UFC 198: Werdum vs. Miocic - Page 11

Shogun was at +odds at livebetting for most of the fight. He was a favorite only after the 1st round and also after dropping Corey in the 2nd. Other than that he was going between the +120/+170 range.

Looking at it back it was a mistake not to hedge and cash a small profit given the opportunity and seeing how the fight was unfolding. I was a little swayed though by the Alves - Barbarena fight, where I thought it was a very close fight and the judges in Brasil will for sure give the nod to Alves. All 3 gave it unanimously for Barbarena and looking at all the other fights I thought that judging was fine and there was no bias for brazilian fighters.

Stipe - Reem is a 50/50 fight, imo. Miocic striking defence is not very good and Overeem can crack him a lot of different things. If Alistair can avoid the takedowns, which I think he can, He has a pretty good shot at laying Stipe out.

On May 16 2016 12:04 northsails wrote: Shogun was at +odds at livebetting for most of the fight. He was a favorite only after the 1st round and also after dropping Corey in the 2nd. Other than that he was going between the +120/+170 range. Looking at it back it was a mistake not to hedge and cash a small profit given the opportunity and seeing how the fight was unfolding. I was a little swayed though by the Alves - Barbarena fight, where I thought it was a very close fight and the judges in Brasil will for sure give the nod to Alves. All 3 gave it unanimously for Barbarena and looking at all the other fights I thought that judging was fine and there was no bias for brazilian fighters. Stipe - Reem is a 50/50 fight, imo. Miocic striking defence is not very good and Overeem can crack him a lot of different things. If Alistair can avoid the takedowns, which I think he can, He has a pretty good shot at laying Stipe out.

Reem will need to get on the inside. He won't do well on the outside with the style he used against JDS and Arlovski because Stipe is the much better boxer, wrestler, throws a lot more strikes, has the better chin, and has better foot movement.

I really want Reem to win, though.

Edit: Reem has the much better kicks, but he can only throw so many of them before he'll get tired. Greg Jackson will hopefully have another good game plan for him.

I wonder how much they pay Greg Jackson, every fighter that trains with him for a longer period of time becomes such a beast, actually feels like JBJ is the one that has least progress

On May 16 2016 15:13 PuertoRican wrote: Show nested quote + On May 16 2016 12:04 northsails wrote: Shogun was at +odds at livebetting for most of the fight. He was a favorite only after the 1st round and also after dropping Corey in the 2nd. Other than that he was going between the +120/+170 range. Looking at it back it was a mistake not to hedge and cash a small profit given the opportunity and seeing how the fight was unfolding. I was a little swayed though by the Alves - Barbarena fight, where I thought it was a very close fight and the judges in Brasil will for sure give the nod to Alves. All 3 gave it unanimously for Barbarena and looking at all the other fights I thought that judging was fine and there was no bias for brazilian fighters. Stipe - Reem is a 50/50 fight, imo. Miocic striking defence is not very good and Overeem can crack him a lot of different things. If Alistair can avoid the takedowns, which I think he can, He has a pretty good shot at laying Stipe out. Reem will need to get on the inside. He won't do well on the outside with the style he used against JDS and Arlovski because Stipe is the much better boxer, wrestler, throws a lot more strikes, has the better chin, and has better foot movement. I really want Reem to win, though. Edit: Reem has the much better kicks, but he can only throw so many of them before he'll get tired. Greg Jackson will hopefully have another good game plan for him.

Don't agree with the first part. Reem getting on the inside and exchanging with Stipe is recipe for getting knocked out. He needs to stay on the outside pick his shots and when in close range clinch. His clinch is brutal. Very fun match up. I just hope they don't give the title shot to Cain if he beats Browne up.

On May 16 2016 11:08 SleepyHead wrote: It looked to me like he staggered Stipe a little and then he way overcommitted trying to get the finish

Stipe wasnt staggered actually he connected an identical right hook about 4 seconds before the KO that stunned Werdum, but he kept chasing like an idiot and got hit exactly in the same way

I think pressure brawlers like Rothwell or pot shotters like JDS are more dangerous to Reem than Stipe's technical style, Id like a bet on Reem on anything over -130