cariadon   Estonia. Dec 26 2019 16:19. Posts 4019
Cerrone looks like a bum on that poster.
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PuertoRican   United States. Dec 26 2019 21:23. Posts 13044
By the way, I will be flying out to Vegas for this event. If any of you plan to be there, let me know.
I met up with a couple of MMA bettors from Sherdog when I was in Vegas for UFC 245. It was fun to break down fights and sweat the fights together.
Rekrul is a newb
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Spitfiree   Bulgaria. Dec 30 2019 00:22. Posts 9634
that poster is not kind to Cerrone at all
also... welterweight fight, da fuck?
I'd normally say McGregor takes this, but I honestly don;t see him having the motivation anymore. No idea why he s back, he s made millions and accomplished his goals, I wouldn't feel too confident about him, while Cerrone legitimately just loves fighting
Last edit: 30/12/2019 00:24
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PuertoRican   United States. Dec 30 2019 00:52. Posts 13044
On December 29 2019 23:22 Spitfiree wrote:
that poster is not kind to Cerrone at all
also... welterweight fight, da fuck?
I'd normally say McGregor takes this, but I honestly don;t see him having the motivation anymore. No idea why he s back, he s made millions and accomplished his goals, I wouldn't feel too confident about him, while Cerrone legitimately just loves fighting
- Cowboy loves to fight.
- Conor has made millions, and the only reason why he would return is because he, too, loves to fight.
- Both of these guys are natural 155ers, so it makes sense for both of them not to cut weight and fight at 170 instead. That being said, Cowboy is better at 170 than 155.
No idea why he s back, he s made millions and accomplished his goals, I wouldn't feel too confident about him, while Cerrone legitimately just loves fighting
My best guess is that his new venture (Proper 12) is an extremely capital intensive business, and without his checks and free marketing via the UFC, this venture becomes unfeasible.
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Spitfiree   Bulgaria. Dec 30 2019 22:40. Posts 9634
Going to enjoy the fight regardless.. should be a fun one
Don't think he has as huge negotiation weigh nowadays though after Khabib smacked his ass and him being away for practically 3 years (excluding the Khabib fight)
Last edit: 30/12/2019 22:41
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Into Infinity   United States. Jan 01 2020 12:27. Posts 1884
dont see a world where clawja beats grasso
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PuertoRican   United States. Jan 02 2020 07:44. Posts 13044
On January 01 2020 11:27 Into Infinity wrote:
dont see a world where clawja beats grasso
You should meet me in Vegas for this card. You will be able to get +100 or better on Grasso's money line on fight day.
Rekrul is a newb
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Into Infinity   United States. Jan 02 2020 22:23. Posts 1884
On January 01 2020 11:27 Into Infinity wrote:
dont see a world where clawja beats grasso
You should meet me in Vegas for this card. You will be able to get +100 or better on Grasso's money line on fight day.
enlighten me.
You essentially said that Grasso beats Claudia.
If you feel really strong about Grasso beating Claudia, then you should go to Las Vegas and place a big bet on Grasso over Claudia, as Grasso's money line will be at least +100 on fight day.
I will be in Las Vegas for this card, so if you want to meet up with me and a couple of other guys I know from Sherdog, you can chill with us and watch + bet on the fights while we eat and drink.
Rekrul is a newb
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Into Infinity   United States. Jan 03 2020 01:40. Posts 1884
lol im an idiot for taking your first response as you saying i don't know what im talking about
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traxamillion   United States. Jan 03 2020 17:43. Posts 10468
I might be out there to sweat the fights, if I am I will let you guys know.
I imagine McGregor by 1st round finish is the favored result (-105 or more)
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Spitfiree   Bulgaria. Jan 04 2020 03:35. Posts 9634
Ehh they are both counter-strikers and both like to establish their range, McGregor won't have a size advantage ... and even if he does he's not going to be much bigger, so he can't come out and be too overly aggressive right off the bat
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PuertoRican   United States. Jan 04 2020 09:18. Posts 13044
On January 03 2020 16:43 traxamillion wrote:
I might be out there to sweat the fights, if I am I will let you guys know.
Sounds good.
If you end up going, send me your phone number and real name via PM, and I'll text you so we can meet up.
Rekrul is a newb
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iakim322   United States. Jan 07 2020 09:18. Posts 1335
Like Holm and Gadelha odds. I think Holly just matches up really well vs Pennington and would win 8 of 10 even though the actual overall skill difference isn't that much. But I've been pretty bad recently so Raquel probably wins
Barber is a -1000 favorite. Haven't seen that in MMA in awhile. Probably justified
Conor within 2 if he's in form
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PuertoRican   United States. Jan 10 2020 06:14. Posts 13044
Rekrul is a newb
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Into Infinity   United States. Jan 11 2020 08:06. Posts 1884
i actually thought the fight would be a lot closer than what people were speculating, something along the lines of 60/40 in favor of conor. then i rewatched cowboys recent fights since they were uploaded to youtube and immediately changed my mind.
i still think donald is probably the value bet but fuck i'd hate betting on him. i can see him winning if it somehow ends up on the ground early, like the olivera and perry fights
conor > cowboy
holm > pennington
grasso > gadelha
ferreira > pettis
barber > roxy
gastelum jr > dober
not sure what it is but something about macey barber makes me not like her; she'll probably cruise to a title shot then get demolished by valentina.
