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UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa - Page 2

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PuertoRican   United States. Sep 25 2020 19:55. Posts 13030





My breakdown of the main event got cut off, so I posted some of what I said in my breakdown here:

+ Show Spoiler +

Rekrul is a newb 

captainhook   Canada. Sep 25 2020 20:15. Posts 466

Thanks!

Two fighters were 4 lbs overweight. What does that usually mean? They didn't actually try that hard to cut the weight and won't really affect their performance badly? As opposed to being 1 lbs overweight...


alejandicto   . Sep 25 2020 20:23. Posts 865


PuertoRican   United States. Sep 25 2020 20:56. Posts 13030


  On September 25 2020 19:15 captainhook wrote:
Thanks!

Two fighters were 4 lbs overweight. What does that usually mean? They didn't actually try that hard to cut the weight and won't really affect their performance badly? As opposed to being 1 lbs overweight...


When fighters miss weight by 3+ pounds, it usually means they stopped trying to cut the weight because they knew they weren't going to make it.

There was a recent fight where a fighter missed weight by multiple pounds, and they looked bad in the cage. So, I think it just depends on the person on whether or not they stopped cutting weight to preserve their energy and have a slight edge on fight night, or if they really had a bad weight cut and stopped cutting weight because their body wouldn't allow them to cut anymore weight.

1.5 pounds or less overweight usually means they tried to cut the weight, but their body wouldn't allow them to cut anymore.

For Tukhugov, I have no idea why he missed weight. For Klein, he took this fight on 8 days short notice.

Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 25/09/2020 20:58

captainhook   Canada. Sep 26 2020 01:17. Posts 466

Why are a lot of people so excited about Royval? I watched only one of his fights, vs Elliot. I didn't really like what I saw with his striking. KKF trains with City and has trained at Tiger.


PuertoRican   United States. Sep 26 2020 03:05. Posts 13030





Israel Adesanya (184) vs. Paulo Costa (185)
Dominick Reyes (205) vs. Jan Blachowicz (205)
Kai Kara-France (126) vs. Brandon Royval (126)
Ketlen Vieira (136) vs. Sijara Eubanks (136)
Hakeem Dawodu (145) vs. Zubaira Tukhugov (150 lbs)*
Brad Riddell (156) vs. Alex da Silva (156)
Diego Sanchez (170) vs. Jake Matthews (170)
Shane Young (146) vs. L’udovit Klein (150)**
William Knight (205) vs. Aleksa Camur (206)
Juan Espino (255) vs. Jeff Hughes (258)
Khadis Ibragimov (206) vs. Danilo Marques (206)


*Zubaira Tukhugov misses weight by 4 lbs.
** L’udovit Klein misses weight by 4 lbs.

Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 26/09/2020 03:06

captainhook   Canada. Sep 26 2020 04:35. Posts 466

All value is with Costa now. I have him... Small tho.


PuertoRican   United States. Sep 26 2020 16:54. Posts 13030


  On September 26 2020 03:35 captainhook wrote:
All value is with Costa now. I have him... Small tho.


I'm at the airport, on my way to Vegas.

The Over 2.5 Izzy/Costa fight will be -150 or so by the time my airplane lands. I'll bet $750 to win $500. I'll also add $50 on Costa R2 +900 or better as a hedge to the 2.5 rounds bet I'll have in Vegas and the $345 I already have on the Over at -115 on BAS. I also want to bet on Costa at +165 or better; he's currently +167 on 5dimes.

I'm seeing this as more than a strong brawler vs. a technical striker. I expect Costa to show different tools in this fight, which I mentioned in my breakdown: a lot more leg kicks than usual, punches to the body, and a little bit of clinching against the cage to keep Izzy in one spot to unload on him. Those 3 things will slow Izzy down enough for Costa to land his higher output on Izzy than many people are expecting.

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Sep 26 2020 19:13. Posts 13030

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Sep 26 2020 22:58. Posts 13030

My bets thus far (I'm waiting to add 1 more bigger bet to Kai Kara France)

• Adesanya/Costa O2.5 -155 $775 for $500 (Westgate)
• Adesanya/Costa O2.5 -115 $345 for $300 (BAS)
• Paulo Costa submission +2500 $10 for $250 (Westgate)
• Paulo Costa Round 2 +850 $75 for $637.50 (Westgate)
• Reyes/Blachowicz O2.5 -145 $435 for $300 (William Hill)
• Jan Blachowicz decision +800 $10 for $80 (Westgate)
• Kai Kara France -225 $225 for $100 (BAS)
• Kai Kara France -220 $90 for $40.90 (Caesars)
• Shane Young +110 $50 for $55 (Westgate)
• Shane Young submission +800 $5 for $40 (Westgate)
• Hakeem Dawodu +115 $50 for 57.50 (Westgate)
• Sijara Eubanks +170 $150 for $255 (William Hill)
• Sijara Eubanks TKO/KO +1005 $5 for $50.25 (BAS)
• William Knight R1 +425 $10 for $42.50 (Westgate)
• Ibragimov/Marques ITD -150 $250 for $166.67 (MGM)

Parlay: Costa, Blachowicz, Dawodu, France, Matthews/Sanchez O2.5, Ibragimov $50 for $3791.83

Rekrul is a newb 

captainhook   Canada. Sep 27 2020 00:37. Posts 466

^ Like that Shane Young sub prop. Klein could fade, him being on 5 days short notice and overweight.


captainhook   Canada. Sep 27 2020 01:30. Posts 466

KNOOOIIIGGHHTTMAAARREE!!!!


captainhook   Canada. Sep 27 2020 01:47. Posts 466

Klein legit.


captainhook   Canada. Sep 27 2020 02:08. Posts 466

dropped 5 bucks on Sanchez via dec and 5 bucks ITD.

Lawl.


PuertoRican   United States. Sep 27 2020 03:07. Posts 13030

Kai Kara France -200 $1000 for $500

Rekrul is a newb 

Zadan   Canada. Sep 27 2020 03:43. Posts 971

wtf lol


captainhook   Canada. Sep 27 2020 03:51. Posts 466


  On September 27 2020 02:07 PuertoRican wrote:
Kai Kara France -200 $1000 for $500



Money coming in huge on Royval. Getting worried. I got Riddel and KKF parlay,


captainhook   Canada. Sep 27 2020 04:35. Posts 466

Royval legit.


PuertoRican   United States. Sep 27 2020 04:44. Posts 13030

I don't care what the commentators said. France got hit with an illegal knee right in front of the referee.

France was on auto pilot after that.

Rekrul is a newb 

captainhook   Canada. Sep 27 2020 05:22. Posts 466

Wups. Blachowicz champ.


  On September 27 2020 03:44 PuertoRican wrote:
I don't care what the commentators said. France got hit with an illegal knee right in front of the referee.

France was on auto pilot after that.



Gotta watch it again. Hard watching a bit drunk and with all these people around.

 Last edit: 27/09/2020 05:24

 
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