PuertoRican United States. Apr 06 2014 22:25. Posts 13051
Date: Friday, April 11th
Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass): 11:15 LP.net / 9:15am PST / 12:15am EST
Main Card Time (UFC Fight Pass): 13:00 LP.net / 11am PST / 2pm EST
Live Streams: http://www.vipbox.tv (All MMA events are listed under the UFC button. Press the UFC button and you'll see the event in the list.)
- A flyweight bout between Alptekin Ozkilic and Dustin Ortiz was expected to take place on this card. However on April 3, the fight was cancelled due to injury to Ozkilic.
Rekrul is a newb
Last edit: 10/04/2014 21:44
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PuertoRican United States. Apr 06 2014 22:26. Posts 13051
First thoughts:
Big Nog vs. Nelson (dunno yet)
Guida > Kawajiri
LaFlare > Howard
Dariush > Nijem
Rosholt vs. Omielanczuk (dunno yet)
Yahya > Bedford
Leites > Smith
Camozzi > Craig
Omer vs. Alers (dunno yet)
Rekrul is a newb
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Minsk United States. Apr 07 2014 01:13. Posts 1558
Do you think Thailes Leites is a good bet?
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PuertoRican United States. Apr 07 2014 01:54. Posts 13051
On April 07 2014 00:13 Minsk wrote:
Do you think Thailes Leites is a good bet?
Not at -400.
Leites should win, but he's not a great fighter imo, just better than Trevor Smith. Also, this event is in Abu Dhabi, so there could be a couple fighters who have jet-lag and cardio issues; hell, all of them could end up having cardio and let-lag issues cuz of the long flight and the warm weather. The venue for this event is an open arena, which means the event is basically outside.
As of right now, the line I like the most is Camozzi -135. I'm not sure if I'll bet this card though, cuz there's no live-betting available for any of the fights, and because of the travel issue I mentioned above.
Nogueira cant KO nelson, he cant take him down so he will have to throw down with him and Nogeira es very easy to hit and has a weak chin. Nelson by KO
On April 07 2014 02:02 Baalim wrote:
Nogueira cant KO nelson, he cant take him down so he will have to throw down with him and Nogeira es very easy to hit and has a weak chin. Nelson by KO
nog still has a pretty good chin. if you notice when cain KOed him he seemed to recover afterwards very fast. which is the problem with this fight. both of these guys are too good at taking punishment. going to be sad to watch them both pile up more brain damage.
NewbSaibot: 18 TIMES THE SPEED OF LIGHT. Because FUCK YOU, Daut
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PuertoRican United States. Apr 07 2014 16:19. Posts 13051
On April 07 2014 12:57 Twisted wrote:
You've got these numbers wrong the past few times . This is fight night 40.
On April 07 2014 02:02 Baalim wrote:
Nogueira cant KO nelson, he cant take him down so he will have to throw down with him and Nogeira es very easy to hit and has a weak chin. Nelson by KO
nog still has a pretty good chin. if you notice when cain KOed him he seemed to recover afterwards very fast. which is the problem with this fight. both of these guys are too good at taking punishment. going to be sad to watch them both pile up more brain damage.
But Nelsons haymaker is many times stronger than anything Cain can throw and Nog has probably the worst striking defence in the division, eventually he is going to land it.
Ex-PokerStars Team Pro Online
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PuertoRican United States. Apr 07 2014 18:28. Posts 13051
^ Big Nog's training camp from 3 days ago.
----------
Facts
• Big Nog is returning from an elbow injury; ring rust 307 days
• Big Nog is 37 years old and has been through a ton of wars in his career. He is 2-3 in his last 5 fights, and he was finished in those 3 losses (Werdum submission, Mir submission, Velasquez TKO)
• Nelson is 37 years old, but he has the best chin in all of MMA and has only been finished in 1 fight (October 2008, vs. Andrei Arlovski)
• Big Nog has never lost 2 fights in a row. (he lost his last fight)
• Big Nog height: 6'3. reach: 77 inches
• Nelson's height: 6'0. reach: 73
• Big Nog is better than Nelson in every aspect of MMA, but he's slowed down over the years and is getting finished in his losses.
• Big Nog has only fought 8 times since 2008, and is 4-4 during that time. All 4 losses were via finish (TKO loss to Mir, TKO loss to Velasquez, Submission loss to Mir, Submission loss to Werdum)
• Big Nog has the better cardio.
• Nelson has only finished 1 guy outside of Round 1 in the past 6+ years, which was Mirko CroCop in October 2011. Nelson is known as the guy who either finishes an opponent in Round 1, or he doesn't win the fight. Since he throws power in every shot, his chances of knocking anyone out past Round 1 goes down considerably.
• Nelson: Out of 28 fights, he has fought 3 times outside of the USA, and only 1 of those times has been while he's been in the UFC, which was he fought and loss to Stipe Miocic in Canada (June 2013).
• Big Nog: Most of his 44 fights were in Japan, while the rest were in the USA, Brazil, and a couple other countries.
