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But at least I should be up in money. Last 10 hands included 3 hands getting all in and busted by hit straights or flushes. GG rig tilt

http://img830.imageshack.us/img830/1387/amountwonoverhandsplayep.png

I truly am happy though to have found my leaks, with the help of whamm! TY sir!

Who woulda thought 3betting A-J+ in the blinds would affect things so much at small stakes O_O


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K so I play a live donkament like 4 times a week with the same guys for low stakes, like $20~ USD buyin and the prize pool usually pays top 3 with winner taking half and the other two splitting 2/3 1/3. I'm living in Korea and basically I crush everyone I play with because they're all huge donks, probably me included but the game is easy and they give off so many tells that they might as well be playing with their hands up.

There's one idiot there who just makes me rage, though. He's easy money but people tend to feed the fish here so he always has a huge chipstack from his strategy, which is never bluff/rarely fold, which is in stark contrast to the never value bet/always bluff strategy that everyone else employs. The problem is that he puts me on tilt with his comments because he thinks he's a sick player and that nobody makes decisions as hard as him.

Every fecking hand he's taking 2 minutes to make his damn decision, and because I taught him a little bit when he first started, he shows me every hand to get a compliment for his decision making process. There was a four handed 3-bet hand to the flop (lol) and it came something like 4 6 J rainbow. Someone donk bet 1/3 the pot and he's second action, so he takes like a minute before leaning over while going "ARRRRRGH" super fucking loud and showing me ATo.

So I'm like half laughing half pissed that he's taking 3 years to fold his shit hand on a shit flop, but i'm still complacent cuz I got a stack thats pretty big and im sitting tight. He folds and we move on.

A few hands later he folded preflop to a raise and the flop came 8 A 2 or something stupid, and he leans over to the guy next to him, searches the muck for his cards, shows them to the guy and points with two fingers at the ace and the deuce, while the other two guys are betting. I'm like wtf are you doing stop fucking talking about the hand while its being played holy shit and he's like "OH sorry you're right I didn't realize" and suddenly I'm on tilt.

I'd think he was doing this shit to tilt me on purpose but I'm pretty sure he's too stupid, so I light a cig and walk around outside a bit before coming back in. I sit back down and the very next hand he folds somewhere in the middle and the river comes giving him like J8 two pair or something and he gets all super fucking loud going ARRRRRGGGGHHHHHH and pounding the table and shit. "I WOULD HAVE WON THAT HAND" he yells, flipping his J8. The guy who took it down on the river show KJ for a higher 2p and he's like "LOL I made a really good fold" and I just want to fucking punch him really bad.

Anyway later on I flopped top two on the chip leader and he reraised me all in with a straight draw that hit so I was out and the dude is there trying to give me advice on why i should have folded my two pair on a flop where im crushing and how to read the other guy's hand so I just say "ya, tru" and get up and leave.

Does anyone know of any good antidepressants or drugs that I can just zone this guy out with? Obv not too serious but like if you got anything that works...


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Terrible. People decided to open shove 72o/T3s at first hand all day vs me and win. Also lost every single Ax x Ay where x > y and every other 70/30 possible.

BUT I made SN and after I started displaying it on tables people started respecting my raises (.http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/857017) and I made most of it back and finished only -10bis, not that bad. Not gonna care about money anymore, focus on the VPPs, they never let me down, never had a VPP downswing.

http://img202.imageshack.us/img202/487/day5y.png

Had to end the session after this hand, if I were this guy I would never played poker again, owned:
+ Show Spoiler +

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ADDuhWEEwah

Submitted by : danycbd

MERGE_GAME #2778269300072: Texas Holdem NL $0.05/$0.10 09/13/2010 19:58:21
Table Baja 27782693
Seat 1: ADDuhWEEwah $364.93 in chips
Seat 2: NamsaynFoo $28.65 in chips
Seat 3: SPlDERMAN $18.56 in chips
Seat 4: brookgemini $10.00 in chips
Seat 5: ramabjtl $9.85 in chips
Seat 6: pokernadlac89 $32.78 in chips
Seat 7: s0348953 $10.00 in chips DEALER
Seat 8: Hero $10.00 in chips
Seat 9: JayNYC $10.00 in chips
Hero: Post SB $0.05
ADDuhWEEwah: Post BB $0.10
brookgemini: Post DB $0.10

