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Last two sessions
  TalentedTom, Jul 24 2006

Played ~3k hands up about 4k back to the way it used to be. Still taking a few ridicilous beats but everything is under control now. One thing I am beginning to notice is that I'm doing very well in the 6-max tables, even with the bad beats I take in them I just seem to make a ton of money there. Perhaps the loose-aggresive strategy is more profitable in these (which makes sence). I notice some people are just massive donks and will play massive pots with complete trash so I'm calming down on a bluffing, not to the degree where I become predictable.
On another note - there's this guy who I used to play 1/2NL with - VaeSolis who seems to be putting in 10h+ daily and he's completley killing the stakes. His play is nothing special he just has the determination to play through amazinly long stretches, this guy will definatley go very far, very fast.

My hands:
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/52248 * For some reason my AA keeps running into AA, this is the 4rth time this week... very weird.
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/52291 *You can notice a trend I lost a lot of pots when I'm a massive favorate
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/52251
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/52287 *Actually this is a really easy call because this player is loose aggresive - he obviously acts like he likes his hand post-flop but only hand he can have that likes this flop is AK, KQ, KJ, KT, but he raises all these hands preflop, as well as pocket tens. So in my mind - as long as he does not have pocket 4's I'm going to win this pot. I also don't think he would reraise me with a weak-king because he would be scared. I could of course be completley wrong and donk off money but it didn't happen that way.
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/52267
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53095
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/52218 *Check on the flop gave his hand away completley. Also I didn't think this short-stack would reraise me with a big pocket pair preflop because he would want to extract maximum value. I had a weird feeling even preflop that he had AK.
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53117
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53161
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53168

I'm also trying to qualify for that 2.5million dollar freeroll here is how I am currently doing:
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53180
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53166 *If I win this hand I would have enough chips to sail to the next round... these tourney players are attrocious. It's really frustrating going through a feird of 10, 000 and finishing 200th and getting nothing because of a retarded beat.


I should eventually win one of these, the player quality is absolutley terrible.



*****1 votes

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Today
  TalentedTom, Jul 25 2006

Today I played two sessions each ~800 hands or so, session one I finished +$1900 session two finished +$1700. Ran preety solid, when my good hands hold up things generally run very smoothly. I don't think I took any significant bad beats today, lost a few races against shortstacks, and made one mis-read with TT vs 40bb stack who had AA but that's fine. I played some really great poker today, made some good reads, and extracted very good value from my hands.

Hand history:
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53484
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53430 *I thought he had bottom set, or flush draw either way ez call.
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53418 *I don't know what thsi guy is thinking... my raise is a little fishy I guess he mis-read me.
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53437
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53497 *I suppose I got lucky today that my sets held up against the flush draws, this balances out all the other times I lost I guess.

Thoughts:
Had a really solid day. I'm becoming very comfortable playing this style and will probably move up stakes soon, perhaps next month. I have yet to experience a really severe downswing where I finish the day -10 buy ins I suspect eventually I'll have one of these days. Worst downswing I've had was first week of May -21 buy in swing but made it back the following week. No more speculation though Time will tell.


Also checked out my winrate since the last time I posted it. So I filtered out the old results and this is my stats for the last two weeks or so. One thing I've changed is that I've tightened up my play. I'm only playing 25-30% of hands now, I feel I have more control that way and as a resulst I have more consistant results. I think it's more optimal for the current stakes I am playing.



*****1 votes

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Does not get worse than this.
  TalentedTom, Jul 27 2006

Well yesturday I did a monster marathon 4800 hands in one day by far the most I have ever done in my life. Felt good to be able to play so many and still play solid poker untill the very end. Things were very up and down the first few hands, lost $3k won $3k lost $1500, won $1200 etc... and then came the big downswing where I was stuck $4800 at one point or something near that number. I was not supposed to win today, my KK kept running into either AA or sets, my AA never once won a big showdown only lost money, my QQ ran into either AK or KK-AA etc... I even lost races QQ v AK and vise-versa against the medium stacks. Finished the day +$2400 from my low point which is great considering I was able grind back after playing so many hands I was still able to play a very solid game.

I also just did a 1600 hand session today so I will include that here. Today I made some absolutley sick laydowns and great plays, it's incredible that I'm even making money today considering the setups that are coming my way. The good thing about losing a lot of money is that it really makes you a stronger player. I am now making some absolutley insane laydowns which in the past I feel I should have made but ended up not doing so. Also I have one 2/4NL hand, that's only because there were only six 3/6 NL tables avaliable so it was either i play some 5/10 or 2/4, because I am not running optimally I decided to play 2/4 NL. If I was running average or better, I would definatley play 5/10.

