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small sample size + bad luck = bad graph :)
  PplusAD, Jun 18 2007

Okay today i was running as bad as i run at everest Poker when i busted my 170$ roll. I run this bad for the first time at Pokerstars.

I only played 14 SNG ( not more time due to university stuff)
and i busted the first 9 sngs in a row without cashing always being #3-#5 in chips when the final table started.

I have not been running good ( ive been running rahter bad) the last 3 days either , but i still won money .

This time however it was impossible.
there are different types of bad luck

-> Not getting big preflop cards + not hitting flops with medium cards ( only matters for short sample sizes )
You just dont get big preflop cards and you dont hit with your medium cards like J9 9T K10s 87s then you reach the critical lower than 8 BB thing loosing your fold equity but having to push with shit like K8o cause youd blind out the next rounds anyway.

-> setups = you hit a monster good hand someone still has hit an even better hand ...
but your hand is just too good to not think you are the winner here the big majority of the time.
you are doomed to go broke with that hand.

-> bad beats
You push allin when you are ahead 70% + but get lucked away
by a stupid opponent who was way behind when he called.

If all 3 of this bad luck types come together frequently in 1 single session you could play perfect poker but you will still lose money.

Not that i played perfect. (I am far too newb to play perfect poker)
I played calm and decently and as always had a big edge over my 1.75$ opponents.

but over this small smaple size of 14 SNGs there was simply not to win money with the bad luck conditions.

after the first 10 SNG i was down - 17.50 $

my pockets(22-99) always lost to 6 and 3 outers
my dominating hands lost to wired stuff like backdorflushes and rivered straights
my AKs and AQs never hit anything vs the pockets of my villians
my dominating hands got lucked away .

in the last 4 SNG i still ran bad but not as bad as before.
I got it heads up in my 11th SNG for today to lose
AT vs T9 when he hit a pair of nines while we where about equal ammount of chips.
after that beat i blinded all in with K5 vs his Q4 and of course he hit a queen while i hit nothing

12th and 13th SNG i busted due to not getting cards and then running into monsters when i pushed all in 77 vs 88 QQ AA
and A9s vs QQ

14th SNG was funny though.
There was a guy having 100 VPIP !!
he called every hand preflop no matter the bet size and his own cards. What a maniac.

this was so absurd
when he had about 2500 chips 100/200 blinds 2 people push all in with 2k stacks and he calls with 82o ..
ROFL
but his 82o > AK + AQs cause he hit a 2 and others hit nothing.

believe it or not ... but the guy got heads up with me.
Funniest thing i experienced in a while.
He had incredible luck to overcame a field of 17 players
calling every preflop bet no matter the size and his cards.

This time i won the HU game i had about 15K and he 12K ^^
1st Hand i had AJ and he called with K3o

So all in all i reduced my losses for today to about 3 buy ins.

here is the graph



ON a side not i sharkscoped some of this maniacs and got a pretty decent smile over my face.
Most of them are down 200$ in 150 SNGS micro stakes



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Nothing new, still grinding.
  PplusAD, Jun 17 2007

I originally wanted to post the sharkscope graph today but i searched more then 5 people and so i cant post it for today.

Besides that nothing really new.

Lots of bad beats but still making some money.
Only thing to mention is that for the first time i was on a 1.75$ SNG Final table with 200/400 blinds where still 7 people were in the game. The table was actually the best micro table i ever encountered.

I cashed in 2nd place having a hard time to survive being under 10 Bb but then hitting with live cards and catching a straight with 24o .. i managed to get it heads up.

here is the Graph



SNGS played 97
TOTAL PROFIT 68,84 $

GL to all of you



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KING of the micro SNG HILL !
  PplusAD, Jun 16 2007

I fell like King of the Pokerstars micro SNG HIll.

