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Handnr: 1077939
Submitted by : Stroggoz
PokerStars Hand #170325458871: Holdem No Limit ($50/$100 USD) - 2017/05/12 15:37:18 ET
Table Ogyalla III 6-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 1: antoha1998 ($9460 in chips)
Seat 2: LLinusLLove ($12327 in chips)
Seat 3: OBORRA ($9840 in chips)
Seat 4: mrGR33N13 ($19837 in chips)
Seat 6: Katya_18 ($11167 in chips)
OBORRA: posts small blind $50
mrGR33N13: posts big blind $100
Bit2Easy: sits out
antoha1998: posts the ante $20
LLinusLLove: posts the ante $20
OBORRA: posts the ante $20
mrGR33N13: posts the ante $20
Katya_18: posts the ante $20
Holecards(Odds)
Katya_18: folds
antoha1998: raises $166 to $266
LLinusLLove: calls $266
OBORRA: calls $216
mrGR33N13: calls $166
Flop(Odds) (Pot : $1,064.00)
  
OBORRA: bets $869.25
mrGR33N13: calls $869.25
antoha1998: folds
LLinusLLove: calls $869.25
Turn(Odds) (Pot : $3,671.75)
OBORRA: bets $1883.38
mrGR33N13: calls $1883.38
LLinusLLove: raises $9288.37 to $11171.75 and is all-in
OBORRA: calls $6801.37 and is all-in
mrGR33N13: calls $9288.37
River (Pot : $34,700.00)
Showdown
mrGR33N13: shows   (a flush, King high)
LLinusLLove: shows   (a flush, Ace high)
LLinusLLove collected $4974 from side pot
OBORRA: shows   (three of a kind, Fours)
LLinusLLove collected $29821 from main pot
Summary
Total pot $34800 Main pot $29821. Side pot $4974. | Rake $5
Board
Seat 1: antoha1998 folded on the Flop
Seat 2: LLinusLLove (button) showed and won ($34795) with a flush, Ace high
Seat 3: OBORRA (small blind) showed and lost with three of a kind, Fours
Seat 4: mrGR33N13 (big blind) showed and lost with a flush, King high
Seat 6: Katya_18 folded before Flop (didnt bet)
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wobbly_au Australia. Oct 24 2017 08:59. Posts 6540 | | | |
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wobbly_au Australia. Oct 24 2017 09:02. Posts 6540 | | |
As played I think he should fold to the shove... |
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Stroggoz New Zealand. Oct 24 2017 11:47. Posts 5296 | | |
It's pretty tough to calculate equity here.
$6801 to win $21,040 on turn or win $27841. he needs 32.3% equity assuming first scenario, or 24.4% assuming 2nd scenario.
If Linus had all 3 AhJxcombos and all nut flush combos it would be a call.
The turn lead is doing well imo. If it never gets raised, it gets to realize equity. If Linus bluff raises it, it gets to call. If he doesn't bluff raise it, and just jams his flushes, then oborra could fold his weaker flushes (if he ever lead them here). It is a very good lead as a sort of a semi bluff I reckon. |
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| One of 3 non decent human beings on a site of 5 people with between 2-3 decent human beings | Last edit: 24/10/2017 11:53 |
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wobbly_au Australia. Oct 24 2017 12:03. Posts 6540 | | |
"The turn lead is doing well imo. If it never gets raised, it gets to realize equity. If Linus bluff raises it, it gets to call. If he doesn't bluff raise it, and just jams his flushes, then oborra could fold his weaker flushes (if he ever lead them here). It is a very good lead as a sort of a semi bluff I reckon."
this part of your argument seems to contradict itself multiple times. Its not one way or another, its just one massive range. I know what you are saying is that GTO means to keep your range wide everywhere so you are bluffing value betting both wide and thus being closer to GTO but this is a single raised pot that got to the turn and is still 3 way.
I like betting if flop was only called by one, but I think he is leading 3way as a underdog way too often. Only way its good is if he thinks both of them are unlikely to raise the nutflush (which could be true and thus make it good) |
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