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Handnr: 1078570
Submitted by : Stroggoz

PokerStars Hand #178688690241: Holdem No Limit ($100/$200 USD) - 2017/11/25 5:50:10 ET
Table Euforbo II 6-max Seat #4 is the button
Seat 1: Trueteller ($48562 in chips)
Seat 3: fish2013 ($20603.88 in chips)
Seat 4: Stambolov ($22185.12 in chips)
Trueteller: posts small blind $100
fish2013: posts big blind $200

Stambolov: folds
Trueteller: raises $400 to $600
fish2013: calls $400

Flop(Odds) (Pot : $1,200.00)

Trueteller: bets $796.67
fish2013: calls $796.67

Turn(Odds) (Pot : $2,793.34)

Trueteller: bets $3500
fish2013: calls $3500

River (Pot : $9,793.34)

Trueteller: bets $12900
fish2013: calls $12900

Trueteller: shows 6sAs (high card Ace)
fish2013: shows KhJc (a pair of Jacks)
fish2013 collected $35588.34 from pot

Total pot $35593.34 | Rake $5
Board  Jd7s8s2c5c
Seat 1: Trueteller (small blind) showed 6sAs and lost with high card Ace
Seat 3: fish2013 (big blind) showed KhJc and won ($35588.34) with a pair of Jacks
Seat 4: Stambolov (button) folded before Flop (didnt bet)

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LemOn[5thF]   Czech Republic. Nov 27 2017 12:10. Posts 14760

Weird O.O
This one's an exploit right

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93% Sure!  

traxamillion   United States. Nov 29 2017 10:14. Posts 10388

This is not generally the best bluffing hand in this kind of spot obviously so it very well may be an exploit but it is hard to say exactly without having a look at how Trueteller plays his SB vs BB pre since peoples strategies there vary so much. It looks like Trueteller plays about 30% complete/40% raise in the SB vs BB and uses a pretty heavily mixed strategy. It looks like more often than not he will be completing the SB with 910o (while Fish has all 16 910 combos = lower cbet from TT). He also completes most of the better bluffing hands like 56/K9/K10/Q9/Q10/T6s. It is also a spot where while Trueteller is uncapped and has overpairs/all sets/910s, Fish has all of the unsuited 2pairs and straights (making their equities close) and True is OOP on a dynamic board (big disadvantage) so true will check flop frequently.

Flop betting range for Trueteller will be small and strong so many of the bluffs by river will be flushdraws. A lot of the gutters are eliminated pre and even out of the suited ones that do make it to flop, some % will check there rather than bet. I doubt he has nearly enough 2 barrel combos that get to river and make better bluffs than the missed FDs to then balance out his river value range. True is polar enough and the river is such that basically anything that was Vbetting flop and turn can still Vbet river so he doesn't have anything that he can turn into a bluff (Only pairs in his range that can even reasonably bluff are 56s and maybe 45s since they can 2 barrel as SDs. All the other pairs in river range are top pair+). Also A6ss does not block as many hands in Fish's call/call/fold range as NFDs usually do in 3 barreled pots because both cards are used in several combo draws that get raised earlier in the hand at some decent frequency. It may work out that this is actually a balanced play, at the very least it isn't super out of line.

Stroggoz   New Zealand. Nov 29 2017 12:16. Posts 4353

nice analysis.

he has a lot of offsuit hands in proportion to flush draws, compared to other positions. this is 70% vpip on sb. As6s could actually be one of the better bluffing hands even if it has this showdown value. one might think that Kxss or Qxss is worse, since villian will think those hands bluff more than As6s and be less inclined to call with KsJ, QsJ, than AsJ. Card removal isn't always so obvious.

supposed to have greenstar not braceletLast edit: 29/11/2017 12:17

LemOn[5thF]   Czech Republic. Nov 29 2017 22:55. Posts 14760

mixed pre strat with way less gutters and shit than my raise fold

93% Sure!  


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