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UFC 193: Rousey vs. Holm

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PuertoRican   United States. Nov 09 2015 04:22. Posts 13047

Date: Saturday, November 14th
Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass): 00:15 LP.net / 3:15pm PST / 6:15pm EST
Preliminary Card (Fox Sports 1): 2:00 LP.net / 5pm PST / 8pm EST
Main Card (PPV): 4:00 LP.net / 7pm PST / 10pm EST
Live Streams: http://firstrowus1.eu/




Main Card (PPV)

Ronda Rousey (12-0) vs. Holly Holm (9-0) (Women's Bantamweight Championship)
Joanna Jedrzejczyk (10-0) vs. Valerie Letourneau (8-3) (Women's Strawweight Championship)
Mark Hunt (10-10-1) vs. Antonio Silva (19-7-1) (Heavyweight)
Robert Whittaker (14-4) vs. Uriah Hall (12-5) (Middleweight)
Stefan Struve (26-7) vs. Jared Rosholt (13-2) (Heavyweight)

Preliminary Card (Fox Sports 1)

Jake Matthews (8-1) vs. Akbarh Arreola (23-9-1) (Lightweight)
Kyle Noke (21-7-1) vs. Peter Sobotta (15-4-1) (Welterweight)
Anthony Perosh (15-9) vs. Gian Villante (13-6) (Light Heavyweight)
Richie Vaculik (10-3) vs. Danny Martinez (17-7) (Flyweight)

Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)

Anton Zafir (7-1) vs. James Moontasri (8-3) (Welterweight)
Richard Walsh (8-3) vs. Steve Kennedy (22-7) (Welterweight)
Dan Kelly (9-1) vs. Steve Montgomery (8-3) (Middleweight)
Ben Nguyen (13-5) vs. Ryan Benoit (8-3) (Flyweight)

Other

- Brazilian fighters, William Macario and Ricardo Abreu were expected to face Brendan O'Reilly and Daniel Kelly respectively at the event. However, both fighters pulled out of their bouts in late September citing injury and were replaced by James Moontasri and Steve Montgomery. In turn, O'Reilly pulled out of his bout on November 6 citing an injury and was replaced by Anton Zafir.
- Michael Bisping was expected to face Robert Whittaker at the event. However, Bisping pulled out of the bout on September 30 citing an elbow injury and was replaced by Uriah Hall.

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PuertoRican   United States. Nov 09 2015 04:25. Posts 13047

First impression of the match-ups:

• Rousey > Holm
• JJ > Letourneau
• Hunt > Bigfoot
• Hall > Whittaker
• Struve > Rosholt
• Matthews > Arreola
• Noke > Sobotta
• Villante > Perosh
• Vaculik > Martinez
• Moontasri > Zafir
• Walsh > Kennedy
• Montgomery > Kelly
• Nguyen > Benoit

Rekrul is a newb 

soberstone   United States. Nov 09 2015 05:41. Posts 2662

Thanks for thread

Really excited for this card, I think its ripe for betting, especially some of the props on the chick fights and some squash matches on the card.

I agree with every single pick so no need to post those, nice picks mate. A lot of money down this week.

For Rousey vs Holm, 2 obvious scenarios exist at a much higher probability than the rest.

A) Most likely scenario - The fight will be a back and forth battle for a little where Rousey eats some shots to give some harder shots, powers into the clinch with Holm stuck against the fence, blisters her with knees to the body and over-hand rights, tosses or trips Holm, and subs Holm with an armbar variation. I do not think this will happen in the first minute, I think it will actually take Ronda some time, maybe multiple rounds.

B) In a lower probability scenario, but much higher than the odds indicate, we get to find out that Ronda Rousey completely sucks if she can't get you in the clinch (completely possible), and ends up getting picked apart for the majority of the fight or even gets finished late if she gasses (completely possible) via left high kick and the entire RR hype train is derailed. I would personally love to see this happen but obviously have my doubts.

Bets:

+ Show Spoiler +










 Last edit: 14/11/2015 00:10

MysticJoey   Poland. Nov 09 2015 13:06. Posts 1430

I think Rosholt > Struve, Sobotta > Noke


PuertoRican   United States. Nov 10 2015 03:34. Posts 13047



Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 10/11/2015 07:33

iakim322   United States. Nov 10 2015 10:41. Posts 1335

Really like Hunt for reasonable odds even though I felt that way the first time too. I get that Silva was juiced as f in that fight but I think I remember his length seeming to bother Hunt a bit and Hunt's chin being lit up recently are bits of downers but recent silva is just so terrible and slow. That last fight with Palelei was embarrassing.

Going to like the over on Ronda's fight. Think Holly's movement can frustrate Ronda early a bit though with no actual threat. Ronda's chin will hold up even if she gets tagged and eventually catch Holly's movement and obviously shortly over after. Also think people will overstate how aggressively Ronda comes out to start this time.

Don't know much about Whitaker. Thoughts on him vs Hall?


iakim322   United States. Nov 10 2015 10:44. Posts 1335

By reasonable I mean I think -250 odds are great for someone of Hunt's skill against a walking mummy


PuertoRican   United States. Nov 10 2015 10:57. Posts 13047


  On November 10 2015 09:44 iakim322 wrote:
Whittaker



Whittaker has striking skills and is way more aggressive than Hall, but aggression will be his downfall. Staying back and fighting from the outside isn't Whittaker's style.

Whittaker doesn't have a weak chin, but it's not the strongest. I expect him to get clipped by Hall as he's coming forward.

If Whittaker does win, I think it's by decision.

Rekrul is a newb 

Baalim   Mexico. Nov 10 2015 10:58. Posts 34250

A boxer the level of Holm with that athleticism and strong legs in theory should be a nightmare to Ronda however Holm style is seem pretty shitty to me, she is very good at circling and that might be key when Ronda rushes (she will rush, she hasnt met an oponent that forces her to actually set up her her takedowns properly) however Holm literally walks in with her combos when she is attacking, and ronda is going to double-leg her so easily if she does, sounds easy to avoid but she has been doing it all her life.

I think the fight will be very interesting and strategical, Holm shouldnt be pressed easily against the cage and in theory should do well against an aggro Ronda, but if Ronda takes it slow Holm will probably be too scared to kick her, she probably should just jab and jab and jab and bust her face up kind of how Mousasi vs Latiffi went.

Obviously the bad thing here is that if Holm goes to the ground she will probably lose and its very hard to not concede a single takedown in a fight

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northsails   Bulgaria. Nov 10 2015 12:13. Posts 410

Ronda is not double- legging anybody. She sets up her takedowns in the clinch and all of them are judo throws and trips.

The key for Holm to make this fight competitive is to avoid the clinch but that is nearly impossible for the duration of the whole fight. Pennington was able to get clinches with her, so I am pretty sure that Rousey is going to be able to do so as well. If she however is able to defend in the clinch and break free, the fight can get very interesting.

Most likely she will no be able to do that and she will get tossed on her head and submitted fast. I am not going to be surprised if Ronda knocks her out also.

I would love for Holly to derail the hype train, though. It has become pretty unbearable lately, especially after this Bethe Correia comedy show.


I am also having big bets on Mark Hunt. Judging by the footage of his training camp he looks in very good shape, and Bigfoot is off the juice with his chin gone. I think still at the current odds it is a good bet.


soberstone   United States. Nov 10 2015 18:43. Posts 2662


  On November 10 2015 09:41 iakim322 wrote:
Really like Hunt for reasonable odds even though I felt that way the first time too. I get that Silva was juiced as f in that fight but I think I remember his length seeming to bother Hunt a bit and Hunt's chin being lit up recently are bits of downers but recent silva is just so terrible and slow. That last fight with Palelei was embarrassing.

Going to like the over on Ronda's fight. Think Holly's movement can frustrate Ronda early a bit though with no actual threat. Ronda's chin will hold up even if she gets tagged and eventually catch Holly's movement and obviously shortly over after. Also think people will overstate how aggressively Ronda comes out to start this time.

Don't know much about Whitaker. Thoughts on him vs Hall?



Agreed on your assessment of Hunt vs Bigfoot. It should be similar to a Vitor/Hendo situation in dynamic (not in practice, I understand there isn't gonna be a left high-kick, I just mean the pathetic KO during the 1st or 2nd real exchange). I just bet ITD/first rd prop because if it goes out of the first, round and a half, something weird is going on and I really don't feel like sweating a decision based on a weird ass fight. Probably should have just bet it straight but I'd rather risk less money and lose then bet it straight and hope to win if the fight is not how I see it.

Whittaker's best chance, I agree with Rican, is a decision. That's why I bet Hall with the No-Scorecards prop as well as straight. Love the No Scorecards prop for fights like these where Whittaker can feasibly win a Leonard Garcia/Diego Sanchez type decision where he loses the fight but throws a lot more volume and wins a BS decision in his hometown which will presumably be very loud if he flurries and lands anything. If he KO's Hall, it will be very random.

As for Rousey vs Holm, Northsails hit it on the head. Rousey isn't double-legging Holly Holm. Not a chance. It's either gonna be clinch/toss or trip, either off a sloppy punching entry, or maybe catching a poorly timed kick. Also, noteworthy, Ronda literally can't kick (she just doesn't kick at all) so Holm can circle with impunity. It's really just a matter of how good Holly's ability to break out of the clinch is. Based on her athleticism, discipline, and training camp, I know it will be good, I just doubt it will be good enough to do it consistently and without taking damage. I really doubt Holm gets KO'd tho. If Ronda rocks her, it will still end up in a submission. I don't think Rousey is gonna have a trend of Mark Hunting people - Betche Corriera was just an absolute joke with no defesne. If Rousey is that aggressive and sloppy, she'll get matador-ed and tagged few times and will realize that she needs to set up her entries a little bit. That's why I love the over 1 minute.

Also, one fight no1 seems to be talking about but I have my biggest bets on (combined) is JJ ITD at -260ish. This is absolutely absurd to me. She is going to end this bitch. V. Lat. is tough and will probably last 2 or 3 rounds, but her face is going to be so mangled and she is going to get so wrecked that I can't for the life of me imagine her lasting 5 rounds. That would shock me.

I regret betting so much on Villante, I shouldn't be trusting that much money on a guy who gassed and lost to Fabio Maldanado, but he did also KO Corey Anderson and has not been finished by some really dangerous guys like OSP. And hes fighting the Hippo, who is now 43 years old.

