Ac As by Stroggoz

Is his float good or bad?

He takes pot away from AK and bluffs.
But in return he has to make some bluff jams.

Maybe he has 67s some of the time and set some of the time.

looks like a pretty standard flop call by villain unless i'm missing something

its marginal +ev, i dont think turn raising range would be very high freq, essentially repping pocket QQ/KK jamming turn there for the most part i think, why would anyone do it with a set? Imo the solver would jam vs turn barrel less than 1%.

so his turn jam sux. You're saying villain's bluff freq in these spot on the turn should be quite low?

when villian reraise this turn he has this type of hand almost always, all his real value set hands call and his QQ KK are wary of AA, they don't raise. what raises then, combo draws and AJdd.

i expect 67ss to call turn and 98ss and all sets to call turn, this reraise to me insta looks like A3dd-A5dd exclusively.

On July 06 2020 00:02 Stroggoz wrote: its marginal +ev, i dont think turn raising range would be very high freq, essentially repping pocket QQ/KK jamming turn there for the most part i think, why would anyone do it with a set? Imo the solver would jam vs turn barrel less than 1%.

5.86% according to my sim using your exact flop/turn sizing as only option and monker 500z pf ranges. Highest frequency single hand is KK for turn IP jam. AdJd is flatting turn with 100% frequency.

im wrong as usual hah

nice post midian ty