OCTober so far
aznricebeast, Oct 03 2010
all .25/.5 HU

YES!!! Finally a winning player took 550K hands
aznricebeast, Oct 01 2010
After a massive cooler finally swing back into the green again. Played about 6 Hrs of .25/.5 HU on UB +520ish. Very happy to be back in the positive and the BBJPs that ive been getting lucky on will give me some nice spending money in Vegas for my upcoming 21st.

BBJP 3rd TIME THIS MONTH!!! OMGWTFBBQZ
aznricebeast, Sep 30 2010
"Nice going. By being smart enough to park yourself at a Bad Beat Jackpot table, you've won a nice chunk of the latest jackpot that was popped at 18:49:52 on 2010-09-30. Here's a look at the details:"
Bad Beat Jackpot: $335,037.09
Players' Share: $91.57
Your Cut: $1,831.40
This is by far my biggest payout for BBJP YET LOVING IT!!!

Ice cube's new album out today
aznricebeast, Sep 29 2010
Thoughts comments? Im more excited about game RED album coming out soon though.
Ice cube's new album out today
aznricebeast, Sep 29 2010
Eyes shutting soo sleepy
aznricebeast, Sep 26 2010
20 more Rai$e points till i regain my raise status as icon! about to crash for like 20 hours after i get it. im bleeding money left and right right now im soo sleepy lol
need stars $
FrinkX, Sep 25 2010
Finally off cooler feels great!!!
aznricebeast, Sep 24 2010
Went down almost 1K in .25/.5 finally today it has turned around made some back plus I got a piece of the BBJP on wed. Plus I aced my calc test today all in all a good day! Love it when things work how they are supposed to 

Flip converter for Mac, convert flip video MP4,AVI
panamadany, Sep 21 2010
Mac flip converter is powerful and can easily convert Flip video and Flip HD video to other videos like avi, 3gp,3g2,mpeg1,mpeg2,mpeg4,mpg, flv, swf, wmv, dv, mov, m4v, mkv, HD video etc with different file sizes for Mac OS X, including Snow Leopard. All the flip camcorders is supported by Flip converter Mac, including Flip Ultra, Flip Ultra HD, Flip Mino, and Flip Mino HD. With Flip converter for mac, you can extract audio from Flip video and save them as mp3, aac, ac3,wav, etc.
Flip converter Mac has the ability to optimize the Flip video for common multimedia devices like ipod(ipod touch, ipod classic, ipod nano), iPhone, Apple TV, PSP, Zune, Blackberry, Gphone,iRiver, Palm,Mobile Phone. And with Flip converter for mac, you are able to export video formats that iMovie, Final Cut Pro, Final Cut Express, iDVD, Quicktime, iTunes can recognize without any difficulties to edit, playback and manage Flip videos.
Flip converter for Mac offers series of powerful editing functions to customize your Flip video, like clip a video clips to get your wanted segment(supports multiple clipping), define cropping parameters to get rid of unwanted areas, adjust video brighness, contrast, saturation, set output parameters, merge several files into one. Mac Flip converter enables you to capture still pictures from Flip video.
Now with Mac Flip Video Converter, all these issues won’t make any problems. You can download Mac Flip Video Converter for free and give it a shot by following the simple three steps below:
Step 1: Add Flip videos:
Click the 'Add File' button to add flip camcorder videos to Mac Flip Video Converter.

Step 2: Click the 'Profile' drop-up list to select an output format for each flip video.