Jake Mathews is going to absolutely destroy Arreola, thats the Corey Anderson vs Maldano fight of this card, but its probably not bettable now at -900. I bet him at -500 and posted about it in one of the last two threads and said he'd end up over -1000, its just a squash match.

Finally, Patrick Walsch should destroy Steve Kennedy and Steve Montgomery should destroy Dan Kelly. Dan Kelly is really, really, really, really, bad.





 Last edit: 10/11/2015 19:01

soberstone   United States. Nov 10 2015 22:40. Posts 2662


  On November 10 2015 20:13 Minsk wrote:
Thanks for the picks Soberstone.

Holm's striking is overall superior to Rousey's, if she can keep the whole fight striking she should actually have an edge. I thought she might have a chance, but had a hard time believing it fully without other people saying that. I would certainly favor betting Holm over betting Rousey, but don't know how much of a chance she has.

Wow, I think the O1.5 at 4.25 is excellent. She might not beat Rousey, but can very possibly be the first person to last over 1.5 rounds.



Lets talk in this thread -__-

First of all, Tate has already lasted until the 3rd. She could have probably made it the entire fight if she didn't keep shooting for takedowns and eventually break and quit. That fight is one of the key reasons I think RR is drastically over-rated. We got to see what Rousey looks like in between times of her opponents being absolute retards. And it wasn't pretty.

I don't see O 1.5 at +425, I see it at +325, but I am tempted by it. I'd rather just play the over the first minute angle at -245, but I might do both. I dunno, my head says to play it but my heart says Holm won't be able to keep her off for 7.5 minutes.

Here is a brief recap of Rousey's UFC fights and an honest assessment of what I've seen:

Rousey vs Carmouche - Carmouche is absolutely terrible. She was able to take Rousey's back because Rousey was still doing that bullshit where she holds onto a headlock from side control after tossin a bitch (Carmouche uses her legs to squeak out and take Rousey's back). Absolutely terrible stuff from Rousey to let it get there, but she does the right thing, stands up, and calmly works Carmouche's hooks out and shakes her off because shes terrible and eventually armbars her. Fight showed that Rousey stays calm if things are not going her way, but shes far from invincible.

Rousey v Tate II - On the feet, the fight was equal. Tate is very bad on the feet. For some absurd reason, Tate continuously shoots TD's on Rousey until she eventually gets armbarred. Fight shows that Rousey's cardio when grappling is absolutely endless and that her armbars are not inescapable if you are good (Tate defends successfully many times). The fight does not, however, show good overall cardio. My reasoning is that when you do something with perfect technique that you've been doing your whole life, you don't gas. When you are mediocre at something and use poor technique (Rousey striking) - you will gas if pushed. Tate threw her chance away by refusing to keep the distance and strike, but shes shitty so she probably loses either way.

Rousey v McMann - Again, we see Rousey is bad on the feet but takes a punch very well (Mcmann tags her clean a couple times before they clinch), but this is where we see Rousey's clinch game go to the next level. McMann, is extremely strong, but Rousey just bullies her up against the fence and floors her with a knee to the body (bad stoppage IMO but w/e). Rousey's knees to the body in the clinch are absurdly good, and become her favorite weapon from this point forward. This fight shows that no matter who you are, Rousey will beat you not only on the ground, but in the clinch as well. She's too strong and fluid with her signature combination of overhands and knees to the body in the clinch.

Rousey v Davis - This fight was a joke. Alexis Davis is so far away from being athletic enough to compete with Rousey. Additionally, David's strength is her top-position BJJ. Good luck with that. Davis stands flat-footed infront of Rousey, and we see the overhand right/clinch/knee/toss combo. Rousey's power in her right hand is officially legit, as this is actually what KO's Davis. After this, Davis fights Sarah Kaufman and gets tuned up for 2+ rounds before Kaufman Zingano's her way into getting arm-barred like a retard.

Rousey v Zingano - Zingano is a retard. Hellen Keller would have made it longer.

Rousey v Correira - Correira is so bad that she made Rousey's standup look legit to people who don't know what they are watching. I watched the entire fight in slow motion, and as with Davis and McMann, its the knees to the body in the clinch that are so effective. The over-hand right ends it.

So, aside from the facts that Rousey's armbars are insane and no1 can out-grapple her once it hits the mat, what do we know from actual footage and not Hype? Rousey's clinch is also insane, her overhand right straight is really powerful, her knees to the body are her best striking weapon, shes tough as shit, and doesn't panic. We also know that her striking is terrible and limited at distance, she can't kick, she doesn't cut angles, and she relies on her athleticism/toughness to close distance.

Now, Holly Holm is a very good defensive striker, has great lateral movement, is very disciplined with keeping distance, and doesn't rush even if the crowd is booing. She is also southpaw, meaning Rousey's right straight can't even come close to landing unless they are in the clinch. She has also shown that she is really strong in breaking the clinch (just watch her toss Reneau on her ass like a school child when she tries to pull guard). So why the fuck is everybody so convinced this is a squash match? I have no idea.

The only reason Rousey should be a fairly large favorite (and the reason I am betting her by sub) is that Holm can fight a perfect fight for 90+ percent of the time, but all it takes is that quick fuck-up, and shes done. Meanwhile, Rousey can fight a terrible fight for 90+ percent of the time and still win.

But my point is, most people are just sheep being herded into the "Rousey is like the Ali of our time" camp by the UFC, and it's gross and pathetic. Joe Rogan makes me want to vomit when he talks about RR. She's only special because WMMA is terrible at 135 lbs, she is extremely marketable, and timing is everything. She is Royce Gracie, not GSP, so lets see if Holly Holm is Sakuraba.








 Last edit: 10/11/2015 22:47

PuertoRican   United States. Nov 11 2015 00:44. Posts 13047

I actually like o1.5 rounds at that price, as I think it's going to round 3. Not cuz Holm is good, but because Holm has nothing to hurt Ronda with aside from a head kick.

Ronda can out-strike Holly in terms of volume, and she can clinch whenever she wants. Ronda used to just walk/run into her opponents to clinch, now she throws a punch combo and her opponents will always get grabbed at aome point.

Holly's best MMA skill is her movement, not her striking, imo. It's just a matter of when does Ronda want to take her down, not if she will.

Regarding the JJ/Val fight, it'll go o2.5 rounds, imo. Val said it herself that she gets punched once and her skin instantly shows the damage. I'm thinking a 4th round doctor stoppage due to not being able to see out of one swollen eye, or possibly a cut.

Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 11/11/2015 00:45

iakim322   United States. Nov 11 2015 05:36. Posts 1335


  On November 10 2015 17:43 soberstone wrote:

Also, one fight no1 seems to be talking about but I have my biggest bets on (combined) is JJ ITD at -260ish. This is absolutely absurd to me. She is going to end this bitch. V. Lat. is tough and will probably last 2 or 3 rounds, but her face is going to be so mangled and she is going to get so wrecked that I can't for the life of me imagine her lasting 5 rounds. That would shock me.

I regret betting so much on Villante, I shouldn't be trusting that much money on a guy who gassed and lost to Fabio Maldanado, but he did also KO Corey Anderson and has not been finished by some really dangerous guys like OSP. And hes fighting the Hippo, who is now 43 years old.

Jake Mathews is going to absolutely destroy Arreola, thats the Corey Anderson vs Maldano fight of this card, but its probably not bettable now at -900. I bet him at -500 and posted about it in one of the last two threads and said he'd end up over -1000, its just a squash match.

Finally, Patrick Walsch should destroy Steve Kennedy and Steve Montgomery should destroy Dan Kelly. Dan Kelly is really, really, really, really, bad.





Damn. Was going to use Dan Kelly as my hail mary underdog on DK just because I think Steve Montgomery sucks too but I guess you swayed me out of it.

180% agree on not wanting to trust a lot of money on Villante even though the matchup looks ridiculously easy. Villante is a 'wtf loss' waiting to happen every other minute when he's in the cage. Pass for me.

Going to tail the JJ ITD. Was going to anyways (got to have a piece. Favorite fighter to watch since late Strikeforce, early UFC Nick Diaz) but just wanted to wait a bit to find out more about Valerie. Still haven't seen her last fight with Moroz. All I know is that she's tough. But I guess tough doesn't prevent a stoppage once your face becomes a blood pancake

I think you may be underestimating how athletically superior Ronda is when you say she's only so great because her competition is so bad. I too get annoyed by the UFC's retarded hype machine but for me, once I saw her chin tested multiple times...I was just like...gg everyone else. Yeah her striking can be real sloppy but she has real power when she does land and it doesn't have to be as technical as you'd think for her standup to effect her opponent since Ronda's striking is enhanced due to her opponent almost constantly having to flinch to guard against the judo clinch takedown. Also am a believer in not only her chin, but her heart to get out of trouble in fights even if we haven't really seen terrible situations for her yet. Don't think we yet know the person who will eventually beat her. Really like Holly's movement like PR said and as said before...don't think Ronda is going to come out like a bull vs Holly and if she does...agree with you that Holly can play matador to Ronda for awhile which is why I'm going to love the over. Just don't think that translates into any threat at all of actually losing for Ronda.



iakim322   United States. Nov 11 2015 05:45. Posts 1335

'Rousey v Correira - Correira is so bad that she made Rousey's standup look legit to people who don't know what they are watching.'


+1+1+1. Not that I think it matters too much in my thoughts vs Holm because I already knew this but yeah...I watched that Correia fight with a bunch of casuals as I will be again this weekend (RR brings in them casuals like no other) and they were immediately like omfg RR is superwoman!! Meanwhile, my first thought even halfway through that 30 seconds was that Ronda was being ridiculously sloppy.

But again, don't see anyone to beat her.


northsails   Bulgaria. Nov 11 2015 11:13. Posts 410

I agree that Rousey stand up is vastly overrated. It looks good on the pads, but she is very easy to hit, doesn't posses good movement and her striking is really sloppy. However she has big power in her punches and given the fact that Holm was tagged multiple times against Pennington and will be wary of takedowns I can see Ronda sneaking in a overhand right and hurting her.

I already cringe at the non sense that will come out of Joe Rogan's mouth if that happens.


