| Specific Ranges by Silver_nz, June 01
Thoughts
What is the most used concept in the thought of a winning poker playing? Ranges – this concept gets used whenever a good player thinks about a hand. But trouble is, thinking in ranges is not intuitive to the human mind: When sitting at the tables, around the button clicking and metagame and goofy avatars, its easy to just make blanket statements “he bet the river, I guess he has a good hand”
or worse to put the enemy on a single hand “re-raised and cbet the 338 flop.. I put him on AK, call. He bet the turn... I think he has AK, call. He shoved the river, well I guess he has AK, I call"
I 'knew' he was bluffing
What about an approach of actively thinking about specific hands that they could have.
Doesn't have to be complete, just keeping a decent number of possible card combinations in mind at the same time: train the mind to deal with uncertainty, and not to fixate on one thing. Specific Uncertainty!
Even better is to know “how big” each combo of hands is: getting even more specific, and looking at the colour of the suits! This tells you how many cards there are for that hand.
http://img101.imageshack.us/img101/8761/combs.png
Opposites day
Another thing that is very enlightening is to take the negative view: to look at some combos he can't have. Such as, a TAG player who flats the turn on a draw heavy board can't have the 2pair or set combos. The narrower his range can be made the more money your decisions will make.
Hard Wok Cafe
Practice away from the table: a high level of combo counting isn't usually possible in the heat of playing. By going through a few hands per day, physically writing out the combos to make it solid, we get used to thinking in this way, and can think in terms of a wider range of combos while at the table.
Blinds are now $1/$2
Button is at seat 2
Seat 1: AR - $297.38
Seat 2: mattspelman - $160.32___not playing fullstacked is a leading indicator of fishiness!
Moving Button to seat 1
AR posts small blind ($1)
mattspelman posts big blind ($2)
Shuffling Deck
Dealing Cards
Dealing   to AR
AR raises to $6
mattspelman calls $6___________being a fish, he will have a wide calling range: and it can even include big pairs
Dealing Flop   
mattspelman bets $8___________his leading range will be fairly specific to him as a player. Leaving it wide for now:
AR raises to $32______________ [3A, 34, 3Qs,, 56,57s,95, A5,53s,, 98, 9T, 9J, 9K, 96s,, JJ, 88, 33,, 46, 47s, 68, K7d]
mattspelman calls $32__________that he called takes out some hands, like the -[95, 33, JJ] leave in 53 to leand some weight to the fishy slowplay possiblity
Dealing Turn 
mattspelman checks
AR bets $64
mattspelman calls $64______________[3A, 34,, 56,57s, A5,53s,, 98, 9T, 9J, 9K, 96s,, 88,, 46, 47s, 68, K7d] very little folds to this bet
Dealing River 
mattspelman checks_______________decidiing to valuebet or not, so try spliting is range into 2:
AR bets $195.38 (all-in)___________that which calls which is better, that which calls that is worse. that which folds just let drop away.
mattspelman calls $58.32 (all-in)____[ 56,57s,, 98, 9T, 9J, 96s,, 88,,]worse vs [3A, 34,, A5,53s,, 9K,, 46, 47s]better
Returning $137.06 to AR uncalled
AR shows
mattspelman shows  
Gangster flow
We still need to keep our thoughts efficient. Too many combos and we will waste our timebank and block other possible EV+ thoughts. An extreme example is PLO: there are far too many combos to ever get specific here: we have to make groupings of combos. Yet some grouping systems are better than others: those that have specifically looked at the combinations that make up a range are more realistic, and hence lead to better decisions. As in Hold Them, we are going to have to group hands together somewhat at the table, but every bit of specificity can help us work out situations. E.g. if we have the Ace of the flush on the board, we can reduce a lot of combos out of their range. These situations don't come up every hand, but they are a legitimate way to improve edge. Doing combo counting drills can help shape your groupings to be more useful than just: nuts, bluff, medium.
ROCK OUT WITH YOUR MATH OUT LP
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