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UFC FN 172: Eye vs. Calvillo

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PuertoRican   United States. Jun 12 2020 08:26. Posts 13042

Date: Saturday, June 13
Main Card (ESPN): 2:00 LP.net / 6pm PST / 9pm EST
Preliminary Card (ESPN): 23:59 LP.net / 4pm PST / 7pm EST
Live Streams: http://crackstreams.com/mma/2/




Main Card (ESPN)

Jessica Eye (15-7) vs. Cynthia Calvillo (8-1-1) (Women's Flyweight)
Karl Roberson (9-2) vs. Marvin Vettori (14-4-1) (Middleweight)
Charles Rosa (12-4) vs. Kevin Aguilar (17-3) (Lightweight)
Andre Fili (20-7) vs. Charles Jourdain (10-2) (Featherweight)
Jordan Espinosa (14-7) vs. Mark De La Rosa (11-4) (Bantamweight)

Preliminary Card (ESPN)

Mariya Agapova (8-1) vs. Hannah Cifers (10-5) (Women's Flyweight)
Merab Dvalishvili (10-4) vs. Gustavo Lopez (11-4) (Bantamweight)
Julia Avila (7-1) vs. Gina Mazany (6-3) (Women's Bantamweight)
Tyson Nam (18-11-1) vs. Zarrukh Adashev (3-1) (Flyweight)
Christian Aguilera (13-6) vs. Anthony Ivy (8-2) (Welterweight)

Other

- A women's flyweight bout between Melissa Gatto and Mariya Agapova was scheduled for the event. However, Gatto pulled out on June 7 due to visa issues. She was replaced by Hannah Cifers on June 8.
- A flyweight bout between Tyson Nam and Ryan Benoit was scheduled for the event. However, Benoit withdrew from the event for an unknown reason and was replaced by promotional newcomer Zarrukh Adashev on June 11.

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Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 13/06/2020 23:28

PuertoRican   United States. Jun 12 2020 08:27. Posts 13042

First impression of the match-ups:

• Eye > Calvillo
• Vettori > Roberson
• Dvalishvili > Lopez
• Fili > Jourdain
• Espinosa > DLR
• Agapova > Cifers
• Aguilar > Rosa
• Avila > Mazany
• Adashev > Nam
• Griffin > Minner
• Ivy > Aguilera

Rekrul is a newb 

balakubak   . Jun 12 2020 12:50. Posts 152

I saw pros pick on YouTube. Majority of them think Calvillo would win even though Jessica Eye is bigger, stronger. What does Calvillo have against Eye? I saw some Calvillo fights and I would not say she is impressive.


PuertoRican   United States. Jun 12 2020 18:31. Posts 13042





Jessica Eye (126.25)* vs. Cynthia Calvillo (126)
Karl Roberson (190.5)** vs. Marvin Vettori (186)
Merab Dvalishvili (139) vs. Gustavo Lopez (140) – 140-pound catchweight
Andre Fili (145.5) vs. Charles Jourdain (145.5)
Jordan Espinosa (135.5) vs. Mark De La Rosa (136)
Mariya Agapova (125.5) vs. Hannah Cifers (125)
Kevin Aguilar (155.5) vs. Charles Rosa ()
Julia Avila (135) vs. Gina Mazany (136)
Zarrukh Adashev () vs. Tyson Nam (135.5)
Jordan Griffin (146) vs. Darrick Minner ()***
Christian Aguilera (170.5) vs. Anthony Ivy (171)

*Eye missed the women’s flyweight limit. (she said she can't stand, while she was on the scale)
**Roberson missed the middleweight limit. (this fight has been rescheduled 3-4 times, and there was BAD blood between them after the last cancellation, and now there will be even MORE bad blood. I bet ITD at +145. U2.5 is +175).
***Minner announced on social media he has withdrawn from the fight due to illness prior to weighing in.

Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 12/06/2020 20:07

PuertoRican   United States. Jun 13 2020 01:23. Posts 13042

I bet these lines at different times, which is why there are double bets and similar bets. Also, this is a tough card for betting, as 2 fights were cancelled within the past two days, and there are some short notice fights that were put together (both guys on short notice), as well as late replacement fighters (1 of the 2 guys on short notice).

Eye ML +115 $20 for $23
Eye decision +140 $20 for $28
Roberson/Vettori ITD +160 $20 for $32
Roberson/Vettori ITD +145 $50 for $72.5
Dvalishvili ITD +170 $20 for $34
Fili no scorecards -105 $31.50 for $30
Adashev +140 $30 for $42


Parlay: Avila -3.5, Aguilera/Ivy ITD $38 for $30
Parlay: Dvalishvili -3.5, Avila -3.5 $65 for $50

Rekrul is a newb 

balakubak   . Jun 13 2020 09:17. Posts 152

I will follow your parlays.


PuertoRican   United States. Jun 13 2020 21:33. Posts 13042

My final picks:

• Eye > Calvillo
• Vettori > Roberson
• Dvalishvili > Lopez
• Fili > Jourdain
• DLR > Espinosa
• Agapova > Cifers
• Aguilar > Rosa
• Avila > Mazany
• Adashev > Nam
• Ivy > Aguilera

----------

My final pre-fight bets:

Eye ML +115 $20 for $23
Eye decision +140 $20 for $28
Roberson/Vettori ITD +160 $20 for $32
Roberson/Vettori ITD +145 $50 for $72.5
Jourdain ML +200 $10 for $20
De La Rosa ML +155 $15 for $23.25
Dvalishvili ITD +170 $20 for $34
Fili no scorecards -105 $31.50 for $30
Adashev +140 $30 for $42

Parlay: Avila -3.5, Aguilera/Ivy ITD $38 for $30
Parlay: Dvalishvili -3.5, Avila -3.5 $65 for $50

----------

I have several parlays, but they are long shots that I don't feel like typing. If any of them are close to hitting, then I'll post them here.

