- Scott Askham was expected to face Anthony Smith at the event, but pulled out on April 28 due to injury and was replaced by The Ultimate Fighter: Brazil winner Cezar Ferreira.
- Stevie Ray was expected to face Jake Matthews at the event, but pulled out on June 2 due to injury and was replaced by Kevin Lee.
- James Krause was scheduled to face The Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom lightweight winner Ross Pearson at the event. However on June 13, he was pulled from the fight for undisclosed reasons. He was replaced by former Bellator Lightweight Champion and promotional newcomer Will Brooks.
Rekrul is a newb
Last edit: 08/07/2016 17:59
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PuertoRican United States. Jun 20 2016 07:18. Posts 13051
First impression of the match-ups:
• Gadelha > JJ
•
•
• Brooks > Pearson
• Matthews > Lee
• Choi > Tavares
• Smith > Ferreira
• Maynard > Bruno
• Holbrook > Silva
• Li > Zafir
• Moraga > Nicolau
I already bet on gadelha for that odds. 30 bucks (+180). I am waiting for the rest of the odds.
I am also following this season of TUF, rooting for Tatiana Suarez and Cory Hendricks.
Last edit: 20/06/2016 19:16
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soberstone United States. Jun 21 2016 21:41. Posts 2662
You are picking CG over JJ su? Or just find value.
I'm pretty surprised at this. I know the first fight was uber close but I think 5 rounds is favorable to JJ as well as the fact that she has a much better chance of finishing the fight.
I think the Maynard vs Bruno matchup is pretty hilarious and sad that they have to go this far down the roster to find Maynard a win at this point.
Last edit: 21/06/2016 21:42
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PuertoRican United States. Jun 22 2016 00:53. Posts 13051
The first fight was actually won by Claudia. Mma decisions has 12 for claudia and only 2 for Joanna. This was only 18 months ago.
Claudia is +160
Hard to tell which fighter improved the most, But Joanna probably gained the most confidence of the two.
My guess is Joanna probably did not improve a tons more than claudia in striking, since Joanna was already a muay thai champ (you can't improve that much when ur already super elite...)
On the other hand, its likely Joanna worked on her ground game and TDD.
The fight is 5 rounds. This in theory should help Joanna.
Joanna has looked really good since then, but i honnestly think those 3 opponements she just beat are really weaker than both claudia and Joanna.
At current odds i have an hard time deciding which girl to bet, but i think i lean Claudia. I mean the fight with Letourneau was arguably somewhat competitive, and Claudia is leagues above Letourneau.
Brooks vs Pearson
This looks like a showcase fight where the ufc wants to introduce us the ex lightweight champ against a known but easy name.
Value is probably going to be on Brooks, but we need to see the odds.
I don't want to abuse MMA maths, but Brooks is around Alvarez's level, which should easily get the job done against Pearson.
Matthews vs Lee
Matthews improve a lot every fights. I think he is a future star. The last version we saw of Matthews would probably beat Lee, so i have no doubt he should win this one. Lee is also not known to have much KO power, so this should be a reasonably safe bet.
Choi vs Tavares
Choi is amazing and could be a future champ.
But Tavares is 3rd degree black belt in BJJ and its probably GG if it hits the ground.
Choi vs Sicilia was short, but from that fight, Choi didn't appear to be insanely good at wrestling or on the ground.
I would still favor choi, but if i can get good odds on tavares i think i would pick him.
Weird no TUF competitors on the card? Cory Hendricks should be facing someone as Dana said so, unless his injury went into depth. They probably wait for the show to finish to post the other fights though.
Gadelha vs JJ , just bet on whoever is the "underdog". Neither has a big edge so pick the value bet
Also
I'm pretty surprised at this. I know the first fight was uber close but I think 5 rounds is favorable to JJ as well as the fact that she has a much better chance of finishing the fight.