PuertoRican   United States. Nov 12 2015 00:45. Posts 13047




Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 12/11/2015 05:52

Spitfiree   Bulgaria. Nov 12 2015 01:25. Posts 9634

soberstone what do you expect. RR s probably the one making most money for the UFC, even if she isn't the top1 she s definitely right behind McGregor, at times where MMA goes really mainstream . You know that when even sites like 9gag are full of UFC stuff after every event. They have to be mad or retarded to not make her look like a goddess in every aspect - its the perfect strategy, and if she loses one day the winner won't even have to be promoted that much cause of RR's fame

 Last edit: 12/11/2015 01:26

soberstone   United States. Nov 12 2015 06:08. Posts 2662


  On November 12 2015 00:25 Spitfiree wrote:
soberstone what do you expect. RR s probably the one making most money for the UFC, even if she isn't the top1 she s definitely right behind McGregor, at times where MMA goes really mainstream . You know that when even sites like 9gag are full of UFC stuff after every event. They have to be mad or retarded to not make her look like a goddess in every aspect - its the perfect strategy, and if she loses one day the winner won't even have to be promoted that much cause of RR's fame



I completely agree. I have no issue with Rousey's promotion, its smart by her and everyone around her. Quid pro quo. I just think her career has been kinda less cool than its made out to be. Call me a snob I guess. I also really like Holm's personality, I find her to actually be more genuine and likeable. Obviously I'm in the minority.


northsails   Bulgaria. Nov 12 2015 15:36. Posts 410


  Everything in this fight favors Holm if she can just avoid Rousey's early, wild rushes.


http://fightland.vice.com/blog/the-ni...pions-can-joanna-steal-rondas-thunder

Reading through that it seems like Jack Slack is picking Holm for the upset.


Minsk   United States. Nov 13 2015 01:18. Posts 1558

I think Holm can win too, I think both Holm ML and the Over 1.5 bets are great.


soberstone   United States. Nov 13 2015 07:15. Posts 2662

Thank you Iakim for turning me onto the Nguyen v Benoit fight. I put a sizeable bet on Nguyen after watching their recent fights over and realizing Nguyen is a hometown guy that the UFC can def do something with and Benoit KO'd Pettis but was getting wrecked the whole fight, caught Pettis with a perfect but probably fairly fluky left hook in the pocket, and proceeded to literally kick him in the ass after the fight, inciting major boos from the crowd. This is a punishment fight in Australia for Benoit.

Benoit hits hard and could KO Nyguen who does get reckless when he has the other guy hurt but I don't see that being enough with the odds so close.


PuertoRican   United States. Nov 13 2015 09:06. Posts 13047

^ Benoit will have the wrestling advantage, and it's unlikely he'd get submitted by Nguyen if they were rolling on the ground. Benoit has a high school wrestling background, and he trained at Team Take Down for this fight, which is the best MMA gym in USA for wrestlers. His UFC profile says: "Three-time All-State high school wrestling champion in Texas," but I dunno what school he went to.

I'm still undecided on the fight.

----------

Nguyen:
- Better pure boxing
- Has good power
- He'll get hit less in boxing battles
- Has good movement


Benoit:
- Better wrestling
- Has good power
- He'll get hit more in boxing battles
- Not sure how well his offensive BJJ is, but I'm pretty sure his defensive BJJ is better
- Better training partners available to him at Janjira Muay Thai and Team Take Down
- Faced the better opponents, and is more proven in the cardio department

----------


Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 13/11/2015 10:38

Baalim   Mexico. Nov 13 2015 11:13. Posts 34250


  On November 10 2015 11:13 northsails wrote:
Ronda is not double- legging anybody. She sets up her takedowns in the clinch and all of them are judo throws and trips.

The key for Holm to make this fight competitive is to avoid the clinch but that is nearly impossible for the duration of the whole fight. Pennington was able to get clinches with her, so I am pretty sure that Rousey is going to be able to do so as well. If she however is able to defend in the clinch and break free, the fight can get very interesting.

Most likely she will no be able to do that and she will get tossed on her head and submitted fast. I am not going to be surprised if Ronda knocks her out also.

I would love for Holly to derail the hype train, though. It has become pretty unbearable lately, especially after this Bethe Correia comedy show.


I am also having big bets on Mark Hunt. Judging by the footage of his training camp he looks in very good shape, and Bigfoot is off the juice with his chin gone. I think still at the current odds it is a good bet.



Yeah true Ronda doesnt catch wrestle but the point still applies, Holm literally walks in with her combos and that will just facilitate the clinch.

I disagree on Ronda KO wouldnt be surprising, Rondas striking is very sloppy, her feet are all over the place, she jumps like an amateur trying to hit hard and frankly the only reason why she has KOd other girls is because they are awful and have no idea whatsoever about striking and probably shouldnt be on that level on the Octagon

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Baalim   Mexico. Nov 13 2015 11:23. Posts 34250


  On November 11 2015 10:13 northsails wrote:
It looks good on the pads, but she is very easy to hit, doesn't posses good movement and her striking is really sloppy.



This reminds me of the Lex vs Elky fight, Lex warming up on the pads looked scary as fuck, then the fight started and he was sloppy as fuck but Elky is as athletic as C3P-O.

Not dissing Lex obv he still kicks my ass... or maybe not ?

Ex-PokerStars Team Pro OnlineLast edit: 13/11/2015 11:23

Mariuslol   Norway. Nov 13 2015 12:35. Posts 4742

I think ud take lex Baal, if mma rules u just drag him down, he's drawing nearly dead i think!!


Spitfiree   Bulgaria. Nov 13 2015 13:04. Posts 9634

Think im gonna place some bet for o 1.5 @ RR - HH since its +250 and RR s super over hyped after those fast finishes in a row , coef could possibly even go bigger i guess though

 Last edit: 13/11/2015 13:05

soberstone   United States. Nov 13 2015 20:32. Posts 2662


  On November 13 2015 12:04 Spitfiree wrote:
Think im gonna place some bet for o 1.5 @ RR - HH since its +250 and RR s super over hyped after those fast finishes in a row , coef could possibly even go bigger i guess though



I like it. I think were safe with the over despite it being a big underdog bet. I think this fight hits the latter part of the second round well over half the time. The o/u line is as bad as any of the others. Was obv worse at +300 where it was, smart money is coming in though.

Also, patting myself on the back for advising a Jake Mathews bet a couple weeks back and predicting that the line which was at -500 would end over -1000. I've seen it as high as -1200 now.

 Last edit: 13/11/2015 20:32

iakim322   United States. Nov 13 2015 22:59. Posts 1335

That's the skinniest Mark Hunt I've seen since ever


PuertoRican   United States. Nov 13 2015 23:21. Posts 13047

Rekrul is a newb 

jvilla777   Australia. Nov 13 2015 23:22. Posts 1348

Gonna go see this event live with the mrs, gotta couple of bets down.

Partiularly I like tha joanna fight going over 2.5 rounds @ 2.20.

longple: ur missing the point! this is an attempt to get away from the bumhuntmentality! 

iakim322   United States. Nov 13 2015 23:39. Posts 1335

Felt like Ronda didn't look as good as she normally does. Just a little something off. Not sure if I'm just seeing stuff


JonnyCosMo   United States. Nov 13 2015 23:39. Posts 7292


  On November 10 2015 21:40 soberstone wrote:
Show nested quote +



Lets talk in this thread -__-

First of all, Tate has already lasted until the 3rd. She could have probably made it the entire fight if she didn't keep shooting for takedowns and eventually break and quit. That fight is one of the key reasons I think RR is drastically over-rated. We got to see what Rousey looks like in between times of her opponents being absolute retards. And it wasn't pretty.

I don't see O 1.5 at +425, I see it at +325, but I am tempted by it. I'd rather just play the over the first minute angle at -245, but I might do both. I dunno, my head says to play it but my heart says Holm won't be able to keep her off for 7.5 minutes.

Here is a brief recap of Rousey's UFC fights and an honest assessment of what I've seen:

Rousey vs Carmouche - Carmouche is absolutely terrible. She was able to take Rousey's back because Rousey was still doing that bullshit where she holds onto a headlock from side control after tossin a bitch (Carmouche uses her legs to squeak out and take Rousey's back). Absolutely terrible stuff from Rousey to let it get there, but she does the right thing, stands up, and calmly works Carmouche's hooks out and shakes her off because shes terrible and eventually armbars her. Fight showed that Rousey stays calm if things are not going her way, but shes far from invincible.

Rousey v Tate II - On the feet, the fight was equal. Tate is very bad on the feet. For some absurd reason, Tate continuously shoots TD's on Rousey until she eventually gets armbarred. Fight shows that Rousey's cardio when grappling is absolutely endless and that her armbars are not inescapable if you are good (Tate defends successfully many times). The fight does not, however, show good overall cardio. My reasoning is that when you do something with perfect technique that you've been doing your whole life, you don't gas. When you are mediocre at something and use poor technique (Rousey striking) - you will gas if pushed. Tate threw her chance away by refusing to keep the distance and strike, but shes shitty so she probably loses either way.

Rousey v McMann - Again, we see Rousey is bad on the feet but takes a punch very well (Mcmann tags her clean a couple times before they clinch), but this is where we see Rousey's clinch game go to the next level. McMann, is extremely strong, but Rousey just bullies her up against the fence and floors her with a knee to the body (bad stoppage IMO but w/e). Rousey's knees to the body in the clinch are absurdly good, and become her favorite weapon from this point forward. This fight shows that no matter who you are, Rousey will beat you not only on the ground, but in the clinch as well. She's too strong and fluid with her signature combination of overhands and knees to the body in the clinch.

Rousey v Davis - This fight was a joke. Alexis Davis is so far away from being athletic enough to compete with Rousey. Additionally, David's strength is her top-position BJJ. Good luck with that. Davis stands flat-footed infront of Rousey, and we see the overhand right/clinch/knee/toss combo. Rousey's power in her right hand is officially legit, as this is actually what KO's Davis. After this, Davis fights Sarah Kaufman and gets tuned up for 2+ rounds before Kaufman Zingano's her way into getting arm-barred like a retard.

Rousey v Zingano - Zingano is a retard. Hellen Keller would have made it longer.

Rousey v Correira - Correira is so bad that she made Rousey's standup look legit to people who don't know what they are watching. I watched the entire fight in slow motion, and as with Davis and McMann, its the knees to the body in the clinch that are so effective. The over-hand right ends it.

So, aside from the facts that Rousey's armbars are insane and no1 can out-grapple her once it hits the mat, what do we know from actual footage and not Hype? Rousey's clinch is also insane, her overhand right straight is really powerful, her knees to the body are her best striking weapon, shes tough as shit, and doesn't panic. We also know that her striking is terrible and limited at distance, she can't kick, she doesn't cut angles, and she relies on her athleticism/toughness to close distance.

