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UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa

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PuertoRican   United States. Sep 21 2020 01:14. Posts 12091

Date: Saturday, September 26
Main Card (ESPN+): 3:00 LP.net / 7pm PST / 10pm EST
Preliminary Card (ESPN+/ESPN2): 1:00 LP.net / 5pm PST / 8pm EST
Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass): 23:59 LP.net / 4pm PST / 7pm EST
Live Streams: http://crackstreams.com/mma/2/




Main Card (ESPN+)

Israel Adesanya (19-0) vs. Paulo Costa (13-0) (Middleweight Championship)
Dominick Reyes (12-1) vs. Jan Blachowicz (26-8) (Light Heavyweight Championship)
Kai Kara-France (21-8) vs. Brandon Royval (11-4) (Flyweight)
Ketlen Vieira (10-1) vs. Sijara Eubanks (6-4) (Women's Bantamweight)
Hakeem Dawodu (11-1-1) vs. Zubaira Tukhugov (19-4-1) (Featherweight)

Preliminary Card (ESPN+/ESPN2)

Brad Riddell (8-1) vs. Alex Da Silva (21-2) (Lightweight)
Diego Sanchez (30-12) vs. Jake Matthews (16-4) (Welterweight)
Shane Young (13-4) vs. Ludovit Klein (16-2) (Featherweight)
William Knight (8-1) vs. Aleksa Camur (6-0) (Light Heavyweight)

Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)

Juan Espino (9-1) vs. Jeff Hughes (10-3) (Heavyweight)
Khadis Ibragimov (8-3) vs. Danilo Marques (9-2) (Light Heavyweight)

Other

- A women's bantamweight bout between Marion Reneau and Ketlen Vieira was scheduled for the event. However, Reneau was pulled from the bout on September 16 citing an undisclosed injury and was replaced by Sijara Eubanks on September 16.
- Nate Landwehr was expected to face Shane Young in a featherweight bout at this event. However, Landwehr was pulled from the event after testing positive for COVID-19 and replaced by promotional newcomer Ludovit Klein on September 17.

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Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Sep 21 2020 01:18. Posts 12091

Bets thus far:

• Adesanya/Costa O2.5 -115 $345 for $300
• Kai Kara France -225 $225 for $100

----------

First impression of the match-ups:

• Adesanya > Costa
• Reyes > Blachowicz
• France > Royval
• Eubanks > Vieira
• Dawodu > Tukhugov
• Riddell > Silva
• Matthews > Sanchez
• Young vs. Klein (dunno)
• Knight vs. Camur (dunno)
• Espino vs. Hughes (dunno)
• Ibragimov vs. Marques (dunno)

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Sep 21 2020 01:19. Posts 12091





Rekrul is a newb 

captainhook   Canada. Sep 21 2020 01:30. Posts 303

Love the Eubanks bet.

Kai Kara France I'll parlay with another high probability favorite.

What do you think of that Blachowicz line tho..? Seems off.


PuertoRican   United States. Sep 21 2020 01:48. Posts 12091


  On September 21 2020 00:30 captainhook wrote:
Love the Eubanks bet.

Kai Kara France I'll parlay with another high probability favorite.

What do you think of that Blachowicz line tho..? Seems off.


My picks thus far are just who I think will win without doing any research.

I have 2 bets far on O2.5 for the ME, and Kai Kara France ML.

I will likely bet on Blachowicz, and I am waiting for Eubanks' ML to get better since people still hate on her and overrate Ketlen. I will actually be putting $200 on Eubanks ML and also want to bet her TKO/KO line since Ketlen has no head movement + Eubanks goes hard in R1 with heavy punches + Eubanks' cardio looked improved in her recent win + Eubanks decided to take this fight on short notice in Abu Dhabi which tells me she sees this as a favorable match-up.

Edit: I will be in Vegas for this card, so I am waiting until I get to Vegas before I make my bigger bets. I will add another $500 to O2.5 on the ME, a bigger bet on Kai Kara France, and a bet on Eubanks. Not sure what else I like yet.

Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 21/09/2020 01:49

captainhook   Canada. Sep 21 2020 05:30. Posts 303

What do you think of William Knight? Value?


PuertoRican   United States. Sep 21 2020 06:08. Posts 12091



  On September 21 2020 04:30 captainhook wrote:
What do you think of William Knight? Value?


• Young vs. Klein = I never heard of Klein
• Knight vs. Camur = I never heard of Knight
• Espino vs. Hughes = Hughes sucks and Espino is almost 40 and hasn't fought for 2+ years
• Ibragimov vs. Marques = I never heard of Marques

Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 21/09/2020 23:51

captainhook   Canada. Sep 23 2020 13:11. Posts 303

Have you any problems cashing out from 5Dimes? Been hearing a lot of complaints about delayed cash outs lately.


