UFC on ESPN 9: Woodley vs. Burns - Page 2

Rodriguez n green... whats her strengths? can she do this +200? submission or ko?

Should I put alot more on Mckenzie Dern??? 1st 3 rounds? pretty safe?

LMK if theres anything I need to fix here, i'll be betting live as the fights are going.


1 unit = 100

Burns 1.5u for 2

Roberts to win 1st 3 rounds 1u for 2.2u

Dern 1-3 .75u for .6
dern KO .38u for .6

Spike submission .5u for 13u
Spike Win .5 for .6

Sakai 2u for 1.8u

Elliot 1.6u for 1u

Kenny Roberts Dern ML ML ML .5u for .6u

Guiterez TKO / KO / DEC .5 for .6

Guiterez to win 1.75 for 1.6


Submissions

Spike 50 for 650
Rodriguez 30 for 255
Green 20 for 200

lmk if i can make this better

should dern take her out in the first 3 like every time?

On May 30 2020 01:45 PuertoRican wrote: Burns ML +165 2u for 3.3u Burns ML +160 5u for 8u Burns ML +150 2u for 3u Burns ML +135 1u for 1.3u Burns decision +450 1.5u for 6.7u Burns split/maj decision +1105 .5u for 5.5u Woodley split/maj decision +1095 .5u for 5.5u Sakai ML +105 2u for 2.1u Sakai no scorecards -111 5.5u for 5u Carlyle ML +140 1u for 1.4u Carlyle submission +1175 .5u for 5.8u Roberts ITD +193 1.5u for 2.9u Weaver/Roberts ITD +140 1u for 1.4u Dern TKO/KO +1250 .5u for 6.2u Dern TKO/KO +850 1u for 8.5u Rodriguez submission +1075 1u for 10.7u Green submission +1005 .5u for 5u Abreu/Hill ITD +120 1u for 1.2u Gutierrez no scorecards +190 2u for 3.8u Gutierrez TKO/KO +1085 .5u for 5.4u Parlay: Cifers/Dern U1.5, Sakai no scorecards, Roberts -3.5, Gutierrez no scorecards 1u for 16.5u Parlay: Sakai, Roberts, Kenney, Rodriguez ITD, Dern ITD 1u for 7.7u Parlay: Burns decision, Sakai decision, Dern ITD 1u for 28u Parlay: Dern/Cifers ITD, Sakai/Ivanov decision, Chookagian/Shevchenko decision 2u for 4.5u Parlay: Dern ML, Roberts ML, Kenney ML 5u for 7.1u Parlay: NOT Woodley R1, Sakai no scorecards, Carlyle/Quarantillo ITD, Roberts ITD, Dern ITD, Rodriguez ITD, Kenney no scorecards 1u for 40u Parlay: NOT Woodley R1, Sakai no scorecards, Green/Rodriguez ITD, Roberts no scorecards, Dern TKO/KO, Kenney no scorecards .5u for 22.9u Parlay: Cifers/Dern U1.5, Abreu ML, Sakai no scorecards, Roberts submission, Rodriguez ITD, Royval ITD .4u for 67.8u Parlay: Burns/Woodley U4.5, Sakai/Blagoy U2.5, Carlyle/Quarantillo U2.5, Weaver/Roberts U2.5, Cifers/Dern U1.5, Abreu/Hill U2.5, Morales/Gutierrez U2.5 .1u for 35.8u Parlay: Sakai TKO/KO, Dern TKO/KO, Shevchenko submission .1u for 96.3u Parlay: Burns +5.5, Sakai no scorecards, Roberts -3.5, Dern -3.5, Green/Rodriguez ITD, Abreu no scorecards, Elliott -3.5, Smolka/Kenney decision .2u for 26.1u

My final picks:

• Burns > Woodley
• Sakai > Ivanov
• Rodriguez > Green
• Roberts > Weaver
• Dern > Cifers
• Shevchenko > Chookagian
• Carlyle > Quarantillo
• Abreu > Hill
• Elliott > Royval
• Kenney > Smolka
• Gutierrez > Morales

2 units Chris Gutierrez no scorecards +190 cashes~

.5u on Gutierrez wins by TKO/KO +1085 = cashes as well

I added another unit to U2.5 +142 in the Hill/Abreu fight, since the first 3 fights saw a lot of action and ended ITD.

