PuertoRican   United States. Apr 07 2015 00:00. Posts 13050
Date: Saturday, April 11th
Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass): 16:45 LP.net / 8:45am PST / 11:45am EST
Main Card (UFC Fight Pass): 20:00 LP.net / 12pm PST / 3pm EST
Live Streams: http://www.vipbox.tv (All MMA events are listed under the UFC button. Press the UFC button and you'll see the event in the list.)
- Peter Sobotta was expected to face Sergio Moraes at the event. However, Sobotta was forced out of the bout citing injury and was replaced by Gasan Umalatov. On March 28, it was announced that Umalatov had also pulled out of the fight and was replaced by French newcomer Mickael Lebout.
- Krzysztof Jotko was expected to face Garreth McLellan at the event. However, Jotko pulled out of the bout and was replaced by Bartosz Fabinski.
- Aisling Daly was expected to face Claudia Gadelha at the event. However, Gadelha pulled out of the bout in late March citing a recent muscle spasm in her back. Subsequently, Daly was pulled from the card entirely.
- Jason Saggo was expected to face Marcin Bandel at the event. However, Saggo pulled out of the bout due to an Achilles tendon rupture and was replaced by Scottish newcomer Steven Ray.
Rekrul is a newb
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PuertoRican   United States. Apr 07 2015 00:04. Posts 13050
I'm not gonna even bother making picks for this card, cuz I don't know who 80% of these people are. Even with Gonzaga vs. Crocop, I have no idea.
The only fight I might have a read on is Calderwood over Moroz, and that's cuz Calderwood is a relatively popular female fighter and the UFC is making its debut in Scotland in a few months. If Calderwood wins this fight, the UFC could match her up against Joanna Jedrzejczyk for the title in Scotland. Two strikers with good take down defense.
On April 07 2015 00:18 northsails wrote:
I like Jan Blackowicz at the current odds.
Mind to explain why? I personally think Manuwa will take this easily.Manuwa is easily top 10 material. Jan B?achowicz is on his second UFC fight, never fought anyone truly good, and did a bleh performance against Houston Alexander.
james9994: make note dont play against floofy, ;(
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PuertoRican   United States. Apr 07 2015 03:13. Posts 13050
Joanne Calderwood (9-0) vs. Maryna Moroz (5-0) (Women's Strawweight)
This is one difficult because there is very little info on Maryna Moroz. Her most recent fight, she seemed to get dominated, but then managed to pull a submission. Her other fight i found of her, she fought a really scary women dwarf but its 2 years ago it does not mean much. I'm not sure who i'm gonna bet on.
Overall, i'm feeling this is likely to look like Joanna vs Carla (Calderwood should be the far better striker, and i don't think Moroz can easily get her to the ground), but if it does get to the ground, Moroz seems fairly good at pulling off subs, and Calderwood doesnt have the best ground game. The odds are probably about right at the moment. I think if Moroz by sub has good enough odds, i might put a small bet on that, and one on calderwoods that covers it.
On April 07 2015 00:18 northsails wrote:
I like Jan Blackowicz at the current odds.
Mind to explain why? I personally think Manuwa will take this easily.Manuwa is easily top 10 material. Jan B?achowicz is on his second UFC fight, never fought anyone truly good, and did a bleh performance against Houston Alexander.
Well Manuwa's never fought anyone truly good aswell, if we don't count the fight against Gus where he got smashed. His stand up is good, but B?achowicz is legit there also and I believe he will have cardio advantage. Honestly I see this fight as a coinfilp and it should be the best fight on the card.
Better cardio, home advantage and odds around +140. I will take that.
Keep in mind that the lined opened at -115 for Blachowicz. I deffinately feel there is value there.
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ToT)MidiaN(   United Kingdom. Apr 07 2015 10:36. Posts 5070
Crocop looks so old in that banner :/ Used to love him back in the day, but think he should've retired long ago
One day good. One day bad. And some days, even hope
I have faith on Crocop, I will bet on him at +150, Gonzaga is pretty bad so I dont think this is a bad bet.
I think Manuwa take this easily although I dont know too much about Blachowicz. I will only watch this two fights for obvious reasons.
Last edit: 07/04/2015 16:09
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PuertoRican   United States. Apr 07 2015 17:16. Posts 13050
While CC is 40 years old now, he has kept busy since his release from the UFC in 2011. He went 3-1 in MMA (lost via submission to Oleksiy Oliynyk, who is 2-0 in the UFC), bust mostly focused on kickboxing where he went 7-1 (lost a decision to Remy Bonjasky). Gonzaga has went 4-3 in the UFC since CC's release, but he's lost to tougher competition, and beat weaker competition.
No idea who'll win, but there's no way I'd bet Gonzaga at his current price of -170. It's crazy he even hit -260 at one point.
On April 07 2015 00:18 northsails wrote:
I like Jan Blackowicz at the current odds.
Mind to explain why? I personally think Manuwa will take this easily.Manuwa is easily top 10 material. Jan B?achowicz is on his second UFC fight, never fought anyone truly good, and did a bleh performance against Houston Alexander.
Well Manuwa's never fought anyone truly good aswell, if we don't count the fight against Gus where he got smashed. His stand up is good, but B?achowicz is legit there also and I believe he will have cardio advantage. Honestly I see this fight as a coinfilp and it should be the best fight on the card.
Better cardio, home advantage and odds around +140. I will take that.
Keep in mind that the lined opened at -115 for Blachowicz. I deffinately feel there is value there.
I agree with you its the best fight on card. You convinced me to rethink this. My bet might depends on where the line goes tho.
