UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2

Date: Saturday, July 29
Main Card (ESPN+): 3:00 LP.net / 7pm PST / 10pm EST
Preliminary Card (ESPN/ESPN+): 1:00 LP.net / 5pm PST / 8pm EST
Preliminary Card (ESPN+/UFC Fight Pass): 23:00 LP.net / 3pm PST / 6pm EST
Live Streams: http://ripple.stream/mmastreams




Main Card (ESPN+)

Israel Adesanya (20-1) vs. Marvin Vettori (17-4-1) (Middleweight Championship)
Deiveson Figueiredo (20-1-1) vs. Brandon Moreno (18-5-2) (Flyweight Championship)
Leon Edwards (18-3) vs. Nate Diaz (20-12) (Welterweight)
Demian Maia (28-10) vs. Belal Muhammad (18-3) (Welterweight)
Paul Craig (14-4-1) vs. Jamahal Hill (8-0) (Light Heavyweight)

Preliminary Card (ESPN/ESPN+)

Drew Dober (23-10) vs. Brad Riddell (9-1) (Lightweight)
Eryk Anders (13-5-1) vs. Darren Stewart (12-6-1) (Light Heavyweight)
Lauren Murphy (14-4) vs. Joanne Calderwood (15-5) (Women's Flyweight)
Movsar Evloev (14-0) vs. Hakeem Dawodu (12-1-1) (Featherweight)

Preliminary Card (ESPN+/UFC Fight Pass)

Pannie Kianzad (14-5) vs. Alexis Davis (20-10) (Women's Bantamweight)
Chase Hooper (10-1-1) vs. Steven Peterson (18-9) (Featherweight)
Fares Ziam (11-3) vs. Luigi Vendramini (9-1) (Lightweight)
Carlos Felipe (10-1) vs. Jake Collier (12-5) (Heavyweight)
Matt Frevola (8-2-1) vs. Terrance McKinney (10-3) (Lightweight)

Other

- Leon Edwards vs. Nate Diaz will mark the first time in UFC history that a non-title bout other than the main event has been scheduled for five rounds.
- Frank Camacho pulled out of his fight against Matt Frevola four days before the event, after he was involved in a traffic accident in California that left him with non-life threatening injuries. Terrance McKinney replaced Camacho on June 8.

First impression of the match-ups:

• Adesanya > Vettori
• Figueiredo > Moreno
• Edwards > Diaz
• Maia > Muhammad
• Hill > Craig
• Dober > Riddell
• Anders > Stewart
• Murphy > Calderwood
• Evloev > Dawodu
• Davis > Kianzad
• Peterson > Hooper
• Vendramini > Ziam
• Collier > Felipe
• Frevola vs. McKinney (dunno)

I will make my bigger bets when I get to Las Vegas tomorrow morning, but here's what I have thus far:

Adesanya/Vettori ITD +110 $50 for $55
Israel Adesanya in Round 4 +1400 $10 for $140
Israel Adesanya in Round 5 +2200 $10 for $220
Deiveson Figueiredo ITD +325 $50 for $162.50
Deiveson Figueiredo submission +1200 $10 for $120
Edwards/Diaz ITD -125 $62.50 for $50
Leon Edwards in Round 4 +1200 $5 for $60
Leon Edwards in Round 5 +2000 $5 for $100
Eryk Anders -145 $145 for $100
Luigi Vendramini +120 $30 for $36
Jake Collier +155 $50 for $77.50

Don't follow at all but put a punt on Vettori how are my chances?

On June 12 2021 20:25 Mortensen8 wrote: Don't follow at all but put a punt on Vettori how are my chances?

Not good if he can't get easy take downs.

He's at a big striking disadvantage, cardio disadvantage, and he's easy to hit.