I run like shit today ... i got cooler after cooler bad beat after bad beat and i lost so many hands where i felt like the secure winner.
ALl in all todays Poker session was absolutely no fun.
It was hard work making money while fighting alot more against bad luck then the other players.

besides that i got shittalked alot when someone took my chips with a lucky beat.

I was called newb more than 5 times today.
Besides that lots of people claimed to perfectly read my play T_T

The most funny guy i played HU and he( i didnt remember his name) claimed to read me like an open book when actually i bluffed him out of the Pot 3 times in a row.
and folded to him twice having nothing but air.
then there was the following situation.

I had about 13K chips and he had 14 K chips
he raised preflop to 3 K chips
i called with KJ
FLOP K 4 T
he pushed all in and i called.
He had QQ and was like wtf i am such a looser i can only win with suckouts.
Turn 4 river Q ....

yeha.

After that he told me about 2 minutes how he dominated me the whole heads up match.
args.

Its so funny how everyone at 1.75$ thinks he is an expert while they have absolutely no idea about Poker.

Nevertheless i made some money today
Played about 25 SNG and made exactly + 15 $
here is the graph


I also found out that i can post my graph with sharkscope
in the near future which is alot better than my selfmade stuff ^^

GL to all of you

TOTAL SNG played 83
TOTAL PROFIT 58,24 $



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keep grinding low micro stakes SNGs
  PplusAD, Jun 15 2007

So today is the 5th day of me grinding the 1,50+.25 $ SNGS
I am satisfied with my play and my results are okay so far.

I played a total of 58 2table 1.75$ SNG
PROFIT + 43,24 $

Actually i am crushing them hardcore and the reason i am not up more is bad beats and set ups since there have only 4-5 situations occured in the 58 SNG wehere i busted out due to bad play.

So i am actually satisified having earned 25 buy ins in 5 days mostly due to good play.

here is my selfmade graph again.


GL to all of you.

especially to Mig
win the WSOP 5K !!!



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still playing 1.75$ SNGs at Pokerstars.
  PplusAD, Jun 14 2007

Okay now ive played 46 SNG . not much , but i had to do lots of university stuff.
last 2 days were full of suckouts and bad beats as allready expectet.
but it doesnt affect me at all cause i play with 40+ buy ins
So even if i lose some buy ins its not worth any complaints.

my results so far are okay to half way decent considering i run decent for 2 days and medium bad for 2days..

46 SNG 2table 1,50+.25 $
TOTAL PROFIT + 31,70 $
I also only put a total of about 5 hours of work into it and i had some serious fun watching how bad the players at 1.75$ SNGS are

Pokerstars also is a very decent software compared to bad Everest Poker software which makes me happy,too

here is a shitty little selfmade graph ( i have no SNG graphing software)



I also had an interesting hand which i am not sure if i played it bad or good. ( i am too lazy to search but i ll tell you about it)

SNG Final table 5 players left ... Top 4 get paid.
I am in 4th Position having 4500 chips.
blinds 200/400 blinds.

i get TsTh in early position.

I raise to 3BB making it 1200 ( not sure if i should have pushed all in T_T but i was somehow afraid to bust early position at the bubble with 2 bigger stacks behind me).

i get 2 callers both about 6500 chips. sb and BB fold.

So pot is 4200 chips.
FLOP
4hQd4s

i am first to act and bet 1200 into the pot.(1/3 potsize)
I id fold the hand on turn if i got 2 callers.
and i didnt want to risk going broke vs 2 bigger stacks behind me.
MP folds.
LP player Pushes all in .

Damn i was absolutely not sure if i should call.

my first thoughts on opponents mind were.

1200 seem like a weak bet into a 4200 chip pot so he thinks i have either a Monster or a medium/weak hand.
the other big stack folded so he has no danger of busting out in 5th place going broke.
there is a very high chance LP player thinks A high is good enough on this flop
ANd besides that he knows that i have to play very tight on the bubble.
The pot is big and he would be chipleader if he either beats me or bluffs me out of the pot.

