UFC FN 40: Brown vs. Silva - Page 2

Just threw 2.5 units ($25) on Montague at +177 vs Horiguchi, this fight should be close to a pickem IMO, they are both very good but not top top tier prospects, and stylistically I don't see any big advantages on either side. Dodson made Montague look slow but Horiguchi ain't no Dodson.

I'm looking to win on some slight dogs that I think are valuable (Magney, Montague) and than parlay some favorites (Lentz, Smolka, Koch, Natal) and at that point if Brown is still a 2/1 dog, throw a decent sized bet on him. We'll see how it goes!

My bets thus far (pre-live betting):

Brown/Silva u1½ +100 $15
Rafael Natal -120 $20
Cummings/Cabral u2½ +145 $5
Palelei by submission +950 $3
Lapsely/Tumenov u2½ +101 $25 (free play/house money)

I plan to bet Means/Magny o2.5 and Koch/Cruick o2.5, but I'm waiting to see where the lines go before I make a bet. I have a couple hail mary parlays, but nothing worth posting.

On May 10 2014 01:01 Daut wrote: Show nested quote + On May 09 2014 23:17 Baalim wrote: I dont know I dont like to bet against Silva he is just weird he seems to me like a true prodigy that just finds way to lose fights, I think one day he will get past that shit and destroy everyone if he was 24 id agree, but hes about to turn 30. i think hes just the kind of fighter that absolutely destroys everyone who isnt in the same league as him, but if you are a top 20 guy you can give him fits, frustrate him and eventually win. then again, fitch was still a top 5 guy and he was really crushing DHK before the flukey KO. i dunno, i just dont trust him past the first few minutes of a fight

One of us is remembering this fight wrong. I remember DHK winning the first round pretty clearly. Eric was doing much better in the 2nd but by no means crushing.

He displayed some of the most awful striking technique ever in that fight. Just winging hooks that he threw from his back pocket.

But yea Silva has a hard time pacing himself. He sprints in the first round so by round two he's pretty gassed. If he doesn't get the sub in the first two rounds his chances drop dramatically.

Fight Pass prelims: http://www.vipboxus.co/boxing/224218/...alas-vs-ben-w-live-stream-online.html

Good start. Tumenov with the KO earns me a quick $25 smackers.

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I added $5 on Salas/Wall u2½ +185. Don't really know anything about them though, aside from Wall getting owned by grapplers on one of the overseas TUF events.

vipbox down for anyone else?

I guess i should probably just get fightpass.

On May 10 2014 17:57 Stim_Abuser wrote: vipbox down for anyone else? I guess i should probably just get fightpass.

It works perfect for me: http://www.vipboxus.co/boxing/224218/...alas-vs-ben-w-live-stream-online.html

Justin Salas with the quick win to earn me $9 more smackers.

.co is down for me, had to use .eu version.

good start to the prelims.

On May 10 2014 17:29 Stim_Abuser wrote: Show nested quote + On May 10 2014 01:01 Daut wrote:   On May 09 2014 23:17 Baalim wrote: I dont know I dont like to bet against Silva he is just weird he seems to me like a true prodigy that just finds way to lose fights, I think one day he will get past that shit and destroy everyone if he was 24 id agree, but hes about to turn 30. i think hes just the kind of fighter that absolutely destroys everyone who isnt in the same league as him, but if you are a top 20 guy you can give him fits, frustrate him and eventually win. then again, fitch was still a top 5 guy and he was really crushing DHK before the flukey KO. i dunno, i just dont trust him past the first few minutes of a fight One of us is remembering this fight wrong. I remember DHK winning the first round pretty clearly. Eric was doing much better in the 2nd but by no means crushing. He displayed some of the most awful striking technique ever in that fight. Just winging hooks that he threw from his back pocket. But yea Silva has a hard time pacing himself. He sprints in the first round so by round two he's pretty gassed. If he doesn't get the sub in the first two rounds his chances drop dramatically.

oops yea, forgot he got some dominant positions round 1. just remember DHK being super rocked and almost finished. even worse

Nik Lentz should win easily by decision, especially since Manny is hard to finish. However, I'll keep the trend going and bet the Under in this fight. $5 on Lentz/Gamburyan u2½ +265.

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Since the lines keep going up, I added the following bets:

Zak Cummings +450 $5
Johnny Eduardo +605 $5

Wineland should beat Eduardo, but Wineland being -900 or more is insane. Cummings sucks afaik, but I'll take a shot here.

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FS2 stream: http://www.vipboxus.co/boxing/224219/...vised-prelims-live-stream-online.html

Fight_Ghost ‏@Fight_Ghost 7m
Not heavily invested either side, but I do think Eric Silva will kick the shit out of Brown & that everyone is wrong there. Time will tell.

big MMA bettor, interesting to see. i tossed in a small bet on brown at +185. expect line to plummet towards end and will buy out if i can get silva even -175

I was hoping Wineland would keep his hands up after getting spinning backed kicked in the face. Would give him a better shot in a rematch with Barao.

Holy shit. Maybe he'll keep his hands up now? lol.

Well fuck... Ruined my two parlays, even though I made money with the bet on Eduardo...

Wow, always nice to see a big underdog win

i had never watched eduardo before today, but after about 30 seconds it was clear the fight was even. wonder if tape said same thing? apparently he was striking coach for nova uniao?

guess he won't be wrecking that kid....

On May 10 2014 19:24 Daut wrote: i had never watched eduardo before today, but after about 30 seconds it was clear the fight was even. wonder if tape said same thing? apparently he was striking coach for nova uniao?

Yeah, apparently...

After 2 years off, many of us assumed Wineland would easily win. Wineland closed at -1050 on SBG Global.

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Money is coming in on Erick Silva. Brown is now at +208 on Bookmaker. I'll bet Brown, but waiting to see where his line goes.

On May 10 2014 18:11 PuertoRican wrote: Since the lines keep going up, I added the following bets: Zak Cummings +450 $5 Johnny Eduardo +605 $5 Wineland should beat Eduardo, but Wineland being -900 or more is insane. Cummings sucks afaik, but I'll take a shot here.

Both cashed~~~

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Bookmaker isn't offering any live betting for the Fox Sports 2 prelims, so I haven't been able to make any serious money. Hopefully they have live betting for the main card on Fox Sports 1.

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Just added: Montague/Horiguchi o2½ -110 $5

No idea who'll win, but I know Montague is a tough guy.