Now, Holly Holm is a very good defensive striker, has great lateral movement, is very disciplined with keeping distance, and doesn't rush even if the crowd is booing. She is also southpaw, meaning Rousey's right straight can't even come close to landing unless they are in the clinch. She has also shown that she is really strong in breaking the clinch (just watch her toss Reneau on her ass like a school child when she tries to pull guard). So why the fuck is everybody so convinced this is a squash match? I have no idea.

The only reason Rousey should be a fairly large favorite (and the reason I am betting her by sub) is that Holm can fight a perfect fight for 90+ percent of the time, but all it takes is that quick fuck-up, and shes done. Meanwhile, Rousey can fight a terrible fight for 90+ percent of the time and still win.

But my point is, most people are just sheep being herded into the "Rousey is like the Ali of our time" camp by the UFC, and it's gross and pathetic. Joe Rogan makes me want to vomit when he talks about RR. She's only special because WMMA is terrible at 135 lbs, she is extremely marketable, and timing is everything. She is Royce Gracie, not GSP, so lets see if Holly Holm is Sakuraba.











Cliffnotes: Girls are bad at MMA?

Everyone needs to see that you are king of the castle - PoorUser 

PuertoRican   United States. Nov 13 2015 23:41. Posts 13047


  On November 13 2015 22:39 iakim322 wrote:
Felt like Ronda didn't look as good as she normally does. Just a little something off. Not sure if I'm just seeing stuff



She looked the same to me. The only thing that was off was her WWF/WWE professional wrestling style of speech she gave to Joe Rogan. Obviously fake as fuck. She's trying to build a little hype since Holly is calm and hasn't said nor did anything negative.

----------

Ronda Rousey (134) vs. Holly Holm (134) – for women’s bantamweight title
Joanna Jedrzejczyk (114) vs. Valerie Letourneau (115) – for strawweight title
Mark Hunt (265) vs. Antonio Silva (263)
Uriah Hall (185) vs. Robert Whittaker (185)
Jared Rosholt (239) vs. Stefan Struve (265)
Akbarh Arreola (155) vs. Jake Matthews (155)
Kyle Noke (169) vs. Peter Sobotta (169)
Anthony Perosh (205) vs. Gian Villante (205)
Danny Martinez (125) vs. Richie Vaculik (125)
Daniel Kelly (185) vs. Steve Montgomery (185)
Steven Kennedy (169) vs. Richard Walsh (170)
James Moontasri (170) vs. Anton Zafir (170)
Ryan Benoit (125) vs. Ben Nguyen (126)

Rekrul is a newb 

soberstone   United States. Nov 13 2015 23:51. Posts 2662

Rousey was shook. I see doubt in Rousey (not a psychologist but stayed at a Holiday Inn express last night). Loved that weigh-in tho.

And LOL @ JohnnyCosmo, I guess that's a fair way to sum it up.


soberstone   United States. Nov 14 2015 00:22. Posts 2662

Pre-Card Bets:

Straight
Holm > Rousey SU 1,050 $115.00
Holm/Rousey Over 1.5 Rds O/U 290 $50.00
Hall > Whittitaker SU -125 $156.00
Steve Montomery > Daniel Kelly SU -250 $212.50
Ben Nguyen > Ryan Benoit SU -145 $290.00

Prop:
Rousey via Sub PROP -270 $535.00
Rousey Does Not Win in 0:01 - 1:00 of Round 1 PROP -245 $245.00
Holm wins in Rd 3 PROP 4,100 $20.00
Holm wins in Rd 4 PROP 5,200 $20.00
Jedrzejczyk wins ITD PROP -257 $257.00
Hunt Wins ITD PROP -182 $91.00
Hunt Wins in Round 1 PROP 110 $100.00
Hall > Whiitaker (SCORECARDS = NO ACTION) PROP -180 $180.00
Struve by Submission PROP -300 $25.00 (Added mid-event)
Perosh wins ITD PROP 489 $50.00

Parlay:
Hunt (-275) + Hall (-145) + Walsch (-340) + Ngyuen (-145) PL 404 $50.00
Jake Mathews (-505) + Gian Villante (-305) PL -169 $500.00
Jedrzejczyk ITD (-265) + Mathews (-660) + Villante (-330) PL 125 $217.51
Jedrzejczyk ITD (-257) + Richard Walsch (-350) PL -122 $200.00

 Last edit: 15/11/2015 04:17

Spitfiree   Bulgaria. Nov 14 2015 00:28. Posts 9634

I don't understand. Did I miss something? Or why try so hard now ? Obviously Rousey was fake as fuck, but why try to build the hype now - 1 day before the fight ?! Seems so superficial. Is there a real possibility that she s indeed shook?

I mean you wanna build a fight? Do it like McGregor - go on a massive press conference between all champs or champ contenders tell current champ that he s a pussy, tell all other champs that they are brokeass niggas compared to him. If you gonna do it at least do it properly wow

 Last edit: 14/11/2015 00:30

soberstone   United States. Nov 14 2015 02:06. Posts 2662


  On November 13 2015 23:28 Spitfiree wrote:
I don't understand. Did I miss something? Or why try so hard now ? Obviously Rousey was fake as fuck, but why try to build the hype now - 1 day before the fight ?! Seems so superficial. Is there a real possibility that she s indeed shook?

I mean you wanna build a fight? Do it like McGregor - go on a massive press conference between all champs or champ contenders tell current champ that he s a pussy, tell all other champs that they are brokeass niggas compared to him. If you gonna do it at least do it properly wow



That wasn't scripted or planned. I'm 100 percent with you. Genuine emotion vs fake bs isn't hard to decypher when it comes to watching Ronda Rousey. I don't think she's shook because she's afraid of Holly Holm. But I do feel like the mainstream media, the obligations, the weight cut, this being a potentially tough fight, her coach going bankrupt, her mom saying her coach is a terrible person, Holm being super calm, etc etc. is clearly taking its tole.

Ronda sounded like a menopausal nutjob when she was calling Holly Holm fake and was on the verge of tears. There is not much fake about Holly Holm from what I've gathered. She doesn't play that shit. She's just a silent hardworking girl who takes great pride in trying to be the best she can be and that includes believing in yourself. Ronda is offended by the mere fact that someone coming into fight her actually believes she can win, unlike the other soccer moms Ronda has tooled. It's hilarious.

All that said, its not a bad thing that the weigh-in scrum probably netted 100k more buys.

 Last edit: 14/11/2015 02:10

PuertoRican   United States. Nov 14 2015 03:04. Posts 13047

Rekrul is a newb 

iakim322   United States. Nov 14 2015 05:43. Posts 1335

Yeah what seemed off for me was that she really was all over the place and kinda stumbling in her WWE speech stuff when usually she's very good...or at least confident with it. Agree with stone and was already going to say that maybe all the outside pressure is finally starting to get to her. It really is a lot of pressure on her to keep up that intensity she has while dealing with some bullshit like 'what if she doesn't do a million ppvs!' along with her trainer/mom stuff etc. And maybe it was just me but she didn't seem quite as toned as before (I know she doesn't show up ripped or anything at fight night but she usually kinda is at weigh-ins) but not like that really matters.


iakim322   United States. Nov 14 2015 05:50. Posts 1335

Find it a little funny that Mark Hunt apparently got into the best shape he's been in in forever and he still came in at the max 265 on the dot. Then again, an actually skinny Mark Hunt would be unsettling


PuertoRican   United States. Nov 14 2015 06:13. Posts 13047





Things I learned from the Dana White Q&A:

- He's letting some random Aussie fan put the strap around the winner of JJ and Valerie's fight.
- He's letting some random Australian born Vietnamese girl be the ring card girl for the Ben Nguyen vs. Ryan Benoit fight, due to Ben being Vietnamese.

Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 14/11/2015 06:40

iakim322   United States. Nov 14 2015 06:58. Posts 1335

Could you tell me which minute he talks about the Aussie fan belt thing? Don't feel like watching 48 minutes of Dana White. Just kinda curious because that's kinda random


Mariuslol   Norway. Nov 14 2015 10:01. Posts 4742

I've noticed lately, the more I see or hear of Ronda when she's not doing scripted lines, or appear on a few minute segments on a talkshow, I dislike her more and more. She just seem like a shitty person. Also at the weigh ins now, I really like and admire the poise of Holly, and that way she took her hand on her, and shoved it down, and just stared at her, that was so fkn cool. Then after, super calm, but Ronda was freakin out, mumbling, trying to make herself the victim again, just comes out as petty!!

Ahh, feel a bit bad for shit talking. I hope Ronda is silly and wants to box, muy thai (She should run straight in, wrestle down and do that arm thing lol).

Will still think she's a douche if she wins, but really rootin for that Holly girl


PuertoRican   United States. Nov 14 2015 15:36. Posts 13047


  On November 14 2015 05:58 iakim322 wrote:
Could you tell me which minute he talks about the Aussie fan belt thing? Don't feel like watching 48 minutes of Dana White. Just kinda curious because that's kinda random





Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 14/11/2015 15:50

Minsk   United States. Nov 14 2015 18:46. Posts 1558

I'm considering paying out of my Mark Hunt ML bet. This isn't the same Mark Hunt or Antonio Silva that I had expected to show up. It doesn't look good anymore.

 Last edit: 14/11/2015 19:08

Minsk   United States. Nov 14 2015 19:11. Posts 1558

Ended up with

Holm ML
Holm O1.5
Hunt ML
Rosholt ML
Villante ML
Hall x Whitaker U2.5
Leuternau ML

and considering getting out of the Mark Hunt ML


soberstone   United States. Nov 14 2015 22:59. Posts 2662

HUGE money coming in on Holm.


Zadan   Canada. Nov 14 2015 23:19. Posts 971

Wow rousey by submission line got so much better


PuertoRican   United States. Nov 14 2015 23:27. Posts 13047

Just got home. 48 minutes till the first fight starts.

Rekrul is a newb 

iakim322   United States. Nov 15 2015 00:02. Posts 1335


  On November 14 2015 17:46 Minsk wrote:
I'm considering paying out of my Mark Hunt ML bet. This isn't the same Mark Hunt or Antonio Silva that I had expected to show up. It doesn't look good anymore.



Explanation?


soberstone   United States. Nov 15 2015 00:28. Posts 2662

BAM thank you again Iakim. Ngyuen is legit as fuck.


PuertoRican   United States. Nov 15 2015 00:30. Posts 13047

Nice performance by Ben Nguyen. He took advantage of Benoit's shitty defense and did it in a beautiful way.