PuertoRican   United States. Sep 23 2020 19:45. Posts 12091


  On September 23 2020 12:11 captainhook wrote:
Have you any problems cashing out from 5Dimes? Been hearing a lot of complaints about delayed cash outs lately.


I stopped using 5dimes a month ago.

I now use BetAnySports.eu, which is identical to 5dimes in every way. It's basically 5dimes with a different name, even though it's a different company.

Rekrul is a newb 

captainhook   Canada. Sep 23 2020 23:21. Posts 303

5Dimes just had their rating suspended at SBR. This is recent.


PuertoRican   United States. Sep 24 2020 00:16. Posts 12091


  On September 23 2020 22:21 captainhook wrote:
5Dimes just had their rating suspended at SBR. This is recent.


Yeah, I luckily stopped using 5dimes a couple of weeks before the day when everyone found out that American users would be banned from the website and to take their money out as soon as possible.

You should look at BetAnySports.eu -- it's the same as 5dimes, except it allows Americans. Most of my money is in Vegas, so I'm not worried about it like some people who can't travel, as well as those who waited for the last week or day to withdraw their money from 5dimes.

Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 24/09/2020 00:16

captainhook   Canada. Sep 24 2020 03:44. Posts 303

I got like 500 bucks on there. Meh.. You think they're gonna close anytime soon or are the delays just cos everybody from the US are trying to cash out at the same time?


PuertoRican   United States. Sep 24 2020 04:51. Posts 12091


  On September 24 2020 02:44 captainhook wrote:
I got like 500 bucks on there. Meh.. You think they're gonna close anytime soon or are the delays just cos everybody from the US are trying to cash out at the same time?


My friend asked me this. I told him the way 5dimes worded the temporary closure to Americans sounded like he should remove all of his money asap, because after the date they provided, you wouldn't be able to get it back at all.

Don't leave your money in 5dimes if you're American. At this point, I'd move to a different book even if I was European or Asian.

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Sep 24 2020 04:54. Posts 12091




Rekrul is a newb 

captainhook   Canada. Sep 24 2020 11:29. Posts 303

Just made a deposit at BAS. New book, feeling lucky. Gamble on William Knight, Klein and got a safer bet on the over 2.5 for the co main. Parlayed City boys KKF and Riddel.


PuertoRican   United States. Sep 24 2020 20:23. Posts 12091


  On September 24 2020 10:29 captainhook wrote:
Just made a deposit at BAS. New book, feeling lucky. Gamble on William Knight, Klein and got a safer bet on the over 2.5 for the co main. Parlayed City boys KKF and Riddel.


I keep going back and forth between Izzy and Costa. The safest bet is O2.5, but as a gambler, I also want to take a side.

I don't think Costa will fight like we expect him to, as this is for a title, he is trained by guys who game plan well like Wallid Ismael and Eric Albarracin (Henry Cejudo and Patricio Pitbull's coach), and he knows he can't go hard in R1 and risk gassing for the other 4 rounds. Not to mention Izzy is the most technical fighter in the division, so Costa can't just swing wild and hope to land, he needs to clinch + work the body (he's good at this) + leg kick to slow down the tall + skinny fighter.

I was listening to a podcast that mentioned the stats of O2.5 props for main events and title fights over the past year. I'll post it later today when I find which video it's in.

Rekrul is a newb 

captainhook   Canada. Sep 24 2020 23:14. Posts 303

My initial lean was Costa. But after watching some tape, Adesanya. I wouldn't be surpised if his line drops more.

Still... Costa is live. i'll wait for the weigh ins and see if he looks good.

I think most dogs are live in this event. Knight, Klein, Eubanks, Dawodu, Royval, Blachowicz and Costa.

I might hedge my KKF, Riddel parlay with Royval via sub if the line is good enough.

I also want to bet Blachowicz so bad.


PuertoRican   United States. Sep 25 2020 06:49. Posts 12091




I'm the guy in the podcast who speaks second with the loud microphone.

Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 25/09/2020 06:50

captainhook   Canada. Sep 25 2020 06:59. Posts 303


  On September 25 2020 05:49 PuertoRican wrote:



I'm the guy in the podcast who speaks second with the loud microphone.



Finally.


PuertoRican   United States. Sep 25 2020 08:08. Posts 12091


  On September 25 2020 05:49 PuertoRican wrote:



I'm the guy in the podcast who speaks second with the loud microphone.


Damn it. The end of the video got cut off. I'll ask him to upload it when he wakes up, as my longest breakdown was the part that got cut off.

Rekrul is a newb 

 
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