say he folds to a reraise ~20% of the time, will it be +ev to get the money in now? assuming he's calling with AK/JJ+

why are you 3 betting him?

thought this was a good enough hand to squeeze? since he had 72% fold to 3bet ;o

I face this situation alot, mainly BvB.. just wondering how much FE% i need to make a reraise/call +ev

I would 4b if he was not EP

oh according to http://www.fpppro.com/fold-equity-calculator.php I need him to fold to a reraise 44% of the time... damn I've been getting the money in wayy too often with Axs

On May 04 2011 16:27 k4ir0s wrote: thought this was a good enough hand to squeeze? since he had 72% fold to 3bet ;o

u just said he fold to 3 bet 20%
O_O

On May 04 2011 16:57 HeRoS)eNGagE wrote: Show nested quote + On May 04 2011 16:27 k4ir0s wrote: thought this was a good enough hand to squeeze? since he had 72% fold to 3bet ;o u just said he fold to 3 bet 20% O_O

He folds to 3bets 72%, which is reason for the squeeze. Once we get 4bet, we want to know what % of the time we need him to fold to the 5bet shove for it to be profitable. 20% was the initial guess, consensus seems to be that that's not nearly high enough.

On May 04 2011 16:57 HeRoS)eNGagE wrote: Show nested quote + On May 04 2011 16:27 k4ir0s wrote: thought this was a good enough hand to squeeze? since he had 72% fold to 3bet ;o u just said he fold to 3 bet 20% O_O

i ment he folds to a 4bet/shove ~20% :S

yadayadayada

you win 72 every time he folds

when you get called and win 72+180+160 *0.3 (assuming 30 % equity) = 123 dollars

its like burning 57 dollars when called (180-123).

so... you need him to fold (57/(72+57)) = 0.44... 44 %

only you can know if thats enough, totally depends on his 4bet tendencies.

Your squeeze is pathetic. Make it $26.

22 is ok @ 1/2

I think the squeese is to small as well; something between 25-28 seems fine

On May 04 2011 19:05 dogmeat wrote: 22 is ok @ 1/2

nit life

pew pew pew!