Villian is 20/12 and 3-bets 4%. It is obvious that his range on the turn is only AA/QQ/JJ and maybe TT. I think turn check is good, because he'll fold to a bet this deep, but what about river? Can I bet small (around $12) and fold to a raise? I'm not happy about checking now that I think of it, because I don't see him turning QQ/JJ ever into a bluff here.
Indeed, you can valuebet river if you don't have any history about villain turning those hands in a bluff. I like this line, and somethimes valuebet small. I think i valuebet 70% of time.
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