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UFC on ESPN 21: Brunson vs. Holland

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PuertoRican   United States. Mar 19 2021 06:08. Posts 12666

Date: Saturday, March 20
Main Card (ESPN/ESPN+): 3:00 LP.net / 7pm PST / 10pm EST
Preliminary Card (ESPN2/ESPN+): 00:30 LP.net / 4:30pm PST / 7:30pm EST
Live Streams: http://ripple.stream/mmastreams




Main Card (ESPN/ESPN+)

Derek Brunson (21-7) vs. Kevin Holland (21-5) (Middleweight)
Song Kenan (16-5) vs. Max Griffin (16-8) (Welterweight)
Cheyanne Buys (5-1) vs. Montserrat Ruiz (9-1) (Women's Strawweight)
Adrian Yanez (12-3) vs. Gustavo Lopez (12-5) (Bantamweight)
Tai Tuivasa (10-3) vs. Harry Hunsucker (7-3) (Heavyweight)

Preliminary Card (ESPN2/ESPN+)

Marion Reneau (9-6-1) vs. Macy Chiasson (6-1) (Women's Bantamweight)
Leonardo Santos (18-3-1) vs. Grant Dawson (16-1) (Lightweight)
Trevin Giles (13-2) vs. Roman Dolidze (8-0) (Middleweight)
Montel Jackson (9-2) vs. Jesse Strader (5-1) (Bantamweight)
JP Buys (9-2) vs. Bruno Gustavo da Silva (10-5-2) (Flyweight)

Other

- Dricus du Plessis was expected to face Trevin Giles in a middleweight bout at this event. However, du Plessis pulled out due to visa issues and was replaced by Roman Dolidze on March 10.
- Kay Hansen vs. Cheyanne Buys was scheduled for this event. However, Hansen pulled out due to undisclosed reasons and was replaced on March 12 by promotional newcomer Montserrat Ruiz.
- Don'Tale Mayes was expected to face Tai Tuivasa at this event. However, Mayes was removed from the fight during the week leading up to the event for undisclosed reasons and was replaced by promotional newcomer Harry Hunsucker on March 17.

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Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 21/03/2021 01:09

PuertoRican   United States. Mar 19 2021 06:11. Posts 12666

First impression of the match-ups:

• Holland > Brunson
• Gillespie > Riddell
• Buys > Ruiz
• Yanez > Lopez
• Griffin > Kenan
• Tuivasa > Hunsucker
• Reneau > Chiasson
• Santos vs. Dawson (dunno)
• Giles > Dolidze
• Jackson > Strader
• Buys vs. Silva (dunno)
• Avila > Stoliarenko

Rekrul is a newb 

Raidern   Brasil. Mar 19 2021 10:39. Posts 4242

hah I checked your impression post just to check who'd you pick in the santos dawson fight!

im a regular at nl5 

captainhook   Canada. Mar 19 2021 16:27. Posts 431


PuertoRican   United States. Mar 19 2021 16:43. Posts 12666


  On March 19 2021 09:39 Raidern wrote:
hah I checked your impression post just to check who'd you pick in the santos dawson fight!


It's a tough fight to call. Both fighters can win in different ways.

If I am forced to pick a winner, I will go with Dawson by decision.

Rekrul is a newb 

captainhook   Canada. Mar 20 2021 03:16. Posts 431


  On March 19 2021 15:43 PuertoRican wrote:
Show nested quote +


It's a tough fight to call. Both fighters can win in different ways.

If I am forced to pick a winner, I will go with Dawson by decision.


For fun, I’ll go Santos by KO.


PuertoRican   United States. Mar 20 2021 03:58. Posts 12666

My bets thus far:

• Brunson/Holland starts round 3 -140 $70 for $50
• Adrian Yanez wins in round 3 +850 $5 for $42.50
• Montserrat Ruiz decision +490 $5 for $24.50
Parlay: Yanez ML, Tuivasa/Hunsucker ITD $160 for $150

Rekrul is a newb 

captainhook   Canada. Mar 20 2021 08:43. Posts 431

I like the Ruiz bet. I will follow.

Doldize is almost a pickem now. He is going to be HUGE!


PuertoRican   United States. Mar 20 2021 10:18. Posts 12666


  On March 20 2021 07:43 captainhook wrote:
I like the Ruiz bet. I will follow.

Doldize is almost a pickem now. He is going to be HUGE!


There's a reason why he's almost at a pickem.

Don't forget that he is taking this fight on short notice, is dropping from light heavyweight to middleweight, and didn't look great in his last fight (started Round 3 tired).

Giles is known to gas as well, which is why it's a pass for me. I think it's going to be a low scoring and boring fight.

Rekrul is a newb 

captainhook   Canada. Mar 20 2021 13:15. Posts 431

Yeah he is going to huge in there once he rehydrates. And he is the stronger guy with the wrestling advantage.

