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UFC FN 180: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie

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PuertoRican   United States. Oct 16 2020 03:53. Posts 13030

Date: Saturday, October 17
Main Card (ESPN+): 23:59 LP.net / 4pm PST / 7pm EST
Preliminary Card (ESPN+): 21:00 LP.net / 1pm PST / 4pm EST
Live Streams: http://crackstreams.com/mma/2/




Main Card (ESPN+)

Brian Ortega (14-1) vs. Chan Sung Jung (16-5) (Featherweight)
Katlyn Chookagian (14-3) vs. Jessica Andrade (20-8) (Women's Flyweight)
Jimmy Crute (11-1) vs. Modestas Bukauskas (11-2) (Light Heavyweight)
Claudio Silva (14-1) vs. James Krause (27-8) (Welterweight)
Thomas Almeida (21-3) vs. Jonathan Martinez (12-3) (Featherweight)

Preliminary Card (ESPN+)

Mateusz Gamrot (17-0) vs. Guram Kutateladze (11-2) (Lightweight)
Gillian Robertson (8-4) vs. Poliana Botelho (8-2) (Women's Flyweight)
John Phillips (22-10) vs. Jun Yong Park (11-4) (Middleweight)
Jamie Mullarkey (12-3) vs. Fares Ziam (10-3) (Lightweight)
Gadzhimurad Antigulov (20-7) vs. Maxim Grishin (30-8-2) (Light Heavyweight)
Mark Striegl (18-2) vs. Said Nurmagomedov (13-2) (Bantamweight)

Other

- A lightweight bout between Renato Moicano and Magomed Mustafaev was scheduled for the event. However, Moicano pulled out of the fight on September 15 due to personal reasons. He was replaced by former KSW Featherweight and Lightweight Champion Mateusz Gamrot on September 16. In turn, Mustafaev pulled out in early October due to undisclosed reasons. Gamrot is now expected to face Guram Kutateladze, as of October 6.
- Muslim Salikhov was expected to face Claudio Silva in a welterweight bout at the event. However on October 4, it was announced that Salikhov pulled out due to undisclosed reasons and was replaced by James Krause that same day.

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Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Oct 16 2020 04:27. Posts 13030



----------

First impression of the match-ups:

• KZ > Ortega
• Chookagian > Andrade (Chookagian supposedly retiring = auto fade, but...)
• Crute > Bukauskas
• Krause > Silva
• Martinez > Almeida
• Gamrot > Kutateladze
• Robertson > Botelho
• Park > Phillips
• Mullarkey > Ziam
• Antigulov > Grishin
• Nurmagomedov > Striegl

Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 16/10/2020 04:28

Into Infinity   United States. Oct 16 2020 16:12. Posts 1884

don't see any way ortega wins. the "lose until you find some random choke" won't work against a guy as nasty as tkz


captainhook   Canada. Oct 17 2020 06:35. Posts 466

Interesting pick with Antigulov. You don't think Grishin can handle that first couple of minutes vs him?

I like the Martinez pick. Who knows what we're gonna get with Almeida.

I think Botelho is def live.

And I like Krause but not at that price.

 Last edit: 17/10/2020 06:37

PuertoRican   United States. Oct 17 2020 07:00. Posts 13030


  On October 17 2020 05:35 captainhook wrote:
Interesting pick with Antigulov. You don't think Grishin can handle that first couple of minutes vs him?

I like the Martinez pick. Who knows what we're gonna get with Almeida.

I think Botelho is def live.

And I like Krause but not at that price.


After seeing the weigh-in, Grishin makes Antigulov look tiny.

I am leaning toward Almeida now, but still like Martinez. Good fight either way.