SO i thought

-High chance he has A high and wants to bluff me out cause he knows i have to play tight and could not call with A high myself.
besides that he could not go broke even if his bluff fails
due to the other bigstack folding before him.

-High chance he has a low pair like 33 55 66, didnt push preflop cause of the other bigstack calling before him
and now thinks his low pair is good vs my A high and he would win big time if i call. ( i raised preflop so its likley i have an ace.besides that i made a weak 1200 bet into a 4200 pot so i think this doesnt look too strong for him and he probably thinks his 33 55 66 or whatever is good right there.)

- medium chance he has a Q or a 4 and actually is way ahead on the flop.

I called


So my question is

Did i play this ueber bad preflop ?
Is my FLOP thought process wrong ?


+ Show Spoiler +





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Comments (2)


lalilu Poker
  PplusAD, Jun 12 2007

Okay its always the same ...
no matter what site i cash in i skyrocket the first few days.

Party Poker i made 200$ in 2 month on NL5 and 11$SNG without even knowing how to spell poker ... then i had a massive downswing and got back to 3$ -> cashed in another 50$ made it back to 270 $ and cashed out.

After that i started to play at Full tilt Poker.
cashed 112 $ in and made it to 150$ at NL 10 after a few days ...
then went down to 52$ got back up to 94$ then lost it all playing underrolled 6.50 $ SNGs

AFter that i gave Everest Poker a try and man i skyrocketed
so hard the first days.
cashed in 60$ and made 170$ out of it in only 4 days.
started with 60$ at the 2.50$ SNG made it to 97$ and began playing the 5+50 SNG made it to 150$ and started with the 10+1$ SNG made it to 170$
then i got a massive downsing combined with underrolled playing (only 13 buy ins )-> got down to 14 $

Now i give Pokerstars a try.
cashed in 50$ and i am up to 77$ after 3h of play.
which is pretty good/fucking high win rate considering i play 1.75$ SNG ...

I made 15 buy ins in only 3h !
I cash in 50% of the tourneys .. and i win ~ 25%

Poker is so eez when bad luck is on vacation.

But i am almost sure the massive downswing is right to come cause
Poker is still a biatch an therfore i ll stay at 1.75 $ sng though i have 43 buy ins. And 30 buy ins to move up to 2.50 $ everest sngs again.

I am even considering staying at 1.75$ SNG till the end of the month no matter how much buy ins i have.

I mean i have a winrate of 8.60$ / h playing micro stakes.
If i continue to make only half of it its still ~ 60$ a week -> 240$ a month.

I d rather have 240$ save without to much stress then to risk going break even again du to a downswing playing higher SNGS.

My main weakness was for sure to be so desperate for the big money that i fucked up bankroll management as soon as i run good.

GL to all of you



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Comments (4)


simply no alternative :P
  PplusAD, Jun 11 2007

I intended to quit online Poker 10 days ago.
And i didnt touch any money games for this period of time.

I played 3 Pokerstars freerolls and got TOP 300 out of 3500 players in each of the 3 freerolls.
I made a total + 40 cent ^^

Thing is there is no work availible being as relaxed and fun as Poker while giving euqal amount of money.
There are of course sidejobs that give you a lot more safe money than playing micro stakes Poker ... but its hella physical and mental pain over 8h a day
->
compare this to sitting in your comfortable chair and playing some poker drinking some coke while listening to mp3s.

so you all were right about the "cant quit Poker" thingy

I just played some Pokerstars today.
400 hands NL5 and 5 micro SNG ( 1.50+25 18player SNG)
I am up + 10.20$
played 1h 30 minutes.

I dindt get any major bad beats and i got normal/+- 0 luck.

So now i have a few plans.

- More conservative BR management = move up when 40 buy ins for SNG and move down when below
have 20 Buy ins for cashgame and move down when below.

- Take a 3day break if i run bad for more than 4 days in a row.