Click 'Apply to all' if you want to convert all added videos to one format.
To convert flip video to iPod, simply move your mouse cursor to 'iPod' and select the iPod type from the extended menu.
To convert flip video to iMovie, just move your mouse cursor the 'iMovie' and select the iMovie format you prefer.
Follow this easy procedure if you want to convert flip video to iTunes, iDVD, from this drop-up list, you can find a series of other practical options to convert flip video to iDVD, Apple TV, PSP etc. and most common video formats and common audio formats.
Step 3: Click the 'Start' button to start the conversion.
When the conversion is done, click 'Open' and there you go, you will see all the converted files in the opened folder.
Tip 1: Next to the 'Add File' button on the interface, you can click the 'Clip' button to trip flip video and click the 'Edit' button to crop and apply effects to flip video.
Tip 2: Flip Video Converter for Mac supports various input/output formats and almost all mainstream players. You can convert flip video to iPod and iPhone, convert flip video to iMovie, iTunes, iDVD and a lot more.
Flip to DV Converter for Mac, Convert Flip Videos
panamadany, Sep 21 2010
The Flip Video Camcorder is a portable, easy-to-use solution for creating and sharing high-quality home movies. Flip Video is the ideal choice for capturing everyday moments that happen anywhere, and sharing them with family and friends everywhere.
Flip video camcorder isn’t without its drawback. Although you might find the recorded mp4 video files compatible with iMovie and QuickTime on Mac, they just fail you every time when you directly import them to iPod or iPhone. Flip video converter for Mac is able to compress flip video to different file sizes with different resolution, frame rate and bit rate to be exactly compatible with iPod, iPhone, Blackberry, etc.
OS X Flip Ultra DV Converter:
The Flip Ultra comes in 4GB (Standard) and 8GB (HD) models respectively. The Standard Ultra is available in multiple colors of black, white, orange, and pink. The Flip Ultra uses standard AA batteries. Most Flip cameras include the required video player and 3ivx codec software in the camera itself rather than providing an external CD-ROM installer.
On September 12, 2007, the Flip Ultra was released. The Flip Ultra has been the best-selling camcorder on Amazon.com since the day of its debut, capturing about 13% of the camcorder market.
OS X Flip Ultra HD DV Converter:
Shoots 720p HD video; high-quality video for its class; easy to use; uses rechargeable AA batteries; FlipShare software compatible with both Mac and Windows machines.
OS X Flip Mino DV Converter:
A smaller version of the Flip, the Flip Video Mino, was released on June 4, 2008. The Mino captures video in 640x480 resolution at 30 frames per second. It retails for about $180 (for 2 GB flash memory for about 60 minutes of video). The Mino does not have a 1 GB alternative like the Flip Video does.
The Mino can be customized by the consumer. The consumer can upload a design, or choose from a selection. The design is then applied to the front of the unit.
OS X Flip Mino HD DV Converter:
The Flip Mino HD features HD recording capabilities in the same dimensions as the regular Mino. Its internal storage was upgraded to 4 GB to maintain 1 hour of recording time, due to the increased recording resolution
How to Convert Flip files to DV format fast on OS X Computer:
Plug your Flip video camcorder to your Mac OSX Computer
Flip video camcorder supports running Intel Processor and PowerPC with different versions. No worry about compatibility issue at all.
Export the Flip video to your computer.
Free Download and Run convert flip to dv osx Software
Click Add File to load Video files for osx Flip to DV conversion
You can load as many files as you like, the batch mode will make the work much easier. smoothly.
Click Profile drop down list to select output format
Here, we select DV format

e.g. Select .FLV foramt for upload video to YouTube
Select .Mov format for play video with QuickTime video Player
Select MP3 format for play Audio with Mp3 Player
Select DV format or MPEG4 movie format for edit Flip format in iMovie 08, iMovie 09
Click Convert Button at the bottom of the window to Convert Flip video files.
Click Open button to find the converted Flip files
Having trouble getting flip video for editing with Final Cut Pro(FCP), try this versatile Flip video to DV Mac converter to solve all problems, this converting tool can easily convert flip video to FCP understandable DV formats for importing into Final Cut Pro 4, FCP7 ,and FCP 6. After finishing editing your flip video, you can share your smart flip file with your family.
Import flip video to Final Cut Pro
panamadany, Sep 21 2010
Import flip video to Final Cut Pro and edit flip video Final Cut Pro
Final Cut Pro is a professional video editing application for Mac users and it is widely used even by many Hollywood people on professional movie post-production. If you are a flip video fan and you want to give professional editing to your flip videos, Final Cut Pro is a great choice. However, Final Cut Pro does not allow raw flip videos to be imported to Final Cut Pro and you will need to convert flip video to Final Cut Pro supported formats. Thus, to edit flip video in Final Cut Pro, you can follow the three parts below:
Part One: Convert flip to Final Cut Pro video
Download Doremisoft Mac Flip Converter and refer to the following steps to import flip video to Final Cut Pro.
Step 1: Add flip videos
Click the "Add File" button to add the flip videos you want to edit in Final Cut Pro to Mac Flip Converter.

