UFC on ESPN 9: Woodley vs. Burns

should dern take her out in the first 3 like every time?

On May 30 2020 01:45 PuertoRican wrote: Burns ML +165 2u for 3.3u Burns ML +160 5u for 8u Burns ML +150 2u for 3u Burns ML +135 1u for 1.3u Burns decision +450 1.5u for 6.7u Burns split/maj decision +1105 .5u for 5.5u Woodley split/maj decision +1095 .5u for 5.5u Sakai ML +105 2u for 2.1u Sakai no scorecards -111 5.5u for 5u Carlyle ML +140 1u for 1.4u Carlyle submission +1175 .5u for 5.8u Roberts ITD +193 1.5u for 2.9u Weaver/Roberts ITD +140 1u for 1.4u Dern TKO/KO +1250 .5u for 6.2u Dern TKO/KO +850 1u for 8.5u Rodriguez submission +1075 1u for 10.7u Green submission +1005 .5u for 5u Abreu/Hill ITD +120 1u for 1.2u Gutierrez no scorecards +190 2u for 3.8u Gutierrez TKO/KO +1085 .5u for 5.4u Parlay: Cifers/Dern U1.5, Sakai no scorecards, Roberts -3.5, Gutierrez no scorecards 1u for 16.5u Parlay: Sakai, Roberts, Kenney, Rodriguez ITD, Dern ITD 1u for 7.7u Parlay: Burns decision, Sakai decision, Dern ITD 1u for 28u Parlay: Dern/Cifers ITD, Sakai/Ivanov decision, Chookagian/Shevchenko decision 2u for 4.5u Parlay: Dern ML, Roberts ML, Kenney ML 5u for 7.1u Parlay: NOT Woodley R1, Sakai no scorecards, Carlyle/Quarantillo ITD, Roberts ITD, Dern ITD, Rodriguez ITD, Kenney no scorecards 1u for 40u Parlay: NOT Woodley R1, Sakai no scorecards, Green/Rodriguez ITD, Roberts no scorecards, Dern TKO/KO, Kenney no scorecards .5u for 22.9u Parlay: Cifers/Dern U1.5, Abreu ML, Sakai no scorecards, Roberts submission, Rodriguez ITD, Royval ITD .4u for 67.8u Parlay: Burns/Woodley U4.5, Sakai/Blagoy U2.5, Carlyle/Quarantillo U2.5, Weaver/Roberts U2.5, Cifers/Dern U1.5, Abreu/Hill U2.5, Morales/Gutierrez U2.5 .1u for 35.8u Parlay: Sakai TKO/KO, Dern TKO/KO, Shevchenko submission .1u for 96.3u Parlay: Burns +5.5, Sakai no scorecards, Roberts -3.5, Dern -3.5, Green/Rodriguez ITD, Abreu no scorecards, Elliott -3.5, Smolka/Kenney decision .2u for 26.1u

My final picks:

• Burns > Woodley
• Sakai > Ivanov
• Rodriguez > Green
• Roberts > Weaver
• Dern > Cifers
• Shevchenko > Chookagian
• Carlyle > Quarantillo
• Abreu > Hill
• Elliott > Royval
• Kenney > Smolka
• Gutierrez > Morales

2 units Chris Gutierrez no scorecards +190 cashes~

.5u on Gutierrez wins by TKO/KO +1085 = cashes as well

I added another unit to U2.5 +142 in the Hill/Abreu fight, since the first 3 fights saw a lot of action and ended ITD.

On May 30 2020 23:43 PuertoRican wrote: I added another unit to U2.5 +142 in the Hill/Abreu fight, since the first 3 fights saw a lot of action and ended ITD.

Abreu/Hill ITD +142 1u for 1.4u = cashes
Abreu/Hill ITD +120 1u for 1.2u = cashes

I added a couple more bets

• Green/Rodriguez U1.5 1.08u for 1u
• Parlay: Burns/Woodley U4.5, Carlyle/Quarantillo U2.5, Weaver/Roberts U2.5, Cifers/Dern U1.5, Green/Rodriguez U1.5 .3u for 6.7u

On May 30 2020 23:55 PuertoRican wrote: I added a couple more bets • Green/Rodriguez U1.5 1.08u for 1u • Parlay: Burns/Woodley U4.5, Carlyle/Quarantillo U2.5, Weaver/Roberts U2.5, Cifers/Dern U1.5, Green/Rodriguez U1.5 .3u for 6.7u

That was a terrible result. I managed to lose my U1.5 and Green ML bets.

At least I know what to expect from Rodriguez going forward.

Well, I was kind of confident that Dern's TKO/KO line had a good shot to cash, but I didn't expect Cifer's movement to be improved, as well as Cifer's ability to box Dern out and keep her head on the outside to prevent the clinch.

Roberts ITD +193 1.5u for 2.9u = cashes
Weaver/Roberts ITD +140 1u for 1.4u = cashes
Weaver/Roberts ITD +145 live bet .5u for .7u = cashes

Parlay: Dern ML, Roberts ML, Kenney ML 5u for 7.1u = cashes

Since I am able to win a maximum of 28 units if Sakai wins, I added a hedge bet: Ivanov decision +245 4u for 9.8u

Damn. Carlyle/Quarantillo killed my tiny long shot parlay with a big return. I wonder how many people lost money on that fight going to a decision.

how did you guys score that last fight? all the judges gave billy the 2nd? kinda strange

On May 31 2020 02:31 f1shcake wrote: how did you guys score that last fight? all the judges gave billy the 2nd? kinda strange

I scored it for Carlyle via split-decision.

All 3 judges giving Quarantillo R2 is very strange.

• Sakai ML +105 2u for 2.1u
• Sakai no scorecards -111 5.5u for 5u = push
• Ivanov decision +245 4u for 9.8u
• Parlay: Cifers/Dern U1.5, Sakai no scorecards, Roberts -3.5, Gutierrez no scorecards 1u for 16.5u = push
• Parlay: Cifers/Dern U1.5, Sakai no scorecards, Roberts -3.5, Gutierrez no scorecards 1u for 9.4u
• Parlay: Dern/Cifers ITD, Sakai/Ivanov decision, Chookagian/Shevchenko decision 2u for 4.5u

+12u

4u on Woodley +285 live bet as a hedge to my 10 units on Burns.

Woodley looked terrible. Damn.

On May 31 2020 03:30 PuertoRican wrote: 4u on Woodley +285 live bet as a hedge to my 10 units on Burns.

• Burns ML +165 2u for 3.3u
• Burns ML +160 5u for 8u
• Burns ML +150 2u for 3u
• Burns ML +135 1u for 1.3u
• Burns decision +450 1.5u for 6.7u
• Burns split/maj decision +1105 .5u for 5.5u
• Woodley ML +285 live bet 4u for 11.4u
• Woodley split/maj decision +1095 .5u for 5.5u
• Parlay: Burns decision, Sakai decision, Dern ITD 1u for 28u

+45.3u

Killing it PR!

A great day at the books!

Still waiting to see how I did on FanDuel (they're taking forever to update the final fight, as usual).

Edit: Small profit of $37.25 on FanDuel tonight. Better than nothing.

Wow it turned out like you said it would with Burns and Woodley!

When is the next podcast?