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Oct 17 2020 09:28. Posts 13030





Brian Ortega (146) vs. Chan Sung Jung (146)
Katlyn Chookagian (126) vs. Jessica Andrade (126)
Jim Crute (206) vs. Modestas Bukauskas (206)
Claudio Silva (171) vs. James Krause (171)
Thomas Almeida (146) vs. Jonathan Martinez (146)
Mateusz Gamrot () vs. Guram Kutateladze (156)
Gillian Robertson (125.5) vs. Poliana Botelho (125)
Jun Yong Park (185) vs. John Phillips (186)
Jamie Mullarkey (156) vs. Fares Ziam (156)
Gadzhimurad Antigulov (206) vs. Maxim Grishin (205.5)
Said Nurmagomedov (136) vs. Mark Striegl (136)

Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 17/10/2020 09:29

captainhook   Canada. Oct 17 2020 13:33. Posts 466


  On October 17 2020 06:00 PuertoRican wrote:
Show nested quote +


After seeing the weigh-in, Grishin makes Antigulov look tiny.

I am leaning toward Almeida now, but still like Martinez. Good fight either way.


Almeida physically and skillwise better than Martinez for sure. But he's a big question mark imo.


PuertoRican   United States. Oct 17 2020 20:14. Posts 13030


  On October 17 2020 12:33 captainhook wrote:
Show nested quote +



Almeida physically and skillwise better than Martinez for sure. But he's a big question mark imo.


I switched to Almeida on DK. Odds are close, but he has the higher upside to score way more points via finish and decision, whereas Martinez needs a finish to score well.

1. He is a little bigger than Martinez.
2. Almeida is moving up to 145 for this fight and doesn't look small. All of his previous fights were at 135.
3. Almeida has the boxing and output advantage, and was getting owned by superior technical boxers back in the day.
4. Martinez can get the finish, but he throws more leg kicks and isn't a high output boxer.
5. Almeida is the one with the full camp. (Martinez replaced someone else)
6. This is a big step down in competition when compared to all of the guys Almeida has lost to.

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Oct 17 2020 20:33. Posts 13030

No bets for me this card, just a lot of DraftKings teams. 4-5 teams in the big $15 event, and a lot of teams in the $10 late slate. I'll be back in Vegas next weekend for the Khabib/Gaethje card.


My final picks:

• KZ > Ortega
• Chookagian > Andrade (Chookagian supposedly retiring = auto fade, but...)
• Crute > Bukauskas
• Silva > Krause
• Almeida > Martinez
• Gamrot > Kutateladze
• Robertson > Botelho
• Park > Phillips
• Mullarkey > Ziam
• Grishin > Antigulov
• Nurmagomedov > Striegl

Rekrul is a newb 

captainhook   Canada. Oct 17 2020 20:47. Posts 466

MMA media is clickbaiting Chookagian baby fever all over the place.


PuertoRican   United States. Oct 17 2020 21:31. Posts 13030

Quick and easy win for Said...

I only have 4 teams in the big event on DK, but they are dead already because I chose to avoid Said due to his price. He'll likely be on the winning team.

That being said, I have 15 entries in the late slate event, which will begin with the last 8 fights on the card.

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Oct 17 2020 21:57. Posts 13030

That stoppage was ridiculous. Antigulov wasn't even hurt.

Glad that fight wasn't on the late slate on DraftKings. 1 more fight, and my night begins.

Rekrul is a newb 

captainhook   Canada. Oct 17 2020 22:18. Posts 466

Mullet is gassing out.


captainhook   Canada. Oct 17 2020 22:26. Posts 466

Arab mafia at work.


PuertoRican   United States. Oct 17 2020 22:28. Posts 13030

Ziam got the robbery... Glad I didn't need that fight.

On to the late slate!

Rekrul is a newb 

captainhook   Canada. Oct 17 2020 22:44. Posts 466

Juat curious.. Who's in your line up?


PuertoRican   United States. Oct 17 2020 22:57. Posts 13030


  On October 17 2020 21:44 captainhook wrote:
Juat curious.. Who's in your line up?


I have 15 lineups. My key fighters are Park, Robertson, and KZ.

I also have Almeida and Claudio Silva mixed in there.