Step 2: Select a Final Cut Pro supported output format
Click the Profile drop-up list and select

Step3: Convert flip video to Final Cut Pro
Click the "Start" button on the lower right of the interface to start converting flip video to Final Cut Pro.
Part Two: Import converted videos to Final Cut Pro
Step 1: Launch Final Cut Pro and you can see the layout of the Final Cut Pro Interface. From under the File command at the top of the interface, select "Import" and "Files". Thenselect one converted file from the Choose a File window and press the "Choose" button to choose this file.
Step 2: Find the file in the resources list for the project.
Step 3: Drag the file into the Timeline and then save the project.
Convert Flip Video to iPad H.264, MP4,
panamadany, Sep 21 2010
Review of iPad and Flip Camcorder Videos
iPad is larger than the 3rd Generation iPod touch and iPhoe 4, but there are many feature and technical differences between the devices that merit closer evaluation. The iPhone 4 and iPod touch 3rd Gen run iOS 4, yet the iPad runs iOS 3.2 with iOS 4.
Flip camcorders has become popular for its easy-to-use and hd videos. It’s a disappointment that iPad doesn't support the mp4 videos from the flip camera. Because Flip cameras produce H.264/AAC files in an MP4 wrapper while other use advanced profile MPEG-4 in an AVI wrapper. So Doremisoft Flip Video to iPad Converter is your best bet that is one available conversion applications to create compliant clips for iPad use.
Best Bet - Flip Video to iPad Converter transfer Flip Videos to iPad
Flip Video to iPad Converter can easily convert full flip videos to iPad format: iPad - H.264 Video, iPad - H.264 HD Video, iPad - MPEG4 Video. Then you can import the videos and play on the iPad with powerful editing function, fully compatible with Windows 7.
How to transfer Flip Video to iPad and Play Flip HD videos on iPad?
Step 1: Download the Flip Video to iPad Converter. Install and run it.
Step 2: Load Flip video files into the Flip Video to iPad Converter.
Tip1: How to transfer the videos off of your Flip Video Camera and onto your computer
1. Connect the Flip to the computer.
2. In Windows under Computer or My Computer. You can copy the files out of this drive and folder to your computer by dragging and dropping it to another folder you wish for it to be in.

Step 3: Output Settings. Click "Profile" drop-down list to select an iPad video format as your output video format.

