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UFC on ESPN 2: Barboza vs. Gaethje

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PuertoRican   United States. Mar 25 2019 01:28. Posts 13023

Date: Saturday, March 30
Preliminary Card (ESPN+): 20:30 LP.net / 12:30pm PST / 3:30pm EST
Preliminary Card (ESPN): 22:00 LP.net / 2pm PST / 5pm EST
Main Card (ESPN): 23:59 LP.net / 4pm PST / 7pm EST
Live Streams: http://www.fìrstrow.eu/




Main Card (ESPN)

Edson Barboza (20-6) vs. Justin Gaethje (19-2) (Lightweight)
David Branch (22-5) vs. Jack Hermansson (18-4) (Middleweight)
Josh Emmett (13-2) vs. Michael Johnson (19-13) (Featherweight)
Karolina Kowalkiewicz (12-3) vs. Michelle Waterson (16-6) (Women's Strawweight)
Paul Craig (10-3) vs. Kennedy Nzechukwu (6-0) (Light Heavyweight)
Sheymon Moraes (11-2) vs. Sodiq Yusuff (8-1) (Featherweight)

Preliminary Card (ESPN)

Jessica Aguilar (20-7) vs. Marina Rodriguez (10-0-1) (Strawweight)
Ross Pearson (20-15) vs. Desmond Green (21-8) (Lightweight)
Enrique Barzola (15-3-1) vs. Kevin Aguilar (16-1) (Featherweight)
Kevin Holland (13-4) vs. Gerald Meerschaert (28-10) (Middleweight)

Preliminary Card (ESPN+)

Ray Borg (11-3) vs. Casey Kenney (11-1-1) (Bantamweight)
Maryna Moroz (8-3) vs. Sabina Mazo (6-0) (Women's Flyweight)
Alex Perez (21-5) vs. Mark De La Rosa (11-1) (Bantamweight)

Other

- A strawweight bout between Alexa Grasso and Marina Rodriguez was scheduled at UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2. However, it was reported on December 17, that Rodriguez pulled out of the event due to a hand injury. The pairing was left intact and rescheduled for this event. In turn, it was reported that Grasso was pulled from the bout due to injury and she was replaced by Jessica Aguilar on March 23.
- A bantamweight bout between former UFC Flyweight Championship challenger Ray Borg and Pingyuan Liu was scheduled to take place at the event. However, it was reported on March 13, that Liu was replaced by newcomer Kyler Phillips for an undisclosed reason. In turn, Phillips was removed from the card on March 25 for undisclosed reasons and replaced by Casey Kenney that same day.

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Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 27/03/2019 05:52

PuertoRican   United States. Mar 25 2019 01:31. Posts 13023




----------

First impression of the match-ups:

• Barboza vs. Gaethje (dunno)
• Hermansson > Branch
• Johnson > Emmett
• Waterson > Kowalkiewicz
• Craig vs. Nzechukwu (dunno)
• Yusuff > Moraes
• Green > Pearson
• Barzola vs. Aguilar (dunno)
• Holland > Meerschaert
• Rodriguez > Aguilar
• Borg > Phillips
• Mazo > Moroz
• Perez > Rosa

Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 26/03/2019 04:21

PuertoRican   United States. Mar 26 2019 07:39. Posts 13023



Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 30/03/2019 07:58

PuertoRican   United States. Mar 30 2019 20:57. Posts 13023

My final picks:

• Gaethje > Barboza
• Hermansson > Branch
• Johnson > Emmett
• Waterson > Kowalkiewicz
• Craig vs. Nzechukwu (dunno)
• Yusuff > Moraes
• Green > Pearson
• Barzola > Aguilar
• Holland > Meerschaert
• Rodriguez > Aguilar
• Borg > Phillips
• Mazo > Moroz
• Perez > Rosa

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Mar 31 2019 01:13. Posts 13023

Sick late submission by Paul Craig!

2nd time he did that in the UFC.

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Mar 31 2019 02:55. Posts 13023


Gaethje with the one-hitter-quitter!

