af of 5 is loose or tight? why does it seem like every time a nit bets at me, they are bluffing, and that every time someone thats playing 60/50 is always playing the best hand and never bluffing? ive lost 50% of my flushes and sets, and 45% of my straights over 25k hands. i tone my aggression down simply because i believe im supposed to lose. i folded pocket queens five times tonight to 4bets, and lost three times with them when i went all in. every time, they had kk or aa. (they even showed me) its annoying because when i make the fold, i have no idea if its a good fold or not, and it drives me fucking insane because it seems i have to make these folds so much. i refuse to believe that because im losing so much of my strong hands, that i should fold, and call out of spite, losing a buy in here and there.
Besides the normal assumptions about ranges and equity, we'll also be using "R" for realized equity to help approximate the value of some lines. ie. when we check and get called, there are many different rivers and calculating what we think will happen on each of them is too time consuming so instead we just approximate and say on average we realize X % of our equity
Variables needed:
- equity vs calling range
- equity vs shoving range
- equity vs XB range
- equity vs betting range
- call %
- shove %
- fold %
- XB %
- bet %
- pot
- stack size
- bet size
- R vs calling range
- R vs XB range
- R vs betting range
EV formula for each exit:
(B = Bet, R = Raise, C = Call, X = check, |XD = check down*)
*|XD is where R is used
(BRC):
equity vs shoving range * (pot + stack size) - ((1 - equity vs shoving range) * stack size)
(BC|XD):
(equity vs calling range * R vs calling range) * (pot + bet size) - ((1 - (equity vs calling range * R vs calling range) * bet size)
(BF):
pot
(XX|XD):
(equity vs XB range * R vs XB range) * pot
(XC|XD):
(equity vs betting range * R vs betting range) * (pot + bet size) - ((1 - (equity vs betting range * R vs betting range) * (bet size)
Alright so, Q2 sucked for a variety of reasons, most of which I'll try not to deflect from anything more than poor decision making. For starters I completely messed up my sleep schedule thanks to that damn blizzard game Overwatch. There is a direct correlation from May 26th (official release date of game) and my sudden downswing/breakeven stretch lol. I am so completely addicted to this game I can easily play 10 hours straight and found myself going to sleep and waking up at all sorts of crazy hours. This was disastrous for poker as I ended up missing out on lots of good action by playing at odd hours of the day/night. There were times were I was just exhausted at 7pm on a Saturday and could not stay up, completely forfeiting one of the most profitable days.
The next huge mistake I made was taking a shot at 5/10. My bankroll was 17k, a mere 3 buyins away from 5/10 anyway so I figure might as well take a 5 buyin shot now. I mean, if I had 20k and moved up to 5/10 it's not like I'd drop back down if I hit 17k so whats the difference? Well, psychologically speaking there's tons. Playing with 20 buyins vs feeling like you only have 5 buyins while shot taking really throws you off your game. On top of that, both times I sat everyone was straddling which basically meant I was playing 10/25. To further compound the issue, usually within an hour someone would say "hey why dont we just bump it to 10/25 so we can play time rake?" to which everyone agreed. So my dumb ass really ended up taking a 2 buyin shot at 10/25 which is just disgraceful. Part of it was pride, I didnt want to sheepishly walk away from the table and look poor. The other was greed. I mean there's plenty of times you sit down and just run it up from your initial buyin, so maybe I can run good here too which would be quite a boost to the bankroll. 2 buyins at 10/25 vs 5 buyins at 5/10, whats the difference right? Fuck it....... big mistake. I wont ever be doing that again.
I'm not sure I quite got over that hit. Ever since then it feels like I'm playing kinda frustrated. I cant quite tell if it's just from running bad or a combination of things. I experimented with different bet sizings but still feel most comfortable betting half pot under most circumstances. Because stack sizes vary so heavily in multiway pots at low stakes games I find it hard to know exactly who and what range of hands im targeting. I'll iso something like 9Ts OTB and get 5 callers. Flop will be 67Q and someone will donkbet from UTG for like 1/4 pot and MP will call. I feel inclined to raise here because fuck that donkbet and fuck that sizing. I just dont know what my success rate is here.
Anyway I'm going to adjust my range and limping frequency. Right now my range was basically
EP : 22+/JTs+/QJo+/A9s+
MP: 22+/78s+/JTo+/A9o+/A6s+
LP: 22+/56s+/JTo+/A6o+/A2s+
BTN: 22+/54s+/JTo+/Ax+
SB: Play button range
and I'd almost always come in for a raise if I was opening here, plus the occasional 3bet vs the reg's if I was squeezing LP and it was obvious they were targeting a deep fish on their right.
I've adjusted this range to be more precise in regards to when I'll limp vs when I'll raise to include the following:
The R/L tags indicate raising/limping.
What I've done here is included a much wider limping range and much tighter EP range just to be more exploitable since so many pots go unraised preflop anyway. If you notice from my previous range hands like Q8s weren't even a part of it. I would just auto-fold that from any position no matter what. I think adding in these new hands combined with small bet sizing may enable these hands to be played easier since I cant valuetown myself too terribly on any runout.