Step 4: Click "Convert" button to start your Flip video to iPad video conversion.
Tip1:Before your conversion, you can do further editing for your videos by choosing clip, edit or merge into one file button.
Step5: Import the converted file to iTunes and sync it to iPad and enjoy playback on iPad.
Tip2: Connect your iPad, launch iTunes and update your library. Once you see your new videos inside the iTunes library, you can easily get them to your iPad.
Note:
When connected to a personal computer (PC) on Windows, the iPad communicates with a piece of Apple iTunes. The iPad and iTunes work together to synchronize the movie and music available on the iPad to those available on the PC. This happens automatically, without any intervention being required from the user.
It’s so easy with Flip Video to iPad Converter. Just follow the steps and start creating your stunning presenting Flip camcorder video on iPad now!
Related: How to convert flip video to mov on Mac OSX?
Best flip video converter to convert flip video
panamadany, Sep 21 2010
If you are looking into buying a video camera and don’t want to complex learning curves of a big camera, the Flip video camcorders would be the perfect choices, because you can shoot everything just by clicking on the red Record button. And now you can choose from five different types of flip video camcorders: Flip Mino, Flip Mino HD, Flip Ultra, Flip Ultra HD and Flip SlideHD. Flip video camcorders allow you to share your videos on YouTube with the flip software. However, if you want to convert flip videos to different video formats and put the flip videos you take on iPhone, iPod, PSP etc., or to easily edit flip videos, you will need a flip video application to get the job done. And Doremisoft Flip Converter is the very software designed just for flip video camcorder users to easily convert flip video and edit flip video on Windows with full support to Windows 7.
Doremisoft Flip Converter is the perfect flip video converter to convert flip video to avi, 3gp, 3g2, mpeg1, mpeg2, mpeg4, mpg, flv, swf, wmv, dv, mov, m4v, mkv etc. It can also extract and convert flip video to mp3, aac, ac3 and more audio formats. Doremisoft Flip Video Converter is a great flip video software to convert flip video iPhone, iPod, PSP, Apple TV, BlackBerry, Zune, Gphone, Palm, iRiver and a lot more popular players. It is also a wonderful flip video conversion tool to convert flip video to Windows Movie Maker, iTunes, and other applications.
Doremisoft Flip Converter is also an excellent flip video editor. It allows you to easily edit flip videos by cropping flip video, multi-trimming flip video, adjusting video brightness, contract and saturation, merging flip videos into one file and so on. Doremisoft Flip Converter fully supports all flip video camcorders including Flip Ultra, Flip Mino, Flip Ultra HD and Flip Mino HD. This great flip video converter takes care all your needs with your flip videos.
Key Features
*Convert flip to popular video formats:
*Extract audio from flip video
*Convert flip video to iPhone, convert flip video to iPod, convert flip to PSP, convert flip to Apple TV, convert flip to BlackBerry, Zune, Gphone, Palm, iRiver, etc.
*Convert flip video to iMovie, convert flip video to Windows Movie Maker, convert flip to iTunes, iDVD and so on.
*Support the full flip camcorder series including Flip Ultra, Flip Ultra HD, Flip Mino, and Flip Mino HD.
*Crop the screen of your video to remove unwanted sides or parts from your flip video, or to zoom in the video part you want to emphasize.
*Apply special video effects such as emboss, old film, gray etc. to your flip video and adjust video brightness, contrast and saturation.
*Set the start time and end time or drag the start slider bar and the end slider bar to trim flip video length and capture any section you prefer. You can even trim one file multiple times without having to re-adding the file to the program.
*Select video encoder, set video resolution/frame rate/bit rate, select audio encoder/ sample rate/channel/bit rate and so on.
*Preview the editing results real time in a new window right next to the editing window.
*Take snapshots from your flip videos and save the snapshots as JPG, PNG or BMP format so you can capture still pictures from flip video.
*Add more than one flip videos and convert multiple flip videos at one time, and even merge more than one flip videos to convert them into a single file.
How to transfer mp4 videos from flipshare to windo
panamadany, Sep 21 2010
How to Export flipshare mp4 video to windows movie maker
Flipshare VS Windows movie maker
About FlipShare
Flipshare is a powerful yet easy-to-use program that lets you organize your videos and video folders, watch your videos in a variety of sizes, create snapshots from your videos, and make movies by combining your videos with music, titles, and credits. With FlipShare you can share your videos and snapshots by creating personal Flip Channels, uploading them to several popular websites, sending them as email attachments, or creating cool video greeting cards. You can also share them by having a custom DVD made of your videos, or by making your own DVDs.
About Windows movie maker
Windows Movie Maker is a video creating/editing software, included in Microsoft Windows Me, XP, and Vista. It contains features such as effects, transitions, titles/credits, audio track, timeline narration, and Auto Movie. New effects and transitions can be made and existing ones can be modified using XML code. Windows Movie Maker is also a basic audio track editing program. It can apply basic effects to audio tracks such as fade in or fade out. The audio tracks can then be exported in the form of a sound file instead of a video file. The accepted formats for import are .WMV/.ASF, .MPG (MPEG-1), .AVI (DV-AVI), .WMA, .WAV, and .MP3
Questions on how to transfer flipshare video to window movie maker:
1.Flipshare and Windows Movie Maker help? How do you transfer videos from FlipShare onto Windows Movie Maker?
2.I want to transfer my flip video from flipshare, and edit the flip video in windows movie maker. How to do that? Any solution?
3.Transferring videos from flipshare to windows movie maker?
I'm trying to make a video project for math and i used my Flip video camera. I uploaded the movies to flipshare and I don't like the way the credits are. So, I decided to switch to Windows movie maker. Since the videos were saved to my computer I just thought i would make the credits on WMM and put in the video clips. But when I tried to play the movie, it only showed snapshots of the movie clips I put in. Can anyone help me? Thx so much
4.How do you export a flip share video to windows movie maker?
i'm tryin to make/edit some videos i made with the new flip camera. does anyone know how to get the videos into windows movie maker??
5.Where Do I Export Videos From FlipShare In Order For Them To Work On Windows Movie Maker?
i just bought a Flip Video and whenever i export a video to a folder, it doesnt let me open it or "click and drag" it onto windows movie maker. whenever I try i get this: The file C:Documents and SettingsAll Users.WINDOWSDocumentsMy Videos2010-04-11 19 40 46.MP4 is not a supported file type, and it cannot be imported into Windows Movie Maker. Can anyone tell me what im doing wrong?
...
Don't worry, the below tutorial will show you how to transfer flipshare video to windows movie maker:
First, Export flip video to computer from flip video camcorders
Export can be initiated by right-clicking on any video thumbnail, then selecting "Export to..." from the menu that appears.
After you have selected to Export, an "About Exporting Videos" dialog opens. Select [Export] to begin exporting your videos, or [Don't Export] to quit the process.
Browse for the location to which you want to export the videos, then click [OK], or click [Make New Folder] to specify a different location.

