UFC FN 68: Boetsch vs. Henderson - Page 2

Henderson is 1-5 in his last 6 fights and Boetsch is 2-4... and this is a fucking main event

I see lots of complaints about this card but i personally like it for a FN.
Main event might not have the best fighters, but its actually something i'm looking forward to see.
And the other fights are pretty decent for a FN, its not just a bunch of nobodies on their first UFC fight.

This card doesn't have the name value, but it has a lot of close fights. For example, you can't look at any of the 12 fights and say either fighter is gonna clearly dominant his opponent.

IMO, Joe Silva and Sean Shelby did a good job creating these fights.

Anyone who was a past TRT user and now is not using, you are drawing dead if you bet them, just a heads up.

Alright I gave in and made a small bet on Boetsch $97 at -194. There are so many unknowns for this fight that I don't want to bet more, but overall I just have very little hope for an off-TRT 44 y/o Dan Henderson who only has a big punch going for him. I had a bet on Boetsch +280 vs Leites and think he was doing fine in that fight anyway. Seems like an okay bet. Going to wait with betting Jordan to see if PR is right about his weighin theory.

On June 04 2015 02:08 PuertoRican wrote: This card doesn't have the name value, but it has a lot of close fights. For example, you can't look at any of the 12 fights and say either fighter is gonna clearly dominant his opponent. IMO, Joe Silva and Sean Shelby did a good job creating these fights.

Agreed, this card is fine, the headliner just fell apart because Cormier had to go win the paper belt.

As far as the card, everything between the Jordan / Black Beast fight and the co-main event is actually good for a FS1 card. Definitely deeper and better than last weeks card.

Main event sucks but still has the big name and a lot of unanswered questions. Fight itself will probably be a stinker/depressor.

anyone betting wsof 21 tonite

On June 04 2015 21:26 traxamillion wrote: anyone betting wsof 21 tonite

WSOF is tomorrow (Friday), along with some smaller MMA card that will be televised. I have 1u on Rama +125 & Palmer/Horidecki u2.5 +110 for half a unit.

Just watched 2nd half of weigh-ins but missed 1st half. Didn't see anything noteworthy.

Anyone catch anything?

Tim Boetsch (185.5) vs. Dan Henderson (186)
Matt Mitrione (255) vs. Ben Rothwell (265)
Yancy Medeiros (159.5)* vs. Dustin Poirier (156)
Brian Ortega (146) vs. Thiago Tavares (146)
Anthony Birchak (136) vs. Joe Soto (136)
Alex Caceres (136) vs. Francisco Rivera (136)
Derrick Lewis (264.5) vs. Shawn Jordan (263.5)
Omari Akhmedov (171) vs. Brian Ebersole (170.5)
Christos Giagos (155.5) vs. Chris Wade (155.5)
Justin Edwards (156) vs. Joe Proctor (156)
Ricardo Abreu (183) vs. Jake Collier (185.5)
Leonardo Morales (140)** vs. Jose Quinonez (135)

* Medeiros was given two hours to make the lightweight max of 156 pounds.
** Morales was given two hours to make the bantamweight max of 136 pounds.

----------

While Medeiros missed weight by 3.5 pounds, he looked healthy and energetic. No way will he attempt to cut the extra weight. Medeiros was already the bigger and stronger fighter going into the match, and I see the extra pounds he didn't cut as an advantage. He's currently on a 2-fight win streak.

Morales missed weight by 4 pounds. He's cutting down from 145 to 135 for this fight. I'm not betting the fight, so I don't really care.

Oh I didn't see Medeiros missing weight. Yah 3.5 lbs seems like he just gave up so it shouldn't be an issue, advantage physically if anything.