Holecards(Odds)
Dealt to Hero
NamsaynFoo: Fold
SPlDERMAN: Fold
brookgemini: Check
ramabjtl: Fold
pokernadlac89: Fold
s0348953: Fold
Hero: Fold
ADDuhWEEwah: Raise $349.90
brookgemini: Allin $9.90

Flop(Odds) (Pot : $349.95)

   

Turn (Pot : $349.95)

   

River (Pot : $349.95)

   

Summary
Total pot $359.05 Rake $1.00
AdDuhWEEwah: Shows
brookgemini: Shows
ADDuhWEEwah: wins $19.05
ADDuhWEEwah: wins $340.00

Hey vegas i plan on oct 1-5 going to vegas with my family hopefully play some 1/3 2/5 NL there. Also party alot which i need before i get married. Anyone will be around those dates?


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How fast/reliable is an aircard connection? Is it ever comparable to a high speed broadband connection? I'm really new with this kind of stuff, so I am completely clueless on what to expect. Maybe someone can recommend a specific card/service that worked well for them?
Thanks.


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You have become Supernova VIP! As a reward you wont win any showdown ever again.

http://img834.imageshack.us/img834/6027/23384232.png


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I've watched every DeucesCracked videos made before 2010 and still have them on DVDs.
I've read the best poker books.
I'm on multiple poker forums. Posting hands.
I read every interview/strategy article I find.
I play/study the game 10 hours a day.

And I'm losing at -6+ BB/100 at NL10.

Could anyone help me out ? Maybe watch me play over Skype and Mikogo or TeamViewer and tell me what I'm doing wrong ?

I've already lost countless thousands of dollars and I'm down to my last 400$. I cannot afford to pay a coach hourly. I could offer a % on my action if someone wants to coach me on a long period or something.


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http://img85.imageshack.us/img85/7717/graphsc.png
$20 so far ship it.

I spew all over the place and vbet too small because its bigger money, hopefully I will get used to it.
Could have been much better if I didn't call a squeeze shove with TT vs a 12-8 guy who 3bet me a couple times in a row, and if I would fold tptk/overpair to a fish raise small bet shove twice in the session, boo.

I have also found a great series at Deuces cracked: SSNL Disease, which sums the biggest mistakes and hurdles ssnl players have that stop them evolving.

From what I can remember from 1st lecture:
1) ignoring your own table image.
2) not picking and writing down up dynamics/significant events.
3) playing too many tables.
4) lack of note taking and ability to verbally explain villain's likely thought process and summarizing observed noted down trends.

The presentation stressed multi tabling as the biggest setback, and thats what I will try to avoid.
I might go 6-9 table at NL50 when I don't have the energy, but NL100 will be only 4 tables - I need some 2k hands/day at 1BB/100 to make my minimum, and the win rate should be really higher than that at 4 tables gradually.

/end lame blog.



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ive tried these power necklace with titanium

- got a very good nights sleep after, when i woke up felt really tired, but after shower, zing! its like im so recharged
- feel really warmer than usual, like i wanna do something and stay away from comp (a very good thing obv)
- overall felt great the whole day but at night really very very tired. this shit kinda works :D
http://www.phiten.com/english/about_phiten/index.html

then started to try these electronic cigarettes jsut today:

-? any opinions or experiences with these, they taste like cigarettes (smoke, flavor etc)
i just heard of nicotine overdoses but i dont understand how that happens


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Anyone going to be there and wanna meet up? I'm prob going to be down there late-ish. Looking to play some cash at borgata.


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i don't really know if i've been through a stretch this brutal before. is this just bad? or really bad? all 100nl.

aipf for the month, filtered for AK, QQ+

http://img291.imageshack.us/img291/1167/aipfsept.png

okay, now that i've posted it, it's time to move on.


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GOTTA PAY 'EM! NO CHOICE! Even if there isn't much of a paper trail, seriously guys. Pay your taxes.