Second, How to transfer flip video to windows movie maker
Step1. Launch doremisoft flip video converter and add flip video
Download doremisoft flip video converter and double click it to install and launch it. then import the exported flip video to windows movie maker converter.
step2. select windows movie maker file wmv for flip video
In the list of "profile", choose wmv as the output file for flip video. windows movie maker supports wmv, mpg, asf, avi, so one of them is ok.

step3. start to convert flip video to windows movie maker conversion
click "start" to get the flip video to windows movie maker conversion started. the progress bar will show you how much has been finished.
step4. import the flip video to windows movie maker
After conversion, drag the flip video into windows movie maker from the output video folder.Then, you can feel free to edit flip video with windows movie maker.
IM BACKKKKKkkk (T.I.)
aznricebeast, Sep 19 2010
After a year of not touching poker im BACK ON THAT GRYND!!! GOOD TO BE BACK.
<p>
<p>

Anyone in Barcelona?
iop, Sep 18 2010
Just moved here with my girlfriend.
Anyone from lp living in Barcelona?

And for all the haters 

How to transfer mp4 videos from flipshare to windo
panamadany, Sep 15 2010
How to <a href=http://www.flip-converter.com/article-flip-windows/convert-flipshare-video-to-windows-movie-maker/>Export flipshare mp4 video to windows movie maker</a>
Flipshare VS Windows movie maker
About FlipShare
Flipshare is a powerful yet easy-to-use program that lets you organize your videos and video folders, watch your videos in a variety of sizes, create snapshots from your videos, and make movies by combining your videos with music, titles, and credits. With FlipShare you can share your videos and snapshots by creating personal Flip Channels, uploading them to several popular websites, sending them as email attachments, or creating cool video greeting cards. You can also share them by having a custom DVD made of your videos, or by making your own DVDs.
About Windows movie maker
Windows Movie Maker is a video creating/editing software, included in Microsoft Windows Me, XP, and Vista. It contains features such as effects, transitions, titles/credits, audio track, timeline narration, and Auto Movie. New effects and transitions can be made and existing ones can be modified using XML code. Windows Movie Maker is also a basic audio track editing program. It can apply basic effects to audio tracks such as fade in or fade out. The audio tracks can then be exported in the form of a sound file instead of a video file. The accepted formats for import are .WMV/.ASF, .MPG (MPEG-1), .AVI (DV-AVI), .WMA, .WAV, and .MP3
Questions on how to <a href=http://www.flip-converter.com/article-flip-windows/convert-flipshare-video-to-windows-movie-maker/>transfer flipshare video to window movie maker</a>:
1.Flipshare and Windows Movie Maker help? How do you transfer videos from FlipShare onto Windows Movie Maker?
2.I want to transfer my flip video from flipshare, and edit the flip video in windows movie maker. How to do that? Any solution?
3.Transferring videos from flipshare to windows movie maker?
I'm trying to make a video project for math and i used my Flip video camera. I uploaded the movies to flipshare and I don't like the way the credits are. So, I decided to switch to Windows movie maker. Since the videos were saved to my computer I just thought i would make the credits on WMM and put in the video clips. But when I tried to play the movie, it only showed snapshots of the movie clips I put in. Can anyone help me? Thx so much
4.How do you export a flip share video to windows movie maker?
i'm tryin to make/edit some videos i made with the new flip camera. does anyone know how to get the videos into windows movie maker??
5.Where Do I Export Videos From FlipShare In Order For Them To Work On Windows Movie Maker?
i just bought a Flip Video and whenever i export a video to a folder, it doesnt let me open it or "click and drag" it onto windows movie maker. whenever I try i get this: The file C:Documents and SettingsAll Users.WINDOWSDocumentsMy Videos2010-04-11 19 40 46.MP4 is not a supported file type, and it cannot be imported into Windows Movie Maker. Can anyone tell me what im doing wrong?
...
Don't worry, the below tutorial will show you how to <a href=http://www.flip-converter.com/article-flip-windows/convert-flipshare-video-to-windows-movie-maker/>transfer flipshare video to windows movie maker</a>:
First, Export flip video to computer from flip video camcorders
Export can be initiated by right-clicking on any video thumbnail, then selecting "Export to..." from the menu that appears.
After you have selected to Export, an "About Exporting Videos" dialog opens. Select [Export] to begin exporting your videos, or [Don't Export] to quit the process.
