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| | Key point in my carreer by Fudyann, May 19
I started with $5 from pokerstars, and I've been grinding steadily ever since. My first post here featured an $11 bankroll and a risk of ruin of 7%, and some very good advice on how I should continue playing. Finally, about 10k hands later, I have my bankroll over $40 and I am officially rolled for playing NL2. This hand played a crucial role in getting to this point:
Submitted by : Fudyann
PokerStars Game #28386615789: Holdem No Limit ($0.01/$0.02) - 2009/05/19 16:41:07 ET
Table Silesia IX 9-max Seat #9 is the button
Seat 1: darkmyk ($2.01 in chips)
Seat 2: Hero ($2.13 in chips)
Seat 3: ALGOVE ($1.70 in chips)
Seat 4: johnblue111 ($0.94 in chips)
Seat 6: maußi 22 ($6.75 in chips)
Seat 7: Ky3eHbI4 ($1.80 in chips)
Seat 8: Winner Zolee ($3.97 in chips)
Seat 9: judas1973 ($0.96 in chips)
darkmyk: posts small blind $0.01
Hero: posts big blind $0.02
Ky3eHbI4: posts big blind $0.02
Holecards(Odds) Dealt to Hero 
ALGOVE: calls $0.02
johnblue111: folds
maußi 22: folds
Ky3eHbI4: checks
Winner Zolee: folds
judas1973: folds
darkmyk: calls $0.01
xZinkerx has returned
Hero: raises $0.08 to $0.10
ALGOVE: calls $0.08
Ky3eHbI4: calls $0.08
darkmyk: folds
Flop(Odds) (Pot : $0.32)
  Hero: bets $0.16
ALGOVE: folds
Ky3eHbI4: calls $0.16
Turn(Odds) (Pot : $0.64)
   Hero: bets $0.35
Hero said, jack of clubs!
Ky3eHbI4: calls $0.35
River (Pot : $1.34)
    Hero said, hahahah
Hero said, called it
Hero said, this is my card
Hero: bets $1.52 and is all-in
Ky3eHbI4: calls $1.19 and is all-in
Uncalled bet ($0.33) returned to Hero
Showdown Hero: shows  (a full house, Kings full of Jacks)
Ky3eHbI4: mucks hand
Hero collected $3.57 from pot
Summary Total pot $3.72 | Rake $0.15
Board     
Seat 1: darkmyk (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 2: Hero (big blind) showed  and won ($3.57) with a full house, Kings full of Jacks
Seat 3: ALGOVE folded on the Flop
Seat 4: johnblue111 folded before Flop (didnt bet)
Seat 6: maußi 22 folded before Flop (didnt bet)
Seat 7: Ky3eHbI4 mucked 
Seat 8: Winner Zolee folded before Flop (didnt bet)
Seat 9: judas1973 (button) folded before Flop (didnt bet)
So, it's about 15k hands since I started. I'm satisfied with what I have achieved so far. Now it's like making a new start. I just deposited $40, this is my first time at NL2. I am a total fish, haven't played a single hand of real money. This is the mindset I will be going into the future with. Up until now, I have not been making any reads at all, I'm just looking at my cards and the board and betting exactly how strong I think my hand is. My opponents, making tons of moves at the wrong times, and screwing up even this basic, elementary strategy, have been donating their money to me without much of a fight.
Looking to the future, to wanting to be a winner at the higher stakes, I realize that I cannot keep this up. I have to start paying attention to things. I have to start thinking about hand ranges, about betsizing, about thin value and reverse implied odds. I have to stop playing like a robot and I have to start to think. With this new start I will completely alter the way I'm playing the game. I will still play the same, basic ABC poker but instead of looking at the cashier every session and feeling good about upswings and bad about downswings, I will start to look at my decision process and see if I can bring some order into the chaos.
First off, I will be playing half the tables (eight to four) and I will be chanting out loud the basis for every decision.
Furthermore, I will be saying out loud my opponent's hand range before every river call or bet, and see what he shows up with.
Let's see how far I can get.
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| | Dunamis Resources should i be worried ? by PplusAD, May 19
http://dunamisarc.org/index.php?option=com_frontpage&Itemid=1
my mom will go to some teaching of this orgnaisation.