My Pre-Card Bets:

Hendo > Boetsch @ +160 - $30
Hendo + Rivera @ +395 - $20
Hendo/Boetsch o 1.5 rds @ -145 - $43.40
Hendo/Boetsch o 1.5 rds + Rivera @ +216 - $30
Rivera > Caceras @ -115 - $57.50
Mitrione > Rothwell @ -190.00 - $66.50
Birchak > Soto @ +150 - $30.00
Hendo/Boetsch o 1.5 rds + Rivera + Mitrione + Birchak @ + 1154 - $10.00
Proctor + Birchak/Soto o 2.5 @ +170 - $20
Henderson via Decision @ +993 - $15
Medeiros > Poirier @ +155 - $20
Medeiros > Poirier @ +210 - $20
Proctor + Mederios + Rivera + Henderson @ +1773 - $10
Mederios + Mitrione + Henderson @ +1205 - $20

I won't be done with my bets until tomorrow. I did make some new bets today when the props were released.

Some of the lines I bet on were:

Boetsch submission +500 $3 for $15
Rothwell decision +894 $3 for $26.82
Medeiros decision +700 $10 for $70 (I expect this fight to end ITD, though)
Tavares decision +185 $10 for $18.50
Birchak submission +750 $3 for $22.50
Jordan submission +1600 $2 for $32 (key-lock anyone?)
Giagos decision +400 $5 for $20 (this fight goes to a decision most of the time, so no point in taking Giagos' ML)
Edwards KO/TKO/DQ +1100 $2 for $22
Edwards submission +700 $3 for $21


Edit: There's some sick good round-by-round props for Boetsch and Henderson, but I don't even wanna bother with them since I'm only betting the Over 1.5 rounds.

WSOF prelims: http://www.sherdog.com/events/WSOF-21-Palmer-vs-Horodecki-43733

Looks like the first fight is about to start: Michael Hay vs. Louie Grover

On June 05 2015 21:46 PuertoRican wrote: Tim Boetsch (185.5) vs. Dan Henderson (186) Matt Mitrione (255) vs. Ben Rothwell (265) Yancy Medeiros (159.5)* vs. Dustin Poirier (156) Brian Ortega (146) vs. Thiago Tavares (146) Anthony Birchak (136) vs. Joe Soto (136) Alex Caceres (136) vs. Francisco Rivera (136) Derrick Lewis (264.5) vs. Shawn Jordan (263.5) Omari Akhmedov (171) vs. Brian Ebersole (170.5) Christos Giagos (155.5) vs. Chris Wade (155.5) Justin Edwards (156) vs. Joe Proctor (156) Ricardo Abreu (183) vs. Jake Collier (185.5) Leonardo Morales (140)** vs. Jose Quinonez (135) * Medeiros was given two hours to make the lightweight max of 156 pounds. ** Morales was given two hours to make the bantamweight max of 136 pounds. ---------- While Medeiros missed weight by 3.5 pounds, he looked healthy and energetic. No way will he attempt to cut the extra weight. Medeiros was already the bigger and stronger fighter going into the match, and I see the extra pounds he didn't cut as an advantage. He's currently on a 2-fight win streak. Morales missed weight by 4 pounds. He's cutting down from 145 to 135 for this fight. I'm not betting the fight, so I don't really care.

John Morgan ?@MMAjunkieJohn
Yancy Medeiros is done cutting weight. Twenty percent to Poirier, fight goes on as scheduled.

?@MikeBohnMMA
Dustin Poirier says on weigh-in show that Yancy Medeiros came to his hotel room earlier today & told him he would miss weight. Apologized.

Leonardo Morales is 137 pounds.
Twenty percent fine to opponent, bout goes on as scheduled.

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So basically, Medeiros knew he wouldn't make weight and met with Poirier before the fight and told him he would be heavy. On the other hand, Morales tried to cut the 4 pounds and was still 1 pound overweight. Morales is dumb for trying to cut the weight, imo.

I think this a damn good card for monies, I'm excited for tomorrow

Yancy Medeiros +180 @ Bookmaker.

Line hasn't been updated on BFO for awhile. Just logged into 5dimes and +167 is the best they offer via reduced juice.

I have Yancy at +160 and +180.

On June 05 2015 18:50 PuertoRican wrote:

LOL

Go Hendo