Why are they favorable to her ? Sure didn't seem that way in their last fight. She does have more experience in 5 rounds fights, but I don't think it matters in this case as both have great conditioning
Last edit: 24/06/2016 00:03
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PuertoRican United States. Jul 06 2016 19:53. Posts 13051
Rekrul is a newb
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Stim_Abuser United States. Jul 07 2016 02:25. Posts 7499
This is as good as it gets for WMMA right now. Still not that excited but should be good.
Glad to see Will Brooks in the UFC, though Pearson isn't really a great opponent.
Choi vs Tavares is actually a pretty dope fight. Choi's boxing is fun.
Picks: JJ, Brooks, Lee, Choi.
Hey Im slinging mad volume and fat stackin benjies I dont got time for spellin n shit - skinny pete
On July 07 2016 01:25 Stim_Abuser wrote:
This is as good as it gets for WMMA right now. Still not that excited but should be good.
Glad to see Will Brooks in the UFC, though Pearson isn't really a great opponent.
Choi vs Tavares is actually a pretty dope fight. Choi's boxing is fun.
Picks: JJ, Brooks, Lee, Choi.
I agree i like this card.
Choi is a really cool fighter i hope he makes it big
But i like Tavares at +200
james9994: make note dont play against floofy, ;(
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PuertoRican United States. Jul 07 2016 21:15. Posts 13051
Joanna Jedrzejczyk (114.5) vs. Claudia Gadelha (115) – for women’s strawweight title
Khalil Rountree (205.5) vs. Andrew Sanchez (199.5) – TUF 23 light heavyweight tournament final
Amanda Cooper (116) vs. Tatiana Suarez (115.5) – TUF 23 women’s strawweight tournament final
Will Brooks (156) vs. Ross Pearson (155.5)
Doo Ho Choi (146) vs. Thiago Tavares (146)
Andrew Holbrook (155.5) vs. Joaquim Silva (155)
Fernando Bruno (146) vs. Gray Maynard (145.5)
John Moraga (126) vs. Matheus Nicolau (125.5)
Cory Hendricks (204) vs. Josh Stansbury (205.5)
Cezar Ferreira (186) vs. Anthony Smith (185)
Kevin Lee (155) vs. Jake Matthews (156)
Li Jingliang (171) vs. Anton Zafir (170)
hmm, odds are very close now for JJ vs Gadelha. JJ very much playable now.
I think JJ is going to take over this fight in the later rounds. Also looking at the props bet 365 has JJ R4 +2200 and R5 +3300. Great value for some small stabs, imo.
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PuertoRican United States. Jul 08 2016 18:00. Posts 13051
I just updated the OP.
The time was off, and all the fights were out of order because of the late additions of the TUF finalists.
Rekrul is a newb
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soberstone United States. Jul 08 2016 19:00. Posts 2662
On July 08 2016 10:35 northsails wrote:
hmm, odds are very close now for JJ vs Gadelha. JJ very much playable now.
I think JJ is going to take over this fight in the later rounds. Also looking at the props bet 365 has JJ R4 +2200 and R5 +3300. Great value for some small stabs, imo.
Agreed.
It's one of those situations where the fight is going to look reasonably close almost every time but the edge in cardio and massive edge in striking should bare out a victory over 5 for JJ well over half the time.
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PuertoRican United States. Jul 08 2016 19:09. Posts 13051
Here's some stats that I've been adding to for a few months. They're mostly for PPV cards, which is where most title fights happen. I added UFC FN 90 because it had a title fight on it.
soberstone United States. Jul 09 2016 00:38. Posts 2662
Wow @ Lee vs Mathews.
Surprised Lee was able to bully him like that. Super impressive just wondering where that was at his last couple fights.
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PuertoRican United States. Jul 09 2016 01:32. Posts 13051
On July 08 2016 23:38 soberstone wrote:
Wow @ Lee vs Mathews.
Surprised Lee was able to bully him like that. Super impressive just wondering where that was at his last couple fights.
Lee was winning, but that referee was dumb af. He instantly called for the fighter to move right right he was put in a bad position. You usually wait to see if a fighter is getting hurt before you tell him to move/stay busy/protect yourself.