Last edit: 11/01/2020 08:13
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whammbot   Belarus. Jan 11 2020 14:25. Posts 518
Conor's worst enemy is cardio. The man could fight Henry Cejudo and lose in 5 rounds. If Conor had 5 good rounds in his tank he can beat anyone and everyone in LW, could probably be WW champion even. If his cardio is much worse now because of the layoff, he'll be having a tough time getting the FW belt
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Spitfiree   Bulgaria. Jan 12 2020 13:58. Posts 9634
don't understand how the layoff would impact his cardio ... he either improves it in training or doesn't but the idea of him not fighting having much to do with that is confusing
there will be no weigh cut related fatigue now as well
Last edit: 12/01/2020 14:00
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PuertoRican   United States. Jan 12 2020 23:47. Posts 13044
Rekrul is a newb
Last edit: 15/01/2020 05:14
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whammbot   Belarus. Jan 15 2020 01:30. Posts 518
On January 12 2020 12:58 Spitfiree wrote:
don't understand how the layoff would impact his cardio ... he either improves it in training or doesn't but the idea of him not fighting having much to do with that is confusing
there will be no weigh cut related fatigue now as well
That's because fight cardio is way different from training cardio. Conor can last 18 rounds even in hard training (ive seen videos and he brags about it constantly) but in actual fights breathing is way heavier and harder to regulate, pressure is tremendous and there are zero breaks unlike in sparring. Conor fades sharply after the 2nd round and unless he manages it well or his opponent doesn't put it on him it just gets worse and worse. He got lucky Nate went HAM on him in round 3 of the 2nd fight thinking he'd get finished and surprisingly winded himself out as well which gave COnor enough time to get back on track. I honestly believe Nate could've easily won the rematch had he paced himself in the 3rd and not try to finish Conor.
People like Tony F and Nate who are naturally gifted with gas tanks are like Conor's opposite because his game relies heavily on hurting opponents early while he's got a full tank of gas
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Spitfiree   Bulgaria. Jan 17 2020 00:45. Posts 9634
I mean Nate won the fight according to the majority of websites, judges screwed him imo too
I guess it makes sense on how your body reacts pumping blood in those two situations
Also seems like McGregor won the mental battle again ... just in a VERY different manner this time. I'm not sure Cerrone even realizes it
Last edit: 17/01/2020 00:46
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Baalim   Mexico. Jan 17 2020 01:26. Posts 34250
how did he win the mental battle? I haven't been following the prefight trashtalk
Ex-PokerStars Team Pro Online
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PuertoRican   United States. Jan 17 2020 05:07. Posts 13044
Rekrul is a newb
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Spitfiree   Bulgaria. Jan 17 2020 09:49. Posts 9634
On January 17 2020 00:26 Baalim wrote:
how did he win the mental battle? I haven't been following the prefight trashtalk
I've just seen the press conference and it might be a crazy idea. So Conor is actually NOT trash talking whatsoever, he s won the batttle by... making Donald think he s doing him a favor almost fighting him, I got to believe this cause of 2 moments during the press conference:
1) when a journalist asked Donald something along the lines whether or not Conor thinks he s basically a bum that he will smash ... except in a polite manner - Conor instantly start being loud and diverts the topic,hijacking the journalists moment to defuse the tension, Donald still gets to answer the question 30s later except its in a much different 'setup'
2)when they face off, Donald goes with a big smile and makes a funny joke like 'u re 1 inch shorter' - Conor s not playing any games and is pretty serious plus makes Donald take a few steps back, even though he is the bigger dude ...
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Spitfiree   Bulgaria. Jan 18 2020 02:50. Posts 9634
When he talks about 'boxing title' does he realize that Canelo and Golovkin are the two guys that dominate all weights he's compatible with and they will both absolutely take his soul out in a boxing match lol
Last edit: 18/01/2020 03:01
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PuertoRican   United States. Jan 18 2020 18:50. Posts 13044
$1800 slot machine win.
As for my bets on this card, my only serious bet thus far is $200 on Fili +120. I have several small fliers on props and stuff.
I'm looking to add $100 to Holm. Just waiting to see if her line improves.
Rekrul is a newb
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Into Infinity   United States. Jan 19 2020 04:09. Posts 1884
nice win
barber got exposed pretty hard
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whammbot   Belarus. Jan 19 2020 05:24. Posts 518
give this russian a glass o water ffs lol
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PuertoRican   United States. Jan 19 2020 08:51. Posts 13044
Barber is so bad when she isn't dominating her opponent.
Great job by Roxanne.
I ended up +$194. Two fights I wanted to make another couple hundred on were canceled, so that sucks.
Rekrul is a newb
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Into Infinity   United States. Jan 19 2020 08:56. Posts 1884
dumb fight
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Spitfiree   Bulgaria. Jan 19 2020 11:55. Posts 9634
damn Cerrone basically lost in around 5 seconds
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SpasticInk   Sweden. Jan 19 2020 14:45. Posts 6298
How much was the difference in weight just before the match? (not the weight in 24 hours before)