Rekrul is a newb 

soberstone   United States. Nov 15 2015 00:43. Posts 2662

Wow beautiful combination by Moontasari. Will be looking to fade him though, his cardio is officially deplorable.


Nazgul    Netherlands. Nov 15 2015 00:47. Posts 7080

That finish was incredible. Large $645 bet on Hunt at -215, small bets on Struve and Whittaker -125 and +125.

You almost twin-caracked his AK - JonnyCosmo 

Minsk   United States. Nov 15 2015 00:48. Posts 1558


  On November 14 2015 23:02 iakim322 wrote:
Show nested quote +



Explanation?


Hes 42 years old more mellow, and doesn't have the same notgiveafuck mentality, basically less into knocking people out, while Antonio Silva seems to have recovered a bit from his chin being broken and seems focused.

My first intinct was Hunt's going to knock him out, he has a glass chin, can't do anything, but it seems more complex now, and at 1.4 odds doesnt seem that appealing, I'm still not sure trying to figure it out, as I hate taking bets back.

 Last edit: 15/11/2015 00:49

Nazgul    Netherlands. Nov 15 2015 00:50. Posts 7080


  On November 14 2015 23:48 Minsk wrote:
Show nested quote +



Hes 42 years old more mellow, and doesn't have the same notgiveafuck mentality, basically less into knocking people out, while Antonio Silva seems to have recovered a bit from his chin being broken and seems focused.

My first intinct was Hunt's going to knock him out, he has a glass chin, can't do anything, but it seems more complex now, and at 1.4 odds doesnt seem that appealing, I'm still not sure trying to figure it out, as I hate taking bets back.


He gives a fuck so he trained way harder, why is that a bad thing

You almost twin-caracked his AK - JonnyCosmo 

PuertoRican   United States. Nov 15 2015 00:51. Posts 13047

Nice "spinning shit" from Moontasri. Both guys were gassed when they stood back up, but Zafir was more gassed.

Rekrul is a newb 

Minsk   United States. Nov 15 2015 00:53. Posts 1558


  On November 14 2015 23:50 Nazgul wrote:
Show nested quote +


He gives a fuck so he trained way harder, why is that a bad thing



When he doesn't give a fuck, he stands and slugs with Antonio Silva who can't take him head on with a glassy chin...when he gives a fuck it turns into a tactical/strategic contest where Antonio Silva is certainly superior.

I think I'm about to take it back. Yeah took it back, actually got a slight profit on it due to the line diffrence. I've felt bad about taking back some ~10% profit arbs and losing them all before, but this isn't one of them. I feel really good about getting a 1% profit here.

 Last edit: 15/11/2015 00:59

ERASA   Germany. Nov 15 2015 01:01. Posts 2440

Well the biggest difference between this and the first fight i certainly the fact that bigfoot i no longer on TRT, thats why i like Hunt


soberstone   United States. Nov 15 2015 01:23. Posts 2662

Harder win for Walsch then it needed to be but I'll take it. 2/2. Terrible fight IQ by Walsch and terrible cardio.


PuertoRican   United States. Nov 15 2015 01:24. Posts 13047

Walsh should've finished Kennedy, but he wanted to make sure he didn't gas out like he usually does.

Walsh showed improvement, patience, and growth in this fight. He'll never be a top 15 fighter, but at least he's improving.

Rekrul is a newb 

Nazgul    Netherlands. Nov 15 2015 01:28. Posts 7080



Interview with Edith Bosch about Ronda Rousey, really good and worth the watch.

You almost twin-caracked his AK - JonnyCosmo 

soberstone   United States. Nov 15 2015 01:47. Posts 2662

Seriously Montgomery. You better fucking win this. Kelly got a little better but he is still pathetic. 1-1.

Absolutely pathetic. That was unreal bad from Montgomery. Sorry on that one.

 Last edit: 15/11/2015 01:54

PuertoRican   United States. Nov 15 2015 02:03. Posts 13047

Kelly decision was +1080

Too bad Montgomery sucks. He could've won if he didn't get tossed to the mat in round 3.

Rekrul is a newb 

soberstone   United States. Nov 15 2015 03:10. Posts 2662

Vicious fucking body shot by Noke, loved the audio. That's 2 broken rib stoppages tonight.

Kyle Noke is like a fine wine. He was probably one of the clean guys in the UFC 75-1 year ago era.

 Last edit: 15/11/2015 03:10

PuertoRican   United States. Nov 15 2015 03:11. Posts 13047

Sick win by Kyle Noke!

He used the patented Team Jackson's game plan with his use of varied kicks. His aggressive style made it hard for Sobotta to get comfortable and use his own hard body kicks that he always uses.

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Nov 15 2015 03:46. Posts 13047

Arreola's corner fucked him over by not trying to reduce the swelling over his right eye. The Australian doctor stopped the fight instantly once the round was about to start.

I would've done the same thing the doctor did, but Arreola's corner did nothing to help him.

Rekrul is a newb 

soberstone   United States. Nov 15 2015 03:46. Posts 2662

Mathews did in rd 2 what he so easily could have done in rd 1 thank god. he was trying to prove a point on the feet being tentative and shitty and almost payed the price.

Good toughness and comeback tho - he needs new coaching. These Australian gameplans have been trash out of their 'prospects' Walsch and Mathews. Terrible IQ by both.

Mexico fighters are shitty but atleast the good ones go to American Camps like Yair Rodriguez.

Lesson learned.


jvilla777   Australia. Nov 15 2015 04:06. Posts 1348

Atmosphere in the arena is crazy when ozzies win then goes silent with a few oi oi oi's during the fight

longple: ur missing the point! this is an attempt to get away from the bumhuntmentality! 

soberstone   United States. Nov 15 2015 04:15. Posts 2662

Just snap added this:

$25.00 $75.00 Pending 11/14/15 10:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1431 Struve wins by submission +300* vs Any other result


ERASA   Germany. Nov 15 2015 04:30. Posts 2440

Fireworks to kickoff the main card :D


northsails   Bulgaria. Nov 15 2015 04:38. Posts 410

LOL, That fight was fucking pathetic.


MysticJoey   Poland. Nov 15 2015 04:39. Posts 1430

TERRIBRU!


soberstone   United States. Nov 15 2015 04:39. Posts 2662

Solid start to the main card right there. Awesome fight. Rosholt always brings the fire.


Nazgul    Netherlands. Nov 15 2015 04:39. Posts 7080

T_T

You almost twin-caracked his AK - JonnyCosmo 

Minsk   United States. Nov 15 2015 04:41. Posts 1558

I liked that fight because I was sweating the Rosholt bet, it was epic.


ERASA   Germany. Nov 15 2015 04:42. Posts 2440

i liked it too. beautiful ground and pound and struve constantly looking for submissions from his back!


soberstone   United States. Nov 15 2015 04:42. Posts 2662


  On November 15 2015 03:41 Minsk wrote:
I liked that fight because I was sweating the Rosholt bet, it was epic.



Glad you enjoyed yourself mate. Your a .00001 percent-er. You've made it.


PuertoRican   United States. Nov 15 2015 04:42. Posts 13047

I can't wait until Rosholt faces someone decent, that way he'll get exposed and cut from the UFC.

There's only so many shitty fighters he can win decisions against until there's none left. Kinda like Roy Nelson's UFC career, except that he was actually finishing his lower level opponents.

Rekrul is a newb 

Minsk   United States. Nov 15 2015 04:43. Posts 1558


Zadan   Canada. Nov 15 2015 04:44. Posts 971

Fucking Struve try a little damnit


soberstone   United States. Nov 15 2015 05:12. Posts 2662

Really good fight. Respect to both guys. Surprised Whittaker was able to keep up that pace for the 15 minutes and not get KO'd be some of those shots. That said, Hall definitely was under performing as usual for 2 rounds. Whittaker's power is special.


PuertoRican   United States. Nov 15 2015 05:15. Posts 13047

Good performance by Whittaker, not so much by Hall.

Rekrul is a newb 

ERASA   Germany. Nov 15 2015 05:21. Posts 2440

lol i remember the mark hunt song from a cd i had called "rap flavas 2" :D


Minsk   United States. Nov 15 2015 05:29. Posts 1558

Meh =( Another bad arb/takeback by me.

 Last edit: 15/11/2015 05:30

soberstone   United States. Nov 15 2015 05:29. Posts 2662

Bam. Hunt with the easy first RD KO as expected. Bigfoot hit my personal over


northsails   Bulgaria. Nov 15 2015 05:30. Posts 410

easy money


ERASA   Germany. Nov 15 2015 05:34. Posts 2440

Ruby Rose...looks like Just Bieber but im strangely aroused :O


PuertoRican   United States. Nov 15 2015 05:34. Posts 13047




Mark Hunt, baby!

Rekrul is a newb 

Baalim   Mexico. Nov 15 2015 05:40. Posts 34250

That was the most EV+ bet in MMA I've seen in a while

Ex-PokerStars Team Pro Online 

Nazgul    Netherlands. Nov 15 2015 05:42. Posts 7080


  On November 15 2015 04:40 Baalim wrote:
That was the most EV+ bet in MMA I've seen in a while


I bet the max on the initial line of -215 but should have returned for more when the line changed, lol.

You almost twin-caracked his AK - JonnyCosmo 

Nazgul    Netherlands. Nov 15 2015 05:47. Posts 7080

Just put $127 on Joanna vs Letourneau starting in round 3. She might be good, but it's hard to finish fast in this division regardless and Letourneau is tough.

You almost twin-caracked his AK - JonnyCosmo 

JonnyCosMo   United States. Nov 15 2015 06:11. Posts 7292

Wtf Rousey vs Holms line, was -1450 this morning, Rousey only -750 now. Why all these people betting Holms???

Everyone needs to see that you are king of the castle - PoorUserLast edit: 15/11/2015 06:12

ERASA   Germany. Nov 15 2015 06:15. Posts 2440

I have no idea in my head as soon as the fight hits the ground, rousey wins... but what do i know


Zadan   Canada. Nov 15 2015 06:15. Posts 971

What a terrible night of bets


soberstone   United States. Nov 15 2015 06:25. Posts 2662

Ugh, That really hurt. JJ couldnt use her left hook cuz her striking defense got exposed a little bit. Fuuucccckk.


PuertoRican   United States. Nov 15 2015 06:31. Posts 13047

Good try by Valerie, but her slow speed and lack of striking output was never going to let her win a decision. Props to going 5 rounds against the champ, though.

IMO, today's version of Joanna would get beat by the current version of Claudia. Can't wait for that rematch.

