70%.

And anand has home court advantage. India is a big advantage. Carlsen could get sick and has to adjust to a very different time zone and country

Overall i think this mitigates carlsens chances but still think he wins the vast majority. Just the superior player by a wide margin



so are you betting on this?

Dont remember who it was that talked about the even line for Carlsen but I cant find better odds than 3:1

Ex-PokerStars Team Pro Online 

Naib   Hungary. Nov 08 2013 04:20. Posts 968


  On November 07 2013 23:06 Highcard wrote:
Naib, you started off your paragraph with such vigor, while ending in a fizzle. Would you say your chess career is similar to a candle?

Feeling the warmth of chess enlightenment caressing your virgin wax, melting the foreskin of naivety. Your wick now exposed, knowledge engulfing you, bringing you to your first spark of eureka...your life of chess is now shining bright, filling the room with potential...to the present, those moments have passed like that of headlights from a car. The life of chess that you lived is now but a puddle of wax. The last of the hydrocarbons released from your spent wick are floating in the room of your chess career, drifting away with the memories from the collective unconscious.




wat?

Pass that shit bro, whatever it is

My favourite line is Bet/Fold. I bet, you fold. 

Highcard   Canada. Nov 08 2013 11:31. Posts 5428

^^

I have learned from poker that being at the table is not a grind, the grind is living and poker is how I pass the time 

uiCk   Canada. Nov 08 2013 12:20. Posts 3521

opening ceremony

http://chennai2013.fide.com/press-conference-live/

I wish one of your guys had children if I could kick them in the fucking head or stomp on their testicles so you can feel my pain because thats the pain I have waking up everyday -- Mike Tyson 

YoMeR   United States. Nov 08 2013 15:33. Posts 12435

^ holy shit that vid is 4 hrs+ long. complete with long speeches, anthems, dance routines, huge Indian concertos, and video presentations O_o

eZ Life. 

julep   Australia. Nov 08 2013 15:40. Posts 1274

so many chess experts itt


Ket    United Kingdom. Nov 08 2013 17:54. Posts 8665

thanks for the thread and to daut for making insightful/informative posts giving some background,

popcorn.jpg


Ket    United Kingdom. Nov 08 2013 17:55. Posts 8665


  On November 07 2013 14:57 Naib wrote:
Even I can do multiple blindfolded games (albeit not that much obviously, most I did was 3, and I was playing the same color in all of them - that makes it significantly easier, and ofc I'm playing way below my true ability in these), and I'm barely over 2100 now. One is not that hard tbh, more than one can be a bitch (especially with a rule I had to play with, which is you lose if you try to make a move that's impossible due to misremembering the board). I had to practice this as a kid because of my trainer. Not sure if I could still do it, I only play chess for fun nowadays (one game every few weeks in my club that I was a part of since the beginning of my chess 'career', early childhood that is.)


sicklol.. why did u stop?


hiems   United States. Nov 08 2013 19:21. Posts 2979


  On November 07 2013 10:02 Daut wrote:
And re: blindfold matches. Any international master can probably beat 3 players of 1700 strength at the same time. There is a GM named timur gareev who did 64 games at once. 10-12 is insane for us to think about, but id be shocked if 8 versions of me would stand a chance vs any blindfolded 2700 simultaneously.



What's your rating Daut?

I beat Loco!!! [img]https://i.imgur.com/wkwWj2d.png[/img] 

Darace   France. Nov 08 2013 19:22. Posts 255

Is it best of 12/first to win 7 games?


 
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