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Handnr: 1089780
Submitted by : Stroggoz

PokerStars Zoom Hand #208226882246: Holdem No Limit ($2.50/$5.00) - 2020/01/16 13:43:24 ET
Table Lambda Velorum 6-max Seat #1 is the button
Seat 1: sauloCosta10 ($502.50 in chips)
Seat 2: chaps1988 ($1238.04 in chips)
Seat 3: PatKlebs ($648.33 in chips)
Seat 4: PedroKL ($554.50 in chips)
Seat 5: Stroggos_nz ($1574.98 in chips)
Seat 6: U_Key_U ($1175.05 in chips)
chaps1988: posts small blind $2.50
PatKlebs: posts big blind $5

Dealt to Stroggos_nz JsQs
PedroKL: folds
Stroggos_nz: raises $5.10 to $10.10
U_Key_U: raises $21.92 to $32.02
sauloCosta10: folds
chaps1988: folds
PatKlebs: folds
Stroggos_nz: calls $21.92

Flop (Pot : $71.54)

Stroggos_nz: checks
U_Key_U: checks

Turn (Pot : $71.54)

Stroggos_nz: checks
U_Key_U: bets $49.35
Stroggos_nz: raises $170.65 to $220
U_Key_U: raises $366.15 to $586.15
Stroggos_nz: folds
Uncalled bet ($366.15) returned to U_Key_U
U_Key_U collected $508.54 from pot
U_Key_U: doesnt show hand

Total pot $511.54 | Rake $3
Board  4d7s8sAd
Seat 1: sauloCosta10 (button) folded before Flop (didnt bet)
Seat 2: chaps1988 (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 3: PatKlebs (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 4: PedroKL folded before Flop (didnt bet)
Seat 5: Stroggos_nz folded on the Turn
Seat 6: U_Key_U collected ($508.54)

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lebowski   Greece. Jan 16 2020 22:11. Posts 9191

I wonder if he has any bluffs here at all

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new shit has come to light... a-and... shit! man... 

Stroggoz   New Zealand. Jan 16 2020 22:21. Posts 4714

These spots are extremely rare and people are just not balanced. A solver would 3bet here less than 1% of the time probably. The equity of a range here that a human has can differ drastically than what the solver does even with the slightest change in frequency, which is very easy to have.

I was inclined to beleive that he had specifically top set here, since i am representing a value range of two pair+, and a bluff range of strong semi bluffs. AA is one of the most commonly checked back overpairs on the flop, and given it's a 4 card twotone board, he would likely think i am not folding any sets to a 3bet here, and would want to avoid any cards hitting on river from my strong combo draws i would x/r the turn here with.

supposed to have greenstar not bracelet 

traxamillion   United States. Jan 19 2020 04:02. Posts 10468

Good analysis I definitely agree

Stroggoz   New Zealand. Jan 19 2020 05:12. Posts 4714

i actually simmed it and it was 3betting 3%, actually the solver is close to neutral ev with pocket 77's weather to fold it or call vs this 3bet, so my opinion on how a random z500 reg played this and what the solver does is not too far off.

supposed to have greenstar not bracelet 


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