Rekrul is a newb 

ERASA   Germany. Nov 15 2015 06:32. Posts 2440


  On November 15 2015 05:31 PuertoRican wrote:
Good try by Valerie, but her slow speed and lack of striking output was never going to let her win a decision. Props to going 5 rounds against the champ, though.

IMO, today's version of Joanna would get beat by the current version of Claudia. Can't wait for that rematch.


That was exactly my thought as well.. wonder what the odds will be for this one...


Nazgul    Netherlands. Nov 15 2015 06:48. Posts 7080

HOLY FUCK SO FAR

You almost twin-caracked his AK - JonnyCosmo 

ERASA   Germany. Nov 15 2015 06:48. Posts 2440

LOL RONDA GOTTEN TO! :D


ERASA   Germany. Nov 15 2015 06:49. Posts 2440

Ofc holly survives on the ground.. i suck... all my parlays will get crushed :/


Nazgul    Netherlands. Nov 15 2015 06:49. Posts 7080

I would make a case for 10-8 DAMMMMMN

You almost twin-caracked his AK - JonnyCosmo 

Nazgul    Netherlands. Nov 15 2015 06:49. Posts 7080

This is when you start to regret having Edmond in your corner.

You almost twin-caracked his AK - JonnyCosmo 

northsails   Bulgaria. Nov 15 2015 06:50. Posts 410

WAR HOLLY


ERASA   Germany. Nov 15 2015 06:50. Posts 2440

LOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOL


MysticJoey   Poland. Nov 15 2015 06:51. Posts 1430

SHIEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEET


Minsk   United States. Nov 15 2015 06:51. Posts 1558

42% ROI MMA.


soberstone   United States. Nov 15 2015 06:51. Posts 2662

Ronda exposed. Mission accomplished.


JonnyCosMo   United States. Nov 15 2015 06:51. Posts 7292

What the fuck did I just see

Everyone needs to see that you are king of the castle - PoorUser 

urasofty   Canada. Nov 15 2015 06:51. Posts 81

LMAO WOWOWOWOWOWWO


PuertoRican   United States. Nov 15 2015 06:52. Posts 13047

Boom!

Technique motherfuckers!

Congrats to Holly Holm!

Rekrul is a newb 

ToT)MidiaN(    United Kingdom. Nov 15 2015 06:52. Posts 5070

HAHAH YESSSSSSS. Can't stand Ronda. First time I've ever got up and actually fistpumped watching an mma fight. Fuck that arrogant cunt

Edit: love how Holm has conducted herself too. Seems like a pretty cool and genuine person, and even though she's not very attractive in general she has a sweet bumhole! l0l

One day good. One day bad. And some days, even hopeLast edit: 15/11/2015 06:54

ERASA   Germany. Nov 15 2015 06:53. Posts 2440

lets see if ronda throws her mother under the bus :D


Bigbobm   United States. Nov 15 2015 06:54. Posts 5511

Lol. Get smashed hard standing up in round one, let's try it again in round 2

Its time to stop thinking like a bitch and think smart like a poker player - ket 

k4ir0s   Canada. Nov 15 2015 06:57. Posts 3476

Wow!! flawlessly countered..

jack slack's analysis was spot on.

I dont know what a dt drop is. Is it a wrestling move? -Oly 

wongfeihung   United States. Nov 15 2015 06:58. Posts 48

This is so awesome.


ERASA   Germany. Nov 15 2015 07:00. Posts 2440

Dana pissed, Ronda pissed... Miesha happy


soberstone   United States. Nov 15 2015 07:01. Posts 2662

This guy isn't surprised. Just extremely happy.


ToT)MidiaN(    United Kingdom. Nov 15 2015 07:01. Posts 5070

Haha loving the replays and Joe's "BOOOOM". Never even cared for woman's mma but seeing Ronda get destroyed like that is genuinely the most excited I've ever felt about an mma fight. Next thing I'd like to see is someone do something similar to Jon Jones/Conor McGregor

One day good. One day bad. And some days, even hopeLast edit: 15/11/2015 07:02

Nazgul    Netherlands. Nov 15 2015 07:02. Posts 7080

Her performance was so amazing fucking hell.

You almost twin-caracked his AK - JonnyCosmo 

ERASA   Germany. Nov 15 2015 07:04. Posts 2440

"Ronda would beat most male 135er..."
"Ronda would beat Floyd in a streetfight..."

Aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaad its gooooooooooooone... finally :D
sucks to have rousey in all parlays but this was such a cool KO


NMcNasty    United States. Nov 15 2015 07:04. Posts 2039

Good stuff. Echoes Silva/Weidman in a lot of ways. Oh btw Dana was PISSED.


Floofy   Canada. Nov 15 2015 07:05. Posts 8708

I bet Holm at +1200 because it seemed +EV, but god i didn't expect that.

I knew Holm should have the edge on the feets, and i knew she has sick fight IQ, but that was crazy.

james9994: make note dont play against floofy, ;( 

rOm   Canada. Nov 15 2015 07:05. Posts 60

This was as satisfying as watching Machida vs Shogun 2


PuertoRican   United States. Nov 15 2015 07:06. Posts 13047




Let's see if Ronda retires during the post-fight press conference. She was hinting at it for a few months. She wants nothing to do with Cyborg.

Rekrul is a newb 

Floofy   Canada. Nov 15 2015 07:06. Posts 8708


  On November 15 2015 06:04 NMcNasty wrote:
Good stuff. Echoes Silva/Weidman in a lot of ways. Oh btw Dana was PISSED.



Dumb question but why is he so pissed? This division finally got interesting lol

james9994: make note dont play against floofy, ;( 

Into Infinity   United States. Nov 15 2015 07:07. Posts 1884

welp, just left 1.2k on the table. sad life


Floofy   Canada. Nov 15 2015 07:07. Posts 8708

Btw PuertoRicain ordered me to bet Holm at +200 after first round. Should have listened to him lol

james9994: make note dont play against floofy, ;( 

Loco   Canada. Nov 15 2015 07:07. Posts 20963

I never watch MMA (except GSP for obvious reasons) but I'm glad I tuned in for this one. Holm was just spectacular. She stuck to her game plan and pretty much toyed with Ronda. Even before the final lethal kick/pounding you could tell she had the victory in the bag in the way she just pushed her down like she was garbage. Rough night for Ronda for sure. It reminded me a lot of GSP vs Serra. It's funny because at the very beginning of the fight I was telling my friends "it looks like Ronda has never been punished for being overconfident and overaggressive and it looks like she will never stop until someone punishes her". Hopefully she will come back from this like GSP did and owing Holm a lot for teaching her to get on another level like GSP did.

fuck I should just sell some of my Pokemon cards, if no one stakes that is what I will have to do - lostaccount 

ERASA   Germany. Nov 15 2015 07:08. Posts 2440

That post fight press starts in 52min? is that a joke?


Nazgul    Netherlands. Nov 15 2015 07:08. Posts 7080


  On November 15 2015 06:06 Floofy wrote:
Show nested quote +



Dumb question but why is he so pissed? This division finally got interesting lol

Because Ronda old 900,000 PPV's fighting an absolute nobody, will do over 1,000,000 PPV's against a relatively unknown Holm while setting new attendance records?

You almost twin-caracked his AK - JonnyCosmo 

k4ir0s   Canada. Nov 15 2015 07:08. Posts 3476

should of bet more too damn nitty

I dont know what a dt drop is. Is it a wrestling move? -Oly 

wongfeihung   United States. Nov 15 2015 07:09. Posts 48

Those lead straight lefts were fuckin killer.


JonnyCosMo   United States. Nov 15 2015 07:11. Posts 7292

Boom goes the dynamite

[insert Ronda getting KO'd.gif]

Everyone needs to see that you are king of the castle - PoorUserLast edit: 15/11/2015 07:11

LikeASet   United States. Nov 15 2015 07:14. Posts 2113


  On November 15 2015 06:01 ToT)MidiaN( wrote:
Haha loving the replays and Joe's "BOOOOM". Never even cared for woman's mma but seeing Ronda get destroyed like that is genuinely the most excited I've ever felt about an mma fight. Next thing I'd like to see is someone do something similar to Jon Jones/Conor McGregor



It'd be more fun if Conor beat Aldo than the other way around, Jones on the other hand needs to get KTFO.


Zadan   Canada. Nov 15 2015 07:16. Posts 971

Lost a lot today, but sooooo happy hahahahahah


PuertoRican   United States. Nov 15 2015 07:18. Posts 13047


  On November 14 2015 14:36 PuertoRican wrote:
Show nested quote +







m00

Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 15/11/2015 07:19

ERASA   Germany. Nov 15 2015 07:19. Posts 2440


  On November 15 2015 06:16 Zadan wrote:
Lost a lot today, but sooooo happy hahahahahah


Same... cheers


ToT)MidiaN(    United Kingdom. Nov 15 2015 07:20. Posts 5070


  On November 15 2015 06:14 LikeASet wrote:
Show nested quote +



It'd be more fun if Conor beat Aldo than the other way around, Jones on the other hand needs to get KTFO.


Conor grew on me a little the way he acted after beating Mendes as he showed some humility and emotion for the first time. I'm sure he only acts the way he does to hype fights, trying to create a draw etc. He's certainly successful at doing so, he def gets people to love him or hate him (me included obv), but I still much prefer the guys who go about their business without the need to hype fights, talk shit etc. I accept what he does is smart in terms of creating revenue and I expect he's a much nicer person outside of mma, but I like the quiet and humble guys and don't really like those who run their mouths and hype fights in the way Conor does, he's just not my kind of person. I'm not sure about Aldo, I've never taken a dislike to him from interviews etc but maybe he's done things outside the cage that I don't know about? How come you dislike him?

One day good. One day bad. And some days, even hopeLast edit: 15/11/2015 07:24

Floofy   Canada. Nov 15 2015 07:24. Posts 8708

I personally want Conor to win easily, simply because Conor is like the fucking perfect guy for the sport if he actually lives up to the hype. He is insanely fun to watch, has sick skills, sick personality, etc. Not only will he move up to 155, but i wouldn't be surprised if one day he has the guts to take shots at 170 if needed.

james9994: make note dont play against floofy, ;( 

Baalim   Mexico. Nov 15 2015 07:36. Posts 34250


  On November 15 2015 06:07 Loco wrote:
I never watch MMA (except GSP for obvious reasons) but I'm glad I tuned in for this one. Holm was just spectacular. She stuck to her game plan and pretty much toyed with Ronda. Even before the final lethal kick/pounding you could tell she had the victory in the bag in the way she just pushed her down like she was garbage. Rough night for Ronda for sure. It reminded me a lot of GSP vs Serra. It's funny because at the very beginning of the fight I was telling my friends "it looks like Ronda has never been punished for being overconfident and overaggressive and it looks like she will never stop until someone punishes her". Hopefully she will come back from this like GSP did and owing Holm a lot for teaching her to get on another level like GSP did.