I also made the descion that I will begin playing 5/10 next month unless this cold-deck run continues for a very long stretch, which I assume it will not. But nothing is for certain, I rememebr the first week of may I lost 20 buy ins at 2/4, losing day every day of the week. I made it back almost immiediatley but I feel also now that I am a much stronger player and I will overcome this much more easily than I did in the past. I actually felt really bad after that bad run in May, because up to that point I was winning about 29 of 30 sessions if not more.

Also, even though I lost or folded (correctly) almost every single big hand today I finished +$1100 which IMO is a great accomplishment, still averaging $1/hand even though my AA/KK are losing every single showdown. When this bs clears I will destoroy 5/10 no more medium sized sessions when I'm winning so I can assure the win, there will be no more mercy I won't stop untill the job is done.

Well, there are a ton of hands:

http://www.liquidpoker.net/hand/id/1/user/492 *6 handed KK v AA is 45:1 against happening, of course that does not matter.
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53776 *This is before I was running bad, still early. If this happened today I would fold.
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53781
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53782 *Again I should have been able to get away from this, but Epipen has been putting a lot of moves on me I felt this hand had decent showdown value. But if this happened today I would prob pitch it.
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53785 *Few hands later this is what I mean.
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53787 *I thought he had AK and if he did he will always fold to a reraise.
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53797 *This was about 2 orbits later, I suppose given the history I should have called, but I do not feel comfortable playing overpairs on these low drawless boards. I gotta work on this part of my game,. this is an attrocious fold.
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53813
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53815 *I almost never value bet here because I can't call a check-raise but this guy was awfull.
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53816 Not sure if I should have pushed this flop, there are a lot of cards that can come that will kill my action. But arguments can be made for either action.
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53817 *This is insane, he chases and hits a 4 outer on a 2 pair board. This guy is loosening up against me which is good
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53818 *Unreal hit, I'm like 99:1 favorate on the flop, but apparently that does not matter. Latey I've been loosing to a lot of these runner runner full houses.
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53825 *Again... He actually paused on the river for like 30 sec. I bet the river because he was so poor and I actualy put him on a very weak ace I thought when he was taking so long I had him...
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53829 *If the queen did not pair I would pitch this, really strange play.
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53830 *Standard AQ play.
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53832 *Again...
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53835
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53840 *They allow me to make a cheap hand which I can overbet for value, but the cards do not fall my way.
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53845 I knew he did not have the jack because he did not 3 bet me obviously no one calls a rearise with a 2 or 3 and he would not value bet any pocket pair on the river because hes scared thats why he falt calls the turn. River had to be a bluff.
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53858 *Again missed multi-draw with very high implied pot odds.
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53869 *He said he had AA Either way I can't call
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53871 *This hand I feel I played perfect, I think he would have folded to a large flop or turn bet, I knew I was way ahead and felt he may be afraid to call a large bet so I decided to extract chips in medium sized components. This is how I would play in lower stakes because the players are not smart enough to see through my plan they just look at the size of the bets.
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53878 *He had quad kings. Biggest laydown I've made in my life I beleive, but it's the correct one. A ton of thought went into this, lucky I had ~90 sec timebank I used 100% of it up and decided fold is optimal play. A lot of reasoning I don't feel like writing 2-3 pharagraphs.
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53900 *This play is so attrocious it's mind boggling...
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53909 *I only called turn because I thought it's conceivable he had a straight draw but he never three barrel bluffs so I had to pitch it. He said he had pocket tens.
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53922 *Another lost race.
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53924 *I didn't think he had the queen, obvious mis-read but his preflop call is absolutley attrocious. I suspect ooooooooooh had AK or TT-99.
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53926 Same guy who called with KQ, he's a terrible player. I would have called any river bet he made. I was almost 85% sure he was bluffing with air. I think had the ten not paired up he would have pushed the river, I think he thought I had the ten and I would not lay trips.
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53927 *Again..
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53932
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53938 * This is an extremley close call, I thought he may have a lower set and did not want to see a fourth spade come. He played his hand perfectly kudos to him.
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/53961 *Tough spot, It's hard to fold here because there's so many hands I can beat, if the 9 came as opposed to the 2 outer-ace I would have won a very healthy pot here.