I plan to place most of my bets via live betting.

If I could change my pre-fight bets, I'd get rid of Jessica Eye decision and just take her ML for more money; I'd get rid of the $50 bet on Roberson/Vettori ITD +145 and just have $30 risked on Roberson/Vettori ITD +160; and I don't like my Fili no scorecards bet. I am fine with everything else.

Rekrul is a newb 

Ryan Neilly   United States. Jun 13 2020 23:49. Posts 1631

Karl Roberson feels really, really good to me.


PuertoRican   United States. Jun 14 2020 00:12. Posts 13042

Nice quick win for Aguilera.

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Jun 14 2020 00:35. Posts 13042

Nice quick win for Tyson Nam.

Another 30 minute break...

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Jun 14 2020 01:03. Posts 13042

eZ pZ for Julia Avila.

Parlay: Avila -3.5, Aguilera/Ivy ITD $38 for $30 = cashes

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Jun 14 2020 01:52. Posts 13042

Dvalishvili ITD +170 $20 for $34
Parlay: Dvalishvili -3.5, Avila -3.5 $65 for $50

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Jun 14 2020 02:21. Posts 13042

FanDuel put the Merab fight in the After Hours slate, then cancelled all bets after the event started, so all teams were voided and refunded.

Most of my DFS action was on the After Hours card. Such a waste of time.

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Jun 14 2020 02:33. Posts 13042

$15 on ITD +165 live bet in the DLR/Espinosa fight

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Jun 14 2020 02:45. Posts 13042

R3 = Espinosa decided to cruise to a unanimous decision win. I expected more action.

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Jun 14 2020 02:52. Posts 13042

I added another bet on Jourdain. I just hope he can avoid the TD.

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Jun 14 2020 03:03. Posts 13042

Live bet Jourdain -140 after R1.

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Jun 14 2020 03:16. Posts 13042

Good comeback from Fili.

I have it 2-1 Fili, with R2 being close.

----------

Anyone who bet Fili at -235 must've been nervous as the scores were being read.

The value was definitely not on him, especially after getting dropped in Round 1.

Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 14/06/2020 03:19

PuertoRican   United States. Jun 14 2020 03:25. Posts 13042

$100 for $122 on Jessica Eye +122.

Pass on the Aguilar/Rosa fight.

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Jun 14 2020 03:47. Posts 13042

Rosa closed at +305 after R1 ended.
Rosa closed at +100 after R2 ended.

I live bet Rosa after R2.

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Jun 14 2020 03:52. Posts 13042

Aguilar got his ass beat in Round 3.

I have it Rosa 3-0, 2-1 at the worst.

----------

Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 14/06/2020 03:55

PuertoRican   United States. Jun 14 2020 04:07. Posts 13042

I added: Roberson R1 +1075 $5 for $53.75

----------

Roberson R1 +1075 $5 for $53.75
Roberson/Vettori ITD +160 $20 for $32
Roberson/Vettori ITD +145 $50 for $72.50

Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 14/06/2020 04:13

Ryan Neilly   United States. Jun 14 2020 04:15. Posts 1631

why eye over cynthia?


PuertoRican   United States. Jun 14 2020 04:20. Posts 13042

I added some to Calvillo decision +250 as a hedge to my Eye ML and parlays.

I assume R1 will be close, and Calvillo might edge it. She starts fast and slows down after R2.

I will add more to Eye when I see a good spot through live betting.

Rekrul is a newb 

balakubak   . Jun 14 2020 04:25. Posts 152

Nice one on the under!


PuertoRican   United States. Jun 14 2020 04:54. Posts 13042

Jessica keeps giving away these rounds by getting taken down...

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Jun 14 2020 04:58. Posts 13042

Eye threw a kick when she was close to Calvillo in R4...

Now that Eye will lose a decision, I just hope Calvillo doesn't win ITD.

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Jun 14 2020 05:06. Posts 13042

Terrible performance from Jessica Eye; about as expected from Calvillo; and a shittier fight than I was expecting.

Cynthia Calvillo 5-0.

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Jun 14 2020 05:20. Posts 13042



I lost a lot of money on DK and FD today, so I definitely did bad across the board.

I went into this Eye/Calvillo card knowing it would be difficult to bet, and I was right. I'm just glad I didn't get my ass raped.

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Jun 14 2020 05:31. Posts 13042

Speaking of difficult UFC cards to bet, next week's card will also be difficult for most fights. There are 4 women's fights on the card, and all of the fights can go either way. Expect my bet sizes to remain small and not to bet as many fights, probably less than tonight.

June 27 is where we make our money. I already have $1700 on Dustin Poirier -170.

Rekrul is a newb 

Into Infinity   United States. Jun 14 2020 05:53. Posts 1884

Eye is legit dogshit lol


balakubak   . Jun 14 2020 06:04. Posts 152


  On June 14 2020 04:31 PuertoRican wrote:
Speaking of difficult UFC cards to bet, next week's card will also be difficult for most fights. There are 4 women's fights on the card, and all of the fights can go either way. Expect my bet sizes to remain small and not to bet as many fights, probably less than tonight.

June 27 is where we make our money. I already have $1700 on Dustin Poirier -170.



Very easy bet.


 



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