She is allready pretty fucked up concerning her beliefes
She thinks she has magic powers given from jesus > the ones David Blane has >-<
She also thinks that every good on earth directly is from Jesus and every bad directly from Satan T_T
she is pretty crazy
However i am afraid a bit it will go on a new Level.
I have no clue about this orgnaisation and what they are doing.
Just would not be happy if some day i find out my mother commited suicide to serve as fuel for the spacship of God that he can arrive faster at earth ...
Anyone knows that Orgnaisation ?
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| | should i be mad at this??? by biabiaflexer, May 19
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/691773
should i have folded somewhere? i thought i bluffed at that hand quite nicely that late in the tourney...
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| | Bad Beat Bonus by TL-kOre, May 19
Hey guys I was just wondering whether Full Tilt Poker has something like a "Bad Beat Bonus" like when 2 players go against each other and have monster hands and the casino pays off the winner and loser and the rest of the players involved in the hand. This was the hand:
Submitted by : TL-kOre
Full Tilt Poker Game #12315454789: Table Padre Field - $2/$4 - No Limit Hold'em - 16:11:56 ET - 2009/05/19
Seat 1: adbouy ($320.20)
Seat 2: Alaton ($62.10)
Seat 3: DEBONAIR V ($578)
Seat 4: gtr789 ($80)
Seat 5: Hero ($96)
Seat 6: veritech100 ($260)
Seat 7: postmannen ($774.10)
Seat 8: DrDruxx ($90)
Seat 9: mektin ($577.10), is sitting out
adbouy posts the small blind of $2
Alaton posts the big blind of $4
The button is in seat #8
Holecards Dealt to Hero 
DEBONAIR V raises to $8
gtr789 folds
Hero calls $8
veritech100 folds
postmannen calls $8
DrDruxx folds
adbouy calls $6
Alaton folds
Flop (Pot : $36.00)
  adbouy checks
DEBONAIR V checks
Hero bets $18
postmannen raises to $36
adbouy folds
DEBONAIR V calls $36
Hero calls $18
Turn (Pot : $144.00)
   DEBONAIR V checks
Hero checks
postmannen checks
River (Pot : $144.00)
    DEBONAIR V has 15 seconds left to act
DEBONAIR V bets $32
Hero raises to $52, and is all in
postmannen folds
DEBONAIR V calls $20
Showdown Hero shows a straight flush, Jack high
DEBONAIR V mucks
Hero wins the pot ($245) with a straight flush, Jack high
Summary Total pot $248 | Rake $3
Board:    
Seat 1: adbouy (small blind) folded on the Flop
Seat 2: Alaton (big blind) folded before the Flop
Seat 3: DEBONAIR V mucked - a straight flush, Ten high
Seat 4: gtr789 didn't bet (folded)
Seat 5: Hero showed and won ($245) with a straight flush, Jack high
Seat 6: veritech100 didn't bet (folded)
Seat 7: postmannen folded on the River
Seat 8: DrDruxx (button) didn't bet (folded)
Seat 9: mektin is sitting out
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| | Is 500/1000$ poker just a commercial set up? by MasterofLaw, May 19
Have been watching Ziig vs Gus today playing PLO 500/1000$...Then some thoughts struck me.How come all highstakes players suddenly have changed to a lot more swingy game than NLHE if they want to make big money? I'm sure these guys would totally crush at a bit lower limits and even there make a great fortune. HOw come they have to play up there and by necessity PLO? Also in the chat today Gus talked about Ziiggy being staked and he was pretty frequent in the chat talking to railbirds. What about the concept that good players don't pay attention to the chat? That factor, at least in my world, points in the direction that the whole of it is just a big commercial set up, like they getting paid per session or hourly to play fun-money up there...It's like 3bet each pf,call, potbet,raise,allin call each and every hand...that's not so frequent on like 25/50 what I've seen...
Anyone got some ideas to straighten my conspiracy thoughts out?
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| | quit bw by FallinInLove, May 19
Wasted so much time on BW, tryin hard to quit and play as little as possible, the worst thing is when when I dont play BW I watch vods on youtube! T.T. Kerigen give me strenght to quit. If i play poker in my life as much as I played bw I am goin to make billions!!!!
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| | update by sooon2b, May 19
So, schools out, and fuck school lol.
