Galfond €100/200 Battles

let's go baby
https://www.runitonce.eu/galfond-challenge/


LARGE POTS FROM THE CHALLENGE:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/...eWTBPoF11pL8P19PMvxKj15aSw/edit#gid=0

Stream now
https://www.twitch.tv/RunItOncePoker
16:00 - 20:0 GMT
staples commenting

Showdowns show for super short time
and there's no replayer apparently

damn hard for me to understand what's happening

I dont play plo either but I'm following this challenge with interest. I really don't know what Phil was thinking into getting into these bets, many of which he seems very -EV in. Phil has also recently stated in a podcast with ChicagoJoey that RunitOnce is currently losing money/not profitable yet.

9bi down after 2.5k hands

Is venivici a new plo god?

He should be able to make back some money from perkins after this one.

He can win max 400k+250 from Perkins

Also his exposure vs jungle and actionfreak is very significant.

https://www.highstakesdb.com/profiles/pokerstars/ActionFreak.aspx
(Actionfreak hsdb)

Also think 1mm : 250k is a lot to lay in terms of sidebet vs Kornuth.

He should roll over kornuth after getting this much practice vs a top reg
It's 50k hands too, easy win

Main Q is if he can bring down his loss rate vs actionfreak to a few bb/100
would be a big achievement

It'd be shocking if he managed to beat ActionFreak
he's been one of the top regs apparently
and he;s battling llinus effectively simulating the challenge

Vs a stronger opponent than phil

Wonder why he accepted action from actionfreak. Seems like a bad idea. Gelfond is smart and has surely been studying and getting coaching from Sauce etc. To brush up.

How good is linus at PLO?

it's marketing
and he knew he'd get 0-1 coaches to play him so he opened the challenge up

I don't understand the game much
But Phil seems to be improving a lot in the Vani match
you see less of that weird blockbet fold stuff for one etc.

down 750k after 9k hands.

-900k now wtf

taking a break

I don't understand btw, he kept saying he felt he has an edge, expected to be winning
Even 500k down he tweeted that he's got a better strategy based on hands

45 BIS down he kept saying this went against his positive expectation before the challenge so it was even worse than 45 BI...


But...how? He hasn't played a long highstakes battle in well over 10 years, ever since he got to nosebleeds he wasn't battling regs self admittedly

And he's vs an up and comer top10-20 guy who was studying and grinding nonstop past few years


He was always supposed to be a slight dog at least
This brutal bad run aside

the kind of people who make it to nosebleeds almost have to have an irrational belief in themselves I think

Galfond too optimistic, just like his site.

He is delusional, look at how many people lined up to play him.

Meanwhile in no limit, no one really wants to play each other anymore

huge rally by galfond since this thread died

damn this is actually a great match but its getting no attention cause coronavirus

On March 26 2020 07:16 Jelle wrote: huge rally by galfond since this thread died damn this is actually a great match but its getting no attention cause coronavirus

Over 4k viewers at the moment. Pre break it was usually around 3k

Ah cool! Had no idea

galfond such a sicko the whole community shitting on him when he was super down decided to take a break paying a few k a day in fines and now getting close to even

Nvm lol

I know a lot of people rooting for him and think he is a sicko for turning it around, but Galfond is getting slaughtered so far, -7bb/100 is not a good winrate for reg vs reg at nosebleeds, in 2020. Of course, it may be that galfond is just running bad and is the better player, or it could be he is only a marginal loser at -2bb/100~.

On February 17 2020 00:47 Stroggoz wrote: He is delusional, look at how many people lined up to play him. Meanwhile in no limit, no one really wants to play each other anymore

I'm curious, why no one wants to play each other in NLHE?

There's some battling in nlhe for HU, but the game is close to solved so edges tend to be small. maybe ask drone666 since he is the HU specialist on LP, he plays up to 10/20 hu so he would know better.

3 and 4max in nlhe hardly happen either. The average winrate for a reg in 3max at highstakes is -1.5bb/100~, and its usually only the very best regs that are battling 3 handed.

lots of action NLHU lately, it's mostly battles going on stars, if you check highstakes thread on 2+2, majority of hands are NLHU
and I dont think the current NLHU top regs are that good or close to GTO, so I dont think the game is solved, Linus kicks eveyrone's ass when he plays HU now I think

Linus not HU top reg? wtf

predictions in this bout age as well as Coronavirus predictions lol, Galfond is now the betting favorite!

not gona lie i come off as a total moron now.