Matt Serra had a one lucky shot that KOd GSP that could happen to anyone, this is not what happened, Holm absolutely demolished Ronda, if they fought next week Holm would be favourite.

I dont think Ronda can beat Holm in any near future (obviously can sneak up a submission sometime), now lets watch Cyborg vs Ronda for a title shot :D

Ex-PokerStars Team Pro Online 

LikeASet   United States. Nov 15 2015 07:39. Posts 2113


  On November 15 2015 06:20 ToT)MidiaN( wrote:
Show nested quote +



Conor grew on me a little the way he acted after beating Mendes as he showed some humility and emotion for the first time. I'm sure he only acts the way he does to hype fights, trying to create a draw etc. He's certainly successful at doing so, he def gets people to love him or hate him (me included obv), but I still much prefer the guys who go about their business without the need to hype fights, talk shit etc. I accept what he does is smart in terms of creating revenue and I expect he's a much nicer person outside of mma, but I like the quiet and humble guys and don't really like those who run their mouths and hype fights in the way Conor does, he's just not my kind of person. I'm not sure about Aldo, I've never taken a dislike to him from interviews etc but maybe he's done things outside the cage that I don't know about? How come you dislike him?



It's not that I dislike Aldo but Conor is just way better for the sport/business if he becomes undisputed champ. The bigger the UFC becomes, the more people get inspired and drawn into it, which allows us to witness more special talents throughout the years.


Baalim   Mexico. Nov 15 2015 07:40. Posts 34250

oh I almost forgot...

Called it motherfuckers!!!

:D

The highlight of the fight to me was when Ronda got frustrated and bull-rushed in and fell face first when Holly wasnt even there anymore... crazy athleticism though she landed on her knee so fast like a cat

Ex-PokerStars Team Pro Online 

ToT)MidiaN(    United Kingdom. Nov 15 2015 07:42. Posts 5070


  On November 15 2015 06:39 LikeASet wrote:
Show nested quote +



It's not that I dislike Aldo but Conor is just way better for the sport/business if he becomes undisputed champ. The bigger the UFC becomes, the more people get inspired and drawn into it, which allows us to witness more special talents throughout the years.



Fair point! Can't deny that

One day good. One day bad. And some days, even hope 

ERASA   Germany. Nov 15 2015 07:49. Posts 2440


jvilla777   Australia. Nov 15 2015 07:51. Posts 1348

#rekt!! I will upload videos of entrances of the main event soon, the whole stadium just went berserk everyone lost their mind. I've never experienced anything like it before

Edit: admins are we able to upload our own video to the site like how we upload images?

longple: ur missing the point! this is an attempt to get away from the bumhuntmentality!Last edit: 15/11/2015 07:54

Loco   Canada. Nov 15 2015 07:57. Posts 20963


  On November 15 2015 06:36 Baalim wrote:
Show nested quote +



Matt Serra had a one lucky shot that KOd GSP that could happen to anyone, this is not what happened, Holm absolutely demolished Ronda, if they fought next week Holm would be favourite.

I dont think Ronda can beat Holm in any near future (obviously can sneak up a submission sometime), now lets watch Cyborg vs Ronda for a title shot :D


I've heard GSP say it many times, he didn't respect his opponent and he lost because of it. He vowed he would never repeat the same mistake again and said he learned the most out of that loss. This here is the same thing. Rousey didn't respect her opponent. It's just that it showed a lot more here than in the GSP vs Serra fight. GSP wasn't that reckless for sure.

And yeah I'm not saying the whole fight reminded me of their fight, just the situation/mindset of the defending champion. I agree that Holm was on a different level here and most definitely would win again in another early fight.

fuck I should just sell some of my Pokemon cards, if no one stakes that is what I will have to do - lostaccount 

Floofy   Canada. Nov 15 2015 07:57. Posts 8708


  On November 15 2015 06:36 Baalim wrote:
Show nested quote +



Matt Serra had a one lucky shot that KOd GSP that could happen to anyone, this is not what happened, Holm absolutely demolished Ronda, if they fought next week Holm would be favourite.

I dont think Ronda can beat Holm in any near future (obviously can sneak up a submission sometime), now lets watch Cyborg vs Ronda for a title shot :D


I'm honneslty not confident Holm will be favorite in a rematch. We will see.

james9994: make note dont play against floofy, ;( 

Floofy   Canada. Nov 15 2015 07:59. Posts 8708


  On November 15 2015 06:57 Loco wrote:
Show nested quote +



I've heard GSP say it many times, he didn't respect his opponent and he lost because of it. He vowed he would never repeat the same mistake again and said he learned the most out of that loss. This here is the same thing. Rousey didn't respect her opponent. It's just that it showed a lot more here than in the GSP vs Serra fight. GSP wasn't that reckless for sure.

And yeah I'm not saying the whole fight reminded me of their fight, just the situation/mindset of the defending champion. I agree that Holm was on a different level here and most definitely would win again in another early fight.



I agree with Baal thought.

Holm didn't get lucky. She totally outclassed Ronda.

james9994: make note dont play against floofy, ;( 

soberstone   United States. Nov 15 2015 08:03. Posts 2662

That was my favorite MMA moment since McGOAT vs Mendes and Weidman vs Silva I. I am so fucking happy. Amanda Nunes vs Holly Holm is the fight to make, but Rousey will probably get a rematch or in a less likely but possible scenario just fight Cyborg and retire and Meisha Tate would get a shot over Nunes for political reasons. Holm would wreck Miesha but not necessarily Nunes. Nunes is the most manly fighter in terms of technique along with Holm. I realize that some would construe that as sexism, and to you i'd say fuck off.

194 coming up, sick ass card, already have a lot of bets down. Some shit cards in between.

+$177.00 on the night which is terrible considering the whole picking Holm thing. Did well in DFS tho.

Dana White is clearly phazed.





 Last edit: 15/11/2015 08:03

jvilla777   Australia. Nov 15 2015 08:10. Posts 1348

Rousey got destroyed, physically outclassed and mentally not there because of the publicized beef between her mother and coach

longple: ur missing the point! this is an attempt to get away from the bumhuntmentality! 

Loco   Canada. Nov 15 2015 08:16. Posts 20963


  On November 15 2015 06:59 Floofy wrote:
Show nested quote +



I agree with Baal thought.

Holm didn't get lucky. She totally outclassed Ronda.



I never said the opposite. I thought Holm had a perfect fight. She's the better fighter. I was not comparing the fight itself mainly, rather the mentality of both GSP and Rousey coming into the fight and the aftermath. They both came into the fight expecting to win and didn't respect their opponent. In Ronda's case though it was an even bigger mistake because her opponent was actually much better than her, unlike with Serra and GSP. And I'm saying that just like with GSP this could be the best thing for Ronda because she no longer gets to feel like she's on top of the world -- it has exposed the holes in her game and it should allow her to reach new heights if she stays focused and works hard.

Though it should be said, the GSP vs Serra fight wasn't just a lucky one hit KO, GSP got battered. It all starts from this one heavy shot though which may or may not have been lucky, hard to say imo.

fuck I should just sell some of my Pokemon cards, if no one stakes that is what I will have to do - lostaccountLast edit: 15/11/2015 08:35

traxamillion   United States. Nov 15 2015 09:24. Posts 10468


  On November 15 2015 04:40 Baalim wrote:
That was the most EV+ bet in MMA I've seen in a while



Hammered it the second it dropped


TianYuan    Korea (South). Nov 15 2015 11:20. Posts 6817

God damn, Holm looked so much more on point than her previous fight :O!! Really rose to the occasion. Ronda looked... not good, but largely Holm's fault for just destroying her in every way.

Squeeled like a little boy/girl when she won :D

Hm.. Off-suite socks.. 

Mariuslol   Norway. Nov 15 2015 11:22. Posts 4742


  On November 15 2015 05:48 Nazgul wrote:
HOLY FUCK SO FAR



Just watched the fight now, so hard to watch in Norway, but that's the first fight middle of first round I started clapping, long time since I've had such a rush watching a fight. So happy for her (assuming ur talking about Ronda vs Holly)!!

Yay


Mariuslol   Norway. Nov 15 2015 11:22. Posts 4742


  On November 15 2015 05:49 Nazgul wrote:
This is when you start to regret having Edmond in your corner.



After first round, was his first comment "Beeeeaaaatiful..." ????


TianYuan    Korea (South). Nov 15 2015 11:23. Posts 6817


  On November 15 2015 10:22 Mariuslol wrote:
Show nested quote +



Just watched the fight now, so hard to watch in Norway, but that's the first fight middle of first round I started clapping, long time since I've had such a rush watching a fight. So happy for her (assuming ur talking about Ronda vs Holly)!!

Yay

Haha same, several moments of just cheering out loud :D Cut angles so fucking well, and her takedown defense was solid.

Hm.. Off-suite socks.. 

Mariuslol   Norway. Nov 15 2015 11:54. Posts 4742


  On November 15 2015 10:20 TianYuan wrote:


Squeeled like a little boy/girl when she won :D



Admit it, you would have squealed too if you beat Ronda!!


flounder44   United States. Nov 15 2015 12:05. Posts 916

i am banning myself from mma talks till 2016. I totally thought ronda had the upper hand standupwise/wherever it goes. GG.


TianYuan    Korea (South). Nov 15 2015 12:10. Posts 6817


  On November 15 2015 10:54 Mariuslol wrote:
Show nested quote +



Admit it, you would have squealed too if you beat Ronda!!

Nono, *I* squeeled like a little girl/boy when Holly won hahaha

Hm.. Off-suite socks.. 

Baalim   Mexico. Nov 15 2015 12:52. Posts 34250


  On November 15 2015 06:49 ERASA wrote:



This was it... this was the moment Rondas spirit died you could see it in her face.

Her awful footwork made her lose her balance after swinging at air but most people would have buried their faces in the cage after missing like that but she recovered with cat-like agility after being tired and beaten, impressive.

