captainhook   Canada. Aug 14 2020 08:35. Posts 466
On August 13 2020 13:19 Nazgul wrote:
The ones in grey fell through. Got a few good early lines in general and in particular a great early line on Pichel at +140. Later added a bit more on Pichel by decision at +180.
Love the picks. Tho I got Daukas to win.
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PuertoRican   United States. Aug 14 2020 19:40. Posts 13044
Stipe Miocic (233) vs. Daniel Cormier (236)
Sean O’Malley (136) vs. Marlon Vera (136)
Junior dos Santos (238.5) vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik (254)
Herbert Burns (149.5)* s. Daniel Pineda (146)
John Dodson (136) vs. Merab Dvalishvili (136)
Jim Miller (156) vs. Vinc Pichel (156)
Felice Herrig (116) vs. Virna Jandiroba (115.5)
T.J. Brown (146.5)** vs. Daniel Chavez (146)
Livia Renata Souza (155.5) vs. Ashley Yoder (115.5)
Chris Daukaus (241) vs. Parker Porter (264.5)
Kai Kamaka III (145.5) vs. Tony Kelley (145.5)
*Herbert Burns misses weight by 3.5 lbs
**T.J. Brown misses weight by .5 lbs
Rekrul is a newb
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captainhook   Canada. Aug 14 2020 20:29. Posts 466
JDS looked good. And Miocic looked like he lost a bit of fat.
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Nazgul   Netherlands. Aug 15 2020 12:20. Posts 7080
I added bets on Brown -150 (before the weighin) and Kamaka -170 (but thinking about hedging now and betting Kelley +200).
Bit unfortunate that Burns came in so overweight. Not a good sign in a COVID world to me that usually just means he didn't get to train as much as usual.
On August 13 2020 13:19 Nazgul wrote:
The ones in grey fell through. Got a few good early lines in general and in particular a great early line on Pichel at +140. Later added a bit more on Pichel by decision at +180.
Love the picks. Tho I got Daukas to win.
I get it, but even though I respect anyone who enters the cage, ultimately I just don't think Daukaus is a fighter as much as is needed at this level. I would expect him to fade pretty hard after R1. Happy to be proven wrong though. I was following Porter a bit on social media and he's really been preparing hard and eating well. Really committed guy, which is not always the case for a fighter at this level.
You almost twin-caracked his AK - JonnyCosmo
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captainhook   Canada. Aug 15 2020 14:46. Posts 466
^ Yeah.. I got Brown too. Bad sign for missing .5 lbs. It means he prolly tried hard losing the weight and coming in short. I'd rather see something like 4 - 5 lbs overweight as it almost looks like the fighter didn't go thru something horrendous or avoided going thru something horrendous.
And I already got Kelley. Just betting blind. I heard he's a bad ass.
And I'm not totally convinced with Burns at -230. Dunno.
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captainhook   Canada. Aug 15 2020 17:16. Posts 466
Might bet Pineda depending if I'm a bit after Kelley, Daukaus, Brown and Pichel. Lol.
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PuertoRican   United States. Aug 15 2020 18:45. Posts 13044
On August 09 2020 04:41 PuertoRican wrote:
I added a couple more bets to my list: Daukaus +3.5 -140 and Rozenstruik -115.
Rekrul is a newb
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PuertoRican   United States. Aug 15 2020 21:20. Posts 13044
Rekrul is a newb
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Nazgul   Netherlands. Aug 15 2020 23:09. Posts 7080
On August 15 2020 13:46 captainhook wrote:
^ Yeah.. I got Brown too. Bad sign for missing .5 lbs. It means he prolly tried hard losing the weight and coming in short. I'd rather see something like 4 - 5 lbs overweight as it almost looks like the fighter didn't go thru something horrendous or avoided going thru something horrendous.
And I already got Kelley. Just betting blind. I heard he's a bad ass.
And I'm not totally convinced with Burns at -230. Dunno.
I actually ended up betting Kelley at +220 so now I have a nice freeroll plus I added some extra money on Kelley since I think +220 is good in general.
You almost twin-caracked his AK - JonnyCosmo
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PuertoRican   United States. Aug 15 2020 23:51. Posts 13044
I just updated the OP. The fight order is fixed.
Starts in 10 minutes.
Rekrul is a newb
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captainhook   Canada. Aug 16 2020 00:42. Posts 466
Meh.. Terry almost had it at the third if not for the stoppage.
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PuertoRican   United States. Aug 16 2020 00:46. Posts 13044
Kelley couldn't stop the TD.
Too bad.
Rekrul is a newb
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PuertoRican   United States. Aug 16 2020 00:50. Posts 13044
Daukaus looked great for a jiggly prospect.
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Chris Daukaus +3.5 -140 = cashes
Way better start than last week.
Rekrul is a newb
Last edit: 16/08/2020 00:58
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captainhook   Canada. Aug 16 2020 01:03. Posts 466
Cashed out TJ Brown. I got a bad feeling. He could has out.
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PuertoRican   United States. Aug 16 2020 01:29. Posts 13044
R1: Souza
R2: Yoder
R3: Yoder (Souza was too inactive. The headlock at the end where she held her for 30 seconds didn't win her the round either.)
Ashley Yoder 2-1, imo.
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WHAT THE FUCK??????????????
The only clear round was Round 2... How did Souza get a 30-27.
Rekrul is a newb
Last edit: 16/08/2020 01:32
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captainhook   Canada. Aug 16 2020 01:45. Posts 466
Good decision cashing out Brown.
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PuertoRican   United States. Aug 16 2020 02:47. Posts 13044
$15 on Pichel +285 after R1.
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eZ pZ lemon squeezy.
Rekrul is a newb
Last edit: 16/08/2020 02:58
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captainhook   Canada. Aug 16 2020 03:31. Posts 466
I'm jealous. Got no live betting. I would be waiting R1 to finish at O'Malley vs Vera, see if O'Malley is tired or somewhat tired then pull the trigger on Vera if I did.
I think it's the safest way to do it if you want Vera imho.
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PuertoRican   United States. Aug 16 2020 03:54. Posts 13044
I added Burns/Pineda U1.5 $23.40 for $20.
Added Burns +280 after R1, even though Pineda dominated the round.
Rekrul is a newb
Last edit: 16/08/2020 04:04
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PuertoRican   United States. Aug 16 2020 04:09. Posts 13044
On August 16 2020 02:54 PuertoRican wrote:
I added Burns/Pineda U1.5 $23.40 for $20.
Added Burns +280 after R1, even though Pineda dominated the round.
He gassed all of the sudden after he got the take down...
Oh well. At least my pre-fight parlay cashed for ends ITD.