100buyin behind ev. - Page 2

sick results nonetheless.

looks forged

On September 01 2011 12:37 casinocasino wrote: looks forged

if you say something like this you should probably give a reason.

On September 01 2011 09:02 Baalim wrote: Show nested quote + On September 01 2011 03:57 wobbly_au wrote: 3 years ago it was 50k, then 100k then last year i think it was 200k. Now im not so sure.. ive said this many times, to determine a a close winrate (not even precisely) you need at least 1 million hands

If your going to measure by a million hands, then its impossible to find out what your true rate is since after playing 1 million hands the game would have changed and you would have improved/unimproved at the game to the extend that your winrate would be much different to the one thats on your graph.

My last 100k hands is probably more accurate to determine my winrate than all 350k hands that ive played this year.

On September 01 2011 15:31 Stroggoz wrote: Show nested quote + On September 01 2011 09:02 Baalim wrote:   On September 01 2011 03:57 wobbly_au wrote: 3 years ago it was 50k, then 100k then last year i think it was 200k. Now im not so sure.. ive said this many times, to determine a a close winrate (not even precisely) you need at least 1 million hands If your going to measure by a million hands, then its impossible to find out what your true rate is since after playing 1 million hands the game would have changed and you would have improved/unimproved at the game to the extend that your winrate would be much different to the one thats on your graph. My last 100k hands is probably more accurate to determine my winrate than all 350k hands that ive played this year.

This is true in reality, but I think statistically 1m hands is more like it. You could probably work out what size a good sample would be for say 3ptbb/100 with a given stdv but I... don't fancy doing it.

You would still have to define what is a good sample size, could be an hypotesis tested with a chi square test. Can i be confident enough that my winrate is between 2 and 3bb/100 would be one.
not totally sure and not gonna do it.

On September 01 2011 12:37 casinocasino wrote: looks forged

why would he doctore this. no reason.

standard stars

But what about your hand making EV wobbly

On September 01 2011 15:31 Stroggoz wrote: Show nested quote + On September 01 2011 09:02 Baalim wrote:   On September 01 2011 03:57 wobbly_au wrote: 3 years ago it was 50k, then 100k then last year i think it was 200k. Now im not so sure.. ive said this many times, to determine a a close winrate (not even precisely) you need at least 1 million hands If your going to measure by a million hands, then its impossible to find out what your true rate is since after playing 1 million hands the game would have changed and you would have improved/unimproved at the game to the extend that your winrate would be much different to the one thats on your graph. My last 100k hands is probably more accurate to determine my winrate than all 350k hands that ive played this year.

100k hands is like nothing though mathematically speaking, expecially if you are running decent standard deviation above 80 or something

Same with Wobbly, this is no proof of you running bad, this is proof of running bad in AI spots only

this isnt running bad in AI spots only.

This is running FUCKING TERRIBLE in AI spots only.

fuck stars and their EV ... kudos wobbly for still grinding there and overcoming it. GL
i was always wondering : are there actually players on stars who are 100 BI+ OVER EV on huge sample like 1 mil hands+ ?
can anybody post such reuslts ?