Ex-PokerStars Team Pro Online 

Spitfiree   Bulgaria. Nov 15 2015 15:34. Posts 9634

I'm glad I didn't make the over 1.5 bet though :D
I'd be mad too if i were Dana the new champion is the most humble person ever, first title defense will be easy hype up since its either going to be rematch or vs Tate , but if she wins next ones will be super hard :D

edit:
wow i just saw the fight, she completely destroyed her especially that TD showing her that she can do it lol :D

 Last edit: 15/11/2015 16:07

northsails   Bulgaria. Nov 15 2015 17:27. Posts 410

Ronda was exposed big time. I thought that there is value on Holm at the odds and did very well for the night, but I never imagined such demolition. WOW.

Just how big of clown is Edmond Tarverdyan, the guy is an absolute fraud and completely delusional. He couldn't come up with a worse gameplan if he tried. His advise between rounds was pathetic and apparently has said that Rousey has not lost the striking battle. LOL, what tool.


Minsk   United States. Nov 15 2015 21:29. Posts 1558

It's just a bad matchup of styles for her. Ronda's fame came from her being able to armbar unprepared women fighters, she is basically ~7 years ahead of all them in that aspect, and it looks demolishing because of that. Her superstardom isn't a fluke, but its like 2006 poker, women fighters havent trained for 7.5 years to stop armbars. Here, it was just a bad matchup stylistically for her.

It's like women fighting has only become a thing a few years ago, but she's been trainign judo her whole life.

 Last edit: 15/11/2015 21:32

Minsk   United States. Nov 15 2015 21:40. Posts 1558

Now I will tell you, that I don't see Ronda Rousey Ever being able to beat Holly Holm. Which is interesting because they will probably have a rematch and how accustomed Ronda has become to being a champion.

I really don't see a karmic path that leads her to the tools necessary to beat Holly Holm. I wonder what the odds on that fight will be.
This reminds me of Barao vs Dillashaw a lot. I was stubborn and took Barao the second fight there, here I don't think she can win.

 Last edit: 15/11/2015 21:41

Floofy   Canada. Nov 15 2015 21:52. Posts 8708


  On November 15 2015 20:40 Minsk wrote:
Now I will tell you, that I don't see Ronda Rousey Ever being able to beat Holly Holm. Which is interesting because they will probably have a rematch and how accustomed Ronda has become to being a champion.

I really don't see a karmic path that leads her to the tools necessary to beat Holly Holm. I wonder what the odds on that fight will be.
This reminds me of Barao vs Dillashaw a lot. I was stubborn and took Barao the second fight there, here I don't think she can win.



I'm also very curious about the odds. i can hardly imagine Ronda being a bigger underdog than +200, but i feel like -200 for Holm is +EV.

james9994: make note dont play against floofy, ;( 

Nazgul    Netherlands. Nov 15 2015 21:53. Posts 7080

Holm is +155 for the rematch, thoughts???

You almost twin-caracked his AK - JonnyCosmo 

Minsk   United States. Nov 15 2015 21:55. Posts 1558

That sounds amazing.

Ronda has like a 10% chance to armbar her, thats her only out. Shes years behind in stand-up, and can't possibly catch up. Levels behind, Body behind, technique behind, and can't possibly catch up.


Minsk   United States. Nov 15 2015 21:57. Posts 1558

It's probably closer to a 25% chance to armbar her actually.
Ronda will very likely be desperately focused on getting the fight to the ground next fight. She won't be trying to stand for a second.

Booked it. Thanks for pointing it out.

 Last edit: 15/11/2015 21:59

PuertoRican   United States. Nov 15 2015 22:19. Posts 13047








Rekrul is a newb 

ERASA   Germany. Nov 15 2015 22:52. Posts 2440

To be fair Jim Carrey is famous for his standup


Spitfiree   Bulgaria. Nov 15 2015 23:18. Posts 9634


  On November 15 2015 20:52 Floofy wrote:
Show nested quote +



I'm also very curious about the odds. i can hardly imagine Ronda being a bigger underdog than +200, but i feel like -200 for Holm is +EV.

Realistically Ronda should be an underdog
However she build such a major hype she ll be the favorite for sure so odds at Holm will be great


[GiTM]-Ace   United States. Nov 16 2015 00:13. Posts 1585


  On November 15 2015 06:18 PuertoRican wrote:
Show nested quote +



m00



the acuuracy in this video is crazy lol

[GiTM]- GoSu in the Making 

Minsk   United States. Nov 16 2015 00:20. Posts 1558

You know, I blame Travis Browne for what happened here.


cariadon   Estonia. Nov 16 2015 02:15. Posts 4019

Let's see how Ronda handles this.


Baalim   Mexico. Nov 16 2015 03:34. Posts 34250


  On November 15 2015 20:29 Minsk wrote:
It's just a bad matchup of styles for her. Ronda's fame came from her being able to armbar unprepared women fighters, she is basically ~7 years ahead of all them in that aspect, and it looks demolishing because of that. Her superstardom isn't a fluke, but its like 2006 poker, women fighters havent trained for 7.5 years to stop armbars. Here, it was just a bad matchup stylistically for her.

It's like women fighting has only become a thing a few years ago, but she's been trainign judo her whole life.



Exactly, Holm isnt superb or anything, she had terrible fights not long ago winning close decisions, but she had the perfect style to beat Ronda, she specializes in angles and lateral movement, which is key to deny the clinch

Ex-PokerStars Team Pro Online 

Baalim   Mexico. Nov 16 2015 03:37. Posts 34250

I think you people now underestimate how likely is that Ronda can get an armbar, obviously Holm dominated but there is a decent chance that Ronda takes her down on top, I obviously think that Holm should be a favourite over Ronda but I dont agree at all with the "Ronda never wins" we have no clue about Holms defensive BJJ

Ex-PokerStars Team Pro Online 

jubei12   Peru. Nov 16 2015 03:50. Posts 19

bet £25 for holmes as in play, you could see the odds going down but still ev+ 5 to 1 is something ... but as a rematch i think its gonna be more chess style based ... on mistake and its over


lucky331   . Nov 16 2015 08:29. Posts 1124


  On November 13 2015 10:23 Baalim wrote:
Show nested quote +



This reminds me of the Lex vs Elky fight, Lex warming up on the pads looked scary as fuck, then the fight started and he was sloppy as fuck but Elky is as athletic as C3P-O.

Not dissing Lex obv he still kicks my ass... or maybe not ?


I highly doubt that. Mexicans > Dutch in fighting. Or arguably in over all toughness.


Baalim   Mexico. Nov 16 2015 09:32. Posts 34250


  On November 16 2015 07:29 lucky331 wrote:
Show nested quote +



I highly doubt that. Mexicans > Dutch in fighting. Or arguably in over all toughness.



In boxing, not in Kickboxing though

Ex-PokerStars Team Pro Online 

PuertoRican   United States. Nov 16 2015 20:48. Posts 13047

Edmond Tarverdyan (Ronda's coach):

"The game plan was pressing. We knew Holly Holm was going to keep the distance. So we had to feint and get inside and pressure the right way so we can get on the side of the cage. I wouldn't say in the striking game she was getting the best of Ronda, you know, but I have to watch it again. But we know this was not a striking match; we know that Ronda is smart enough to take the fight where she is best at and today she did. Holly stopped an attempt on an armbar and stopped some of the takedowns. She did a good job."

----------

Anderson Silva:

"Our biggest glory doesn't lives in the fact of never fall down, but in the fact of we always stand up after each fall. With determination, You will overcome this bad time. I know very well how it is. You are a great athlete and transcend the MMA world. My kids love You. So, don't forget: To fall makes us stronger to stand up. You deserve the best of this world. Nobody is forever. All of us lost and to lose make us stronger. So, I wish you peace and lots of patience. Hold this experience with intelligence and don't blame yourself. You had a big lesson of this sport. With class you will transform this hapeness in something better to your personal and professional life, because the world was made for people like you, a winner. Stand up your head, girl. You are a great champion of life and a inspiration for all world. Don't forget, we love you!"

Rekrul is a newb 

NMcNasty    United States. Nov 16 2015 23:51. Posts 2039


  On November 16 2015 19:48 PuertoRican wrote:
I wouldn't say in the striking game she was getting the best of Ronda, you know, but I have to watch it again.



Um, maybe you should do that.


TianYuan    Korea (South). Nov 17 2015 05:08. Posts 6817


  On November 16 2015 02:34 Baalim wrote:
Show nested quote +



Exactly, Holm isnt superb or anything, she had terrible fights not long ago winning close decisions, but she had the perfect style to beat Ronda, she specializes in angles and lateral movement, which is key to deny the clinch

Makes me wonder if she just fights down/up to the level of her opposition/needs an active fighter to counter/move off to look good (kinda how Machida can look amazing sometimes and then turn in performances like vs Phil Davis where he doesn't do shit).

If Ronda were to change camp I'd feel a lot better about her chances. Edmund is clearly delusional or a con-artist.

Hm.. Off-suite socks.. 

whamm!   Albania. Nov 17 2015 07:43. Posts 11625

Stand up your head, girl.


Mariuslol   Norway. Nov 17 2015 13:16. Posts 4742

^ Reminds me of first time I had coitus, very similar experiences, way below training.


Spitfiree   Bulgaria. Nov 17 2015 17:46. Posts 9634


  On November 17 2015 12:16 Mariuslol wrote:
^ Reminds me of first time I had coitus, very similar experiences, way below training.


yep, you could say Ronda got raped :D


Mariuslol   Norway. Nov 17 2015 21:41. Posts 4742

wtf lol


Mariuslol   Norway. Nov 17 2015 21:45. Posts 4742

Some updates!!

Dana got her best surgeon in Australia, or so he said on the podcast with Joe Rogan. Cyborg got really mad, cos Rogan and that other guy made penis jokes about her, then they all laughed. Ronda came "home" but had a big purple pillow thingy and covered her face, head down through the airport, whilst scummy paparazzi's tried to get her to talk n get a picture of her face!!

Everyone seem to be loving Holly, new fight trailer promo for the Jose, Aldo fight. Mayweather said he was setting up things to start training/coaching mma fighter with boxing, wouldn't mind helping Ronda!! Holly's win was trending over all the other sports event in the usa the next couple of days as #1!!

Tons of lashback on her loss, the gist of it seem to be ridiculue and "hate", but I dunno if that's bad. Most talked about is Trump tweeting a sassy sting at her, Gaga said some shit too, but who cares!!

Ok, that's a small part of it, at the top of my head!


Spitfiree   Bulgaria. Nov 18 2015 01:00. Posts 9634

seemed like a superb response :D


 



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