Just moved money to Stars, gonna be playing a bit more there now.
I have 16 hrs community service to do within the next week, as well as paying off ~500$ in fees and such to hopefully get my license back on the 28th. fml
Things with that from the previous blog are going insanely well, and i couldnt be happier, despite her living 6 hrs away. Once I get the license back ill start visiting her which will be nice
thats all, deuces
Pat
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| | graph confusing me red/blue lines n stuff by dahornnn, May 19
After playin a bit last few days i ran good and played well in spots spewed a bit std but after reading peoples blogs etc it seemed to occur i never really checked my graphs etc out as much as maybe i should?
So i have seen people puttin up their graphs with their thoughts analysis and what not but i could use some advice on the graph, is my red line standard for nl10 or does it show some underlying spewleakage????? or does it explain some other mysterious factor about my game i just can't see?
http://www.liquidpoker.net/user_pictures/ca77896c3602925d18ada6f77b4ef441.png
Comments/thoughts etc as always are appreciated!!
ty
peace
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| | LOL by Night2o1, May 19
SJUP IM DRUNK LOL WUT R U GUYTS DOING ITS 8AM OOPSqqqqq
fuck IWAS TRYING TO PRSS TAB BUTTON NOT Q SORRY LOL
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| | Downswing =/ by d.Apollo, May 19
Going through a real good time at the moment ;( You know the drill.... Feel pretty tilted about it so stopped playing and writing this. I know play is mostly standard but 1or2buyins ive lost through tilt which I was embarassed about looking back afterwards.
http://www.liquidpoker.net/user_pictures/b5ec8f0969ba8fa64ef0a7597aad8339.jpg
Going to take few hours break then play some more, gotta work through this ;@
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| | cake money/tourneys/SWEDOS!! by shaneomac, May 19
so after looking @ the tournament schedule on cake poker, i cannot see anything thats REALLY attractive. does anyone play tourneys there consistently and if so which tourneys do u play? preferably under 30 bux or so.
also i would like to possibly get a few hundred onto cake poker if possible if anyone can help me.
as promised:
http://img525.imageshack.us/img525/9841/39933ah1.jpg
im not sure who is the most queer in this picture, the guy with whiskers, the kid whos colored like an oompa loompa, or the kid whos like 11.
http://img514.imageshack.us/img514/9899/motivatorlatencyguidosbl0.jpg
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| | my first lp blog by mcjinzo, May 19
I had a blog on another site that i rarely updated and really feel like blogging more so i thought this would be a great site to start new.
Quick cliffnotes of my poker history
Started with $150 on UB
Bounced around alot of diffrent sites for diffrent reasons.
Won a $4 180 man sng for $216
Won the $2 128 man HU winner take all on pokerstars TWICE for $250 a piece.
Won a $1 rebuy on UB for $1100 (My luckbox friend had a quarter of my action so i had to send him $275)that i was only in for $1 and acouple hundred ultimate points.
and just recently i won a $2 1 rebuy 1 addon tournament on fulltilt for $480
Right now my BR is at ~$1400 i've been playing alot of holdem both limit and no limit and winning pretty well in both im up alittle over $200 this month in cash games (most of which happened in the last couple days). im down like $50 in tournaments this month though but oh well just have to keep grinding cash games. im hoping to start moving up to $50nl soon so if any other micro-low stakes players wanna talk poker or anything else pm me with your AIM or MSN. Cant wait to see how poker goes the next couple weeks im pretty excited.
gl everyone 
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| | 15 minute session fun !!! by Kilay, May 19
Fuck the month of May, that will be all.
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| | Grinding on... by MasterofLaw, May 19
So i'm grinding on, up 2-3bi:s for the month and like 16bi:s on rb...However I made a slight withdrawal a couple a days a ago to finance some upcoming events and to try Svenskspel out again. Deposited 200bb and played hu,took 15min before I raised with A4 and hit A42 with fd and gut crushed vs 53...so no more SvenskaSpel again for a while. However yesterday I made a successful comeback in the world of MTT. Decided to play a cheap 2€ rebuy 200€gtd tourney. Made one addon during the first periods and then I was in the lead until the FT. There I made a juicy chiplead with my A4 crushing my opponents and the former chipleads A3. However the hand after I went into the new nr 2:s slowrolled AA on BB when I was SB and I did hit tp so we came all in on turn..lol. Finished in 3rd place out of 109 which I consider pretty ok since I don't do MTT on a regular basis or at all. Was rewarded 56€ for the convenience....
