My UFC picks + thoughts

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KeanuReaver United States. Feb 27 2008 18:28. Posts 2022

haven't done this in a while but fox has me pumped for picks. here goes:

Anderson Silva vs Dan Henderson: silva by KO rd 4.

This might be the greatest matchup ever in terms of clinches and while I feel for hendo to win he has to win the clinch, I don't feel the same for silva. Hendo loves to strike and he's not too bad at it either, but silva is on a whole nother level. if hendo chooses to strike with silva it'll be over quick. Hendo also isn't one to shoot in much and given his greco background he really doesn't need to, but what this all means is that hendo needs to get inside and dominate the clinch. if he can regularly get takedowns on silva and punish silva when given the opportunity in transitions he can either grind out a decision or get a TKO but I really don't see this happening. I do think hendo gets takedowns but silva's bjj (along with his length) is tremendous at neutralizing his opponents top game and I think it'll be silva punishing hendo in between. While Hendo has shown in many fights he gasses in the last round I've never seen silva even breathe hard much less gas, I think hendo gets sloppy when tired and silva finishes him off.

Heath Herring vs Cheick Kongo: Herring by TKO rd 1.

Kongo looks like a beast and in standup he is, unfortunately he doesn't know what a sprawl is and I'm pretty sure even I could beat him on the ground. This match lasts as long as it takes herring to take kongo down, and I'm pretty sure herring is intelligent enough to do so asap.

Alessio sakara vs Chris leben: Leben by UD.

This should actually end up being a pretty competitive (although slow paced) fight. I think sakara is the superior technical striker while leben does much better inside and in the clinch. I think leben will control the pace a lot in the clinch and Sakara won't be able to do enough while they're split so leben by UD.

Yushin Okami vs Evan Tanner: Okami by UD.

Really happy to see tanner back in the ufc but man this is a horrible matchup for him. okami is pretty much a 3x stronger version of tanner. given tanners strong bjj and toughness I don't think okami subs him (and likely won't maul him or anything) but this'll be a pretty one sided UD.

Chris Wilson vs Jon Fitch: Fitch by TKO rd2.

UFC debut vs fitch eh? pretty rough. Fitch is probably the 2nd most well rounded fighter at 170 in the world (behind gsp of course) and his ground game is extremely solid. gonna be a lot of gnp and a bloody wilson.

Jake O'Brien vs Andrei Arlovski: Arlovski by KO rd1.

One of two things happens when arlovski fights guys like this. Either scaredy I-don't-wanna-lose arlovski shows up and he grinds out a close and boring decision or manly I'm-going-to-tear-his-face-off arlovski shows up and he devours his opponent. Either way Andrei wins, and I'm thinking with how much grief andrei has gotten for his previous fights we'll see manly andrei come out and tear O'Briens face off in the first round.

Luigi Fioravanti vs Luke Cummo: Fioravanti by TKO rd1.

Cummo makes me giggle and he's not a bad fighter but it's just a gut feeling that Fioravanti is gonna catch him. Fioravanti is a good fighter and he's training with (arguably) the best gym in the US in ATT. Cummo has a tendency to leave himself open in standup and luigi is good enough and has the right trainers to show him how to take advantage.

Don't feel like writing up the others, but fwiw I got the 3 TuFers beating their opponents. Really looking forward to the event, very strong card with an amazing headliner.

0 votes

and the endurance required for MMA, which has actions like punching and kicking bone and muscle with 1000-2500 PSI. - Taco

NotSorry United States. Feb 27 2008 19:38. Posts 2603

I agree for the most part, but I see Hendo taking it by TKO via gnp in the 3rd.

We have now sunk to a depth at which restatement of the obvious is the first duty of intelligent men.

Fox . Feb 27 2008 19:40. Posts 3110

arlovski will hit jake obrien so hard his name will become jake omfgigotrocked...brien.

NotSorry United States. Feb 27 2008 20:29. Posts 2603

will be interesting to see where AA ends up after this.

We have now sunk to a depth at which restatement of the obvious is the first duty of intelligent men.

D_Zoo Canada. Feb 27 2008 20:43. Posts 4013

On February 27 2008 18:40 Fox wrote:
arlovski will hit jake obrien so hard his name will become jake omfgigotrocked...brien.

AHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHAHAHAHHAHAHHAHAHHAHAHAHHAHAHHAHAHHAHAHAHAHHAHA x99999999999999999999999999999

btw I agree with a lot of ur picks and reasons altho I'm still cheering for Kongo and Hendo I can easily see them losing for reasons u mentioned

You aint a poet ur just a drunk with a pen

D_Zoo Canada. Feb 27 2008 20:45. Posts 4013

i just wanna say like 2-3 minutes have passed and im still laughing at FOX's post

You aint a poet ur just a drunk with a pen

KeanuReaver United States. Feb 27 2008 20:47. Posts 2022

andrei's in the ufc doghouse because he's been in a lot of boring fights but he is coming off of a win over werdum so im hoping if he starts obliterating his opponents like he did when he was champ he'll be given a title shot

nog vs andrei was one of my dream matches a few years ago.

and the endurance required for MMA, which has actions like punching and kicking bone and muscle with 1000-2500 PSI. - Taco

Fox . Feb 28 2008 09:51. Posts 3110

On February 27 2008 19:47 KeanuReaver wrote:
andrei's in the ufc doghouse because he's been in a lot of boring fights but he is coming off of a win over werdum so im hoping if he starts obliterating his opponents like he did when he was champ he'll be given a title shot

nog vs andrei was one of my dream matches a few years ago.

yeah if nog can win that by submission he should be above fedor for sure until fedor fights someone again.

also andrei just needs to go back into caveman mode this would work.

He needs to grow a beard larger then kimbo's