300 Buyins in 31 days at 50plo prop bet???by Joeingram1, June 27
I was coming on here to reply to comments left on my last blog where I said Hello but after reading Defrag's comment I was inspired to write something. I've said a few different times over the years that I would like to start blogging more but inevitably it never actually ends up happening I am going to try this again as I am going to get started on a new project which will require me to start writing much much more
I was just at the gym working on my basketball game while listening to one of my fave podcast series by James Altucher. I can't quite pinpoint what was said by a guest he had on but it inspired me to write about a prop bet I have mentioned a couple times on the forums and briefly on twitter.
The prop bet I was thinking of trying was trying to make either 300 or 400 buyins at either 50plo or 100plo on Pokerstars in a 31 day time period. Those that are not familiar with online PLO will have no idea if this is hard or how hard it actually is but to my knowledge no one has ever had this amount of buyins at these limits before. One of the reasons for this is because anyone that could ever make that much at these stakes would surely move up before the end of the month. Everyone I have talked to about doing this says with the rake I have absolutely no chance of succeeding at it. Another of the reasons is that the rake bb/100 at these limits is so high that it really makes it hard for anyone to win pre-rake. I do believe that this plays a pretty large part in the success of people playing these limits but I also think its very over blown in the SSPLO community on 2p2 just how big of a factor rake at low stakes plays. I think it is in everyone's best nature to continue to argue this point on the forums in hopes that at some point the poker sites might actually do something about it and lower the rake but I also think that many people will read all this doom & gloom being posted and get turned off to the idea of even trying to make it at the game. Yes the rake does suck at these limits compared to NL but its very very beatable and with some hard work it can be done. I think attempting this prop bet might show people to stop reading all the negative things people repeat nonstop but instead see what I was able to do and know that it is very possible to make money at these stakes while getting better and moving up the ranks at some point.
I've thought about the actual chances of being able to do this and to be honest I really have no idea if I could actually do it. In every prop bet I've tried I had no idea if I could do it going into it. I am pretty confident I could get some action at this bet at 3-1 but I am not really sure if I want to gamble it up that much with the most likely outcome being that I don't succeed and in the process costing me money that I would otherwise make grinding my normal stakes and hours.
My question I have for you guys is if you were going to try to make 300-400 buyins in 31 days at 50PLO, what would be your strategy to do it? Assuming it is all normal tables (no zoom or HU tables) but you could play deep games and also start tables. Would you try to maximize your hands/hr and play many many hands in that month while going for a lower winrate? Would you split up your sessions into different ones or would you try to grind out one big one/build up big stacks on tables? Assuming you COULD play 24 tables at once competently, would you do that for many hr/s per day, set a goal of xxx,xxx thousands of hands for the month and then adjust depending on how the results were going? Would you want to do it at 50plo or 100plo?? It is a pretty simple task but there are so many ways you could attack it from a strategic stand point. If only Urubu would have had 1 strategy going into his prop bet maybe he wouldn't have given up
You know, it's really hard to beat PLO25 in this move up if I'm going to have to beat 10pt/bb rake, and 10pt/bb bad-beats. In today's session, I lost 7 buy-ins to EV in 700 hands. That's 1 buy-in for every 100 hands. You know what that works out to? Fighting against 50pt/bb per 100 hands of bad beats. Great. Fucking great. That puts me down about 60 buy-ins of EV on my move up. About 28k hands of misery waiting until it ends. BR is at 1300 (took shot at 1400) so overall it's not death like. Just frustrating. Have to keep trying. Have to find a way to stop sucking so much in 3-bet pots. I just flop and run-out like death.
I figure since probably a decent part of the userbase here has traveled or gone on some neat road trips people here would do pretty well at it. I find it funny how addicting this pretty simple game is.
If you don't know, basically it puts you at a random location of google street view and your goal is to try and guess as close as possible on a map where you are. Some people put their own little rules into play about how far you can move around on street view (if at all) and if you're allowed to google any roadsigns or other things you can see from where you are.
I believe this is a current depiction of their street view coverage to give you an idea of where it could put you. I'd note that the Maldives is also covered but hard to see on that map.
Once in awhile you get dropped in some pretty ridiculous spots, including occasionally inside buildings.
Anyways, been grinding a mega geoguessr session and figured I'd share in case it would interest anyone.
Had my biggest month last month since restart at nl5
some $1400 or sth across the limits
All felt great, ignoring results completely doing sports etc. Met a pal from Scotland in Prague, did Spartan Race, loads of good stuff.
I started doing some heavy reading thinking about philosophy and science - I picked up this book http://ecx.images-amazon.com/images/I...Iaudible,BottomRight,13,73_AA300_.jpg
history of science and how different branches were discovered from astronomy physics, geology etc. thinking about all that. Meditating as well quite a bit.
started watching dota2, game of thrones (seen all of em in last 2.5weeks YEEZ )
learned shit ton done math on many hands, crawled forums,skype a lot, started playing zoom (moar volumes, that thing's crazy bad for my slow brain. I beat it pretty well tho 25 and small sample 50)
basically overloaded my brain shit loads, and my concentration started deteriorating, I started caring about results again and couldn't force myself to stop. Plus they closed down sauna over the summer except the weekend so there went a big part of my Monday off.
Soon enough I just kinda imploded one session and had -13BI in 1.5hrs total spewage and my brain told me to stahp.