On April 02 2020 22:57 Baalim wrote: Linus not HU top reg? wtf

that's the opposite of what I said
he wasn't, now he is

this variance is so unbeleivably the exact kind of variance you'd want for a movie script where the hero has an epic comeback at the end.

There’s ~20k in rake missing from those numbers. This could end up mattering a lot if the deal says that Veni must be ‘up’ but I’m sure they thought of that...

On April 07 2020 10:26 Oly wrote: There’s ~20k in rake missing from those numbers. This could end up mattering a lot if the deal says that Veni must be ‘up’ but I’m sure they thought of that...

If rake was missing surely the number that Galfond is up and Veni is down would be different?

Yes, missing in that it is not represented because the numbers should be different.

very cool Galfond interview at Joeingram podcast

I agree with most of what he says about solvers, even though his point is stronger for PLO
but people play very far from solvers still ( even nlhu ) and it's not very efficient to try to emulate a solver as a base strategy

in 6max People play a lot more like solvers, and far better, than they did 3 years ago. But yeah there are still a lot of mistakes people make, and in general the less common a spot is the more deviation from solver strategy in the population.

a lot of nodelocking is just clicking buttons as well. For example if someone overfolds rivers a lot, you can only nodelock for one specific turn + river card. That's 44x43 different rivers you need to nodelock for if you want to see the real affect it would have on flop+turn strategies. You can't accurately study most spots with nodelocking.

I also have a bunch of z500 hands from 2015 and it's remarkable the difference between how people played back then and how they do now, i could post the differences if people want

yes please

Don't tell me people play like solvers BBvBU and BvB properly
literally 0 regs play near even the limited solver sizings and frequencies at NL200 in those two

I keep playing vs solver in twose two spots and I'm miles off and so is everyone else I play

even w/ ~300 hands left. pretty sick

GOOD GAME GG GG GG GG

so awesome 160 hands left

what a legend

That finish, that was up there with the Isildur games. Awesome

Also I’ve been looking at the next challenge v Bill Perkins and I think Phil has done a fantastic piece of business since 4-1 is illusory because Bill Perkins wouldn’t have played him like this otherwise.

Because it is first to 20bi it is effectively 1400k v 650k so nearly 2-1. That’s pretty good odds to trap a fish at.

On April 12 2020 18:49 lostaccount wrote: GOOD GAME GG GG GG GG

GG INFINITY

Giga sick

Challenge vs Perkins started today

damn what a hero lol

2 sessions complete vs ActionFreak. Didn't watch too many hands but I saw at one point in the 2nd session Phil was up 200k and by the end ActionFreak had won all of that back. Pretty close to even after 1k hands

Yeah. They are playing 150/3 and I think not breaking stacks so should be some big swings.

On April 29 2020 02:22 ToT)MidiaN( wrote: 2 sessions complete vs ActionFreak. Didn't watch too many hands but I saw at one point in the 2nd session Phil was up 200k and by the end ActionFreak had won all of that back. Pretty close to even after 1k hands

i saw the highlights of that phil ran like god than returned to earth pretty much... not looking great for phil from that sess..but he adapts a lot so shall be fun

+310k session today though!

How is nobody talking about Polk vs Negreanu.

Finally Negreanu decided to pay for his sins by donating a good pile of cash willingly to Polk

I wonder how much worse Doug is at poker after not playing for so long

very bad, I thought he was going to be decent, but seems like games changed more than I thought lol
he got raped by random recs from twitter at nl400

this game definitely needs some insane devotion to keep up with current meta. feels so much like broodwar haha

On January 24 2020 12:45 hiems wrote: I dont play plo either but I'm following this challenge with interest. I really don't know what Phil was thinking into getting into these bets, many of which he seems very -EV in. Phil has also recently stated in a podcast with ChicagoJoey that RunitOnce is currently losing money/not profitable yet.

I'm thinking about joining the game
Could you give me a couple of tips?
I'm still a noob...
Now I play online casino Malaysia I really like gambling there are many types of poker there are also bets damn it's very cool I make 100 and 200 bucks here all the time, almost.... but I always have a profit My friends say I have a talent for casinos. last time we was walking and spending my money. I love poker very much and I want to develop , I know there are a lot of experienced players here. Could you give me some advice?