- Improve my theoretical knowledge about Poker

- sale my 17" to my sister and get a new 22" to be able to play more hands/sngs in 2 h a day





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Comments (3)


Quitting Poker now ...
  PplusAD, Jun 01 2007

Okay i finally give up...

I run so bad and i just dont see any motivation anymore to
sit 2h a day in front of the computer and get bad beat after bad beat.

i only played 10 SNG today.
Hands where i was ahead 70-30 in all in situations

3-9 Lost lol what a joke
hands where i was behind in all in situations
0-4 kk

YOu can tell me whatever you want but online Poker is pure gambling.

70-30 favourite is just too much to lose it so often.

I lost like 66 % of my 70-30 favourite situations in the last 2 weeks. sample size is around 80 all in situations.

This would never ever happen in a RL gamble experiement
with 70-30 odds.

gg

And Good luck

you will need the good luck.

lol

http://mmarocks/albums/album_02832/



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Comments (8)


What i dont understand concerning Poker.
  PplusAD, May 29 2007

SInce my recent bad beat streak i rarely play any Poker at all.

Today i just played 3 2,50 $ Sng ...
but i still have incredible bad luck.

1st SNG i got pocket TT in Late position.
i raise 4BB everyone except the BB folds.
BB calls.

Flop
479 rainbow.
BB raises Potsize
I push all in . ( I expect him to have A9s A7s AJ, AT A4 88 here most of the time .. while i am aware there is also a small chance i am beat here with 77 , 99 or 44)

he calls and shows QQ ....#
gg


2nd SNG.
I call with J9s and hit a Flush
i raise -> get reraised and finally push all in.

I have a Flush Jack high on the flop ... i cant fold this ...

Villian Shows Q4s and wins with a flush Q high.

How likley is it 2 people flopping a Flush ? ( i bet not very likley but happens alot more than it should T_T)

GG

3d SNG.

I was actually running pretty damn good at first.
Got Ace high flush on the river vs a 6 high flush and a slow playing QQ who played check check allin on river. (only undercards)
So i went from 1000 tp 3000 chips very early.
after that i didnt get good hands and played very passivly.
when 5 people where left i was 2nd most in chips with about
2900.
then i got incredible preflop cards 3 times in a row
I got AA and raised... everybody folded next hand
I got QQ and raised ...everybody folded next hand
I got KK and raised .. the chipleader pushed all in over my raise

Yeha i raised 3 times in a row and he was probably really thinking about me stealing blinds wth A3 and such sttuff.

I was so glad when he pushed and i called.
HE showed AJo while i showed KK ( this is like 72-28..)

of course i lost due to him hitting an Ace....
Finished Tournament in 5th place.
GG

Okay so nothing special for me

Then i made a little experiment.
I took a dice and threw it.
1 and 2 giving the underdog a win and 3 4 5 6 giving the King the win.

This is a 70-30 situation like it often appears in Poker.

here are the results.
First try 2-10 in favour for the kIng
2nd try 2-10 in favour for the kIng
3rd try 3 - 9 King
4th try 2-10 King

Overall 9 - 39 for kIng -> 80-20 for the favourite.

now I am somehow schocked how i can loose so many 70-30 situations in Poker T_T

I just dont understand it.

nevertheless this Post totally sucks and i am frustrated and all

SO dont care



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day 6 and poker can kiss my ass
  PplusAD, May 18 2007

Okay since i was running bad the last 2 days
i took a pencil and made some notes to check if it was just my impression or if in fact i get incredible bad beats.

So far 30 SNGs played Today
Stats for me Dominating an Oppenonet like
AQ vs KQ

4-17

Holla

I know 21 hands is not a big enough sample size ..
but 4-17 when it should have been 15-6 ( 70-30) in my favour
is

Down - 90 $ for today

i ll move down to the 2,50 $ SNG again
and just play ocassionally for fun.

Poker is alot more gambling than many people admit.
Variance is a very underrated faktor



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