So you're telling me there's a chance

Adesanya/Vettori ITD +110 $50 for $55
Israel Adesanya in Round 4 +1400 $10 for $140
Israel Adesanya in Round 5 +2200 $10 for $220
Deiveson Figueiredo ITD +325 $50 for $162.50
Deiveson Figueiredo submission +1200 $10 for $120
Edwards/Diaz ITD -125 $62.50 for $50
Leon Edwards in Round 4 +1200 $5 for $60
Leon Edwards in Round 5 +2000 $5 for $100
Paul Craig submission +500 $10 for $50
Eryk Anders -145 $145 for $100
Eryk Anders KO/TKO +255 $20 for $51
Movsar Evloev -215 $1075 for $500
Movsar Evloev -225 $337.50 for $150
Movsar Evloev submission +570 $10 for $57
Alexis Davis decision +300 $20 for $60
Luigi Vendramini +120 $30 for $36
Luigi Vendramini submission +569 $10 for $56.90
Lauren Murphy decision +200 $20 for $40
Stephen Peterson decision +225 $30 for $67.50
Jake Collier +155 $50 for $77.50
Jake Collier decision +325 $20 for $65

trying to be careful about HUGE live bets to grab $100
Feeling good til Ziam got tagged..Hopefully he will survive and can finish strong


10-9, 10-9, 8-10 ?

Hoping Vendri gassed...and Ziam can get back a point.


Sweet. Ziam gets the decision.
I added $421 in ML live bets and also threw him in a few parlays.


(Ziam/LAC -5 $100@+139 and Ziam/Jazz +5 $100@+139 for example)

I bet pretty hard on Peterson (vs Hooper) although as a fan I like Hooper a lot.
Also got some parlays lined up.
Got this one going to decision, with decision props for Peterson with a sprinkle on Hooper by dec and Hooper by sub. Mostly Peterson though and bets toward a later fight.

Frevola vs Mckinney I mostly just bet on props for ITD, someone winning by KO/TK/DQ, a little on each for the KO. Tad on Frevola by KO/decision.

(Threw in a Tex+1.5/Frevola and LAD-1.5/Frevola parlay right quick)....

GG
I did bet on KO in the first minute @+900 just $10 though.

On June 12 2021 21:46 PuertoRican wrote: Show nested quote + On June 12 2021 20:25 Mortensen8 wrote: Don't follow at all but put a punt on Vettori how are my chances? Not good if he can't get easy take downs. He's at a big striking disadvantage, cardio disadvantage, and he's easy to hit.

Yeah I think the undue hype is actually on Vettori. I though he was okay standing vs Adesanya in the first fight (until he faded bad). I think he will fade worse in a 5 rder...If he can get the TDs though I think he will have a good chance.

However, I think that will be harder to do at this weight class and....I would assume Izzy has prepared more for it.

Hopefully he has because he hasn't really been able to spring right back up when taken down. I think that his standup edge will be too much though.

I did put $100 on Vettori at +195 though bc..hey, it might hold up but also, I'm going to look to hedge it into a guarantted profit if I get the chance. And if not, then into less of a loss. Will likely look to put more money on Izzy anyway.

Good win for Moreno. Fig either needs a nutritionist or move up. He looked awful yesterday

On June 12 2021 22:12 PuertoRican wrote: Adesanya/Vettori ITD +110 $50 for $55 Israel Adesanya in Round 4 +1400 $10 for $140 Israel Adesanya in Round 5 +2200 $10 for $220 Deiveson Figueiredo ITD +325 $50 for $162.50 Deiveson Figueiredo submission +1200 $10 for $120 Edwards/Diaz ITD -125 $62.50 for $50 Leon Edwards in Round 4 +1200 $5 for $60 Leon Edwards in Round 5 +2000 $5 for $100 Paul Craig submission +500 $10 for $50 Eryk Anders -145 $145 for $100 Eryk Anders KO/TKO +255 $20 for $51 Movsar Evloev -215 $1075 for $500 Movsar Evloev -225 $337.50 for $150 Movsar Evloev submission +570 $10 for $57 Alexis Davis decision +300 $20 for $60 Luigi Vendramini +120 $30 for $36 Luigi Vendramini submission +569 $10 for $56.90 Lauren Murphy decision +200 $20 for $40 Stephen Peterson decision +225 $30 for $67.50 Jake Collier +155 $50 for $77.50 Jake Collier decision +325 $20 for $65