TLDR: Fucked up taking a shot, fucked up not taking schedule seriously playing video games instead, probably got on a little life tilt from poor results and played sub-optimally overall. RESULTS!!
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Using the formula EV=F(P)+C(%W*$W)-C(%L*$L) how can this be expanded to account for multiway split pots? Has any one come up with a solution for N numbers of players and multiple split pots?
I am thinking it can be as simple as:
Main Pot EV (EV vs Player 1) + (EV vs Player 2)
Side Pot EV (EV vs Player 2 for amount of Side Pot)
Total EV = Sum of Main Pot EV and Side Pot EV
So, today I was driving through a somewhat happening area of the city I live in. I had a bit of the training high going and put in some Benny Bennassi. I was thinking how crazy it is how music works. I had not had any inclination to listen for maybe years and I heard a mention of him in a podcast recently and get kind of a good feeling for it and threw some on. It was awesome.
Anyways, so I am driving by this nice restaurant and catch a glimpse of this very attractive female all fashioned up and then see the boyfriend who is also very well dressed and has a luxury car. My immediate thought went to "Fuck, I need to get rich and read GQs and acquire fancy stuff." Thankfully, my next response was to laugh it off but it is crazy how that knee jerk reaction is still there. It boggles my mind how entrenched some of those thought patterns are. I did that chase for many years. It did not end well. I think what makes it worse though is that while I could never sustain a sort of lavish lifestyle on say an annual basis I have been there for moments, days, months on many different occasions. My experience is that can be pretty cool. A certain type of woman is on it and many women in general flock. Not to say that I did not have more than my share of failures and then the self-pity and all that bad stuff. Actually I have had a lot of failures. Going back to the Bennassi and the daters, I think it actually triggered back in the day when I would be in the club not feeling quite good enough. Always wanting more. Poker was a great job for acquiring money and scaling up and also having quite a lot of freedom. I had a lot of fun and really value the people I got to meet and adventures. When I busted out of poker I was lost. I do not know why I still carried this dying will for the material. I went after this sales job I got with a vengeance. I was so delusional. I got promoted to the Chicago region and had visions of penthouses in Lincoln Park. I was living in the suburbs/farmland south of Gary, IN. Instead of accepting the good job I had and quality people I would speed up to Chicago constantly to shop, eat, and party. I would stay in luxury hotels when many of my friends had a surplus of offered accommodations. All that stuff about wanting more in sales, material, everything progressively got worse. My alcoholism did too.
Ok. That got kind of rambly. The point that I am thinking of is that it is very important to know who I am and know what I want to do (purpose). I am still learning. It changes. It progresses. Find a right size in this world.
I'm 90% decided to go live in Thailand and play poker from there. Seems like a sweet paradise. I'll also most likely have a trip to Bangkok first in a couple weeks to check things out. Anyone is currently there and would like to meet?
I am also looking for other poker players to live there with. At the moment the plan is going alone but I love nightlife and chilling with friends so being there with another poker pro would be great fun.
I've played midstakes online cash since 2006 and have been playing HSNL online/live from 2009. I am competent in every form of NLH, 100bb ring games being the game I play the most. I've also spent considerable time solving 5-40bb poker as I also play push/fold variant on 888, and also to fight for seats against regs that have edge against me in HSNL 100bb tables.
Below is a graph of my online cash play for the year. My volume for the year is lacking due to moving to a new environment and sudden life changes. However, my game is sharp as I've spent more time working with piosolver and revamping my strategy than actual playing.
so i had this dream where like usual i was losing pretty bad at NLHE. this is pretty normal for anyone like me who plays at around 500BB/100 below expectation luck-wise. (one of the major reasons i went back to starcraft).
anyway in the dream they shut down the table and all the other players were watching while this heads up elimination only competition between myself and one other guy. it was pretty weird at first to be sitting 9 handed while getting isolated against this to-be-knocked out fish.
so the fish is sitting at like 22BBs and I cover him by probably 20x, 30x times probably with around 600BBs though I hadn't been thinking too much of it in the dream.
Then at this point we play like two hands, and I'm forced to auto-fold KK prior to pre-flop. apparently because i led the fish 30x i wasn't allowed to play any hand that ordinarily was better than 70% against his range.
so then the third hand that the fish and i are isolated playing HU the fucking guy says alright I'm done and throws in this special chip as the flop hits. the special chip is a 1k:1 raise so in other words he covered me for that hand and that hand only. i guess it was like a suicidal raise that he could only perform once when he went all-in.
anyway it was fucking bullshit and i was nearly across the table to slam the fish's face into the rails when suddenly i woke up.
I've been anxiety-ridden and nervous for the past 6 hours and probably taking more stuff to calm down. i keep seeing this fucking image of the damned fish:
I was able to solve the first 2 problems with some ease, However I am getting no where on the third and was hopping some fresh eyes from LP might be able to help
(a) Let a be a positive integer. What is gcd(a, 0)? Prove your answer is correct
using the definition of gcd.
(b) Evaluate gcd(0, 0). Is there only one possible value or many or none? Justify
your answer.
(c) Prove for integers a, b > 1, that 0 < (1/a)+(1/b)-(1/lcm(a,b)) < 1
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