• Nelson is on a 2-fight losing streak, which were against more technical strikers with good movement (Cormier and Miocic). He's good at beating guys who aren't quick on their feet, who are easy to back up against the cage, and who aren't able to take him down (Kongo, Mitrione, Herman, Struve, etc.)
• Big Nog has 34 wins: 3 by KO/TKO, 21 by Submission, 10 by Decision. His last 2 losses were via Submission, where he ended up getting his arm broken in one fight and needed surgery both times that kept him out of action for 11 months after each loss.
• Nelson has 19 wins: 12 by KO/TKO, 5 by Submission, 2 by Decision. His last 2 losses were via 3-Round Decision's to more technical strikers with better speed and movement in Cormier and Miocic.
On April 07 2014 00:13 Minsk wrote:
Do you think Thailes Leites is a good bet?
Also, this event is in Abu Dhabi, so there could be a couple fighters who have jet-lag and cardio issues; hell, all of them could end up having cardio and let-lag issues cuz of the long flight and the warm weather. The venue for this event is an open arena, which means the event is basically outside.
most of those stats are absolutely meaningless and Big Nog definitelly isnt better in every aspect of the game than Nelson, Big Nog is a terrible natural striker, he has no power, he is slow, stiff and has no head movement so he is easy as fuck to hit, he is also a very shitty wrestler probably worse than Nelson too.
His only real advantage here is the cardio, the only way Nog can win this is if he manages to outbox Nelson from the outside tiring him out and not eating the haymaker which wont be an easy task considering he doesnt have good takedowns or kicks to threaten Nelson.
Ex-PokerStars Team Pro Online
3
PuertoRican United States. Apr 09 2014 01:20. Posts 13051
Howard is at +305, what do you think about that? I am thinking on taking that bet too. Not sure tho
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Minsk United States. Apr 10 2014 00:44. Posts 1558
I think Nelsons biggest weakness is his form, and Noguiera wont really be able to take advantage of it in his current form.
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PuertoRican United States. Apr 10 2014 11:55. Posts 13051
"UFC Fight Night Abu Dhabi: Illness forces cancellation of Andrew Craig vs. Chris Camozzi."
Now I really don't care about this card. Camozzi was gonna be my biggest and possibly only bet.
Rekrul is a newb
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PuertoRican United States. Apr 10 2014 18:50. Posts 13051
Roy Nelson (255.5) vs. Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira (238)
Clay Guida (146) vs. Tatsuya Kawajiri (145)
John Howard (171) vs. Ryan LaFlare (171)
Beneil Dariush (155) vs. Ramsey Nijem (156)
Daniel Omielanczuk (248) vs. Jared Rosholt (240)
Thales Leites (185) vs. Trevor Smith (186)
Jim Alers (145.5) vs. Alan Omer (146)
Johnny Bedford (135) vs. Rani Yahya (135.5)
don't know alot of these fighers just betting over/under rounds
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PuertoRican United States. Apr 11 2014 13:49. Posts 13051
On April 11 2014 12:38 Zadan wrote:
don't know alot of these fighers just betting over/under rounds
This card has sucked so far, and the favorites have all won.
Yahya vs. Bedford = clash of heads, ended in a No Contest.
Alers vs. Omer = good fight. Alers used his wrestling to win a split-decision.
Leites vs. Smith = terrible fight. Leites won in 45 seconds via TKO (big surprise if you know how Leites fights).
Rosholt vs. Omielanczuk = terrible fight. Omielanczuk couldn't stop any take downs and Rosholt literally laid on top of him for all 3 rounds.
I don't have any bets on this card. But I would be tilted as shit if I bet any point spread here. WTF is with the announcer not giving the actual scores?
On April 11 2014 13:55 SeanBam wrote:
I don't have any bets on this card. But I would be tilted as shit if I bet any point spread here. WTF is with the announcer not giving the actual scores?
LOL
ok guida fight better go the distance
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milkman United States. Apr 11 2014 15:00. Posts 5719
the stream hath fallen?
Its hard to make a easy buck legally, its impossible to make a easy buck morally.
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PuertoRican United States. Apr 11 2014 15:07. Posts 13051
On April 11 2014 14:00 milkman wrote:
the stream hath fallen?
in general it must be real frustrating to fight nelson. you can outstrike him and dodge most of his bullets but if one hits you it can KO you. but nog goes out there plodding around with his hands down and gets hit by 4 of them? seriously? how awful do you have to be to get hit by that same predictable punch 4 times in 4 minutes. just awful. nogs the worst combination of being too tough and too broken down at the same time. just takes too much damage in a fight like this
NewbSaibot: 18 TIMES THE SPEED OF LIGHT. Because FUCK YOU, Daut
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PuertoRican United States. Apr 11 2014 16:35. Posts 13051
Nogueira was like a walking target. What a shame seeing one of the hw all time greats being put to sleep like that. And i dont even like him because of all his excuse making. He will probably say flying at economic class had a huge influence in his fight
Netherlands. Apr 07 2014 13:57. Posts 10422
. This is fight night 40.