I like what I saw with Giles in his last fight but I’m not sure he could do it again with Dolidze.

And everyone seems to be fading JP Buys. You agree?

 Last edit: 20/03/2021 13:16

PuertoRican   United States. Mar 20 2021 18:42. Posts 12666


  On March 20 2021 12:15 captainhook wrote:
Yeah he is going to huge in there once he rehydrates. And he is the stronger guy with the wrestling advantage.

I like what I saw with Giles in his last fight but I’m not sure he could do it again with Dolidze.

And everyone seems to be fading JP Buys. You agree?


JP is super overrated. Silva isn't great.

JP loses if he can't hold Silva down, which he won't be able to do. Silva has faced better wrestlers in his UFC losses and has taken them down. Silva trains at the same camp Cejudo and the Pitbull Brothers are at, which is why his wrestling is getting better and his striking is better than JP's.

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Mar 20 2021 18:54. Posts 12666

Gregor Gillespie vs. Brad Riddell scrapped from UFC Vegas 22 lineup due to COVID-19 protocols.

Avila vs. Stoliarenko was canceled after Stoliarenko fainted on the scale twice during her weigh-in.

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Mar 20 2021 23:38. Posts 12666




Not too many spots I like on this card. I might add more to Brunson/Holland starts R3, but we'll see.

Rekrul is a newb 

captainhook   Canada. Mar 21 2021 02:01. Posts 431

Fade Dolidze next


PuertoRican   United States. Mar 21 2021 02:07. Posts 12666


  On March 21 2021 01:01 captainhook wrote:
Fade Dolidze next


I am glad I faded that fight. It was a trap like I thought, but I leaned Giles.

On DraftKings, but guys scored below 52 points, which is TERRIBLE, and guarantees that you won't win shit, even if you have Giles (the winner) on your team.

Giles 51.25 points with a win.
Dolidze 39.05 with a loss.

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Mar 21 2021 02:32. Posts 12666

WOW!

Sick late finish by Grant Dawson!

Rekrul is a newb 

captainhook   Canada. Mar 21 2021 02:33. Posts 431

Fade Grant vs better competition up the ladder

Santos was arguably up two rounds

 Last edit: 21/03/2021 02:34

PuertoRican   United States. Mar 21 2021 02:42. Posts 12666


  On March 21 2021 01:33 captainhook wrote:
Fade Grant vs better competition up the ladder

Santos was arguably up two rounds


2 of the 3 judges had Grant Dawson winning the first 2 rounds. (it was announced in the post-fight interview)

Close fight though.

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Mar 21 2021 03:24. Posts 12666

Easy win for Tai Tuivasa.

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Mar 21 2021 03:55. Posts 12666

Yanez ML to close out a $150 parlay = cash
Yanez wins in Round 3 at +850 = cash

Rekrul is a newb 

captainhook   Canada. Mar 21 2021 04:13. Posts 431

DONT FINISH HER!!!


PuertoRican   United States. Mar 21 2021 04:31. Posts 12666


  On March 21 2021 03:13 captainhook wrote:
DONT FINISH HER!!!


With Montserrat Ruiz winning via decision, I am 3-0 thus far.

Rekrul is a newb 

captainhook   Canada. Mar 21 2021 04:33. Posts 431

Love that pick! Thanks!!!


captainhook   Canada. Mar 21 2021 04:37. Posts 431

I'm back and forth with Holland and Brunson. I'll take Holland ITD -105.


PuertoRican   United States. Mar 21 2021 04:43. Posts 12666


  On March 21 2021 03:37 captainhook wrote:
I'm back and forth with Holland and Brunson. I'll take Holland ITD -105.


I legit don't know who will win, because it can go so many different ways.

I only feel good about "fight starts Round 3." I added $50 more since it's -135, and I got it at -140.

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Mar 21 2021 04:53. Posts 12666

I knew the skill gap was wide, but that was impressive.

Griffin vs. Song was one of those spots where a Chinese fighter is overrated because he beat low level opponents, and then when he gets a step up, he gets exposed. I learned my lesson with Li Jingliang.

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Mar 21 2021 04:59. Posts 12666

I have 11 teams on DraftKings, and all of them are currently in the money.

7 teams need Brunson.
4 teams need Holland.

Rekrul is a newb 

captainhook   Canada. Mar 21 2021 05:33. Posts 431

Holland's cardio is surprisingly good


PuertoRican   United States. Mar 21 2021 05:38. Posts 12666


  On March 21 2021 04:33 captainhook wrote:
Holland's cardio is surprisingly good


That's the only good thing you can say about Holland tonight.

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Mar 21 2021 06:14. Posts 12666



Great night for me overall. +$1000 via betting and DraftKings profit.

As for DraftKings, I tied with a bunch of other people for 1st place in the late slate card. It was supposed to pay $10k for 1st, and I got $477.

Rekrul is a newb 

 



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