Today I have to hand in a memorandum to one of my bosses so right now I've had an extensive 12min lunch, "kebab and fries". Very nice and greasy..lol. Tomorrow however is a "half-day" so you're allowed to go home 14 if nothing comes up. Then thursday is a holiday thanks to jesus deciding to fly to heaven like 2k yrs ago and us swedes deciding to celebrate that or something in that way..ty jesus.Friday I've have vaccation and Saturday will be hell of a day and night. Me and some friends going to a big ball very you dress like a pinguin in tail coat. The pre-pre-party start 14,pre-party starts at 16 , the dinner at 18, the main party at 22-23, tha after party 04 and the breakfast at 09. It will be a sick long night...
Over and out
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| | May so far by Vivi57, May 19
.
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| | Oh, finding lots of really good vods lately by Mariuslol, May 19
Really happy with all the good content I'm finding, was really encouraged by the protege series on Bluefire, so I looked through all the other sites as well.
I heard people recommended Vital myth's leak finding ones, so I watched that this morning and I decided to take notes of all the most important stuff.
Gonna copy paste
(Comments/notes to Vital Myth's Leak finder vod on CArdrunners, saw it had gotten a lot of great review, so watching it now. It's 50nl 6max 4 tabling)
- Starts with, in general, people need to start playing more hands
- We play a lot of Axs
- also hands like QJs gonna fair pretty well (people usually don't do to well vs it, you gonna win on a lot of A high, or K high flops) and J and Q flops u have showdown value and you can flop a lot of draws n stuff to
- Squeeze!! (he thinks there's a lot of oppertunities people don't capatalize on) Also say that most ppl squeeze with to big bets, rather make it a bit smaller
- Call IP vs nits!! (almost with any two, 35s, T8 blabla)
- Reason ppl dun get good notes, reads, see good squeeze oppertunities is because they play to many tables! Suggests 4-5 tables. People spent over a year same stakes because "it's not fast enough, they get bored" and don't take the time to just think and play better
- Bet smaller and less frequently (most ppl just play their own card, and dun care how you bet) People don't bluff and hero call as much as you think they do. He feels people bet to large, too hard when they got the board crushed.
- Induce bluff ?? (If we think our oponent is not capable of making bluffs, we wanna bet smaller) Try very hard to induce those 1 barrel bluffs ppl love to do
- Big confusion-spews! Regulars in particular, only spew when you do lines that makes no sense, or when they tilt
- 3/4 into the movie he comes with a bold statement!! 90% of poker is making read. And a discussion about how it might seem he contradicted another cardrunner pro who keeps pestering about betting larger, and he's been talking some about betting smaller, checking, but that's in certain situations, vs certain ppl, and same goes for the betting larger!!
- Recommends 3 betting more in position Arag, KJs, QTs so forth, if it's vs nits, maybe not so much, rather stay away cos they playing premium hands and it can get ugly. If you have read people play a lot of hands, then kinda gives up more, passive or a bit weak, perfect spots as well (Good mentality, as long as it keeps working, he keeps doing it, once it stop working he tends to back off a littlebit)
- Whenever you think there's dead money, attack it, try steal it (Take them small pots) (One of the most common mistakes ppl do)
Oh, that's about it, now I think I need to rest, wait 10 minuts before I do anything else poker related!
I once read in a Tony Buzan book that when you get a lot of information in ur head, it may be clutterd, confusing and not make that much sense right after having gotten it, but if you wait 5-10 minuts your brain makes sense of all the chaos and you have it more aligned up or something!
Oh, and then I think you were suppose to go through ur notes. So gonna do that, wuhu!!
**** UPDATE ****
Ah, had a little under 2 hour session, started out okay. Then I think I started to run bad.
One hand I flopped a set, guy bet, flop something like 23J I just called, turn another J, he bet again, a flush draw came on the table, so I raise it up, we go all in, he has J4o, river 4, so just a cooler.
Then I got my pokertracker working on a new site I switched to.
These 3 hands were pretty big losses for me:
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/691537
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/691539
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/691542
Any comments/analysis would be greatly appreciated
Cheers!