If I have some live teams toward the end of the night, I'll post them here.

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Oct 17 2020 23:03. Posts 13030

Park doesn't even care that he won, he's just happy he scored more GnP than Chimaev... xD

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Oct 17 2020 23:10. Posts 13030




Fight Metric just screwed everyone.

They only gave Park 10 total strikes for that entire fight. Phillips even out-landed Park in R2, according to Fight Metric: http://ufcstats.com/fight-details/50e0bcba7551a25f

Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 17/10/2020 23:31

captainhook   Canada. Oct 18 2020 00:11. Posts 466

Here we go. Let's see if he's back.

I got my money on the other guy.

 Last edit: 18/10/2020 00:12

captainhook   Canada. Oct 18 2020 00:33. Posts 466

I hope the judges dont fuck me.


PuertoRican   United States. Oct 18 2020 00:37. Posts 13030

Nice performance from Martinez. His kicks confused Almeida in R1, and then he used them again in R2, and then he stopped using them in R3 when Almeida was forced to rush in to strike which meant Martinez just had to counter since he was up on the cards.

I did notice that Almeida seemed a little hesitant in R2 and R3. Maybe he was still thrown off by the kicks in R1, but I dunno. Still a good performance by Martinez.

Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 18/10/2020 00:41

PuertoRican   United States. Oct 18 2020 00:48. Posts 13030

I just noticed I have Martinez in 1 team on DraftKings, but it doesn't matter because he only scored 66 points, which is terrible for a winning fighter.

Rekrul is a newb 

captainhook   Canada. Oct 18 2020 00:55. Posts 466

Damn.. didn't notice Krause's line improved to -120. He's looking good.


captainhook   Canada. Oct 18 2020 01:06. Posts 466

Wtf is Dan Hardy talking about? It's obv Krause!


PuertoRican   United States. Oct 18 2020 01:06. Posts 13030


  On October 17 2020 23:55 captainhook wrote:
Damn.. didn't notice Krause's line improved to -120. He's looking good.


Someone said that Krause said his knee is torn. Probably why the line was only -120.

Anyway, James Krause 2-1. Silva had nothing left after R1.

Terrible fight as expected.

We either see Claudio Silva in 1 year or more from now, or he gets cut since he is old and strikes like a 90-year-old.

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Oct 18 2020 01:18. Posts 13030

The following fights went to a decision:

• Krause/Silva ITD +100
• Martinez/Almeida ITD -165
• Robertson/Botelho ITD -195
• Park/Phillips ITD -195

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Oct 18 2020 01:53. Posts 13030

Now Chookagian can retire like she said she was going to.

Go get yourself pregnant and start a family, dear.

Rekrul is a newb 

captainhook   Canada. Oct 18 2020 01:55. Posts 466

I wouldn't mind Shev vs Andraj. I hope Jennifer Maia backs out or somethng.


PuertoRican   United States. Oct 18 2020 01:59. Posts 13030

Now I don't care who wins the main event, since Fight Metric screwed Park and only gave him 73 points total (they said he only landed 10 significant strikes the entire fight). All my best combos had Park in it.

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Oct 18 2020 02:39. Posts 13030

I stopped watching the main event a little after R3 started.

Ortega used a good game plan, and KZ never got out of first gear. zZzZzZz

Next week's card will be good at least, and I'll be in Vegas for it. See you guys then.

Rekrul is a newb 

captainhook   Canada. Oct 18 2020 02:43. Posts 466

Wow. Ortega has improved by a whooole lot.


Into Infinity   United States. Oct 18 2020 04:50. Posts 1884

i really did not see tonight's main event happening like that, but in retrospect, it makes sense.
tkz is super counter heavy, and ortega has struggled against high output pressure (max, even guida), although he looked good tonight, it really answered nothing about the rest of the top of the division since tkz fights at a much slower pace than basically everyone else in the division (sans katter maybe).

really think ortega needs another win before he gets another title shot considering how bad max smoked him


 



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