Browse for the location to which you want to export the videos, then click [OK], or click [Make New Folder] to specify a different location.
<img src=http://www.flip-converter.com/article-flip-windows/convert-flipshare-video-to-windows-movie-maker/export-flipshare-video-to-windows-movie-maker.jpg></img>
Second, transfer flip video to windows movie maker
Step1. Launch doremisoft <a href=http://www.flip-converter.com/flip-converter-windows/>flip video converter</a> and add flip video
Download doremisoft flip video converter and double click it to install and launch it. then import the exported flip video to windows movie maker converter.
step2. select windows movie maker file wmv for flip video
In the list of "profile", choose wmv as the output file for flip video. windows movie maker supports wmv, mpg, asf, avi, so one of them is ok.
<img src=http://www.flip-converter.com/article-flip-windows/convert-flipshare-video-to-windows-movie-maker/convert-flipshare-video-to-windows-movie-maker.jpg></img>
step3. start to convert flip video to windows movie maker conversion
click "start" to get the flip video to windows movie maker conversion started. the progress bar will show you how much has been finished.
step4. import the flip video to windows movie maker
After conversion, drag the flip video into windows movie maker from the output video folder.Then, you can feel free to <a href=http://www.flip-converter.com/articles/edit-flip-video-with-windows-movie-maker/>edit flip video with windows movie maker</a>.
>3 aka < 0.13 aka wut aka unpossible aka mathz
sawseech, Sep 12 2010
I played 2057 hands of MTT sng format today with buyins less than or equal to $ 4.4 with the $ 78 that I had left on the site, in order to attempt to make my nut, seeing no recourse, since there was no way that I'd be able to make my month-end target (covering the nut) continuing to play cash because there are not enough hours in the day because I have to do things like sleep and eat and write. I'd recorded an EV bb/100 of 44 over a tiny sample of penny NL but it doesn't mean shit when that winrate amounts to $ 3.50/hour cash in hand and, besides, this level of winrate is clearly unsustainable. I figure it's good for 2/hr, maybe barely 3. Throw up some error bars and it's not unreasonable to think that I would not have even managed to get to 25nl by the end of the month, nevermind make the nut, and even in that case I'm just making my nut and starting all over, and this further requires that I assume that I run not terribly at any point, which is really a fool's wager.
And so today I played micro 180s with a buyin of equal or less than $ 4.4 and I lost an average of 27.71 chips per hand.
Assume an average bb size of 100, mean median mode all pretty much agree with this.
My cEV for the 2057 hands was 5122.07. In turn, my expected result per hand can cautiously be interpreted to be 2.49 chips per hand. Sample size is an issue here, of course.
My actual EV bb/100 for 2057 hands was 12.36, clustered around the lower bb levels of course. This serves to imply that my true EV bb/100 is somewhere in between the two figures.
My realized bb/100 for 2057 hands was -0.48.
At an average bb size of 100, my linear count expectation of 2.49 chips per hand, a fairly strong though mildly sensitive figure, this constitutes an average expected gain gain of 249 chips per 100 hands, or 2.49 bb/100.
Start playing around with the numbers between 2.49 and 12.36 and we see an average maximal loss in bet count in the range of 430-520 , assuming that we are bounded by a Z-Score of 3 in trials. I have no reason to go below the expected figure of 2.49 bb/100 for this sample of 2057 hands because I have access to the remainder of my tournament data as it relates to tournament hand performance over a reasonably large sample.
And so at a true bb of 2.49-8 we see an expected maximal loss in the range of 500 with reasonable error bars over a sample size of 2057 hands.
Given that I am more present, more focused, and more skilled (or better able to make use of my skill) in my present condition than for the majority of my poker playing history, as evidenced by my ability to make this post, let's give me a true winrate in tourney chips of 3.8 bb/100, which I do not consider to be at all unreasonable given my historical per hand performance and ROI in all MTT formats over the course of my lifetime, which of course includes the past year. Even accounting for the past year, my lifetime ROI in MTT formats is comfortably in excess of 100. The SD of around 40 sounds pretty much spot on, I don't even need to check it. I plug it into the Z-Score of 3 bounded simulator which can be found here and instruct it to run it 1000x and I do it over and over and over.
