UFC 192: Cormier vs. Gustafsson - Page 2

Cariaso has t-rex arms and is a slow FW, won't be able to get inside punching distance at all. He's at a massive disadvantage everywhere in this fight, especially at kicking range. It would take an epic fail on Pettis's part to lose this fight. I don't buy into his hype, it's simply the fact that he is much, much better than Cariaso everywhere. They do not want Pettis to lose right now. Sean Shelby is a very smart man. Cariaso was picked for a reason.

IMO - the only reason the odds are where they are for this fight is because a lot of people who were buying the Pettis hype remember him getting epically KO'd and upset in his last fight and are probably looking to fade him vs a 'name' which Cariaso has due to him getting fed to Might Mouse.

If Cariaso lands a strike and KO's Pettis or alters the fight that way, so be it, but if he actually outfights him over time, I will quit betting this sport.

This one is out now too!!

I should have stated I didn't write that I copy and pasted from a site

On September 30 2015 21:17 soberstone wrote: Cariaso has t-rex arms and is a slow FW, won't be able to get inside punching distance at all. He's at a massive disadvantage everywhere in this fight, especially at kicking range. It would take an epic fail on Pettis's part to lose this fight. I don't buy into his hype, it's simply the fact that he is much, much better than Cariaso everywhere. They do not want Pettis to lose right now. Sean Shelby is a very smart man. Cariaso was picked for a reason. IMO - the only reason the odds are where they are for this fight is because a lot of people who were buying the Pettis hype remember him getting epically KO'd and upset in his last fight and are probably looking to fade him vs a 'name' which Cariaso has due to him getting fed to Might Mouse. If Cariaso lands a strike and KO's Pettis or alters the fight that way, so be it, but if he actually outfights him over time, I will quit betting this sport.

hahaha

On September 30 2015 23:56 Zadan wrote: I should have stated I didn't write that I copy and pasted from a site

;/

No love for Woodley at + 300?

And Gus dec is at +750 at bet365. I like that line a lot .

I was kind of leaning towards Gus placing bets + parlays on him and just because I like him personally, however I just checked most of dc's past fights and most were all quality opponents.

This has me thinking that Gus has a super slim chance at winning here, I don't even know HOW he is suppose to win vs dc.

Good analysis here from Dominick Cruz for DC - Gus. :

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/25...down-gustafsson-vs-cormier-at-ufc-192

Northcutt looks incredibly athletic. New breed. Hopefully he has a chin and some toughness to go along with it

On October 01 2015 18:11 iakim322 wrote: Northcutt looks incredibly athletic. New breed. Hopefully he has a chin and some toughness to go along with it

I'd hit it.

On October 01 2015 18:11 iakim322 wrote: Northcutt looks incredibly athletic. New breed. Hopefully he has a chin and some toughness to go along with it

Agreed. Doubt this fight tells us much though, Trevino sucks. He's just a tough crafty guy with some okay defensive technique but pretty garbage athleticism and nothing to hang his hat on.

Happy to have gotten Northcutt at -230 but if he blows him out of the water and isn't tested (highly likely), his next fight will probably be a pass. I did see the fight he got KO'd in and it was a clean shot but one that probably shouldn't be KOing a guy of his caliber/ceiling. It's a concern.

Hendricks out. Weight-cutting / health issues.

Pretty surprising despite his history, he was 183 on Wednesday.

Really shitty.

On October 02 2015 16:43 soberstone wrote: Hendricks out. Weight-cutting / health issues. Pretty surprising despite his history, he was 183 on Wednesday. Really shitty.

Fuck that country ass motherfucker.

Hopefully Dana White makes him go up to 185 like he said he was gonna do earlier today.

Thoughts on weigh-ins:

Trevino weighed in at 160, looked fat and clearly didn't try to make the weight, doesn't affect my view of the fight, infact it could potentially benefit him if they grapple a lot

Adriano Martins may have looked a little smaller to me but I'd have to watch old weigh-ins to be sure, either way I already have my bets on Mackachev.

I thought Joe B looked like he had a tough cut and I just added a decent bet on Bagautinov at +275

Evans looked small compared to Bader, wasn't really expecting that but can't take much away from it (looks like money is coming in on Bader though)

DC said he had his best cut ever and his face did indeed look less sunk in than normal at 205. It's actually pretty significant to me personally in a 5 round fight. I just bought out of my little Gus bet at a $5.00 profit and am just playing the props.

On October 02 2015 22:16 soberstone wrote: Thoughts on weigh-ins: I thought Joe B looked like he had a tough cut and I just added a decent bet on Bagautinov at +275 Evans looked small compared to Bader, wasn't really expecting that but can't take much away from it (looks like money is coming in on Bader though)

Joe B looked less drained than usual. If you watch his past weigh-ins, he usually looks like shit. His cheeks are usually super sucked in. I think the fight goes the distance, and there's value on Ali. If I were to bet Ali, I'd bet his Decision like at +425 or better.

Evans being shorter than Bader was expected. Bader is one of the bigger guys in the division, while Evans has always been one of the shorter guys in the top 10 at light heavyweight. People have asked him if he ever thought about going down to 185, but he said no because he has thick legs and it would be worth it. Bader always looks so thick and muscular during the weigh-ins; he wears his weight well, imo.

I agree Ali by decision at +425 would be a better bet. I'm completely with you. Unfortunately my 5dimes is all accounted for and BM doesn't have the props out yet. I might make that bet later.

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