And he didn't take much damage, so that's even better!

Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 31/03/2019 03:01

balakubak   . Apr 01 2019 02:52. Posts 152


  On March 31 2019 01:55 PuertoRican wrote:

Gaethje with the one-hitter-quitter!

And he didn't take much damage, so that's even better!



I want Justin Gaethje vs. Al Iaquinta next.

Anyway how much did Holloway improve compared to how much did Poirier improve since their first fight?


PuertoRican   United States. Apr 01 2019 04:19. Posts 13023


  On April 01 2019 01:52 balakubak wrote:
Show nested quote +


Anyway how much did Holloway improve compared to how much did Poirier improve since their first fight?

Holloway improved a lot since their first fight.

- They fought 7 years ago
- Max Holloway was the 3rd replacement for Dustin Poirier in that fight
- Max was only 4-0 when he made his UFC debut against Dustin on short notice
- Max was giving Dustin problems on the feet, so Dustin was forced to take him down

Gonna be a great fight, but if I had to choose, I'd go with Max to win.

Rekrul is a newb 

balakubak   . Apr 02 2019 01:33. Posts 152


  On April 01 2019 03:19 PuertoRican wrote:
Show nested quote +


Holloway improved a lot since their first fight.

- They fought 7 years ago
- Max Holloway was the 3rd replacement for Dustin Poirier in that fight
- Max was only 4-0 when he made his UFC debut against Dustin on short notice
- Max was giving Dustin problems on the feet, so Dustin was forced to take him down

Gonna be a great fight, but if I had to choose, I'd go with Max to win.



But would it be a close fight or do the odds correctly suggest an outcome of a somewhat easy win for Holloway?


PuertoRican   United States. Apr 02 2019 03:35. Posts 13023


  On April 02 2019 00:33 balakubak wrote:
Show nested quote +



But would it be a close fight or do the odds correctly suggest an outcome of a somewhat easy win for Holloway?


I think Max vs. Dustin will be close within the first 3 rounds, and anyone can win at that point. If it gets to rounds 4 and 5, Max will still be 100% fresh and throw a lot more strikes and use more pressure than Dustin, which means Dustin will either get finished in R4/R5, or lose a decision.

Dustin can win this fight, he just needs to do it within the first 3 rounds.

Rekrul is a newb 

iakim322   United States. Apr 02 2019 05:41. Posts 1335

Think I agree with the above scenario except I would say that even if Dustin lights Max up here and there early, I just don't really see him stopping this version of Max. But I guess there's been a lot of kind of unexpected early main event wipe outs recently. Also first fight of Max moving up to 155, but I think all his shit will translate well. He has a pretty big frame for 145

Maybe I'm overrating Max but I'd only really solidly favor Khabib over him. I actually think he'd actually match up well vs Tony, close to or about even with a not peak Conor, and yeah, he's -220 vs Dustin. Maybe a big for the division wrestler like Kevin Lee would give him a lot of trouble even though Max is obviously the better overall fighter. Oh and Gaethje. Guy is a major threat to literally anyone on any given night



iakim322   United States. Apr 02 2019 06:00. Posts 1335

Oh and yeah I wouldn't glean anything off their first fight. Max was so raw. Literally just 20 years old with 4 random amateur fights in Hawii. Maybe we see super young fighters come into the UFC more recently but I'm pretty sure Max at 20 so undeveloped but already in the UFC was an anomaly back then. Dustin was only 23 but had packed in a ton of fights '09 to '12


balakubak   . Apr 03 2019 02:56. Posts 152


  On April 02 2019 02:35 PuertoRican wrote:
Show nested quote +


I think Max vs. Dustin will be close within the first 3 rounds, and anyone can win at that point. If it gets to rounds 4 and 5, Max will still be 100% fresh and throw a lot more strikes and use more pressure than Dustin, which means Dustin will either get finished in R4/R5, or lose a decision.

Dustin can win this fight, he just needs to do it within the first 3 rounds.



What are the odds that Dustin Poirier can finish Holloway within the first 3 rounds?


 



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