UFC FN 178: Covington vs. Woodley

Date: Saturday, September 19
Main Card (ESPN+): 1:00 LP.net / 5pm PST / 8pm EST
Preliminary Card (ESPN+): 22:00 LP.net / 2pm PST / 5pm EST
Live Streams: http://crackstreams.com/mma/2/




Main Card (ESPN+)

Colby Covington (15-2) vs. Tyron Woodley (19-5-1) (Welterweight)
Donald Cerrone (36-15) vs. Niko Price (14-4) (Welterweight)
Khamzat Chimaev (8-0) vs. Gerald Meerschaert (31-13) (Middleweight)
Johnny Walker (17-5) vs. Ryan Spann (18-5) (Light Heavyweight)
Mackenzie Dern (8-1) vs. Randa Markos (10-8-1) (Women's Strawweight)
Kevin Holland (18-5) vs. Darren Stewart (12-5) (Middleweight)

Preliminary Card (ESPN+)

Jordan Espinosa (15-7) vs. David Dvorak (18-3) (Flyweight)
Mirsad Bektic (13-3) vs. Damon Jackson (17-3-1)
Mayra Bueno Silva (5-1) vs. Mara Romero Borella (11-8) (Women's Flyweight)
Jessica-Rose Clark (9-6) vs. Sarah Alpar (9-4) (Women's Strawweight)
Darrick Minner (24-11) vs. T.J. Laramie (12-3) (Featherweight)
Journey Newson (9-2) vs. Randy Costa (5-1) (Bantamweight)
Andre Ewell (16-6) vs. Irwin Rivera (10-5) (Bantamweight)
Tyson Nam (19-11-1) vs. Jerome Rivera (10-2) (Bantamweight)

Other

- A welterweight bout between Mickey Gall and Miguel Baeza was scheduled for the event. However on September 11, Gall pulled out due to an injury. He was replaced by Jeremiah Wells on September 15.
- A featherweight bout between Mirsad Bektic and Luiz Eduardo Garagorri was scheduled for the event. However on September 15, Garagorri was pulled from the fight after one of his cornermen tested positive for COVID-19. Bektic is now expected to face returning veteran Damon Jackson as of September 17.

My pre-fight bets are finalized:

• Niko Price ML -150 $300 for $200
• Randa Markos decision +285 $30 for $85.50
• Tyson Nam decision +312 $10 for $31.20
• Jordan Espinosa -110 $110 for $100

• Parlay: Holland + Laramie $150 for $136.36


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Mirsad Bektic's opponent recently pulled out. We don't know if he'll get a replacement yet. As of now, there are 14 fights on this card, with a possibility of there being 15 fights.

First impression of the match-ups:

• Covington > Woodley
• Price > Cerrone
• Chimaev > Meerschaert
• Spann > Walker
• Markos > Dern
• Holland > Stewart
• Silva > Borella
• Espinosa > Dvorak
• Clark vs. Alpar (dunno)
• Newson > Costa
• Ewell > Rivera
• Laramie > Minner
• Baeza > Wells
• Nam > Rivera

I got Nam and Chimaev parlay and Ewell and Holland parlay. That's it. Pretty safe bets I think.

Following you on Markos.

I think Woodley is a good bet at +290, price and Chimaev are good bets too imo

I'd rather go for the under 4.5 rounds. Woodley could, 'let his hands go' and get a KO or get Covington's neck via guillotine.

On September 17 2020 21:17 alejandicto wrote: I think Woodley is a good bet at +290, price and Chimaev are good bets too imo

Woodley can't win a decision in this match-up, which means his ITD line is better at +430.

On September 18 2020 06:56 captainhook wrote: I'd rather go for the under 4.5 rounds. Woodley could, 'let his hands go' and get a KO or get Covington's neck via guillotine.

I thought about this fight a lot, and I really think it will end ITD. Most think it'll go to a decision, and they're thinking this is a regular fight between these 2 guys, but there are many other things that lead up to this fight ending ITD, imo.

All of my online money is tied up in other bets, but once those win, I will add $200 or $300 on Covington/Woodley ITD +155.

^ Gonna bet that instead of Markos.

Question, Puertorican, how confident are you on the Newson lean? I kinda like Costa here.

Nvm... Safe bets only... I think taking the under 1.5 rounds is way better.

You're right. I'll go for under 1.5. It's either Costa finishes Newson early or Costa gasses out and getting finished by Newson early in the second round.

Randy "The Zohan" Costa with a nice head kick KO.

Pretty sure Laramie shit on a lot of parlays. Lol.

Bektic could be another one.

I faded Mirsad Bektic for this very reason.

I have Damon Jackson in several late slate teams on DraftKings.

Espinosa not as fast as I thought he would be.

Bad performance by Espinosa.

Good performance by Dvorak.

Kevin Holland clearly won 2-1, but he messed around too much in that fight.

On September 20 2020 00:33 PuertoRican wrote: Kevin Holland clearly won 2-1, but he messed around too much in that fight.

And he got tired in the last round.