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One of the worst calls ever by Negreanu...

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Carthac   United States. Dec 10 2010 04:12. Posts 1343
Hello again everybody!

The Big Game started up again last week, and it has been fairly entertaining so far. I have really become a fan of the show, even though when I first started, I could not stand even the sight of it, as all I could associate the show with was that gay fuck blogger Jason Calanackis, or w/e the fuck his name is.

Anyways, there was a hand this week with Daniel Negreanu that I found particularly special. Daniel has been known to make some really awful plays, but I personally feel this may have been one of the worst for him in a while. I threw in a little of my own analysis, and you can take that as it is.

BTW, I tried to submit this to the hands section, and I couldn't get it to show the board cards properly, so ima just copy paste it here. Anyways, here we go

Oh, and heres a link BTW if you would rather watch the hand

http://pokertube.com/free-poker-video...rStars_Big_Game_Ep68_1_2&player=1

The hand I am discussing starts at about 13:50

PokerStars Big Game: Hold'em No Limit ($200/400, 100 ante USD) - 2010/12/09
Table Strobe Fuck Light 6-max
Seat 2: Doyle Brunson
Seat 3: Scott Seiver
Seat 4: Joe Hachem
Seat 5: Daniel Negreanu (roughly 250k)
Seat 6: Phil Galfond (roughly 470k)
Doyle Brunson: posts small blind $200
Scott Seiver: posts big blind $400
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Joe Hachem: folds
Dealt to Daniel Negreanu: [As 2c]
Daniel Negreanu: raises $1200 to $2400
Phil Galfond: [Ks 8d]
Phil Galfond: calls $1200
Doyle Brunson: folds
Scott Seiver: [Jd Tc]
Scott Seiver: calls $1200

Typical garbage raise from the cutoff for Negreanu as he feels that he can play anything from the cutoff and button because he saw an online winner do it once. Galfond makes a very loose call, but with the implied odds to get paid off since Negreanu is a mega station and for how deep the two are, I do not blame him at all. Seiver calls for the same reasons basically

*** FLOP *** [8s Kd Ac]
Scott Seiver: checks
Daniel Negreanu: bets $3000
Phil Galfond: calls $3000
Scott Seiver: folds

Seems pretty standard so far. Negreanu getting value from possible 2nd pair type hands Galfond might have. Not really any draws you can flat with profitably here, so it is expected that Negreanu will slow down and play his hand as a bluff catcher

*** TURN *** [8s Kd Ac] Th
Daniel Negreanu: checks
Phil Galfond: bets $7000
Daniel Negreanu: calls $7000

Weird spot for Negreanu, as Galfond should be checking behind with K's, any weird 3rd pair type hand, etc. When Galfond bets, I see him as polarizing his range to either an ace+ or complete air. However, air makes no sense as Galfond would typically not 100% air float with Seiver in the hand to act behind him. Seeing as this board has only gutshots to draw to, I feel Negreanu can at most call one more bet, and even that is pushing it a little.

*** RIVER *** [8s Kd Ac Th] 6h
Daniel Negreanu: checks
Phil Galfond: bets $15,500
Daniel Negreanu: Time bank is enabled....
Daniel Negreanu: calls $15,500

*** SHOW DOWN ***
Phil Galfond: shows [Kd 8s] (Two pair, Kings and Eights}
Daniel Negreanu: mucks

You know Negreanu is known for some really bad calls, but this one is just outstandingly horrific. After Galfond bets, he puts him on either QJ or air. Out of all the common two pair possibilities, better ace hands, sets, etc. Negreanu puts him SOLELY on QJ, or A 100% COMPLETE AIR FLOAT THAT DECIDED TO DOUBLE BARREL A STATION THAT LED INTO 2 OTHER PEOPLE. WHAT IN THE FUCK IS GOING THROUGH THIS MANS HEAD?!

He looks at his hand, knows he beats NOTHING BUT A COMPLETE 100% BLUFF THAT RANDOMLY DECIDED TO FLOAT/FIRE 2 BARRELs, and decides 'I think I am good here a high enough % of the time to make this call.'

Idk, maybe I am off on all of this, but when I watched it, my jaw almost hit the floor. Maybe I am wrong? Feel free to comment on anything

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goose58   United States. Dec 10 2010 04:26. Posts 871

i think its one of those spots where you are up against a very good players and you know they have air in their range so your mind kinda goes fuzzy and you go spewtastic

negreanu is a fish, whats new?


exalted   United States. Dec 10 2010 04:56. Posts 2918

what do you think is the weakest hand Negreanu should call in this spot? pretty good analysis of the hand, will check out the vid later

exalted from teamliquid :o 

Carthac   United States. Dec 10 2010 05:45. Posts 1343


  On December 10 2010 03:56 exalted wrote:
what do you think is the weakest hand Negreanu should call in this spot? pretty good analysis of the hand, will check out the vid later



With the way the hand was played, I think the minimum that Negreanu has to have here to check/call the turn and river, and expect to win enough to make it profitable is AQ, and I think even that is pushing it. The line Galfond took is just super strong

Negreanu knows that if Galfond had show down value, he would have checked turn. Then when Galfond not only bet turn, but bet the river when Negreanu checked, Galfond is looking to get value out of his hand, as Daniel has basically played his hand face up as an ace. There are just so many common broadway combinations that beats him here that it just astounds me that he thinks A-2 will EVER be good


urasofty   Canada. Dec 10 2010 06:13. Posts 81

I'm more surprised that you felt the need to do a full write up on such an insignificant hand.