The next day I went to the gym to buy 10x entry pass, and bough a monthly pass by accident.
I've been 5 times in 6 days since
Also I went to a cafe on Saturday to relax playing some dota.
I've played 47games since then http://dotabuff.com/players/120361733
didn't play the game for 9 months, yet was given 4k MMR right away so was getting hammered but picked it up since then had some 22-2 viper and 20-0 SF games, no big deal
Oh well random rant over.
I've uninstalled Dota again, and shall bid it goodbye until TI4 which I simply have to watch, it's a HUGE thing 10mil+prize pool is just sick. I sure love the new kid, Excalibur his Tinker and Meepo are out of this world, seeing him rape Alliance with both was awesome.
But as for me playing - I simply can't. It's way too addictive and although it was awesome when I needed a break from poker, I can never do both at the same time unfortunately. I mean 40hrs in 6 days with 10hrs of gym inbetween come on bro
Going forward
Tomorrow I plan on keeping up my gym regime - go at least 4x per week. I focus on sprints and large muscle groups.
And most of all Keep shit simple
I don't have to read duper heavy books that tax my brain so bad (modern physics is a HUGE CLUSTERFUCK for example. Just read some of the stuff. The people must be doing drugs.)
exercise, family, friends, poker.
Spending a ton of time on LP is counter productive too but it's where I shall keep trying to break down my ranges. I played a short sesh only to find out I'm too emotional still (fear mostly) but I realized I don't know what my ranges are in loads of spots nor what I really do with the edges of them - I pretty much click buttons, so instead of learning anything new at all looking at what I do already and tinker with that shall be my focus now. There's no need for new ideas for maybe a few months - just watchign vids to see what other people's ranges are really.
if these people knew what was going to happen when they hit the water, this is the bravest shit ive ever seen. Their bones shatter piercing their vital organs. That is some wolverine adamantium pain right there. Some of them dont die from impact and flail in the water trying to not drown cause if u want to die u dont want to fucking drown. they fatigue and drown. really bad way to go. Nembutal should be legal. So these people shouldnt have to go through unimaginable horrifying pain. There aint no pain from being homeless that can compare to having bones shattered and piercing your vital organs.
(Vote): 1 - biking
(Vote): 2 - red ress
(Vote): 3 - glASS
(Vote): 4- anotehr brick in teh wall
(Vote): 5- picking up chicks
(Vote): 6 - a shot of akali
(Vote): 7 - best ass in the group
>be me
>have friends
>party all the time
>haha life is okay
>years go by
>within one year all of my childhood friends die
>new friends end up hurting me really bad
>withdraw from society for a year or two
>decide to try to go back into the world again
>meet up with a high school friend (girl)
>stay the night at her place, have good time
>make plans again
>have this feeling that I'm not going to be seeing her again
>come the day of our plans, they are canceled
>i get nothing from her except she can't make it
>i try to see what's up, but then I only get anger from her
>week later, no word from her
>my biggest fear has become opening up and letting someone in my life just to get hurt by them
>i dont want her to leave
>have this idea to woo her back
>but im not even sure what the point is at this point
I don't see the point in living a lonely life. I try, and I try to do things to make it change, but I can only do wrong. I can't even fucking kill myself. How pathetic is that?
I was at the gym, patting myself on the back for finally reaching 135 lbs, from around 95 lbs when i first started working out.
As i was getting the metaphorical lotion to begin said self masturbatory congratulations and victory lap, this young old man, around 50 i'd say asks if i needed a spot.
i was confused. didn't this guy just see me lift 135? can't he tell i weigh 145? bro thats like 99% of my body weight with less than a month training what is this mad man talking about.
he said i should try 185.
(lol) (fucking idiot. i fucking hate old people) i told myself in my head. first they think they know something about poker. then they think they know something about life and job seeking. and now they think they know something about weight training. does this asshole know how much bro science i've read over the years?
anyway he seems pretty adamant about not letting me get to the lockers and therefore not letting me get to work.
hating myself and understanding a life time of giving into the demands of older people (my korean family + korean elders) i now had to humor old white fucks too.
so i fucking put the extra 25lbs weights on and....lifted....3 reps...all my strength...i lay there on the bench, exhausted and at awe of what my body was able to do...wat the fuck have i been doing all this time?...is this the way to train?...are you supposed to face death when working out?...we took off 5 pounds from each side....another 5 reps.....we took off another 5 pounds from each side....6 reps...
i took a shower, changed into work clothes and went with my day knowing a chilean body building poker online personality was smiling proudly somewhere on the internetz
Lets say you observe 3 rapid showdowns whereby a player never cbet as the initial raiser and just gave up if he didnt have a pair. This seems like a good opportunity to start picking off flops when he checks, but what if you miss a bunch of opportunities due to other action? Do you just kinda pick up right where you left off and test your theory at the next available opportunity? Or do you feel like if he hasnt been able to play the last 20 hands that he's probably looking to win his next pot and thus give him some room to fall back into his ways?
For your time I present to you trailers for Doom4 and The Division. Try to keep in mind The Division is supposed to showcasing a new real-time engine. Hard to believe this isnt CGI but there are some frame skips and other telltale signs of imperfection that make me believe it really is real-time.
oh yeah, and new trailer for Interstellar by Chris Nolan
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I am going to try this again as I am going to get started on a new project which will require me to start writing much much more 
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