At an average bb size of 100, I lost 57000 tournament chips for loss of 570 bets. Assume that there is no drop off in the quality of my play as the blind levels increase. In fact, I have traditionally excelled in late tournament situations, basically winning the tournament whenever I get ahold of any sizable number of chips. A performance far in excess of ICM interpretation, and in these games, I can take it as a given that I will outperform my opponents to a massive degree at every stage of play.
Give me a true winrate of 3 and I'm still in excess of a Z-Score of 3 by any reasonable statistical measure. OK, let's start to tinker with the average bb size. Still > 3, or at most spot on 3. Give me a true winrate in the range of 6 and the same applies. In order for me to exceed that Z-Score, my true bb/100 in MTT formats must be well in excess of 8.
I believe that as I played today and given the relative quality of my opponents' play, I exceeded the level of quality of play required to achieve that winrate.
Incidentally a loss of 570 adjusted bets, a very highly reasonable and robust figure in my view, amounts to a Z-Score comfortably in excess of 3 standard deviations given 1000 trials with a SD of 39.58. I ran the trials over and over and returned a similar result every time. In order for my loss to not be in excess of a Z-Score of 3 as evaluated in terms of basic statistics, I must be both the worst latestage MTT player in the world, and also the best early stage MTT player in the world. This fails the laugh test.
Now let's look at longest breakeven probability. Again, this tends to cap out at around 2000 hands, and given how latestage MTT goes (basically well or, uh, not) it's not really worth much over 2057 hands. Even so, again, I'm right around a Z-Score of 3 and even slightly in excess of it. Given that I'm going to be winning chips early, winning chips midstage, and winning chips late, and winning tournaments, I tend to believe the Z-Score on this too. Tell me how I'm wrong please if you are reading this and are of the inclination to disagree.
Additionaly consider that I didn't actually get to the endgame, which is where the real money is made. Adjust for that, and my cEV performance and my lack of opportunity to even have an opportunity to take in 30% of the prizepool and the actuality of my losing 570 adjusted bets becomes ... frankly startling to me.
All of this happened exactly today, which is also the day on which I have realized all of myself, and on the day that I consider myself to have played the best tournament poker that I have ever played in my life. Any way that you want to twist the data, it still comes out with the same Z-Score, or even larger, and this manifests itself in multiple terms.
Give me an ROI of >180%, for instance as accounted for by the impossible softness of the games and any reasonable cEV winrate and consistent form throughout, and then play 37 games, and return an ROI of -88%.
Give me an ITM of ~14 and then take me 25 games before my first cash, which was a mincash, and then give me another mincash at game 35.
-35 buyins for the day.
4.52 in the roll.
And so I'm going to see about getting my old job back tomorrow, a job that I must admit to find rather boring (but do really enjoy enough to not feel that it's a waste of my time), because when I work there I'm helping to keep people safe and teaching and helping others, and as I write this I must further admit that I am very seriously considering never playing on stars again. Except for the freerolls and the quarterly millions. I may have developed major negative feelings towards the site as a result of my experience today but I'm not stupid.



The player of games
sawseech, Sep 12 2010
i like this book alot and i think that you'd like it too and so, bam, here it is.
it's about a guy who lives in the future. he's a master of games, in all forms. board games, card games, games of both complete and incomplete information. he lives an idyllic life, in which he socializes and fucks and is adored and respected by millions. he wants for nothing.
and then he hears about a game that is so big, so strong, and so challenging so as to defy all reasonable efforts at convenient categorization. he travels out across the stars, just to play it in the place where it is played.
stuff happens.
http://www.amazon.com/The-Player-of-G...al-text&qid=1284306706&sr=8-5
kindle
http://www.amazon.com/Player-Games-Ia...s=books&qid=1284306706&sr=8-1
paperback
if you like it i got more that i think that you'll like seeing and hearing and reading and so let me know if you enjoyed it via pm. the feedback will let me know if this is or isn't a waste of my time. i suspect that it may be a minor waste of time, but if i actually notice a sizable number in my affiliate account at some point i may continue.
good universities @ america ?
tutz, Sep 11 2010
I would like to know the name and place of some good computer science schools @ united states please
edit: I also would like to know how much it cost/year
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