On May 30 2020 23:43 PuertoRican wrote: I added another unit to U2.5 +142 in the Hill/Abreu fight, since the first 3 fights saw a lot of action and ended ITD.

Abreu/Hill ITD +142 1u for 1.4u = cashes
Abreu/Hill ITD +120 1u for 1.2u = cashes

I added a couple more bets

• Green/Rodriguez U1.5 1.08u for 1u
• Parlay: Burns/Woodley U4.5, Carlyle/Quarantillo U2.5, Weaver/Roberts U2.5, Cifers/Dern U1.5, Green/Rodriguez U1.5 .3u for 6.7u

On May 30 2020 23:55 PuertoRican wrote: I added a couple more bets • Green/Rodriguez U1.5 1.08u for 1u • Parlay: Burns/Woodley U4.5, Carlyle/Quarantillo U2.5, Weaver/Roberts U2.5, Cifers/Dern U1.5, Green/Rodriguez U1.5 .3u for 6.7u

That was a terrible result. I managed to lose my U1.5 and Green ML bets.

At least I know what to expect from Rodriguez going forward.

Well, I was kind of confident that Dern's TKO/KO line had a good shot to cash, but I didn't expect Cifer's movement to be improved, as well as Cifer's ability to box Dern out and keep her head on the outside to prevent the clinch.

Roberts ITD +193 1.5u for 2.9u = cashes
Weaver/Roberts ITD +140 1u for 1.4u = cashes
Weaver/Roberts ITD +145 live bet .5u for .7u = cashes

Parlay: Dern ML, Roberts ML, Kenney ML 5u for 7.1u = cashes

Since I am able to win a maximum of 28 units if Sakai wins, I added a hedge bet: Ivanov decision +245 4u for 9.8u

Damn. Carlyle/Quarantillo killed my tiny long shot parlay with a big return. I wonder how many people lost money on that fight going to a decision.

how did you guys score that last fight? all the judges gave billy the 2nd? kinda strange

On May 31 2020 02:31 f1shcake wrote: how did you guys score that last fight? all the judges gave billy the 2nd? kinda strange

I scored it for Carlyle via split-decision.

All 3 judges giving Quarantillo R2 is very strange.

• Sakai ML +105 2u for 2.1u
• Sakai no scorecards -111 5.5u for 5u = push
• Ivanov decision +245 4u for 9.8u
• Parlay: Cifers/Dern U1.5, Sakai no scorecards, Roberts -3.5, Gutierrez no scorecards 1u for 16.5u = push
• Parlay: Cifers/Dern U1.5, Sakai no scorecards, Roberts -3.5, Gutierrez no scorecards 1u for 9.4u
• Parlay: Dern/Cifers ITD, Sakai/Ivanov decision, Chookagian/Shevchenko decision 2u for 4.5u

+12u

4u on Woodley +285 live bet as a hedge to my 10 units on Burns.

Woodley looked terrible. Damn.

On May 31 2020 03:30 PuertoRican wrote: 4u on Woodley +285 live bet as a hedge to my 10 units on Burns.

• Burns ML +165 2u for 3.3u
• Burns ML +160 5u for 8u
• Burns ML +150 2u for 3u
• Burns ML +135 1u for 1.3u
• Burns decision +450 1.5u for 6.7u
• Burns split/maj decision +1105 .5u for 5.5u
• Woodley ML +285 live bet 4u for 11.4u
• Woodley split/maj decision +1095 .5u for 5.5u
• Parlay: Burns decision, Sakai decision, Dern ITD 1u for 28u

+45.3u

Killing it PR!