Today:
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/54232 *lol
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/54240 *Ok so from now on I will play my multi-draws a little stronger, he caught a 3 outer which sucks... I think he would have made a large turn bet if not all in weather or not he missed anyway. I don't know if I played this so terrible because I was allowing him to make a large mistake by staying in the pot betting large but I suppose whenever you can win a uncontested pot you should take it.
I suspect my largest mistake here (something which I changed just now) is not betting large enough on the flop, had I bet $50+ I win this pot uncontested (I think)
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/54244 *Let the donk bluff off his stack. Calling the turn is a big sigh of weakness so I figured he will fire again.
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/54262
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/54307 *They flop straights/sets all day
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/54316 *He donked this hand hard, theres no need to bet out like this it's not like I have JJ and it's a close race, hes miles ahead of any hand I reraise with
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/54321 *More KK v AA please. I was going to push on any non A or Q flop, I guess I was fortunate here. This guy was a complete donkey it's unreal. 50% vpip 20% PFR folding against this kind of player is incredible.
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/54338 *I actually put him on exactly JT and I thought he sucked out the river, I was 80% sure he didnt have a pair. This guy used to be very tight, now hes loosening up but he is in over his head in my opinion. with 67 this is an attrocious call on the turn.
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/54350 *Bet bet bet

Thoughts:
Increase size of bets. My general style is to throw in several medium sized bets I suspect this is good in most cases. I think I will have to learn to change gears and mix up my betting structure more.



*****1 votes

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Really weird...
  TalentedTom, Jul 30 2006

~1450 hands +$2000

For whatever reason that I am unable to explain maybe it was always like this but I did not notice or something, but there seems to be a unusually large amount of weird action flops/hands. Over the past few days my KK just seems to be running into AA like it's standard, it seems at least once every 600 hands or so I get a KK v AA. On top of that there seems to be an unusual large amount of action rigged flops that play themselves eg. I raise from UTG+1 after UTG limps with AKs 65bb stack calls from MP and UTG calls with 80bb stack or so. Flop comes A22 (Jin! right?) Well it seems MP has AA and I just pay him, the one outer hits (I would pay him off on a K22 flop as well obviously but when you hit the A with AK that's preety much an absolute jin hand, especially on a A22 flop)

The good thing today was that I started off by winning my first two all in pots, so right from the get go I was feeling good and was easily able to overcome the adversity that came in the middle.

Something interesting, I am playing differntly now than I was four days ago, my style four days ago is was different than the style i played ten days ago etc... for whatever reason I am playing differentley all the time (I hope this is a good thing) this is something I am begining to notice now. I remember just 4-5 weeks ago and all the time prior to that I would log on and I would preety know what I was gonna go before I even had to do it. By this I mean my play was preety formulaic with a few pinches of bluff, but now I find myself just playing every single hand differntly in every single situation, I think this is a good change. It was definatley a long time coming.

So the new plan is within this week or at latest next week to move to 5/10 NL full time and grind out another 100-200k at those stakes (should not take longer than 2 or 3 months I hope)

Memorable hands from today's session:

http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/55008 *He probably should have gone all in on the flop... kind of stupid with one card to come.
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/55009 *Standard play by both people. I bet my draws just like my made hands so can't fault him for calling.
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/55012 *Rigged
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/55013 *Very next hand, this is the definition of cold deck. I open shove because I have the image of a tilting player (which of course is not the case) and I suspect people may call with 99+ or AK
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/55026 *Same table, this table seemed to have a cold deck.. absolutley unreal stuff going on here
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/55027 *Again same table, back to back AA. My AA runs into KK right after my KK runs into AA to balance it out... This is really an extremley weird run of cards
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/55015 *Eh... really hard to get away from AA on a king high flop, so many hands I beat. Not sure what I could have done differentley here thats +EV long term, three bet scares away weaker hands. I guess he played his hand preety well.
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/55029 *lol that's just about the worst possible way he could have played his hand. Obviously his plan was probably to check raise the turn, funny how donks always think check raise is the best play.
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/55033 *Standard



Mathematically in a full ring game the odds of KK running into AA is 25:1. Given that you get KK once every 210 hands, my KK should run into AA once every 5250 hands... which is like 2-3 times a week. It seems this week it's been happening about once every 800 hands or so varience is a beautiful thing. The funny part is that my KK lost every single time, I never once sucked out, I should win about 20% of the time but I'm 0 for 11 or so



*****1 votes

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Return
  TalentedTom, Jun 25 2006

I've really been slacking off A LOT latley I've never had this much free time avaliable to me, and apparently my time managment skills are non-existant. So starting today I will make a conscience effort to play a solid 8h+ a day for at least 6 of 7 days every week.