On April 07 2015 16:16 PuertoRican wrote:
While CC is 40 years old now, he has kept busy since his release from the UFC in 2011. He went 3-1 in MMA (lost via submission to Oleksiy Oliynyk, who is 2-0 in the UFC), bust mostly focused on kickboxing where he went 7-1 (lost a decision to Remy Bonjasky). Gonzaga has went 4-3 in the UFC since CC's release, but he's lost to tougher competition, and beat weaker competition.
No idea who'll win, but there's no way I'd bet Gonzaga at his current price of -170. It's crazy he even hit -260 at one point.
I was going to say that Crocop was done then saw this... then I saw Jack Slacks article that shows those MMA and kickboxing fights and Im back to my original though... Crocop is fucking done, he is going to lose this fight and Ill bet at anythig better than -150 to Gonzaga
I kinda wish i had bet Gonzaga at -170, but now that cro cop is +180, i'm thinking that if i can get him at +200 with reduiced juice, he might be a good pick. Even tho he clearly is not the favorite, i think the possiblity of him winning is very real. Both guys are way past their primes, and are both unreliable, especially at heavyweights. Upset can definetly happen. Also factor in Cro cop's home advantage, and win streak, vs Gonzaga's losing streak, its not that crazy to bet on Cro cop.
james9994: make note dont play against floofy, ;(
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PuertoRican   United States. Apr 10 2015 20:22. Posts 13050
Mirko Filipovic (232) vs. Gabriel Gonzaga (255)
Jan Blachowicz (204) vs. Jimi Manuwa (206)
Pawel Pawlak (169) vs. Sheldon Westcott (169)
Joanne Calderwood (115) vs. Maryna Moroz (115)
Seth Baczynski (170) vs. Leon Edwards (170)
Bartosz Fabinski (184) vs. Garreth McLellan (184)
Mickael Lebout (169) vs. Sergio Moraes (171)
Yaotzin Meza (146) vs. Damian Stasiak (145)
Daniel Omielanczuk (243) vs. Anthony Hamilton (259)
Alexandra Albu (114) vs. Izabela Badurek (115.6)*
Marcin Bandel (154) vs. Stevie Ray (155)
Rocky Lee (145) vs. Taylor Lapilus (144)
soberstone   United States. Apr 11 2015 19:42. Posts 2662
Bets on Edwards + Manuwa and Manuwa SU.
Edwards insta-KO!
Can't believe I'm getting Manuwa at -109... I don't know why the line has shifted so much. Maybe I'm missing something, we'll see.
Last edit: 11/04/2015 19:48
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PuertoRican   United States. Apr 11 2015 19:48. Posts 13050
I have no bets on this card, just DraftKings teams.
Seth getting KO`ed like that will mean he will retire after this match, and for sure be cut from the UFC. They did him a solid by keeping him around to fight in Poland, which is something he wanted to do for a long time.
Rekrul is a newb
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soberstone   United States. Apr 11 2015 20:31. Posts 2662
Wow. Jojo hype-train de-railed big time. Enormously devastating loss to her career.
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PuertoRican   United States. Apr 11 2015 20:47. Posts 13050
Win 6 Team Parlay
Win 4/11/15 5:00pm UFC Fighting 1001 Mirko Filipovic +185* vs Gabriel Gonzaga
Win 4/11/15 4:30pm UFC Fighting 1102 Jimi Manuwa -115* vs Jan Blachowicz
Win 4/11/15 3:00pm UFC Fighting 1401 Leon Edwards -135* vs Seth Baczynski
Win 4/11/15 12:30pm UFC Fighting 1901 Aleksandra Albu -230* vs Izabela Badurek
Win 4/11/15 12:00pm UFC Fighting 2002 Stevie Ray -155* vs Marcin Bandel
Win 4/11/15 11:30am UFC Fighting 2102 Taylor Lapilus -150* vs Rocky Lee
+3500 parlay. woot
Up around 25 units this weekend, great weekend.
james9994: make note dont play against floofy, ;(
Last edit: 11/04/2015 22:18
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PuertoRican   United States. Apr 11 2015 22:20. Posts 13050
Cut over GG's right eyebrow.
Rekrul is a newb
Last edit: 11/04/2015 22:25
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soberstone   United States. Apr 11 2015 23:21. Posts 2662
Manowa had a torn ACL, MCL, and Meniscus... no wonder all that late money came in on Blachowitz. Luckily for me he still won, but that explains the odds shift I guess.
On April 11 2015 22:21 soberstone wrote:
Manowa had a torn ACL, MCL, and Meniscus... no wonder all that late money came in on Blachowitz. Luckily for me he still won, but that explains the odds shift I guess.
I was also wondering why manuwa's line dropped hardcore like this.
How did they know?
james9994: make note dont play against floofy, ;(
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PuertoRican   United States. Apr 12 2015 19:00. Posts 13050
I didn't have any bets on Bellator and UFC this weekend, but I won $55 from Bellator, and $55 from UFC:
Things would've been much better if Gonzaga finished Cro Cop. I can't believe a sick BJJ fighter like Gonzaga couldn't finish Cro Cop when he had full-mount in the 1st AND 2nd round... So weird.
Rekrul is a newb
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MyAnacondaDont   United States. Apr 12 2015 19:02. Posts 164
is that mma fantasy league?
“I never did give them hell. I just told the truth, and they thought it was hell.”
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PuertoRican   United States. Apr 12 2015 19:04. Posts 13050
On April 12 2015 18:02 MyAnacondaDont wrote:
is that mma fantasy league?
Oops. Yeah, it's from a fantasy league. I just woke up, so my previous sentence made no sense.
Anyway, I didn't bet any money this weekend on Bookmaker like I usually do, I just stuck to fantasy leagues. The first picture is from DraftKings, while the second picture is from DraftOps.
Edit: Also, DraftKings is raising the prize pool back for this Saturday's UFC event from $10k to $25k guaranteed. Same entry fee.