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Another nice one, yay, too bad I ran ridic bad from game 90 on. 4 days ahead of pace already, only 4 days in, will hit SN tomorrow or tuesday at least.

http://img202.imageshack.us/img202/9948/day4.png

Some hero calls today (standard sunday):
+ Show Spoiler +

+ Show Spoiler +

Sick one imo, I was calling any river:
+ Show Spoiler +

Value shove:
+ Show Spoiler +

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x


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I played 2057 hands of MTT sng format today with buyins less than or equal to $ 4.4 with the $ 78 that I had left on the site, in order to attempt to make my nut, seeing no recourse, since there was no way that I'd be able to make my month-end target (covering the nut) continuing to play cash because there are not enough hours in the day because I have to do things like sleep and eat and write. I'd recorded an EV bb/100 of 44 over a tiny sample of penny NL but it doesn't mean shit when that winrate amounts to $ 3.50/hour cash in hand and, besides, this level of winrate is clearly unsustainable. I figure it's good for 2/hr, maybe barely 3. Throw up some error bars and it's not unreasonable to think that I would not have even managed to get to 25nl by the end of the month, nevermind make the nut, and even in that case I'm just making my nut and starting all over, and this further requires that I assume that I run not terribly at any point, which is really a fool's wager.

And so today I played micro 180s with a buyin of equal or less than $ 4.4 and I lost an average of 27.71 chips per hand.

Assume an average bb size of 100, mean median mode all pretty much agree with this.

My cEV for the 2057 hands was 5122.07. In turn, my expected result per hand can cautiously be interpreted to be 2.49 chips per hand. Sample size is an issue here, of course.

My actual EV bb/100 for 2057 hands was 12.36, clustered around the lower bb levels of course. This serves to imply that my true EV bb/100 is somewhere in between the two figures.

My realized bb/100 for 2057 hands was -0.48.

At an average bb size of 100, my linear count expectation of 2.49 chips per hand, a fairly strong though mildly sensitive figure, this constitutes an average expected gain gain of 249 chips per 100 hands, or 2.49 bb/100.

Start playing around with the numbers between 2.49 and 12.36 and we see an average maximal loss in bet count in the range of 430-520 , assuming that we are bounded by a Z-Score of 3 in trials. I have no reason to go below the expected figure of 2.49 bb/100 for this sample of 2057 hands because I have access to the remainder of my tournament data as it relates to tournament hand performance over a reasonably large sample.

And so at a true bb of 2.49-8 we see an expected maximal loss in the range of 500 with reasonable error bars over a sample size of 2057 hands.

Given that I am more present, more focused, and more skilled (or better able to make use of my skill) in my present condition than for the majority of my poker playing history, as evidenced by my ability to make this post, let's give me a true winrate in tourney chips of 3.8 bb/100, which I do not consider to be at all unreasonable given my historical per hand performance and ROI in all MTT formats over the course of my lifetime, which of course includes the past year. Even accounting for the past year, my lifetime ROI in MTT formats is comfortably in excess of 100. The SD of around 40 sounds pretty much spot on, I don't even need to check it. I plug it into the Z-Score of 3 bounded simulator which can be found here and instruct it to run it 1000x and I do it over and over and over.

At an average bb size of 100, I lost 57000 tournament chips for loss of 570 bets. Assume that there is no drop off in the quality of my play as the blind levels increase. In fact, I have traditionally excelled in late tournament situations, basically winning the tournament whenever I get ahold of any sizable number of chips. A performance far in excess of ICM interpretation, and in these games, I can take it as a given that I will outperform my opponents to a massive degree at every stage of play.

Give me a true winrate of 3 and I'm still in excess of a Z-Score of 3 by any reasonable statistical measure. OK, let's start to tinker with the average bb size. Still > 3, or at most spot on 3. Give me a true winrate in the range of 6 and the same applies. In order for me to exceed that Z-Score, my true bb/100 in MTT formats must be well in excess of 8.

I believe that as I played today and given the relative quality of my opponents' play, I exceeded the level of quality of play required to achieve that winrate.

Incidentally a loss of 570 adjusted bets, a very highly reasonable and robust figure in my view, amounts to a Z-Score comfortably in excess of 3 standard deviations given 1000 trials with a SD of 39.58. I ran the trials over and over and returned a similar result every time. In order for my loss to not be in excess of a Z-Score of 3 as evaluated in terms of basic statistics, I must be both the worst latestage MTT player in the world, and also the best early stage MTT player in the world. This fails the laugh test.