Let the madness begin.



*****1 votes

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Day One
  TalentedTom, Jun 26 2006

Okay - I may not be able to do 8h a day every day immidiatley. It's a difficult transition to make, but I will make a conscience effort to put in more hours every day, untill I am eventually albe to play for extended peroids of time.

Todays results : 3/6NL @ Pokerstars, 2400 hands +$1985 ~6 hours

Played a preety solid game, didn't make any terrible calls which is good. Once I learn to play longer I see no reason that I can't make 3-4 buy ins daily so long as I'm not cold-decked. Many of these players are absoluley attrocious these games are not difficult by any means. Here's examples of today's hands.

http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/42703
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/42713
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/42797
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/42809



Poker is indeed a game of hours not results - this is something I wish I had realized earlier, I checked my lifetime winrate @ 3/6 via Pokertracker and im making just a little under 11bb/100, which is definatley maintainable given the calibur of these players. I used to just stop if i won the first 2 or so all in pots and call it a day. But if I was break-even or losing for the day I would continue playing as long as it took... Which is not the correct way to approach this game. There's no reason I cannot make 50k+ a month even jutst playing 3/6 NL full time. This number is very achievable - 50k/ 30 days = ~$1670/day. With a winrate of 10bb/100 (10 is a nice round number) this can be made playing ~2800hands/day which equates to about 6h a day 8-tabling. If I 8-table for 8h+ there's no reason 50k/month cannot be achieved.



*****1 votes

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July
  TalentedTom, Jun 27 2006

Ok, so for the month of July I'm gonna play less cashgames and really play Tournies very hard. Liquidpoker.net is having a MTT challenge for that month and I'm gonna spend that month learning all I can about tournies which is something I've never done before.



*****1 votes

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Tournies Day 1
  TalentedTom, Jun 28 2006

So I played several tournies... had really good results

4rth in the $10R +$4128
2nd in the $55 +$900
8th in the $22 + $93
9in in the 22 + 61


Solid day, weird thing is, this is the most money I've ever won in one day, and it's the first day I ever spend playing tournaments... This is sick. I was initually inspired to play because 2 of the last 3 winners of the last sunday Million were my fellow 2/4 and 3/6NL grinders. Apparently cashgame players are good in every aspect of poker .
I will try and post some hands later its 5:30 am getting kinda late im tired.



*****1 votes

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Can't always run good.
  TalentedTom, Jun 28 2006

Eh I had one decent result today the rest are not really worth talking about.
Today I played the $300+15, $150+12 , $30+3, $5+.5 and a few $22 and $55 sit and go's.
I think I played very poorly in the $315, I accumulated a decent stack early on and then I made one bad call that I think I should have been able to get away form... I made the mistake of going broke with one pair - Which is something I hardley ever do. I also donked off my chips in the $10 rebuy with a low pocket pair when I really felt I was beat but I could not get away from it because 33% of my chips were in play... but that's no excuse.
Only half-decent finishes are 2nd in the $5+.5 ~650 profit and 21th in the $30+3 ~130
I actually outplayed the guy heads up in the $5+.5 but he won every single all in pot - he won 4 in a row, after each one I chipped away got a big chip lead and lost another coinflip. Really satisfied with the way I played there.
My net for the day is a grand total of $84, what a fantastic day.

Thoughts:
-Play solid tight poker
-Trust my instinct and make the correct play as oppose to just playing the numbers and calling because of pot odds.



*****1 votes

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Good quote
  TalentedTom, Jun 29 2006

I'm reflecting on some of the hands I've gone broke with. Often I went against my guy feeling and just made the "correct play" which has resulted in me busting when this could have been avoided. I remember Phil Ivey saying "We all know about probabily and stuff like that, but eventually it gets down to, does he have it or not?"
I think this is the answer I will be asking myself more often as opposed to making "correct" plays. My results have been decent so far, but I have very high expectations and am always looking for ways to increase my skill level. I think this will help, trusting my instinct more often and having no regrets.



*****1 votes

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