3
|
PuertoRican   United States. Jun 06 2015 16:10. Posts 13051 | | |
Boetsch/Henderson: After thinking about the fight more, I love the o1.5 rounds even more at -145. I already have 2.5 units on it, but I'll add more as the fight-card progresses.
For anyone who is betting Henderson, his current money line is +175 or better at most bookies, while his KO/TKO prop is +280 at most bookies. If I were betting Henderson, I'd bet his ML or KO/TKO line with a bigger bet on the o1.5 rounds. Maybe like 2 units on o1.5 and 1.5 units on Henderson. |
|
|
|
1
|
soberstone   United States. Jun 06 2015 19:11. Posts 2662 | | |
| On June 06 2015 15:10 PuertoRican wrote:
Boetsch/Henderson: After thinking about the fight more, I love the o1.5 rounds even more at -145. I already have 2.5 units on it, but I'll add more as the fight-card progresses.
For anyone who is betting Henderson, his current money line is +175 or better at most bookies, while his KO/TKO prop is +280 at most bookies. If I were betting Henderson, I'd bet his ML or KO/TKO line with a bigger bet on the o1.5 rounds. Maybe like 2 units on o1.5 and 1.5 units on Henderson. |
If you think it's going more than 1.5 rounds - which I agree with that's one of the biggest bets I have on the card - don't you agree than that if you also like Hendo's ML, than his decision line at +1000ish is just a good - that's the line I played SU. If it goes into the later rounds they both slow down and if Hendo is ahead, I could see him using his wrestling and landing of cleaner shots to win a close or less likely, a fairly wide decision. I think this definitely happens more than 1/10 times.
Stoked about this line. |
|
|
3
|
PuertoRican   United States. Jun 06 2015 19:52. Posts 13051 | | |
Added another unit on Yancy Medeiros +205. |
|
|
|
1
|
Minsk   United States. Jun 06 2015 21:00. Posts 1558 | | |
I went to sleep yesterday waiting for the Medeiros line to get better from 2.5, great to see that its at 3.2 now. |
|
|
3
|
PuertoRican   United States. Jun 06 2015 23:08. Posts 13051 | | |
My bets pre-live betting:
+ Show Spoiler +
I plan to bet more on o1.5 for the Boetsch/Henderson fight as the card progresses.
Boetsch submission +500 $3 for $15
Henderson/Boetsch o1.5 -145 $36.25 for $25
Rothwell decision +894 $3 for $26.82
Rothwell/Mitrione o1.5 -106 $15.90 for $15
Yancy Medeiros +160 $15 for $24
Yancy Medeiros +180 $15 for $27
Yancy Medeiros +205 $10 for $20.50
Medeiros decision +700 $10 for $70
Tavares decision +185 $10 for $18.50
Ortega KO/TKO/DQ +723 $2.35 for $16.99
Anthony Birchak +150 $5 for $7.50
Birchak submission +750 $3 for $22.50
Francisco Rivera +100 $30 for $30
Jordan submission +1600 $2 for $32
Akhmedov decision +176 $10 for $17.60
Giagos decision +400 $5 for $20
Edwards KO/TKO/DQ +1100 $2 for $22
Edwards submission +700 $3 for $21 |
|
|
|
3
|
PuertoRican   United States. Jun 07 2015 00:04. Posts 13051 | | |
|
Rekrul is a newb | Last edit: 07/06/2015 00:05 |
|
|
1
|
soberstone   United States. Jun 07 2015 00:06. Posts 2662 | | |
Could care less about this first fight but let's see if them talking up Morales is legit or he's just typical low ceiling Hispanic prospect.
Yup, horrible TDD, flashes of decency on the ground but ultimately makes the huge mistake and gives the back. |
|
| Last edit: 07/06/2015 00:13 |
|
|
3
|
PuertoRican   United States. Jun 07 2015 00:14. Posts 13051 | | |
That's what he gets for wearing a Dan Hardy mohawk. Those guys always lose.
----------
Just added $5 on Collier at +155, just cuz he has outs, and the first fight was won by an underdog.
