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ytricky   Germany. Jun 22 2009 10:24. Posts 600 | | |
What was his timing on the river? I think a timing tell could get give a good help for the desicion. I think he would take kind of long to bet TT-JJ here and bet quads rather fast.
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
6,377,180 games 3.240 secs 1,968,265 games/sec
Board: Kc Kd Kh 8h 3s
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 49.999% 50.01% 00.00% 3189125 0.00 { JJ-TT, KTs+, KTo+ }
Hand 1: 50.001% 50.01% 00.00% 3189422 0.00 { AA }
So this is close, if he bets JJ/TT or maybe even a weirdly played QQ its profitable to call , if he does not bet TT its break even.
Also betsizing rather looks like quads, and his stats look kinda weak tight, so him betting a PP here and peeling with it on the flop becomes less likely. |
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TalentedTom   Canada. Jun 22 2009 14:47. Posts 20070 | | |
uhhh... what hands is he flatting in a 5 way K83rainbow flop that he bluffs the river with... uhhh this is SUPER close, you beat a slowplayed set 33/88 which is now making a tiltbet, he would have to be preety horrible to have QQ-99, I'd prob just eliminate those from his range all together... on that note there's prob more combo's of 88/33 in his range then Kx so call SHOULD be ok, but its super close
err prob fold is better.. but this is one of spots where if call is correct the EV of the call is very close to 0, same goes for fold, so at the end of the day it should not matter very much, it just comes down to what kind of varience you want, calling is higher varience, folding is lower |
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| Our deepest fear is not that we are inadequate. Our deepest fear is that we are powerful beyond measure. It is our light not our darkness that most frightens us and as we let our own lights shine we unconsciously give other people permision to do the same | Last edit: 22/06/2009 14:50 |
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