Carthac   United States. Dec 10 2010 09:04. Posts 1343


  On December 10 2010 05:13 urasofty wrote:
I'm more surprised that you felt the need to do a full write up on such an insignificant hand.



You have 20 posts...


drone666   Brasil. Dec 10 2010 10:19. Posts 1822

Urasofty = negreanu

Dont listen to anything I say 

superfashion   United States. Dec 10 2010 11:02. Posts 918

really expected to see the kq vs j9 siever hand here..

shoving here as a bluff at 50NL is like explaning calcalus to a 6 month old cat wtf are you thinking - TalentedTom 

julep   Australia. Dec 10 2010 12:27. Posts 1274

negsy is horrible......i love it how he says he beats 2 different hands when in reality.................


wobbly_au   Australia. Dec 10 2010 13:52. Posts 6540

u can call him donk and shit and do all this analysis but i will when you sit in that game vs galfond and siever and who ever else you'll make mistakes even worse.

DN is a good poker player just not a great one.

The Last Laugh. 

Balzamon   Sweden. Dec 10 2010 16:25. Posts 2868


  On December 10 2010 12:52 wobbly_au wrote:
u can call him donk and shit and do all this analysis but i will when you sit in that game vs galfond and siever and who ever else you'll make mistakes even worse.

DN is a good poker player just not a great one.



Well the comments you make on a player skill is depending on what level he is representing his play at, so when commenting daniel negreanus play you are commentating his skill compared to other nosebleed pros, and i think pretty much everyone agrees that hes the fish at this level. He can still be a good player in general and i think everyone understands this, i mean when you look at sports and say "oh this player is so bad" you obv dont mean you are better yourself, you just think he sucks compared to his competition.

I also think its fair to critisize his cashgame play, he made almost all of his winnings from tournaments, and i dont think as many will say hes a bad tournament player.

 Last edit: 10/12/2010 16:27

NewbSaibot   United States. Dec 10 2010 17:03. Posts 4944

It was a personal call, not an weighted call.

bye now 

Carthac   United States. Dec 10 2010 19:49. Posts 1343


  On December 10 2010 12:52 wobbly_au wrote:
u can call him donk and shit and do all this analysis but i will when you sit in that game vs galfond and siever and who ever else you'll make mistakes even worse.

DN is a good poker player just not a great one.



I probably would tbh, but I do not have the experience, skill, or bankroll to even come close to competing in these games

What troubles me is that Negreanu has been playing for a VERY long time now. He was the 2004 wsop player of the year, is near the top earner of all time in poker tourney winnings, yet is still able to make a play such as this that most poker players could spot and fold river without a second thought to an even somewhat normal range of hands Galfond can have here.


thewh00sel    United States. Dec 11 2010 00:31. Posts 2734

a lot of good players would peal a KJ type hand, realize it's no good on the turn and plan to fire two barrels to get someone off an ace. dn was just on the wrong level on this hand. not a very good call but i'm sure galfond can peal any 2 broadway cards on this flop and fire twice as a bluff sometimes.

A government is the most dangerous threat to man’s rights: it holds a legal monopoly on the use of physical force against legally disarmed victims. - Ayn Rand 

KeanuReaver   United States. Dec 11 2010 01:04. Posts 2022

call really doesn't seem all that bad, DN kinda flips his hand face up as a scared ace after turn action so no matter what galfonds range of hands is here im sure he expects DN to fold pretty often to a solid river bet. so as long as galfond is willing to call the flop with something worse than a pair of aces then he pretty much has to have some % of bluffs on the river and i think it's a little silly to think a player like galfond wouldn't be willing to float some weak hands 3 handed in position against a player he clearly outclasses.

and the endurance required for MMA, which has actions like punching and kicking bone and muscle with 1000-2500 PSI. - Taco 

Carthac   United States. Dec 11 2010 01:56. Posts 1343


  On December 10 2010 23:31 thewh00sel wrote:
a lot of good players would peal a KJ type hand, realize it's no good on the turn and plan to fire two barrels to get someone off an ace. dn was just on the wrong level on this hand. not a very good call but i'm sure galfond can peal any 2 broadway cards on this flop and fire twice as a bluff sometimes.



Yeah, but that would go against the concept of floating with 2nd pair if you plan to turn your hand into a bluff when he ceases aggression. If he had K-J, he would most likely want to see showdown, especially with the type of stationy player that Negreanu is.


goose58   United States. Dec 11 2010 02:45. Posts 871

DN is a moron though for raising A2o deep+ OOP vs phil galfond. thats pretty much giving money away


DustySwedeDude   Sweden. Dec 11 2010 21:25. Posts 8623

Except for PF I'd play it the same.


 



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