BTW, they're using the small UFC cage tonight, not the big one. This means there's a higher chance we'll see more finishes. |
|
Rekrul is a newb | Last edit: 07/06/2015 00:24 |
|
|
1
|
soberstone   United States. Jun 07 2015 00:28. Posts 2662 | | |
| On June 06 2015 23:14 PuertoRican wrote:
That's what he gets for wearing a Dan Hardy mohawk. Those guys always lose.
----------
Just added $5 on Collier at +155, just cuz he has outs, and the first fight was won by an underdog.
BTW, they're using the small UFC cage tonight, not the big one. This means there's a higher chance we'll see more finishes.BTW, they're using the small UFC cage tonight, not the big one. This means there's a higher chance we'll see more finishes. |
See, that's some bullshit from a gambling perspective. I need to find out where you find this shit out in advanced. It really weakens our over play on Hendo Boestch... not to the point where I hate it, but I'm certainly less confident
From a sporting perspective, I will continue to say it's a damn joke that they'd use a smaller cage.
Be like playing an NBA game with college basketball level 3's, etc.
|
|
| Last edit: 07/06/2015 00:37 |
|
|
3
|
PuertoRican   United States. Jun 07 2015 00:44. Posts 13051 | | |
Yeah, they almost always use a big cage when they have more than 1 heavyweight fight on the card. Dunno why they chose to go with the smaller cage, possibly cuz the event is in New Orleans, and those country fucks love them some violence. |
|
|
|
1
|
soberstone   United States. Jun 07 2015 00:50. Posts 2662 | | |
Dude, that fight was kind of awesome, super close, I'd lean Collier but can't say for sure either way. |
|
| Last edit: 07/06/2015 00:51 |
|
|
1
|
soberstone   United States. Jun 07 2015 00:52. Posts 2662 | | |
Yup well earned SD for Collier.... this kid's interview is actually super moving. |
|
|
3
|
PuertoRican   United States. Jun 07 2015 00:53. Posts 13051 | | |
Great striking performance by Collier. He's like an upgraded version of Chris Camozzi. |
|
|
|
5
|
Nazgul   Netherlands. Jun 07 2015 01:06. Posts 7080 | | |
Some small bets for me on Jordan $60 at -120 and Tavares $75 at -150. GL tonight all. |
|
You almost twin-caracked his AK - JonnyCosmo | |
|
|
3
|
PuertoRican   United States. Jun 07 2015 01:23. Posts 13051 | | |
Sick choke by Proctor! I thought I was gonna have to sweat my 1.5u live bet when it went to a decision. |
|
|
|
1
|
soberstone   United States. Jun 07 2015 01:23. Posts 2662 | | |
YES! Proctor cashes 1st leg of 2 parlays.
What a fight.
He could have gotten robbed potentially if he didn't finish it with 1 fucking second left. Edwards wouldn't tap and goes unconscious. Ridiculously good start to the card entertainment wise. |
|
|
1
|
soberstone   United States. Jun 07 2015 01:28. Posts 2662 | | |
Joe Proctor just locked 50k away for sure. It would take some crazy shit for him not to get a bonus 'officially' |
|
|
3
|
PuertoRican   United States. Jun 07 2015 01:34. Posts 13051 | | |
Added another pre-fight bet: Christos Giagos +160 $5 for $8. Already have $5 on Giagos decision +400. Gonna live bet the rest. |
|
|
|
1
|
soberstone   United States. Jun 07 2015 01:52. Posts 2662 | | |
| On June 07 2015 00:34 PuertoRican wrote:
Added another pre-fight bet: Christos Giagos +160 $5 for $8. Already have $5 on Giagos decision +400. Gonna live bet the rest. |
I just scored 2 for Giagos, but if he doesn't get a finish, I think you might get screwed. Wade does get hurt everytime he gets touched. |
|
|
1
|
soberstone   United States. Jun 07 2015 01:58. Posts 2662 | | |
Man, Wade is a hell of an athlete, but is gonna get massacred bad vs someone with great TDD and good striking |
|
|
|