UFC FN 70: Machida vs Romero - Page 4

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Romero By Decision 8.0
Romero ML 2.7
Machida in Round 3 9.0
Machida in Round 4 12.0
Machida in Round 5 22.0
Hacran Dias ML
Larkin/Ponzonibio U2.5

Final bets:

Romero > Machida @ +165 - $40 to win $66
Romero/Machida U 2.5 rds @ -110 - $55 to win $50
Romero/Machida U 2.5 + Larkin Parlay @ +180 - $30 to win $53.91
Larkin + Carlos Jr Parlay @ +122 - $40 to win $49.45
Bosse/Santos U 1.5 rds @ +120 - $30 to win $36
Romera/Machida U 2.5 + Bosse/Santos U 1.5 + Larkin + Carlos Jr. Parlay @ +831 - $35 to win $293.73
Romero via KO @ +228 - $20 to win $45.80
Larkin v Ponz u 2.5 @ +115 - $30 to win $34.50
Bosse by ko/tko/dq @ @ +285 - $10 to win $28.50
Machida wins in Round 3 @ +900 - $35 to win $315.00
Machida wins in Round 4 @ +1400 - $20 to win $280.00
Machida wins in Round 5 @ +2002 - $10 to win $200.20
Larkin via ko/tko/dq @ +170 - $20 to win $34.00
Ponzonibio via ko/tko/dq @ +599 - $20 to win $119.60

On my way home. Just went to a BBQ competition.

UFC prelims start in 1 hour 30 minutes.

My bets pre-live betting:

+ Show Spoiler +

Some other guy just said this: "Just now on the UFC pre-fight show on Fox Sports 2 Rashad Evans said that he trained with Steve Bosse a while ago and that Bosse has no ground and that from what he heard he still hasn't gotten any better since then. So I added this prop: Thiago Santos wins by submission (+1100) $15.00 for $165.00."

I added a bet to Santos submission +990.

Followed you and bet on kakai lol

Nice performance from Kakai. He took round 3 off, though...

Why you think Gonzalez wins

I bet Gonzalez before he missed weight. I decided to keep my bet. If he's not sick or injured, then he'll win. I'll be ready to live bet after I see how he does in round 1. Also, if Silva doesn't clearly win round 1, he usually won't win the fight, since he gets worse after each round.

What a fucking KO by Simms after getting zapped hard by a knee. I enjoyed that.

Sweet KO by Sims.

Just added Silva submission +350 (.5u) as a hedge to my original bets on Gonzalez. Not sure why Gonzalez missed weight, especially since he is moving UP in weight for this fight...

If Gonzalez isn't sick/injured, I still expect him to win and for the fight to go Over 2.5 rounds.

Too bad Gonzalez gassed after round 1. He had nothing left, but Silva barely won, imo.

The scores were wrong, imo. I had it 29-28 for Silva. Two judges gave it 30-27 to Silva.

I put small bet on Gonzalez and bigger bet on over

Scared for machida

Hopefully the main card is more exciting than the Cowboy vs. Merritt fight.

Ya, now gooo Dias

These have been some of the most riduclously awful fights I've seen. When you put wrestlesrs into that small cage it just turns stupid as they cant do anythign to each other and just fight over who is trying to push the other one against the cage. That move should actually not be counted positively at alll......its a neutral move, but it looks like aggression and there is no escape. So fighters use it in key moments to try to steal rounds (if they win = takedown ++, if they lose equal aggression ++ or neutral). I'm not sure to the fix, but there has to be one as it kind of ruins the sport. The best fix I have is after 30seconds break them up or count it negative merit after they hold it too long.

Wow, he just stole that. I was sure he lost that.

Close one