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| | woot by lazymej, May 19
Because everyone loves recovery graphs.
http://www.liquidpoker.net/user_pictures/32f79983b28857830ebc87dd1e7727b0.jpg
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| | EFFF UUUUUUU by WilsWils, May 19
EFF the bastards who set mine in 3 and 4bet pots OOP
fuck a duck kthx
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| | Borgata 500k result by JoeDeertay, May 19
So I started Day 1B of the 500k Deepstack at Borgata today at 11am, and ended up playing until about 10pm before going busto =[
I had been really cold-decked the entire day, with a lot of big moves on some decent combo draws always missing and a complete lack of any real starting hands to play for about the first 8 hours. The first sign of hope was when I doubled up to about 30BB the hand before the dinner break with AKs shoving over a few limpers and winning a flip against 77. After that I still ran pretty cold, but managed to keep my stack up winning pots without showdowns.
In the end I had about 24k @ 500/1000/100 and raised ATss to 2500 in the CO. Just the BB called, and flop came 929ss. He checks I bet 4k and he snapcalls. Now I'm pretty sure he is on a FD and he MIGHT sometimes have a small PP here. Turn is a 4c and he shoves me in for 17.4k into like 14.5k. I end up calling because I don't want to fold and leave myself to start day 2 with like 10BB, then drive an hour there and back to AC just to shove every hand pre until I bust, and besides I already think I'm ahead a lot of the time anyway. He ends up showing 34ss and holds =[. After that I hung around to watch the table for a bit before finding a 1/2 PLO game, in which I won $390 back in about an hour before going home XD.
Even though I busted, I'm now pretty confident in my play. I managed to last almost the entire day and start day 2 with almost 20BB despite getting verrrrrry few playable hands, and only had to get my stack in once to do it. My reads were also spot on the entire day, and every time I guessed what people had in big hands I was right every time it got to showdown (or was shown down, in some cases). I'm sure if I could ever just get a big hand in a tourney like this while still having a decent stack then I can really do some damage if I keep playing as well as I think I am.
Oh and I got to meet Ari "Bodog Ari" Engel, too. He was in the seat to my left for about the last 8 hours of the day, and he's a pretty cool guy and a REALLY solid player. It was fun watching him play, and I think I learned a little bit from it as well. He was one of the more pleasant table mates...there was this other douchebag who called the clock on me 4 FUCKING TIMES without me tanking for more than a minute before calling the floor. By the third time both Ari and I were kind of verbally annoyed and wondered wtf he was doing. Then he yelled at the dealer for dealing him some stupid cheap bad beat like it was her fault and he stormed out of the poker room for like 15 minutes lol.
<3 teh deepstacked live pokers. Can't wait for WSOP!
GL all,
-Joe
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| | biology help by traxamillion, May 18
has to do with original concessions skew model and Hamilton's rule.
S - pG < r[(1-p)G-L] ---- model
P = [s-r(G-L)]/[G(1-r)] ------ staying incentive
L = Lone dominant productivity
G = Group Productivity
p = Subordinate Share
S = Lone subordinate productivity
The Problem
#1 (I have solved this)
The concessions model of reproductive skew assumes that a dominant female will yield a minimum share (p) of group offspring (G) so that the inclusive fitness of a subordinate female that stays is just equal to the inclusive fitness of a subordinate female that leaves. Let's assume that when the subordinate female leaves she produces (S) offspring and the dominant produces (L) offspring.
When S = 2L and G = 5L what share (p) of group offspring will the dominant have to yield to the subordinate to keep her from leaving? Assume that these two females are diploid mammals that are also half sisters (relatedness = .25)
p = 2L-.25(5L-L) / 5L (1-.25)
p = .266
----------
Problem 2 (having trouble)
Now assume (for the same values of S = 2L and G = 5L) that the dominant has lost her ability to control reproduction such that the subordinate can take as much reproduction (p) as she desires. Solve for the maximum value of p that will be tolerated by the dominant before she kicks out the subordinate (i.e. the inclusive fitness of the lone dominant is equal to keeping the subordinate in the group).
- I am having trouble reworking the equation to solve for this if that is even what I am supposed to do. I don't know how to tie in the inclusive fitness of the lone dominant
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