Now let's look at longest breakeven probability. Again, this tends to cap out at around 2000 hands, and given how latestage MTT goes (basically well or, uh, not) it's not really worth much over 2057 hands. Even so, again, I'm right around a Z-Score of 3 and even slightly in excess of it. Given that I'm going to be winning chips early, winning chips midstage, and winning chips late, and winning tournaments, I tend to believe the Z-Score on this too. Tell me how I'm wrong please if you are reading this and are of the inclination to disagree.

Additionaly consider that I didn't actually get to the endgame, which is where the real money is made. Adjust for that, and my cEV performance and my lack of opportunity to even have an opportunity to take in 30% of the prizepool and the actuality of my losing 570 adjusted bets becomes ... frankly startling to me.

All of this happened exactly today, which is also the day on which I have realized all of myself, and on the day that I consider myself to have played the best tournament poker that I have ever played in my life. Any way that you want to twist the data, it still comes out with the same Z-Score, or even larger, and this manifests itself in multiple terms.

Give me an ROI of >180%, for instance as accounted for by the impossible softness of the games and any reasonable cEV winrate and consistent form throughout, and then play 37 games, and return an ROI of -88%.

Give me an ITM of ~14 and then take me 25 games before my first cash, which was a mincash, and then give me another mincash at game 35.

-35 buyins for the day.

4.52 in the roll.

And so I'm going to see about getting my old job back tomorrow, a job that I must admit to find rather boring (but do really enjoy enough to not feel that it's a waste of my time), because when I work there I'm helping to keep people safe and teaching and helping others, and as I write this I must further admit that I am very seriously considering never playing on stars again. Except for the freerolls and the quarterly millions. I may have developed major negative feelings towards the site as a result of my experience today but I'm not stupid.

http://img685.imageshack.us/img685/1051/30407675.jpg

http://img836.imageshack.us/img836/9752/64491817.jpg

http://img186.imageshack.us/img186/4461/bellcurve500.jpg



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Downswings own you.


(or me at least).


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They are about 1400 people short of the guaranteed atm, so I'd consider playing the wcoop 530, if anyone will take about 200-300$ of the action. It started at 17:00 ET

PM or write in comments if you're intested


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http://img251.imageshack.us/img251/5382/graphrl.png
http://img59.imageshack.us/img59/9899/allstats.png

I finally standardized my play somewhat, using positional PF raise sizing and 100% Raise 1st on button vs regs and 50% on CO, I was even able to 9 table today for a couple hours with ease...good stuff.
I still got tilted a lot, but I never went on my usual rampage as the stress from work is gone, and I calmed myself down by a 5 min breathing break or simply took a nap and kept on rocking afterwards.

£2k means I am taking a 2-3 BI shot at NL100, as I want to avoid playing over rolled at NL50 for some bullshit reasons like in the past (I was scared of my tilts). I am a pro, there are no excuses now.

I also unfortunately made a Goldstar at Stars in those 8 days, so I just can't imagine I'd leave this wretched site now. I tried merge and ipoker, but my PC is so slow and the software tilts me so badly I can't play more than 2 tables at that bullshit (especially w/o tableninja).



P.S. Lol, look at TL nerds:
http://www.teamliquid.net/blogs/viewblog.php?id=152273
(I knew I wouldn't get a response here ;o)



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i like this book alot and i think that you'd like it too and so, bam, here it is.

it's about a guy who lives in the future. he's a master of games, in all forms. board games, card games, games of both complete and incomplete information. he lives an idyllic life, in which he socializes and fucks and is adored and respected by millions. he wants for nothing.

and then he hears about a game that is so big, so strong, and so challenging so as to defy all reasonable efforts at convenient categorization. he travels out across the stars, just to play it in the place where it is played.

stuff happens.

http://www.amazon.com/The-Player-of-G...&s=digital-text&qid=1284306706&sr=8-5

kindle

http://www.amazon.com/Player-Games-Ia...ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1284306706&sr=8-1

paperback

if you like it i got more that i think that you'll like seeing and hearing and reading and so let me know if you enjoyed it via pm. the feedback will let me know if this is or isn't a waste of my time. i suspect that it may be a minor waste of time, but if i actually notice a sizable number in my affiliate account at some point i may continue.


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