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UFC FN 101: Whittaker vs. Brunson

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PuertoRican   United States. Nov 22 2016 23:11. Posts 10303

Date: Saturday, November 26th
Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass): 00:30 LP.net / 3:30pm PST / 6:30pm EST
Preliminary Card (Fox Sports 1): 02:00 LP.net / 5pm PST / 8pm EST
Main Card (Fox Sports 1): 4:00 LP.net / 7pm PST / 10pm EST
Live Streams: http://firstrowus1.eu/




Main Card (Fox Sports 1)

Robert Whittaker (16-4) vs. Derek Brunson (16-3) (Middleweight)
Jake Matthews (10-2) vs. Andrew Holbrook (11-1) (Lightweight)
Kyle Noke (22-9-1) vs. Omari Akhmedov (15-4) (Welterweight)
Yusuke Kasuya (9-2-2) vs. Alex Volkanovski (13-1) (Featherweight)
Tyson Pedro (4-0) vs. Khalil Rountree (4-1) (Light Heavyweight)
Seo Hee Ham (16-7) vs. Danielle Taylor (7-2) (Women's Strawweight)

Preliminary Card (Fox Sports 1)

Dan Kelly (11-1) vs. Chris Camozzi (24-11) (Middleweight)
Damien Brown (16-9) vs. Jon Tuck (9-3) (Lightweight)
Richard Walsh (9-4) vs. Jonathan Meunier (7-1) (Welterweight)
Ben Nguyen (14-6) vs. Geane Herrera (9-2) (Flyweight)

Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)

Dan Hooker (13-6) vs. Jason Knight (14-2) (Featherweight)
Marlon Vera (7-3-1) vs. Ning Guangyou (5-3-1) (Bantamweight)
Yao Zhikui (2-3) vs. Jenel Lausa (6-2) (Flyweight)

Other

- On October 21, it was announced that Dominique Steele pulled out of his scheduled bout against Kyle Noke due to an undisclosed injury. He was replaced by Omari Akhmedov on October 23.

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Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 23/11/2016 04:28

PuertoRican   United States. Nov 22 2016 23:22. Posts 10303

First impression of the match-ups:

• Brunson > Whittaker
• Matthews > Holbrook
• Noke > Akhmedov
• Kasuya vs. Volkanovski (dunno)
• Kelly > Camozzi
• Brown > Tuck
• Walsh vs. Meunier (dunno)
• Nguyen > Herrera
• Hooker > Knight
• Yao vs. Lausa (dunno)
• Ham > Taylor
• Pedro > Rountree
• Vera > Ning

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Nov 23 2016 01:24. Posts 10303


Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 23/11/2016 08:37

devil69   Afghanistan. Nov 23 2016 05:44. Posts 3

--- Nuked ---


Minsk   Belarus. Nov 23 2016 19:30. Posts 1471

Do Australians like New Zealanders?
Would they support a New Zealander vs an American?

A coward dies a thousand deaths. A soldier dies but once. 

Spitfiree   Bulgaria. Nov 23 2016 19:50. Posts 7641

penny paid SEO backlinkers wont realize forums usually have a no-folllow index gosh ... never learn

 Last edit: 23/11/2016 19:50

PuertoRican   United States. Nov 23 2016 22:09. Posts 10303


  On November 23 2016 18:30 Minsk wrote:
Do Australians like New Zealanders?
Would they support a New Zealander vs an American?


Yes, people from New Zealand (Kiwis) are liked by people from Australia (Aussies).

Think of Kiwis as the little brother of Aussies.

Rekrul is a newb 

Stim_Abuser   United States. Nov 25 2016 02:45. Posts 7498

Brunson might be as good as the top 4 MWs. He was whipping Romeros ass 2 years ago before he gassed and got finished in the 3rd. Hope he has an impressive performance.

Hey Im slinging mad volume and fat stackin benjies I dont got time for spellin n shit - skinny pete 

Sliggy   Australia. Nov 25 2016 06:29. Posts 742


  On November 23 2016 21:09 PuertoRican wrote:
Show nested quote +


Yes, people from New Zealand (Kiwis) are liked by people from Australia (Aussies).

Think of Kiwis as the little brother of Aussies.


New Zealand is Australia's Canada.

There's no heat in the beef, but there be beef. "Bloody Kiwis" being a common phrase, and joy in times of Kiwi failure being a common sensation.

sup 

Baalim   Mexico. Nov 25 2016 08:11. Posts 31082

no Hunt in this card is ridiculous

Ex-PokerStars Team Pro Online 

alejandicto   . Nov 25 2016 19:14. Posts 603

I think UFC offered Hunt a match against Dos Santos but Hunt refused the fight


PuertoRican   United States. Nov 25 2016 23:11. Posts 10303




Derek Brunson (186) vs. Robert Whittaker (185)
Andrew Holbrook (154) vs. Jake Matthews (155)
Omari Akhmedov (171) vs. Kyle Noke (170)
Yusuke Kasuya (156) vs. Alex Volkanovski (154)
Tyson Pedro (205) vs. Khalil Rountree (206)
Seo Hee Ham (115) vs. Danielle Taylor (115)
Chris Camozzi (186) vs. Daniel Kelly (186)
Damien Brown (154) vs. Jon Tuck (156)
Jonathan Meunier (171) vs. Richard Walsh (171)
Geane Herrera (125) vs. Ben Nguyen (126)
Dan Hooker (146) vs. Jason Knight (145)
Ning Guangyou (146) vs. Marlon Vera (144)
Jenel Lausa (125) vs. Yao Zhikui (127)*

*Yao Zhikui missed the flyweight limit by one pound. He made weight on a second attempt after initially weighing-in at 127 lbs.

Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 26/11/2016 03:09

soberstone   United States. Nov 26 2016 09:04. Posts 2641


  On November 25 2016 01:45 Stim_Abuser wrote:
Brunson might be as good as the top 4 MWs. He was whipping Romeros ass 2 years ago before he gassed and got finished in the 3rd. Hope he has an impressive performance.



I'm big on Brunson but the violent KO's have a common theme. When he lunges in with that left (usually twice in a row the way Woodley KO'd Lawler), he leaves his chin on a platter, and someone with a composed/accurate counter shot will likely put his lights out at some point if he keeps doing that.

I could see Rockhold, Belfort (irrelevant but still), and ironically Whittaker being the 3 MW's that are really likely to make him pay in that spot, but I'm still picking Brunson > Whittaker because I think that Jackson has probably pounded into Brunson's head that he can't do his typical beast-blitz right away or hes making a massive mistake.

He just needs to use his athleticism, size, and kicking range to frustrate Whittaker and clinch up as much as possible. Eventually if he works that game without making any mistakes in the pocket, hell get Whittaker down and beat the breaks off him or choke him out.


soberstone   United States. Nov 26 2016 09:16. Posts 2641

I feel like I have an unusually good read on a lot of these fights for some reason, doing a lot of prop stuff on Dimes.

Brunson > Whittaker via middle rounds GNP stoppage
Mathews > Holbrook via HL KO or late sub/GnP once Holbrook gives up
Noke > Akhmedov via late stoppage when Omari gasses - rd 3 +1400 Noke prop was gold IMO. Love Noke as a dog, but obv it could go either way.
Kasuya v Volkanovski - Dunno
Pedro v Roundtree - Dunno, but it will end quickly
Ham > Taylor via decision after landing 500 strikes - good candidate for FOTN
Camozzi > Kelly - I'm leaning decision because Kelly is so tough
Brown v Tuck - Dunno, but Tuck is way over-rated
Walsh > Meunier - Ugly shitty fight where Walsh outgrinds him and wins a close decision in his backyard
Ngyuen > Herrera - Love this fight, I think it will have a little of everything, will be very close, but Ngyuen will land more and have more top time
Hooker > Knight - Sharps seem to think there is value on Knight, I think Hooker picks him apart and mixes in some wrestling for a clear decision
Vera > Ning - Ning is truly awful. He has the skillset of a LHW, just looks for a chance to land a power haymaker and has decent TD's but no ground game. Vera should be able to pick him apart (footwork, kicks, technique) and sub him if he hurts him or winds up on top or in a scramble. Ning's only shot is a KO if Vera somehow gets stuck against the cage and Ning lands a lucky hay.


 Last edit: 26/11/2016 21:38

PuertoRican   United States. Nov 26 2016 09:32. Posts 10303

As a side note, I run the DraftKings league for the Sherdog MMA Betting Forum (separate from the general Sherdog forum). If any of you guys want to play in our weekly events, feel free to join up. It's $3 to buy in and the Top 2 get paid.

Here's the link for the Whittaker vs. Brunson event: https://www.draftkings.com/contest/draftteam/33185678

Here's the link to the Sherdog league thread for more information: http://forums.sherdog.com/threads/draftkings-leagues.3315313/

Rekrul is a newb 

soberstone   United States. Nov 26 2016 11:30. Posts 2641


  On November 26 2016 08:32 PuertoRican wrote:
As a side note, I run the DraftKings league for the Sherdog MMA Betting Forum (separate from the general Sherdog forum). If any of you guys want to play in our weekly events, feel free to join up. It's $3 to buy in and the Top 2 get paid.

Here's the link for the Whittaker vs. Brunson event: https://www.draftkings.com/contest/draftteam/33185678

Here's the link to the Sherdog league thread for more information: http://forums.sherdog.com/threads/draftkings-leagues.3315313/



Nice! I'll join for sure.


soberstone   United States. Nov 26 2016 21:30. Posts 2641

Joined the DK event. Exciting. Thanks for making it.

I like the 6 player format much better than 5 too, dunno if thats a recent change or what but I dig it.


soberstone   United States. Nov 26 2016 21:40. Posts 2641

Only pick I differ with you on Rican is Kelly vs Camozzi. I respect the pick just because Kelly is like the inverse of Uriah Hall but I just don't think he'll be able to get inside on Camozzi to work the Judo and make it ugly.

 Last edit: 26/11/2016 21:41

PuertoRican   United States. Nov 26 2016 22:35. Posts 10303


  On November 26 2016 20:40 soberstone wrote:
Only pick I differ with you on Rican is Kelly vs Camozzi. I respect the pick just because Kelly is like the inverse of Uriah Hall but I just don't think he'll be able to get inside on Camozzi to work the Judo and make it ugly.


My final picks:

• Brunson > Whittaker
• Matthews > Holbrook
• Akhmedov > Noke
• Volkanovski > Kasuya
• Kelly > Camozzi
• Brown > Tuck
• Meunier > Walsh
• Nguyen > Herrera
• Hooker > Knight
• Lausa > Yao
• Ham > Taylor
• Rountree > Pedro
• Vera > Ning

Rekrul is a newb 

soberstone   United States. Nov 26 2016 22:48. Posts 2641

Oh well I guess I disagree on a few more since you flipped on the Noke and Roundtree fight as well.

I think Akhmedov's chin and gas tank are just too exploitable. Noke seems like a smart guy, should gameplan and exploit.

Roundtree fight is a coinflip but I'm basically picking Pedro because he seems athletic enough to match Roundtree and seems like stylistically kryptonite for Khalil's pathetic ground game - which very may well have improved. Hopefully it has because LHW needs a guy like him to get good.


 
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