UFC FN 178: Covington vs. Woodley

Date: Saturday, September 19
Main Card (ESPN+): 1:00 LP.net / 5pm PST / 8pm EST
Preliminary Card (ESPN+): 22:00 LP.net / 2pm PST / 5pm EST
Live Streams: http://crackstreams.com/mma/2/




Main Card (ESPN+)

Colby Covington (15-2) vs. Tyron Woodley (19-5-1) (Welterweight)
Donald Cerrone (36-15) vs. Niko Price (14-4) (Welterweight)
Khamzat Chimaev (8-0) vs. Gerald Meerschaert (31-13) (Middleweight)
Johnny Walker (17-5) vs. Ryan Spann (18-5) (Light Heavyweight)
Mackenzie Dern (8-1) vs. Randa Markos (10-8-1) (Women's Strawweight)
Kevin Holland (18-5) vs. Darren Stewart (12-5) (Middleweight)

Preliminary Card (ESPN+)

Jordan Espinosa (15-7) vs. David Dvorak (18-3) (Flyweight)
Mirsad Bektic (13-3) vs. Damon Jackson (17-3-1)
Mayra Bueno Silva (5-1) vs. Mara Romero Borella (11-8) (Women's Flyweight)
Jessica-Rose Clark (9-6) vs. Sarah Alpar (9-4) (Women's Strawweight)
Darrick Minner (24-11) vs. T.J. Laramie (12-3) (Featherweight)
Journey Newson (9-2) vs. Randy Costa (5-1) (Bantamweight)
Andre Ewell (16-6) vs. Irwin Rivera (10-5) (Bantamweight)
Tyson Nam (19-11-1) vs. Jerome Rivera (10-2) (Bantamweight)

Other

- A welterweight bout between Mickey Gall and Miguel Baeza was scheduled for the event. However on September 11, Gall pulled out due to an injury. He was replaced by Jeremiah Wells on September 15.
- A featherweight bout between Mirsad Bektic and Luiz Eduardo Garagorri was scheduled for the event. However on September 15, Garagorri was pulled from the fight after one of his cornermen tested positive for COVID-19. Bektic is now expected to face returning veteran Damon Jackson as of September 17.

My pre-fight bets are finalized:

• Niko Price ML -150 $300 for $200
• Randa Markos decision +285 $30 for $85.50
• Tyson Nam decision +312 $10 for $31.20
• Jordan Espinosa -110 $110 for $100

• Parlay: Holland + Laramie $150 for $136.36


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Mirsad Bektic's opponent recently pulled out. We don't know if he'll get a replacement yet. As of now, there are 14 fights on this card, with a possibility of there being 15 fights.

First impression of the match-ups:

• Covington > Woodley
• Price > Cerrone
• Chimaev > Meerschaert
• Spann > Walker
• Markos > Dern
• Holland > Stewart
• Silva > Borella
• Espinosa > Dvorak
• Clark vs. Alpar (dunno)
• Newson > Costa
• Ewell > Rivera
• Laramie > Minner
• Baeza > Wells
• Nam > Rivera

I got Nam and Chimaev parlay and Ewell and Holland parlay. That's it. Pretty safe bets I think.

Following you on Markos.

I think Woodley is a good bet at +290, price and Chimaev are good bets too imo

I'd rather go for the under 4.5 rounds. Woodley could, 'let his hands go' and get a KO or get Covington's neck via guillotine.

On September 17 2020 21:17 alejandicto wrote: I think Woodley is a good bet at +290, price and Chimaev are good bets too imo

Woodley can't win a decision in this match-up, which means his ITD line is better at +430.

On September 18 2020 06:56 captainhook wrote: I'd rather go for the under 4.5 rounds. Woodley could, 'let his hands go' and get a KO or get Covington's neck via guillotine.

I thought about this fight a lot, and I really think it will end ITD. Most think it'll go to a decision, and they're thinking this is a regular fight between these 2 guys, but there are many other things that lead up to this fight ending ITD, imo.

All of my online money is tied up in other bets, but once those win, I will add $200 or $300 on Covington/Woodley ITD +155.

^ Gonna bet that instead of Markos.

Question, Puertorican, how confident are you on the Newson lean? I kinda like Costa here.

Nvm... Safe bets only... I think taking the under 1.5 rounds is way better.

You're right. I'll go for under 1.5. It's either Costa finishes Newson early or Costa gasses out and getting finished by Newson early in the second round.

Randy "The Zohan" Costa with a nice head kick KO.

Pretty sure Laramie shit on a lot of parlays. Lol.

Bektic could be another one.

I faded Mirsad Bektic for this very reason.

I have Damon Jackson in several late slate teams on DraftKings.

Espinosa not as fast as I thought he would be.

Bad performance by Espinosa.

