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CrownRoyal   United States. Mar 17 2008 11:09. Posts 11386 | | |
I come to you all today to offer a bet.
1. I start with $50 on pokerstars.
2. I must make the climb to nl25 ($500) in 50k hands.
3. I am not allowed to play sng.
4. I am not allowed to play tournaments.
5. If I go busto, you win the bet.
6. If i play outside of my set bankroll rules (move up at 20 buyins, down at 15) you win the bet. (I dunno how we can legitly do this but perhaps if you're trustworthy you can ask me up to 5 times to quit playing, give you the password to my account, check it, and return it to me, you can also see transaction histories this way to ensure yourself that I didn't redeposit/get transferred money)
7. I MUST complete the bet within 2 months or you win.
8. I MUST tell you about my progress if you inquire about it, for example: number of hands in/stakes playing/bankroll, etc.
I wanna get an escrow to hold our money, i don't care who as long as they are trustworthy.
1:1.5 odds, so my 300 vs your 450.
if any of you guys dont know me, i've been busto more times than i can count and can't manage a bankroll to save my life. This is a sick -EV bet for myself but I'm not doing it to profit.
anyone interested?
also, im willing to take smaller amounts of action, i just want to bet $300 total.
EDIT - I have a new offer, same rules as above, but I must complete the bet in under 20k hands for 3.5:1 odds.
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WHAT IS THIS | Last edit: 17/03/2008 12:02 |
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Floofy   Canada. Mar 17 2008 11:25. Posts 8708 | | |
i did a 1:1 odds bet with donald where he had to turn 8$ into like 4K in a month. and he won -.-
but you suck so i dunno |
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james9994: make note dont play against floofy, ;( | |
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CrownRoyal   United States. Mar 17 2008 11:33. Posts 11386 | | |
wtf for how much money?
thats a sick bet i can't believe you lost looooool |
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PplusAD   Germany. Mar 17 2008 11:48. Posts 7182 | | |
2 month from 50$ to 500$
Insane sick
NOT
i am positive like almost everybody who plays poker for longer than 4 month can do that |
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U see what i did there with A8 ? He 4 bets and there we go insta jam A8 : ---booooom -- . hahahaha ( Krantz) | |
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Oxy   Canada. Mar 17 2008 11:49. Posts 2293 | | |
lol... $50 to $500 in 50k hands? so that's $450 in 50k hands. that's like 4.5ptbb/100 at 10nl, which is... lol. if you give ME 100:1 odds, I'll put down $10. |
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this shit is OBSURD | Last edit: 17/03/2008 11:50 |
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CrownRoyal   United States. Mar 17 2008 11:55. Posts 11386 | | |
yo
i am a degenerate tilt insane gambler.
i would take this bet against myself instantly, and i have to double my bankroll twice before i can even play nl10 |
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CrownRoyal   United States. Mar 17 2008 11:57. Posts 11386 | | |
if you want to make it a real challenge ie me playing less hands and achieiving the same goal I'll attempt to finish this bet in 30k hands for 3:1 odds. |
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CrownRoyal   United States. Mar 17 2008 12:01. Posts 11386 | | |
actually i'll take 3.5:1 on 20k hands to get from $50 to nl25 |
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KeanuReaver   United States. Mar 17 2008 12:35. Posts 2022 | | |
ok so
NL2 -> $100 br, assuming 10ptbb/100 winrate thats 12.5k hands
NL5 -> $200 br, assuming 10ptbb/100 winrate thats 10k hands
NL10 -> $500 br, assuming 8ptbb/100 winrate thats 18.75k hands
thats a little bit more than 40k hands, im not sure how good of a player you are but i think any decent NL50 or NL100 reg can get those winrates. giving pretty bad odds imo
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and the endurance required for MMA, which has actions like punching and kicking bone and muscle with 1000-2500 PSI. - Taco | |
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KeanuReaver   United States. Mar 17 2008 12:38. Posts 2022 | | |
on the other hand you'd need to average around 20ptbb/100 to go from $50 to $500 with your management rules in 20k hands, pretty sick heater |
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and the endurance required for MMA, which has actions like punching and kicking bone and muscle with 1000-2500 PSI. - Taco | |
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CrownRoyal   United States. Mar 17 2008 13:04. Posts 11386 | | |
my very first bet isnt about the money/hands something insane like that, it's purely about my discipline. I have none, it's about me having some reason to not be a retarded tilt monkey.
for the 20k hand bet It's pretty close with given odds
I think I can clear nl2 in 3-5k hands
nl5 in 4-6k hands
and nl10 isnt deepstacked anymore, so it becomes much harder to hold a sick winrate.
so we're looking at 9-13k hands to clear nl10
this means i need about a 15ptbb/100 winrate or higher.
I usually massively table, but if someone takes me up on this bet i'll cut down on my tables and really focus on my play. |
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CrownRoyal   United States. Mar 17 2008 13:07. Posts 11386 | | |
im not really sure any of this is worth it to any of you or myself though.
the time i'd spend 4tabling those 20k hands i could already prob be at a decent stake and not risk losing my betting money anyway.
also, for everyone unawed at my time-restraints, I work sometimes up to 12hours a day and I also work 7 days a week (Sundays are only half days though)
see how motivated you are to put in lots of hands when you're working that much. |
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Oly   United Kingdom. Mar 17 2008 13:16. Posts 3585 | | |
I'll take the 3.5:1 on 20k hands for your $200 vs my $700. That is really really difficult following a 20bi rule, but I hope it gives you motivation and confidence. Who will hold the money, and is anyone in with me on this? |
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Researchers used brain scans to show that when straight men looked at pictures of women in bikinis, areas of the brain that normally light up in anticipation of using tools, like spanners and screwdrivers, were activated. | Last edit: 17/03/2008 13:17 |
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ggplz   Sweden. Mar 17 2008 13:46. Posts 16784 | | |
hand restriction is fucking u here |
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if poker is dangerous to them i would rank sports betting as a Kodiak grizzly bear who smells blood after you just threw a javelin into his cub - RaiNKhAN | |
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k2o4   United States. Mar 17 2008 13:48. Posts 4803 | | |
I can attest to the fact that he is VERY likely to lose this just by playing out of his limit and going broke. Or going on mega tilt and going broke. So it's not a bad bet to take on, hehe.
As far as skill goes though, I'm pretty sure he could do it. |
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SemPeR   Canada. Mar 18 2008 11:35. Posts 2288 | | |
Intersting. =p
The funny thing is, you could beat this only playing 10nl, arguably even 5nl (though slower, PS has their 5nl at 200bb deep..valuetown is that much closer). There isn't much else to do but nit up at 13/6/infinity and watch the money come in. Maybe your first 5k hands can be 5nl to get 10bi, but after that it's smooth sailing. I'd estimate $100 per 5k hands at 10nl isn't hard, even with variance. You'll have some days where you'll make half that, 150, or somewhere in between, but at the end you're barely past 35k with $500.
br management is patience, knowing what you want to do, and just doing it. I'd suggest just making yourself play 50k hands of a single limit...you'd get bored as fuck, but you want to be able to do this, right? The 20k hand bet really hinges on how long you stay on crazy heaters, especially starting from $50. You might even be forced to play outside 20bi just to make the $500, which goes against the point of this in the first play. o.O |
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