UFC FN 172: Eye vs. Calvillo

Date: Saturday, June 13
Main Card (ESPN): 2:00 LP.net / 6pm PST / 9pm EST
Preliminary Card (ESPN): 23:59 LP.net / 4pm PST / 7pm EST
Live Streams: http://crackstreams.com/mma/2/




Main Card (ESPN)

Jessica Eye (15-7) vs. Cynthia Calvillo (8-1-1) (Women's Flyweight)
Karl Roberson (9-2) vs. Marvin Vettori (14-4-1) (Middleweight)
Charles Rosa (12-4) vs. Kevin Aguilar (17-3) (Lightweight)
Andre Fili (20-7) vs. Charles Jourdain (10-2) (Featherweight)
Jordan Espinosa (14-7) vs. Mark De La Rosa (11-4) (Bantamweight)

Preliminary Card (ESPN)

Mariya Agapova (8-1) vs. Hannah Cifers (10-5) (Women's Flyweight)
Merab Dvalishvili (10-4) vs. Gustavo Lopez (11-4) (Bantamweight)
Julia Avila (7-1) vs. Gina Mazany (6-3) (Women's Bantamweight)
Tyson Nam (18-11-1) vs. Zarrukh Adashev (3-1) (Flyweight)
Christian Aguilera (13-6) vs. Anthony Ivy (8-2) (Welterweight)

Other

- A women's flyweight bout between Melissa Gatto and Mariya Agapova was scheduled for the event. However, Gatto pulled out on June 7 due to visa issues. She was replaced by Hannah Cifers on June 8.
- A flyweight bout between Tyson Nam and Ryan Benoit was scheduled for the event. However, Benoit withdrew from the event for an unknown reason and was replaced by promotional newcomer Zarrukh Adashev on June 11.

First impression of the match-ups:

• Eye > Calvillo
• Vettori > Roberson
• Dvalishvili > Lopez
• Fili > Jourdain
• Espinosa > DLR
• Agapova > Cifers
• Aguilar > Rosa
• Avila > Mazany
• Adashev > Nam
• Griffin > Minner
• Ivy > Aguilera

I saw pros pick on YouTube. Majority of them think Calvillo would win even though Jessica Eye is bigger, stronger. What does Calvillo have against Eye? I saw some Calvillo fights and I would not say she is impressive.

Jessica Eye (126.25)* vs. Cynthia Calvillo (126)
Karl Roberson (190.5)** vs. Marvin Vettori (186)
Merab Dvalishvili (139) vs. Gustavo Lopez (140) – 140-pound catchweight
Andre Fili (145.5) vs. Charles Jourdain (145.5)
Jordan Espinosa (135.5) vs. Mark De La Rosa (136)
Mariya Agapova (125.5) vs. Hannah Cifers (125)
Kevin Aguilar (155.5) vs. Charles Rosa ()
Julia Avila (135) vs. Gina Mazany (136)
Zarrukh Adashev () vs. Tyson Nam (135.5)
Jordan Griffin (146) vs. Darrick Minner ()***
Christian Aguilera (170.5) vs. Anthony Ivy (171)

*Eye missed the women’s flyweight limit. (she said she can't stand, while she was on the scale)
**Roberson missed the middleweight limit. (this fight has been rescheduled 3-4 times, and there was BAD blood between them after the last cancellation, and now there will be even MORE bad blood. I bet ITD at +145. U2.5 is +175).
***Minner announced on social media he has withdrawn from the fight due to illness prior to weighing in.

I bet these lines at different times, which is why there are double bets and similar bets. Also, this is a tough card for betting, as 2 fights were cancelled within the past two days, and there are some short notice fights that were put together (both guys on short notice), as well as late replacement fighters (1 of the 2 guys on short notice).

Eye ML +115 $20 for $23
Eye decision +140 $20 for $28
Roberson/Vettori ITD +160 $20 for $32
Roberson/Vettori ITD +145 $50 for $72.5
Dvalishvili ITD +170 $20 for $34
Fili no scorecards -105 $31.50 for $30
Adashev +140 $30 for $42


Parlay: Avila -3.5, Aguilera/Ivy ITD $38 for $30
Parlay: Dvalishvili -3.5, Avila -3.5 $65 for $50

I will follow your parlays.

My final picks:

• Eye > Calvillo
• Vettori > Roberson
• Dvalishvili > Lopez
• Fili > Jourdain
• DLR > Espinosa
• Agapova > Cifers
• Aguilar > Rosa
• Avila > Mazany
• Adashev > Nam
• Ivy > Aguilera

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My final pre-fight bets:

Eye ML +115 $20 for $23
Eye decision +140 $20 for $28
Roberson/Vettori ITD +160 $20 for $32
Roberson/Vettori ITD +145 $50 for $72.5
Jourdain ML +200 $10 for $20
De La Rosa ML +155 $15 for $23.25
Dvalishvili ITD +170 $20 for $34
Fili no scorecards -105 $31.50 for $30
Adashev +140 $30 for $42

Parlay: Avila -3.5, Aguilera/Ivy ITD $38 for $30
Parlay: Dvalishvili -3.5, Avila -3.5 $65 for $50

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I have several parlays, but they are long shots that I don't feel like typing. If any of them are close to hitting, then I'll post them here.

I plan to place most of my bets via live betting.

If I could change my pre-fight bets, I'd get rid of Jessica Eye decision and just take her ML for more money; I'd get rid of the $50 bet on Roberson/Vettori ITD +145 and just have $30 risked on Roberson/Vettori ITD +160; and I don't like my Fili no scorecards bet. I am fine with everything else.

Karl Roberson feels really, really good to me.

Nice quick win for Aguilera.

Nice quick win for Tyson Nam.

Another 30 minute break...

eZ pZ for Julia Avila.

Parlay: Avila -3.5, Aguilera/Ivy ITD $38 for $30 = cashes

Dvalishvili ITD +170 $20 for $34
Parlay: Dvalishvili -3.5, Avila -3.5 $65 for $50

FanDuel put the Merab fight in the After Hours slate, then cancelled all bets after the event started, so all teams were voided and refunded.

Most of my DFS action was on the After Hours card. Such a waste of time.

$15 on ITD +165 live bet in the DLR/Espinosa fight

R3 = Espinosa decided to cruise to a unanimous decision win. I expected more action.

I added another bet on Jourdain. I just hope he can avoid the TD.

Live bet Jourdain -140 after R1.

Good comeback from Fili.

I have it 2-1 Fili, with R2 being close.

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Anyone who bet Fili at -235 must've been nervous as the scores were being read.

The value was definitely not on him, especially after getting dropped in Round 1.

$100 for $122 on Jessica Eye +122.

Pass on the Aguilar/Rosa fight.

Rosa closed at +305 after R1 ended.
Rosa closed at +100 after R2 ended.

I live bet Rosa after R2.