Good performance by Dvorak.

Kevin Holland clearly won 2-1, but he messed around too much in that fight.

On September 20 2020 00:33 PuertoRican wrote: Kevin Holland clearly won 2-1, but he messed around too much in that fight.

And he got tired in the last round.

Why would she jump into her guard after she slipped and fell???

Markos is so fucking dumb.

Hopefully she finally gets released.

Clean victory for Walker.

I am glad the referee paid attention to the fight, instead of listening to Spann's cornermen.

I fear for Chimaev.. He could be shitting on my last parlay.

On September 20 2020 01:25 captainhook wrote: I fear for Chimaev.. He could be shitting on my last parlay.

Chimaev has good technique on the feet and on the ground, which a lot of the other hype trains don't have.

That being said, we don't know what will happen yet if he fights hard and can't get a finish under 1.5 rounds.

Maybe add a bet to GM3 wins in Round 3 at +2200.

The good news is, GM3 doesn't need to give Chimaev his BJJ black belt since he got knocked the fuck out instead of submitted...

I'm good for the night. Won all three bets.

Tempted to take the under 4.5 on Covington vs Woodley tho.

On September 20 2020 00:54 PuertoRican wrote: Why would she jump into her guard after she slipped and fell??? Markos is so fucking dumb. Hopefully she finally gets released.

Yes she made me lose a parlay, dumbest decision ever Dern is only know for her bjj and she decided to do that

On September 20 2020 01:48 alejandicto wrote: Show nested quote + On September 20 2020 00:54 PuertoRican wrote: Why would she jump into her guard after she slipped and fell??? Markos is so fucking dumb. Hopefully she finally gets released. Yes she made me lose a parlay, dumbest decision ever Dern is only know for her bjj and she decided to do that

In the post-fight interview, Dern said she doesn't know why girls keep trying to grapple with her -- she wants to show off other areas of her game. And that she isn't even the one who is taking the fight to the ground.

Cerrone looking good.

That 1 judge gave Cerrone two rounds... OKAY...

A draw means I got my money back, so this is my last bet of the night: $300.75 for $466.16 Pending 9/19/20 11:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1004 Fight won’t go 5 round distance +155

Well fuck... There is a lot less action than I expected Colby and Tyron to have.

So much for hating each other.

^ Fight doesn't go the distance is good.

Woodley didnt do shit he should retire

On September 20 2020 02:22 PuertoRican wrote: My last bet of the night: $300.75 for $466.16 Pending 9/19/20 11:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1004 Fight won’t go 5 round distance +155

eZ pZ lemon squeezy~

My only cash of the night, but it was my biggest bet of the night at plus odds.

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• Niko Price ML -150 $300 for $200 (draw)
• Randa Markos decision +285 $30 for $85.50 (loss)
• Tyson Nam decision +312 $10 for $31.20 (loss)
• Jordan Espinosa -110 $110 for $100 (loss)
• Covington/Woodley ITD +155 $300.75 for $466.16 (win)

• Parlay: Holland + Laramie $150 for $136.36 (loss)

= +$166.16 profit

On September 20 2020 02:51 PuertoRican wrote: Well fuck... There is a lot less action than I expected Colby and Tyron to have. So much for hating each other.

lol why would you expect action in a Woodley fight? he is the most passive fighter in the history of the UFC even worse than Anderson Silva against grapplers.

On September 20 2020 04:11 Baalim wrote: Show nested quote + On September 20 2020 02:51 PuertoRican wrote: Well fuck... There is a lot less action than I expected Colby and Tyron to have. So much for hating each other. lol why would you expect action in a Woodley fight? he is the most passive fighter in the history of the UFC even worse than Anderson Silva against grapplers.

I was expecting more from Woodley because his career was on the line, and there was supposed to be a lot of hatred between him and Covington.

I thought that there was a small chance Woodley would get a KO, and a good chance Covington would be able to get a TKO after Woodley gassed himself going for a finish.

I was partially right that Covington got a TKO win, but it was due to some random rib injury that I think Woodley faked so he can say he was injured going into the fight. (I don't remember him getting hit with anything big to the body during the fight)

^ A win's a win.

waiting for Costa vs Adesanya thread, really hyped for this fight

A must watch interview. He gets a call from Trump mid-interview, then has a heated interview with Usman at the end. #hilarious

^ Is it just me or does anybody else find Usman annoying.

On September 20 2020 20:00 captainhook wrote: ^ Is it just me or does anybody else find Usman annoying.

Usman and Covington are annoying in their own way.

Just don't let it change who you bet on. Sports books make so much money off of people who bet with their emotions.

I don't mind Covington cos I know it's all an act. Usman tho...

Anyway, have you looked at 253 lines yet? I think Blachowicz and Eubanks lines are off.

I like that William Knight line as well.